richard-westwood

Non runner ....Gainsborough went on to win ....improver type according to class 

3pts e/w 1.40 GW- LORD  RIDDIFORD 13/2 bog corals  =  6pts invested
Wins 8/1  27pts returned

Thought Kauto The King was a touch unlucky there to have his momentum stopped by being cut off by other horses bypassing the second last . May not have won but found himself in a bad position there. My selection Fat Sam fell and I’m not surprised , his jumping was very erratic from the first fence onwards. Looked a bad fall but horse/jockey ok .

Well tbh I rated on good sft as the going stick was 6.6 but if it rains considerably more it'll ho soft ...I'm hoping it dries a little ... goodwood is usually good ground normally 
I think with Lord riddiford ...he's 8 which is negative....and his recent runs are nothing to write home ......he could bounce back of course ....but that's why he will rate low 
He's been backed I see so good luck 👍 

@The Equaliser
450 ayr 
Bulls,aye 8.0 12 10 15 
Cant stop now  7.9 12 14 20 
Chinese spirit  7 .6 15 14 15 
Very trapped race ...can't stop now has the highest class rating on most recent flat start but has running over jumps so can't rate on recent form .....its too open for me 
 

Non runner ....Gainsborough went on to win ....improver type according to class 

@The Equaliser
450 ayr 
Bulls,aye 8.0 12 10 15 
Cant stop now  7.9 12 14 20 
Chinese spirit  7 .6 15 14 15 
Very trapped race ...can't stop now has the highest class rating on most recent flat start but has running over jumps so can't rate on recent form .....its too open for me 
 

@The Equaliser
450 ayr 
Bulls,aye 8.0 12 10 15 
Cant stop now  7.9 12 14 20 
Chinese spirit  7 .6 15 14 15 
Very trapped race ...can't stop now has the highest class rating on most recent flat start but has running over jumps so can't rate on recent form .....its too open for me 
 

340 ayr 
Novak   8.0 19 20 22+
Classy Al   7.7 20 20 15 
Gainsborough   7.4  10 14 19 
I'll try 5pt win Novak  4.2 betfair ..overall he looks,strongest of 3 and looks at home in grade 

340 ayr 
Novak   8.0 19 20 22+
Classy Al   7.7 20 20 15 
Gainsborough   7.4  10 14 19 
I'll try 5pt win Novak  4.2 betfair ..overall he looks,strongest of 3 and looks at home in grade 

340 ayr 
Novak   8.0 19 20 22+
Classy Al   7.7 20 20 15 
Gainsborough   7.4  10 14 19 
I'll try 5pt win Novak  4.2 betfair ..overall he looks,strongest of 3 and looks at home in grade 

Well tbh I rated on good sft as the going stick was 6.6 but if it rains considerably more it'll ho soft ...I'm hoping it dries a little ... goodwood is usually good ground normally 
I think with Lord riddiford ...he's 8 which is negative....and his recent runs are nothing to write home ......he could bounce back of course ....but that's why he will rate low 
He's been backed I see so good luck 👍 

Well tbh I rated on good sft as the going stick was 6.6 but if it rains considerably more it'll ho soft ...I'm hoping it dries a little ... goodwood is usually good ground normally 
I think with Lord riddiford ...he's 8 which is negative....and his recent runs are nothing to write home ......he could bounce back of course ....but that's why he will rate low 
He's been backed I see so good luck 👍 

140 good 
Raasel  8.7  5/1   112 74 96 
Vintage clarets   8.5 7/1  43 60 98
Dream composer   8.1  89 69 93 
Acklam express    7.9 67 65 57 
Acklam fails on class .....top 3 can be competitive in this class but top 2 are stronger ....raasel has 2 runs well in this class and vintage looks to be improving fast 
5pt wins top 2 

140 good 
Raasel  8.7  5/1   112 74 96 
Vintage clarets   8.5 7/1  43 60 98
Dream composer   8.1  89 69 93 
Acklam express    7.9 67 65 57 
Acklam fails on class .....top 3 can be competitive in this class but top 2 are stronger ....raasel has 2 runs well in this class and vintage looks to be improving fast 
5pt wins top 2 

