richard-westwood

Great st wilfred 
Monsieur kodi 9.0 33 60 66
Summerghand   8.9  92 55 93 
Sophias starlight 8.7 30 38 40 
Witch hunter  8.3  55 69 57 
Equilateral   8.3  67 90 67 
@black rabbitEquilateral is joint 5th only reasons I can see why lower is he prefers g/f and vast majority of best form at 5f .....one to watch if he's showing good form but for me it's top 3 ew 

Top 2 are 1st and 2nd In betting ....I'll go 5pt ew top 3 8/1 10/1 14/1 

Top 2 are 1st and 2nd In betting ....I'll go 5pt ew top 3 8/1 10/1 14/1 

Great st wilfred 
Monsieur kodi 9.0 33 60 66
Summerghand   8.9  92 55 93 
Sophias starlight 8.7 30 38 40 
Witch hunter  8.3  55 69 57 
Equilateral   8.3  67 90 67 
@black rabbitEquilateral is joint 5th only reasons I can see why lower is he prefers g/f and vast majority of best form at 5f .....one to watch if he's showing good form but for me it's top 3 ew 

Great st wilfred 
Monsieur kodi 9.0 33 60 66
Summerghand   8.9  92 55 93 
Sophias starlight 8.7 30 38 40 
Witch hunter  8.3  55 69 57 
Equilateral   8.3  67 90 67 
@black rabbitEquilateral is joint 5th only reasons I can see why lower is he prefers g/f and vast majority of best form at 5f .....one to watch if he's showing good form but for me it's top 3 ew 

I've just started on it ....shoukd be finished by teatime lol 😆 

I wouldn't take much notice of what the Racing Post and ATR say about the going on French tracks they are way off most of the time often saying its much softer than it actually is. Deauville was good ground on Sunday and i believe there has been a couple of light showers since then.
As for pace in race's, you're right you don't see many mention it. I like to look at pace to try predict how a race will unfold but it often doesn't work out how you think.
This race 325 Deauville, Sivka Burka looks like the only front runner and could get easy enough time in front but she is up to a mile for first time. If Sivka Burka doesn't see out the extra furlong you have to like Fancy Me to reverse the form from lto. Also I like Elounda Queen if theres enough pace to run at, she has been held up/slow away last twice and rattled home just beaten a nose lto.
Value has to be Fancy Me @ 16/1
 

325 deaville
Change of tack today ....been playing with my speed pars of late with some success behind the scenes ......I noted this race as being sub standard on the whole ......with only sivka burka 13/2 ....and fancy me 12/1 even coming within a stones throw of the par so I'll try a,speculative 5pt ew both and see what happens later 😃

325 deaville
Change of tack today ....been playing with my speed pars of late with some success behind the scenes ......I noted this race as being sub standard on the whole ......with only sivka burka 13/2 ....and fancy me 12/1 even coming within a stones throw of the par so I'll try a,speculative 5pt ew both and see what happens later 😃

325 deaville
Change of tack today ....been playing with my speed pars of late with some success behind the scenes ......I noted this race as being sub standard on the whole ......with only sivka burka 13/2 ....and fancy me 12/1 even coming within a stones throw of the par so I'll try a,speculative 5pt ew both and see what happens later 😃

325 deaville
Change of tack today ....been playing with my speed pars of late with some success behind the scenes ......I noted this race as being sub standard on the whole ......with only sivka burka 13/2 ....and fancy me 12/1 even coming within a stones throw of the par so I'll try a,speculative 5pt ew both and see what happens later 😃

325 deaville
Change of tack today ....been playing with my speed pars of late with some success behind the scenes ......I noted this race as being sub standard on the whole ......with only sivka burka 13/2 ....and fancy me 12/1 even coming within a stones throw of the par so I'll try a,speculative 5pt ew both and see what happens later 😃

