richard-westwood

120 newb 
Zanza    8.5  6/1 
Demachine  8.3  7/1 
Kitty's light   8.1 25/1 
Kapcourse 7.9 
Close race .....any one of these 4 could be a potential winner .....kitty's light has a, definate squeak at a big price so I'll try 5pt wins top 3 and hope kitty pulls something on the day 

155 newb 
West balboa   8.7 7/2 
Lord baddesley   8.4 7/1 
Red risk   7.9  50/1  
Red risk is out of form ....has possible ew chance if could get things together but top 2 look strong so I'll try 7pts win West...3pts win lord 
Doubles on top 2 in all 3 races  .

West non runner .....I'll increase stakes on lord baddeley to 5pt ew ...and have a small 1pt ew on red risk 

155 newb 
West balboa   8.7 7/2 
Lord baddesley   8.4 7/1 
Red risk   7.9  50/1  
Red risk is out of form ....has possible ew chance if could get things together but top 2 look strong so I'll try 7pts win West...3pts win lord 
Doubles on top 2 in all 3 races  .

120 newb 
Zanza    8.5  6/1 
Demachine  8.3  7/1 
Kitty's light   8.1 25/1 
Kapcourse 7.9 
Close race .....any one of these 4 could be a potential winner .....kitty's light has a, definate squeak at a big price so I'll try 5pt wins top 3 and hope kitty pulls something on the day 

Coral gold cup 
Le milos    9.0 9.2 betfair 
Fiddleronroof  8.8 11.5 
Fanion destruval   8.4 25/1 
Gericault roque    8.3  
5pt wins top 3 and 6x rev forecasts top 3 

Our Power    3 05 Nbry/      1/20th of a pt win   12/1/      {NON  RUNNER}
Current Mood   1 55 Nwby/    1/20th of a pt win    12/1
Busselton     3 05  Nbry/     1/20th of a pt win    10/1
 
 
 
P/L  + 158.70pts

This weekend’s big handicap is the Coral Gold Cup Handicap Chase at Newbury. To us old timers this will always be known as the Hennessy, 1st run in 1957. This premier handicap is run over 3 miles and 2 furlongs and is open to horses aged 4 or older. Off time is 3.05 and 16 go to post.
It is often a good guide for Cheltenham. Native River won this race in 2016 before going on to win that year’s Cheltenham Gold Cup. 4 other horses have been placed in this race before going on to win at the Cheltenham Festival.
Many Clouds won this in 2014 before going on to win that year’s Grand National.
Most bookmakers offer each-way terms of 5 places which makes the race an excellent betting proposition.
TRUST THE ODDS
I have looked at the statistics over the last 9 seasons and these are my key conclusions.
1.       The market is a good guide for this race. Horses at odds of more than 11/1 have a record of 1 win from 114 runners. Horses shorter than this have 8 wins from 55 runners. 
2.       It is better to have experience prior to this race. Horses that have had less than 15 runs have a record of 3 wins from 94 runners compared to 6 wins from 75 runners for their more experienced rivals.
3.       Horses that finished in the 1st 3 last time have a success rate of 7 from 90. Those that finished further down the field have only won 2 from 79 efforts.
This reduces the field to 5, LE MILOS (7/1), BUSSELTON (9/1), FIDDLERONTHEROOF (11/1), REMASTERED (15/2) and OUR POWER (12/1).  
I suggest backing these each way with bookmakers who are offering 5 places.
For those who wish to narrow the field down further there are some other statistics that may prove relevant.
Horses carrying more than 11st 6lbs have a record of 0 wins from 31 attempts. This would rule out FIDDLERONTHEROOF, who carries 11st 9lbs.
A decent rest is desirable. Horses returning within 25 days of their last run have not won any of their 36 attempts. BUSSELTON last ran 66 days ago, OUR POWER 28 days ago.
Favourites have a good record with 3 winners from 8 runners.  
Horses bred in Ireland have the best record with 6 from 98 runners. FIDDLERONTHEROOF and OUR POWER are bred in Ireland.

5yo selections
Lucky 15 in bold
Doncaster 0.05 Old Page 66.00 Newcastle 0.30 Twoshotsoftequila 8.00 Newcastle 1.00 Imperial B G 6.00 Bangor-on-Dee 1.28 Lounge Lizard 4.00 Newcastle 1.35 Shantou Lucky 3.00 Newbury 1.55 Walking On Air 3.50 Newcastle 2.10 Constitution Hill 0.29 Wolverhampton 6.50 Visibility 18.00 Wolverhampton 7.50 Captain Claret 25.00

155 newb 
West balboa   8.7 7/2 
Lord baddesley   8.4 7/1 
Red risk   7.9  50/1  
Red risk is out of form ....has possible ew chance if could get things together but top 2 look strong so I'll try 7pts win West...3pts win lord 
Doubles on top 2 in all 3 races  .