For instance on the class rating ...this is the first race that has come off its the Lennox stakes Tuesday 
Al suhail    9.0  100 116 112 
Kinross   8.9 116 112 98 
Isaacs shelby    8.5   77 116 112 
Audience   8.2 28 54 74 
See on ratings alone it looks more open but audience is taking on much better opposition here so although he looks an improver I'd scrub him ........so I've narrowed it to top 3 so far ....it looks close between top 3 on class but Al suhail and Kinross look the strongest bets to me at the moment .....
A look at betting now shows all 3 are top 3 in betting ...with Kinross 13/8 fav ......I don't think he warrants that price given the ratings and class .....overall I think Al suhail 15/2  ew is the value bet 🤔 maybe ....but you can see any of the 3 is capable at this class 
I'll try 5pt ew all suhail ....only will hill go 15/2 .....paddy are 7/2!! So I think he will shorten 

For instance on the class rating ...this is the first race that has come off its the Lennox stakes Tuesday 
Al suhail    9.0  100 116 112 
Kinross   8.9 116 112 98 
Isaacs shelby    8.5   77 116 112 
Audience   8.2 28 54 74 
See on ratings alone it looks more open but audience is taking on much better opposition here so although he looks an improver I'd scrub him ........so I've narrowed it to top 3 so far ....it looks close between top 3 on class but Al suhail and Kinross look the strongest bets to me at the moment .....
A look at betting now shows all 3 are top 3 in betting ...with Kinross 13/8 fav ......I don't think he warrants that price given the ratings and class .....overall I think Al suhail 15/2  ew is the value bet 🤔 maybe ....but you can see any of the 3 is capable at this class 
I'll try 5pt ew all suhail ....only will hill go 15/2 .....paddy are 7/2!! So I think he will shorten 

Newton Abbot 
2.45 Jony Max 11/4 bog 
3.55 Fat Sam 5/2 bog 
4.30 Eritage 13/2 
5 points win all 3 

I have tried this angle a good few times over the years and always concluded it was detrimental to my existing system/s (it seemed to take out the possible "improvers") but i wish you well in this endeavour.

For instance on the class rating ...this is the first race that has come off its the Lennox stakes Tuesday 
Al suhail    9.0  100 116 112 
Kinross   8.9 116 112 98 
Isaacs shelby    8.5   77 116 112 
Audience   8.2 28 54 74 
See on ratings alone it looks more open but audience is taking on much better opposition here so although he looks an improver I'd scrub him ........so I've narrowed it to top 3 so far ....it looks close between top 3 on class but Al suhail and Kinross look the strongest bets to me at the moment .....
A look at betting now shows all 3 are top 3 in betting ...with Kinross 13/8 fav ......I don't think he warrants that price given the ratings and class .....overall I think Al suhail 15/2  ew is the value bet 🤔 maybe ....but you can see any of the 3 is capable at this class 

I think no matter how good you get the ratings and yours are very good, you will always have races where they are just way off for that particular race on that day, especially handicaps . I’ve started using a -minus and a + plus in my ratings to separate horses that have say both won a class 2 for example. It’s not hard to notice that some class 2s are far weaker than others and a quick look at the prize money and the calibre of horses in the race shows you that. 

They shoukd have run better than that ....races like that do my head in ......but it happens I think sometimes the racing gods have a laugh 😃. 
I'm just putting the finishing touches to class rating .....I want to narrow the bets to 1 or 2 from top 4 so I'm programming the computer to give me a class rating for each of  last 3 runs so it will hopefully come out like this 
Horse,a   9.0    41 39 38.5 
Horse b 8.8   36  34 34 
Horse c 8.7  31 27 30 
Horse d 8.5   33 32 34 
As you can see in this case Horse a woukd warrant a bigger bet with b and d as dangers . .  Its a work in progress but it shoukd help in long run hopefully 🙏 

They shoukd have run better than that ....races like that do my head in ......but it happens I think sometimes the racing gods have a laugh 😃. 
I'm just putting the finishing touches to class rating .....I want to narrow the bets to 1 or 2 from top 4 so I'm programming the computer to give me a class rating for each of  last 3 runs so it will hopefully come out like this 
Horse,a   9.0    41 39 38.5 
Horse b 8.8   36  34 34 
Horse c 8.7  31 27 30 
Horse d 8.5   33 32 34 
As you can see in this case Horse a woukd warrant a bigger bet with b and d as dangers . .  Its a work in progress but it shoukd help in long run hopefully 🙏 

Oh wow ....what a crap race ....head scratcher 

3.10 Uttoxeter Court Master 5/1 bog 2nd
3.45 Uttoxeter Polish 4/1 2nd 
5 points win each 
 
P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +100.19