richard-westwood

2nd and 4th ....both placed ...ew money ...might of gained couple points 

Collingham wins ....on the scoreboard...returns around 54.00 

2nd and 4th ....both placed ...ew money ...might of gained couple points 

Collingham wins ....on the scoreboard...returns around 54.00 

2pt e/w 2.03 MUSS- THE WOLF 15/2 4places bog
1pt e/w 2.55 SD- DOLPHIN SQUARE 25/1 4places bog
1pt e/w 3.16 MUSS;CAMPROND 14/1 3places bog
0.5 e/w 3.30 SD-KATO  RIKO 40/1 not  bog 5places
9pts staked

316 muss 
Nayati    7.8  4/1 
Collingham  7.5  15/2 
10pt win nayati  5pt ew Collingham  

330 sand 
Laskalin  8.5 9/2 
Celebre dallen   8.1  14/1 
Eva's oskar    8.0 
I'll try 5pt ew top 2 

I've been enjoying the grandad system this week but it's flawed in 2 ways ...if there's a really easy winner lto in race the system will never pick it and it doesn't take into account race conditions so last race could be 5f soft ...today 7f good and it would still be a bet ....OK for a bit of fun but time to get back to making money ? holiday 2024 needs donations ?
255 sand 
Flight deck  8.5 15/2 
Dolphin Square   8.2  25/1 
Remastered   8.0 
Hard to know how good remastered will be over hurdles ...he's probably a better chaser ....I'll try the proven top 2 ....5pt ew both ....and forcasts top 3 

316 muss 
Nayati    7.8  4/1 
Collingham  7.5  15/2 
10pt win nayati  5pt ew Collingham  

340 leop 
Maxxum    8.4  2/1 
lucky max    8.1 20/1 
10pt win maxxum... 1pt ew lucky 

I do fancy quite a lot of the favourites in today's AW racing but here's a few at bigger odds that might cause an upset or just taking on short priced favourites - prices bet365
Ling 1.16 - Fox Vision 7/2 has a chance against the well odd-on hotpot
Ling 1.51 - Starsong at 9/1 - EW shot
Kemp 6.30 - Fayasal 10/1 - EW shot
Kemp 7.00 - Chola Empire 5/2 has a chance to beat the odds on Fav
Kemp 7.30 - Girlswannahavefun  7/1 - EW shot
Kemp 8.00 - Rockabill Angel 6/1 - maybe one for EW doubles or accas

340 leop 
Maxxum    8.4  2/1 
lucky max    8.1 20/1 
10pt win maxxum... 1pt ew lucky 

330 sand 
Laskalin  8.5 9/2 
Celebre dallen   8.1  14/1 
Eva's oskar    8.0 
I'll try 5pt ew top 2 

330 sand 
Laskalin  8.5 9/2 
Celebre dallen   8.1  14/1 
Eva's oskar    8.0 
I'll try 5pt ew top 2 

730 kemp
Ignac lamar 8.0 9/2 
Daytona lady 7.8 14/1 
5pt ew both 
 

I've been enjoying the grandad system this week but it's flawed in 2 ways ...if there's a really easy winner lto in race the system will never pick it and it doesn't take into account race conditions so last race could be 5f soft ...today 7f good and it would still be a bet ....OK for a bit of fun but time to get back to making money ? holiday 2024 needs donations ?
255 sand 
Flight deck  8.5 15/2 
Dolphin Square   8.2  25/1 
Remastered   8.0 
Hard to know how good remastered will be over hurdles ...he's probably a better chaser ....I'll try the proven top 2 ....5pt ew both ....and forcasts top 3 

730 kemp
Ignac lamar 8.0 9/2 
Daytona lady 7.8 14/1 
5pt ew both 
 

I've been enjoying the grandad system this week but it's flawed in 2 ways ...if there's a really easy winner lto in race the system will never pick it and it doesn't take into account race conditions so last race could be 5f soft ...today 7f good and it would still be a bet ....OK for a bit of fun but time to get back to making money ? holiday 2024 needs donations ?
255 sand 
Flight deck  8.5 15/2 
Dolphin Square   8.2  25/1 
Remastered   8.0 
Hard to know how good remastered will be over hurdles ...he's probably a better chaser ....I'll try the proven top 2 ....5pt ew both ....and forcasts top 3 