325 deaville
Change of tack today ....been playing with my speed pars of late with some success behind the scenes ......I noted this race as being sub standard on the whole ......with only sivka burka 13/2 ....and fancy me 12/1 even coming within a stones throw of the par so I'll try a,speculative 5pt ew both and see what happens later 😃

I'm not sure I like these Shergar Cup meetings they seem to be a bit like Racing League crap

Well that was annoying joke race ....how did bond finish 12 lengths behind intrinsic ????....I hate races like that 😒 

Well that was annoying joke race ....how did bond finish 12 lengths behind intrinsic ????....I hate races like that 😒 

Usually I rate the races and check betting etc .....if there are hardly any differences between the top 4 or 5 and they aren't that far in front of the next horses I'll pass on the race .....I'm usually looking for races where the top 2 or 3 are considerably ahead of the next horses then I can check betting and see which horses are value......if the betting is all cramped like the top 3 are 4/1 and under ....again I'll probably pass because price doesn't outweigh risk .....you are looking for strong rating and good price 

Usually I rate the races and check betting etc .....if there are hardly any differences between the top 4 or 5 and they aren't that far in front of the next horses I'll pass on the race .....I'm usually looking for races where the top 2 or 3 are considerably ahead of the next horses then I can check betting and see which horses are value......if the betting is all cramped like the top 3 are 4/1 and under ....again I'll probably pass because price doesn't outweigh risk .....you are looking for strong rating and good price 

Usually I rate the races and check betting etc .....if there are hardly any differences between the top 4 or 5 and they aren't that far in front of the next horses I'll pass on the race .....I'm usually looking for races where the top 2 or 3 are considerably ahead of the next horses then I can check betting and see which horses are value......if the betting is all cramped like the top 3 are 4/1 and under ....again I'll probably pass because price doesn't outweigh risk .....you are looking for strong rating and good price 

Struggling to find any bets this week ....I've rated about 6 races but all too messy until this race finally popped up 
320 ascot  mile 
Wizard of eye  9.0 12/1 74 62 64 
Perotto   8.8  5/2  89 68 63 
Escobar   8.7  15/2  55 80 61 
Not much in it at top but I think this hinges on perotto.....wizard of eye beat perotto 1/4 length ...4 lengths behind johan which is solid form .....wizard is 3lb better off saturday yet is 12/1? ....strange ?....escobar missed the break   last time but is one of those horses that just pops up from time to time and again he's 3 x price of fav ......Add to that perotto was ridden by Ryan Moore lto and is ridden by some random jockey saturday and the prices of the other 2 suddenly look great value ....as I can't find many bets I like I'll try 10pt wins wizard and escobar and hope for a bit of luck on day 
10pt wins escobar and wizard of eye 15/2 and 12/1 
 

Changed win bets to 10pts because only 2 races I can find so may as,well go for it 

135 ascot 
 
Existent  8.7  11/2  
Bond chairman  8.5 13/2 
Intrinsic bond 8.2 
Iike the other race....Can't understand why intrinsic bond is shorter than bond chairman when he's 8lb better off over their last run together .....Existent will like conditions and tom marquand takes the ride ....he's also on wizard later so that's screaming ew double to me 
5pt wins top 2 
5pt ew double Existent and wizard of eye 

135 ascot 
 
Existent  8.7  11/2  
Bond chairman  8.5 13/2 
Intrinsic bond 8.2 
Iike the other race....Can't understand why intrinsic bond is shorter than bond chairman when he's 8lb better off over their last run together .....Existent will like conditions and tom marquand takes the ride ....he's also on wizard later so that's screaming ew double to me 
5pt wins top 2 
5pt ew double Existent and wizard of eye 

4 winners at 12/1, 10/1, 9/2 and 4/1 for a level stakes profit of 14.5 points and a L15 profit of £10.80
Out £ 959.50
In £ 2,049.31
Profit £ 1,0989.81

Changed win bets to 10pts because only 2 races I can find so may as,well go for it