richard-westwood

Oaks ...
Ylang ylang  9.0 
Ezeliya 9.0 
Secret satire. 8.6
Opera singer 8.3 
You got to me 8.1 
Rubies are red 8.1 
Forest fairy 8.0 
Caught you looking 8.0
Treasure 7.8 
Everlasting 7.8 
Dance sequence. 7 .4 
Seeward. 7.4 
Buttons.  7.0 
Making dreams 6.8 
War chimes 6.5 
Very very difficult race to assess because on paper this looks a sub standard oaks .....there's more likelyhood that something is going shoot forward on the day but the question is who !??
The average oaks winner is around rpr 115 .....ylang is 110 ....ezeliya 106 ...secret satire 106 ....rest are no where near so far so for me it's between the top 3 .......ylang is the group one performer but only at 8f ....surely Aiden o brien has got to win a big race ???... Is this the one ?.....ezeliya looks a true oaks type .....improving fast and won over 10f last time in a canter .....improvement of 5 to 6lb would put her fav imo ...isn't stepping up much further distance wise and improvement very likely 
Secret satire looks to have decent place claims and has been backed from big odds into around 14/1 ....that still looks value 
For me ....it's ezeliya ....but this could be a titanic battle if ylang gets the distance .....classy race 
 

Dunno what happened there 🤣🤣🤣.....they are all crap so they go on 6.5 .....can't see them troubling anyone........just got back from work so I'll start on the oaks .....should have it done in next few hours 😁

Just starting a discussion about the big races this weekend .....not sure what the ground will be yet .....with scattered showers currently on the soft side ....it's possible it might dry and go off good sft .....
The derby is a bit of a puzzle .....all hinging on what city of Troy is ....certainly looks an o brien derby type but I've got to remain neutral and give the computer all the form as I see it  and let it decide ...
Derby 
Ambient friendly  8.9.  Class 65
Ancient wisdom.   8.7 class 99
Illinois  8.3.  class 60
City of Troy 8.0 ? ++
Dancing Gemini. 7.9 
Diego valzquez.  7.6 
Macduff.  7.6 
Los Angeles.  7.4 
Dallas star 7.1 
Portland  7.1 
Seyadati sedati. 7.0 
Gods window.  6.7 
Voyage.     6.7 
Bellum Justum. 6.7 
Diera mile. 6.5
Euphrates 6.5 
Euphoric 6.5 
Defiance 6.5
Padesha 6.5
Kamboo 6.5
Mister Hampstead 6.5
Tabletalk 6.5 
Ambient friendly looks the form choice overall and has been heavily backed into around 9/2.....an ient wisdom steps up in trip from 10f but has a much higher class rating so if gets the distance he could easily spring a surprise .....Illinois was annilated by ambient friendly so I can't see that one being a danger but is priced at big prices (33?).   So.could be a value Ew bet especially if could get 4 places or better ......before betting was suspended on Betfair there was 7.0 and 7.8 available and that looks value bets on top two so if that is still available when betting resumes I'll be taking that on top two ......interesting and classy race 

Just starting a discussion about the big races this weekend .....not sure what the ground will be yet .....with scattered showers currently on the soft side ....it's possible it might dry and go off good sft .....
The derby is a bit of a puzzle .....all hinging on what city of Troy is ....certainly looks an o brien derby type but I've got to remain neutral and give the computer all the form as I see it  and let it decide ...
Derby 
Ambient friendly  8.9.  Class 65
Ancient wisdom.   8.7 class 99
Illinois  8.3.  class 60
City of Troy 8.0 ? ++
Dancing Gemini. 7.9 
Diego valzquez.  7.6 
Macduff.  7.6 
Los Angeles.  7.4 
Dallas star 7.1 
Portland  7.1 
Seyadati sedati. 7.0 
Gods window.  6.7 
Voyage.     6.7 
Bellum Justum. 6.7 
Diera mile. 6.5
Euphrates 6.5 
Euphoric 6.5 
Defiance 6.5
Padesha 6.5
Kamboo 6.5
Mister Hampstead 6.5
Tabletalk 6.5 
Ambient friendly looks the form choice overall and has been heavily backed into around 9/2.....an ient wisdom steps up in trip from 10f but has a much higher class rating so if gets the distance he could easily spring a surprise .....Illinois was annilated by ambient friendly so I can't see that one being a danger but is priced at big prices (33?).   So.could be a value Ew bet especially if could get 4 places or better ......before betting was suspended on Betfair there was 7.0 and 7.8 available and that looks value bets on top two so if that is still available when betting resumes I'll be taking that on top two ......interesting and classy race 