The big betting race this Saturday is the Virgin Bet Heroes Handicap Hurdle at Sandown. This premier handicap is run over 2 miles 7 furlongs and 98 yards and is open to horses aged 4 years or older.
15 go to post and the off time is 2.55.
Topofthegame won this in 2018 before going on to win at that year’s Cheltenham festival.
Some bookmakers offer each-way terms of 5 places which makes the race a good betting proposition.
The race was abandoned in 2012, 2013 and 2014 due to the weather and there was no race in 2021 so there is a smaller size of data than the ideal but I'll have a bash anyway.
 
I have looked at the statistics for this race and these are my key conclusions.
1.       Those horses carrying lighter loads have a good record. Horses carrying less than 10st 11lbs have won 6 times from 50 attempts with a level stakes profit of £15. Their heavier opposition have a record of 1 win from 52 attempts with a loss of £46.
2.       It is better to side with experienced horses. Those horses that have had more than 13 runs have produced 4 wins from 24 runs and a profit of £24. Their less experienced competitors have 3 wins from 78 runs and a loss of £55.
3.       Outsiders have a poor record in this race. There have been 52 horses with forecast odds higher than 11/1 and all have lost.
4.       It is best to sidestep those horses with obvious from. Horses that have had more than 3 wins in their last 10 runs have produced 0 wins from 7 runs. Having said that, there should be some evidence that a horse has winning form, there have been 11 horses with 0 wins in their last 10 runs and they have all lost.
 
There are 2 horses that match these criteria.
COQUELICOT – available at 10/1 with William Hill, 5 places.
GREEN BOOK – available at 8/1 with BET365, 4 places. Green Book won this last year under the same jockey.

730 kemp
Ignac lamar 8.0 9/2 
Daytona lady 7.8 14/1 
5pt ew both 
 

I've been enjoying the grandad system this week but it's flawed in 2 ways ...if there's a really easy winner lto in race the system will never pick it and it doesn't take into account race conditions so last race could be 5f soft ...today 7f good and it would still be a bet ....OK for a bit of fun but time to get back to making money ? holiday 2024 needs donations ?
255 sand 
Flight deck  8.5 15/2 
Dolphin Square   8.2  25/1 
Remastered   8.0 
Hard to know how good remastered will be over hurdles ...he's probably a better chaser ....I'll try the proven top 2 ....5pt ew both ....and forcasts top 3 

I've been enjoying the grandad system this week but it's flawed in 2 ways ...if there's a really easy winner lto in race the system will never pick it and it doesn't take into account race conditions so last race could be 5f soft ...today 7f good and it would still be a bet ....OK for a bit of fun but time to get back to making money ? holiday 2024 needs donations ?
255 sand 
Flight deck  8.5 15/2 
Dolphin Square   8.2  25/1 
Remastered   8.0 
Hard to know how good remastered will be over hurdles ...he's probably a better chaser ....I'll try the proven top 2 ....5pt ew both ....and forcasts top 3 

730 kemp
Ignac lamar 8.0 9/2 
Daytona lady 7.8 14/1 
5pt ew both 
 

730 kemp
Ignac lamar 8.0 9/2 
Daytona lady 7.8 14/1 
5pt ew both 
 

I've been enjoying the grandad system this week but it's flawed in 2 ways ...if there's a really easy winner lto in race the system will never pick it and it doesn't take into account race conditions so last race could be 5f soft ...today 7f good and it would still be a bet ....OK for a bit of fun but time to get back to making money ? holiday 2024 needs donations ?
255 sand 
Flight deck  8.5 15/2 
Dolphin Square   8.2  25/1 
Remastered   8.0 
Hard to know how good remastered will be over hurdles ...he's probably a better chaser ....I'll try the proven top 2 ....5pt ew both ....and forcasts top 3