Coral gold cup 
Le milos    9.0 9.2 betfair 
Fiddleronroof  8.8 11.5 
Fanion destruval   8.4 25/1 
Gericault roque    8.3  
5pt wins top 3 and 6x rev forecasts top 3 

155 newb 
West balboa   8.7 7/2 
Lord baddesley   8.4 7/1 
Red risk   7.9  50/1  
Red risk is out of form ....has possible ew chance if could get things together but top 2 look strong so I'll try 7pts win West...3pts win lord 
Doubles on top 2 in all 3 races  .

120 newb 
Zanza    8.5  6/1 
Demachine  8.3  7/1 
Kitty's light   8.1 25/1 
Kapcourse 7.9 
Close race .....any one of these 4 could be a potential winner .....kitty's light has a, definate squeak at a big price so I'll try 5pt wins top 3 and hope kitty pulls something on the day 

Coral gold cup 
Le milos    9.0 9.2 betfair 
Fiddleronroof  8.8 11.5 
Fanion destruval   8.4 25/1 
Gericault roque    8.3  
5pt wins top 3 and 6x rev forecasts top 3 

155 newb 
West balboa   8.7 7/2 
Lord baddesley   8.4 7/1 
Red risk   7.9  50/1  
Red risk is out of form ....has possible ew chance if could get things together but top 2 look strong so I'll try 7pts win West...3pts win lord 
Doubles on top 2 in all 3 races  .

120 newb 
Zanza    8.5  6/1 
Demachine  8.3  7/1 
Kitty's light   8.1 25/1 
Kapcourse 7.9 
Close race .....any one of these 4 could be a potential winner .....kitty's light has a, definate squeak at a big price so I'll try 5pt wins top 3 and hope kitty pulls something on the day 

Doncaster. 
Single. 
3.32. Mr Barrowclough        12/1      1st 
Good luck all. 

155 newb 
West balboa   8.7 7/2 
Lord baddesley   8.4 7/1 
Red risk   7.9  50/1  
Red risk is out of form ....has possible ew chance if could get things together but top 2 look strong so I'll try 7pts win West...3pts win lord 
Doubles on top 2 in all 3 races  .

120 newb 
Zanza    8.5  6/1 
Demachine  8.3  7/1 
Kitty's light   8.1 25/1 
Kapcourse 7.9 
Close race .....any one of these 4 could be a potential winner .....kitty's light has a, definate squeak at a big price so I'll try 5pt wins top 3 and hope kitty pulls something on the day 

Coral gold cup 
Le milos    9.0 9.2 betfair 
Fiddleronroof  8.8 11.5 
Fanion destruval   8.4 25/1 
Gericault roque    8.3  
5pt wins top 3 and 6x rev forecasts top 3 

Coral gold cup 
Le milos    9.0 9.2 betfair 
Fiddleronroof  8.8 11.5 
Fanion destruval   8.4 25/1 
Gericault roque    8.3  
5pt wins top 3 and 6x rev forecasts top 3 

120 newb 
Zanza    8.5  6/1 
Demachine  8.3  7/1 
Kitty's light   8.1 25/1 
Kapcourse 7.9 
Close race .....any one of these 4 could be a potential winner .....kitty's light has a, definate squeak at a big price so I'll try 5pt wins top 3 and hope kitty pulls something on the day 

155 newb 
West balboa   8.7 7/2 
Lord baddesley   8.4 7/1 
Red risk   7.9  50/1  
Red risk is out of form ....has possible ew chance if could get things together but top 2 look strong so I'll try 7pts win West...3pts win lord 
Doubles on top 2 in all 3 races  .

. 3.05 New-Remastered 15/2-5Places 1.20 New-Cap Du Nord 8/1-4 Places 3.40 New- Monsieur  Lecoq 8/1-3Places 1.55 New-Petit Tonnerre14/1- 4Places E/W Lucky 15  BOG   120 New -Cap Du Nord-Zanza-Kittys Light -Combi RFC & Tricast 3.05 New-Remastered-Oscar Elite-Gericult Rouge-Combi RFC & Combi Tricast  

Coral gold cup 
Le milos    9.0 9.2 betfair 
Fiddleronroof  8.8 11.5 
Fanion destruval   8.4 25/1 
Gericault roque    8.3  
5pt wins top 3 and 6x rev forecasts top 3