Just starting a discussion about the big races this weekend .....not sure what the ground will be yet .....with scattered showers currently on the soft side ....it's possible it might dry and go off good sft .....
The derby is a bit of a puzzle .....all hinging on what city of Troy is ....certainly looks an o brien derby type but I've got to remain neutral and give the computer all the form as I see it  and let it decide ...
Derby 
Ambient friendly  8.9.  Class 65
Ancient wisdom.   8.7 class 99
Illinois  8.3.  class 60
City of Troy 8.0 ? ++
Dancing Gemini. 7.9 
Diego valzquez.  7.6 
Macduff.  7.6 
Los Angeles.  7.4 
Dallas star 7.1 
Portland  7.1 
Seyadati sedati. 7.0 
Gods window.  6.7 
Voyage.     6.7 
Bellum Justum. 6.7 
Diera mile. 6.5
Euphrates 6.5 
Euphoric 6.5 
Defiance 6.5
Padesha 6.5
Kamboo 6.5
Mister Hampstead 6.5
Tabletalk 6.5 
Ambient friendly looks the form choice overall and has been heavily backed into around 9/2.....an ient wisdom steps up in trip from 10f but has a much higher class rating so if gets the distance he could easily spring a surprise .....Illinois was annilated by ambient friendly so I can't see that one being a danger but is priced at big prices (33?).   So.could be a value Ew bet especially if could get 4 places or better ......before betting was suspended on Betfair there was 7.0 and 7.8 available and that looks value bets on top two so if that is still available when betting resumes I'll be taking that on top two ......interesting and classy race 

Just starting a discussion about the big races this weekend .....not sure what the ground will be yet .....with scattered showers currently on the soft side ....it's possible it might dry and go off good sft .....
The derby is a bit of a puzzle .....all hinging on what city of Troy is ....certainly looks an o brien derby type but I've got to remain neutral and give the computer all the form as I see it  and let it decide ...
Derby 
Ambient friendly  8.9.  Class 65
Ancient wisdom.   8.7 class 99
Illinois  8.3.  class 60
City of Troy 8.0 ? ++
Dancing Gemini. 7.9 
Diego valzquez.  7.6 
Macduff.  7.6 
Los Angeles.  7.4 
Dallas star 7.1 
Portland  7.1 
Seyadati sedati. 7.0 
Gods window.  6.7 
Voyage.     6.7 
Bellum Justum. 6.7 
Diera mile. 6.5
Euphrates 6.5 
Euphoric 6.5 
Defiance 6.5
Padesha 6.5
Kamboo 6.5
Mister Hampstead 6.5
Tabletalk 6.5 
Ambient friendly looks the form choice overall and has been heavily backed into around 9/2.....an ient wisdom steps up in trip from 10f but has a much higher class rating so if gets the distance he could easily spring a surprise .....Illinois was annilated by ambient friendly so I can't see that one being a danger but is priced at big prices (33?).   So.could be a value Ew bet especially if could get 4 places or better ......before betting was suspended on Betfair there was 7.0 and 7.8 available and that looks value bets on top two so if that is still available when betting resumes I'll be taking that on top two ......interesting and classy race 

I’m game if everyone else is. You collate the individual ratings again and I’ll put them through the mincer.

Shall we do a derby oaks experiment? @MCLARKE @richard-westwood @harry_rag

I'm going down there, innit. I'm gonna bunk into the Ladies enclosure. aren't I?

Well done Norihiro Yokoyama ........ the 56 year old jockey won the Japanese Derby overnight ! ...... (on a 46/1 outsider as well)

Non runner 

130 good 
Very tricky race but computer has flagged THE CAMDEN COLT as being the value bet from stall 1 at 20/1 5 places .....it's a good price so Im happy to play ....5pts Ew 

130 good 
Very tricky race but computer has flagged THE CAMDEN COLT as being the value bet from stall 1 at 20/1 5 places .....it's a good price so Im happy to play ....5pts Ew 

130 good 
Very tricky race but computer has flagged THE CAMDEN COLT as being the value bet from stall 1 at 20/1 5 places .....it's a good price so Im happy to play ....5pts Ew 

130 good 
Very tricky race but computer has flagged THE CAMDEN COLT as being the value bet from stall 1 at 20/1 5 places .....it's a good price so Im happy to play ....5pts Ew 

130 good 
Very tricky race but computer has flagged THE CAMDEN COLT as being the value bet from stall 1 at 20/1 5 places .....it's a good price so Im happy to play ....5pts Ew 

130 good 
Very tricky race but computer has flagged THE CAMDEN COLT as being the value bet from stall 1 at 20/1 5 places .....it's a good price so Im happy to play ....5pts Ew 

Ten races from ITV - a bumper afternoon for us racing enthusiasts. Good luck and here are my views.    Haydock 1.15 The first of five races covered by the ITV team at the Lancashire track is the valuable three year old handicap Betfred Silver Bowl Handicap run over a mile with a field of thirteen going to post. The ground at the Lancashire course will be very testing with plenty of rain falling on top of 5mm of watering put down by the course on Tuesday (how crazy was that!). One horse who will love testing ground and has a good record here is the Tom Dascombe trained Nellie Leylax whose form figures on soft or worse read 111441. He’s up 5lb for making all over course and distance last month and is a serious player here. The other two on my shortlist are top weight Blue Lemons who also appears to relish soft ground and course and distance soft ground maiden winner Candonomore. The pick has to be Nellie Leylax with a small each way saver on Tim Easterby’s Candonomore.   NELLIE LEYLAX 1 point each way @ 13-2 William Hill 1/5th 1234 CANDONOMORE 1/2 point each way @ 9-1 Coral 1/5th 1234   Goodwood 1.30 The first of two races covered by the ITV cameras at the Sussex track is this competitive three year old 7F class 2 handicap which is run around a bend which gives those drawn low a big advantage. The winner of the last ten renewals were drawn in 3,6,3,2,3,2,4,11,5 and 3. With such a bias we’ll just concentrate on those drawn in single figures. Andrew Balding’s Al Shabab Storm heads the short list having circumnavigated the whole field from a poor draw at Chester last time when surprisingly well supported. He’s already won at the track and has drawn stall 4. Expect Harry Davies to make the most of that draw and run a big race. The most unexposed runner is the Ralph Beckett trained Qirat who’s making his handicap debut having been gelded and a market move for him would be very interesting. From stall 2 Newsreader from the Kevin Philippart De Foy stable starts out in handicaps from a reasonable mark and can make his presence tell but it has to be Al Shabab Storm for me.   AL SHABAB STORM 1 point each way @ 5/1 BetVictor 1/5th 12345   Haydock 1.50 The days feature race at the Lancashire track is the Group 2 Temple Stakes run over a distance of 5F. Ten horses have declared for the race with the highest rated in the field Live In The Dream whose not been seen since flopping at the Breeders Cup last November and his trainer, Adam West stating in the week that he will need the run. He’s opposable with the horse who beat him in the Palace House Stakes on soft ground at Newmarket a year ago, Vadream the one to be with. His soft ground (or worse) form figures read 7131731 and is a real mudlark who will relish the conditions. The Australian horse Asfoora may well also need the run reading between the lines of recent comments from his connections and a bigger threat may come from one of the three three year olds in the shape of the Andrew Balding trained Flora Of Bermuda who showed last year that he likes soft ground by winning well at Goodwood in August. He’s worth a small each way saver.   VADREAM 1 point each way @ 5/1 William Hill 1/5th 123 FLORA OF BERMUDA 1/2 point each way @ 22/1 Betfred 1/5th 1234   Goodwood 2.05 The Height Of Fashion Stakes is a listed race for three year old fillies and the last real Oaks trial for next weekend and is run over a trip of 10F. The highest rated in the field is the Charlie Johnston trained Francophone who was runner up in the Musidora at York earlier in the month. That was a weak renewal however and she had previously won a Southwell handicap (second has won since mind). John & Thady Gosden’s Regal Jubilee was my each way pick in the 1000 Guineas and although blowing out there I do feel she’s better than that run and hopefully a step up in trip here will suit this Cheveley Park Stud owned three year old. Previously to the 1000 Guineas she had finished a neck ahead of the eventual 1000 Guineas winner Elmalka which may suggest there was something amiss at Newmarket. Despite a 3lb penalty for a listed win on heavy ground last November at Newmarket she’s worth one last chance to prove she has a decent future.   REGAL JUBILEE 1 point each way @ 4/1 BetVictor 1/5th 123   Haydock 2.25 Eight have declared for the Group 2 Sandy Lane Stakes run over a distance of 6F and used as a trial for the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot next month. It’s hard to look beyond Simon & Ed Crisford’s Vandeek who looked very smart as a juvenile winning all four of his starts culminating in a Group 1 double at Deauville and Newmarket with the victory at the former being gained on very soft ground. With conditions unlikely to worry him he can take this en route to Royal Ascot. The each way value against him may lie with Andrew Balding’s Purosangue who’s proven on soft and had one of today’s opponents Esquire 3/4L behind in second when winning at York in the mud last October. He may chase home the favourite.   VANDEEK 2 points win @ 8/11 William Hill PUROSANGUE 1/2 point each way @ 9/1 bet365 1/5th 123   York 2.45 The first of two races covered by the ITV team is this class 2 5f handicap. Top weight Korker carried my tip when running well at the last York meeting when finishing strongly to take fourth behind Clarendon House and looks sure to be thereabouts although a mark of 107 looks plenty high enough. Charlie Hills’s Rabaah was a bit disappointing on his re-appearance and drops to the minimum trip here. He’s another with a chance. The horse I like however is Ralph Beckett’s Starlust who since he finished runner up in a decent nursery at the Ebor meeting last year has kept top grade company including when third, beaten 1 1/4L to Big Evs in the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint last November. This represents a drop in class and as a three year old gets a healthy 8lb age allowance for this time of the year. Beckett is beginning to get rolling with his yard and he looks good each way value now dropped to the minimum trip.   STARLUST 1 point each way @ 9/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234   Haydock 3.00 Seven have declared for this class 3 7F 0-90 handicap although I do get the feeling that the current favourite English Oak could be pulled out due to the wet conditions. He was pulled out on good to soft last year at York so one would think that today’s terrain will be too slow for him. Let’s hope he runs as he is very opposable. In contrast Zip will love the conditions and should run a big race although at the prices I think it’s worth backing Ed Dunlop’s Sterling Knight. He’s two from two at the track, has dipped under his last turf winning mark and is a winner on heavy ground. Morgan Cole claims 5lb and gets the leg up here which further reduces his weight and he can run well each way.   STERLING KNIGHT 1 point each way @ 10/1 bet365 1/5 123   York 3.20 A healthy field of ten have declared for this Group 3 1M 6F Brontë Cup Fillies’ Stakes. Last year’s winner River Of Stars is the highest rated of the ten and Ralph Beckett’s five year old took this by a short head on his seasonal re-appearance last year so a lack of a recent outing is unlikely to be an issue for Rossa Ryan’s mount. She should run well along with the likes of Jack Channon’s Gather Ye Rosebuds although that one wants very deep ground it seems. William Haggas saddles an interesting runner in Safety Catch who won a listed race on the all-weather at Lingfield when last seen in November. A tricky enough contest but it’s Beckett’s River Of Stars who is the selection.   RIVER OF STARS 1 point win @ 7/2 Coral   Haydock 3.30 A decent sized field of fifteen gather for this class 2 2M 0-100 handicap. The race has a very open look about it with many holding claims. Top weight Nothing To Sea would be amongst them who was last seen winning at Sandown over 1M 6F 303 days ago.This longer trip will no doubt suit and he should run well if tuned up. Ian Williams’s Law Of The Sea was runner up to the re-opposing Solent Getaway in this race last years and ran well at Chester at their May meeting. He too has claims along with Tim Easterby’s bottom weight Zimmerman who looks the value pick of the field. 2lb higher than when winning over course and distance last August on heavy ground he’ll have no problems with the muddy conditions and with a record here which reads 181 and conditions in his favour can run a big race at a nice price.   ZIMMERMAN 1 point each way @ 10/1 bet365 1/5th 1234   Curragh 3.40 Just eight three year old colts run in the Tattersalls Irish 2000 Guineas in which we have a very warm favourite in the shape of the Richard Hannon trained Rosallion. He was the only horse to put it up to Notable Speech in the English version going down by 1 1/2L in second place with stable mate Haatem 3 1/4L back in third and looks held here. A smart two year old he has an excellent chance as long as the ground doesn’t go very soft he can beat the Aidan O’Brien trio of River Tiber, Unquestionable (1L behind the pick in France last back end) and Mountain Bear. He is a strong selection.   ROSALLION 2 points win @ 10/11 bet365  

Leg 2 720 curragh
Likewise after ruling out other races due to prices ...computer has joint top.     DUNUM and BLUES EMPEROR  and value bets over 7/1 .....I can get 8/1 and 17/2 so I'll go 5pt Ew both and ....Ew doubles both races for a shot at holiday spending money 🤑 💰 

Just rated early for Fridays racing ....hoping to have a shot at a big double for a bit of fun .....
Leg 1 410 good 
Computer has flagged  STREET KID as a potential value bet if I could get 7/1 + ......will hill are only bookies to price up but have priced at 10/1 !!.....so that's an instant qualifier .....5pt Ew single for now .....I need to check prices of other races when priced up to decide if anything warrants double material 
 
 
 

Watchya                                                      5 10 Gwd/                       1/40th of a pt ew     22/1
Ice Cold In Alex   { great Film}🙂            6 50 Cra/                         1/40th of a pt ew     25/1
Able Kane                                                   4 10 Gwd/                       1/40th of a pt ew     25/1
 
 
 
P/L  + 177.85 pts

Leg 2 720 curragh
Likewise after ruling out other races due to prices ...computer has joint top.     DUNUM and BLUES EMPEROR  and value bets over 7/1 .....I can get 8/1 and 17/2 so I'll go 5pt Ew both and ....Ew doubles both races for a shot at holiday spending money 🤑 💰 

Leg 2 720 curragh
Likewise after ruling out other races due to prices ...computer has joint top.     DUNUM and BLUES EMPEROR  and value bets over 7/1 .....I can get 8/1 and 17/2 so I'll go 5pt Ew both and ....Ew doubles both races for a shot at holiday spending money 🤑 💰 

Just rated early for Fridays racing ....hoping to have a shot at a big double for a bit of fun .....
Leg 1 410 good 
Computer has flagged  STREET KID as a potential value bet if I could get 7/1 + ......will hill are only bookies to price up but have priced at 10/1 !!.....so that's an instant qualifier .....5pt Ew single for now .....I need to check prices of other races when priced up to decide if anything warrants double material 
 
 
 

Leg 2 720 curragh
Likewise after ruling out other races due to prices ...computer has joint top.     DUNUM and BLUES EMPEROR  and value bets over 7/1 .....I can get 8/1 and 17/2 so I'll go 5pt Ew both and ....Ew doubles both races for a shot at holiday spending money 🤑 💰