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buga00

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  1. Thanks
    buga00 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 28th - Mar 3rd   
  2. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 28th - Mar 3rd   
    Santa Clara - Porto  2 March  19:30h
     
    This could be a complicated trip, not only because it happens a few days after the elimination of FC Porto in the Europa League, but also because it involves a journey of several kilometers. Even so, the little consistency that Santa Clara has shown in more demanding games, given the superior individual and collective technical quality of the FC Porto team, should make the “dragons” manage to leave the island of São Miguel with three points very important in the fight for the title, with greater or lesser difficulty associated
     
    Porto to win @1,55  5 pts   (1xbet)
    Porto -1 @1.92 4 pts (1xbet)
  3. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 28th - Mar 3rd   
    Benfica - Moreirense  2 March  20.45h
    It will be a game in which the achievement of the three points will be fundamental for Benfica, in order to maintain the leadership or take advantage of the eventual slip of FC Porto in the visit to the Azores. Bruno Lage's team, however, has been very inconsistent in defensive terms and, faced with a confident Moreirense who plays interesting football with the new coach, the red defense is expected to go through some difficulties again, gaining interest, therefore, the option for Moreirense goal. 
    BTTS yes @2.19  3 pts     /1xbet)
    Benfica -1,5  @1,60 4 pts  (1xbet)
    Benfica -2 @1,99 3 pts  (1xbet)
  4. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > February 25th   
    Saturday was all about getting the value without getting paid out. The 4 singles all failed to win although the treble just about made it over the line to get some cash back. I have two bets for tonight with both looking likely to beat the weather.
    AFC Fylde v Notts County
    Fylde have a good team, but for whatever reason it isn't clicking on the pitch. They might have reached the quarter-final of the FA Trophy, but they are looking destined for the drop unless they can go on a run. I wouldn't rule that out given the quality in the team, but they need to start picking up 3 points fast. They took the lead at Dover on Saturday only to go and lose 5-1 in a terrible performance. They haven't won in the league since they beat Wrexham on November 26th and that has led them to become 9 points from safety. I can't believe Notts County are the outsiders here. They weren't great on Saturday either and the two goals they gave away were avoidable. Interestingly they have won all 3 midweek games that have been away this season and they have all come on the back of a defeat which shows the players are good at reacting to a loss. I would make them favourites for this so the 9/5 makes plenty of appeal.
    Chippenham v Concord Rangers
    No surprise to me that Mike Cook has improved Chippenham's form given he did a similar thing at Gloucester last season. Take out the 5-1 loss to Dartford and they have done well having lost just one other game, at Welling on Saturday, in their last 7. Concord on the other hand have not won in 6 league games now and I think their FA Trophy run has been a bit of a distraction. I certainly think it will be tonight given they have a massive chance of getting to the semi-finals given they play Royston from the level below on Saturday. That game is surely the priority over this one and I think Chippenham are capable of taking advantage of that. 13/8 seems a good price about a home win for me.
    Notts County 2pts @ 9/5 with Bet365
    Chippenham 2pts @ 13/8 with William Hill and BetVictor
  5. Like
    buga00 reacted to StevieDay1983 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 21st - 24th   
    Here are the latest odds and ratings for the Portuguese Primeira Liga matches coming up. Tell us what predictions you have for these games! @buga00, keen to hear your expert opinion mate! 
  6. Like
    buga00 reacted to StevieDay1983 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 21st - 24th   
    Gil Vicente vs Benfica
    The Portuguese action extends into the Monday for this weekend's round of games. I'm focusing on Gil Vicente versus Benfica in a 7:30pm GMT kick-off at the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos. The home side are simply looking to consolidate their place in the middle of the table after earning promotion last season and the away side are locked firmly in a two horse race for the title with rivals Porto.
    Gil Vicente fans will be happy if their team can just stay up this season. As it stands, Vitor Oliveira's men are doing just that in 11th place and 11 points clear of the relegation zone. Relegation does seem a very unlikely outcome but they'll relish the big games like this because that's what plying Primeira Liga football is all about. Just 1 defeat from their 10 league games at home is a decent return for a newly promoted side. Inconsistent form recently has stunted their progress but they'll just be keen to be competitive here and hold out for as long as possible.
    Benfica know a win will take them back to the top of the table. Manager Bruno Lage's side are 2 points behind current league leaders Porto but possess a game in hand. Benfica have won 9 of their 10 away league games this season so they'll feel they can and should take all 3 points from this game. The only issue being is that they've suffered back-to-back defeats. Granted, those losses came away to Porto and at home to Braga but how much will it have affected them mentally? Is the pressure getting to the players?
    I think this game is done and dusted. Lage will be demanding a return to form after the two losses in the league to get their title aspirations back on track. I can see a more assured defensive display after a jittery pair of performances. Will we see goals galore? I don't think so. Gil Vicente have shown they are tough to break down at home so they'll make it difficult but the away side will just have too much quality and will be keen to make a point.
    Benfica to Win to Nil @ 2.63 with Unibet
    Benfica HT/FT @ 2.38 with Boylesports

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  7. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > February 22nd   
    Weather could have a say yet again tomorrow so will be brief with these. There are 4 big price singles plus a treble.
    Torquay v Halifax
    Don't get why Torquay are being so well backed here against a bang in form Halifax side. Unbeaten in 7 in the league, whilst Torquay have only won twice in 10. Torquay have not played since Feburary 1st either so could easily be ring rusty going into this game. Given Halifax are 3rd and looking strong for a play-off place and they are playing Torquay who are only 5 points clear of the relegation zone. 3/1 on away win is a huge price.
    Chester v Brackley
    Another baffling price change as somehow Brackley are favourites to win at Chester. This is a Chester side who have only lost twice at home all season and won 10 times and beat leaders Kings Lynn on Tuesday. Brackley haven't won in 5 now and when I saw the prices I thought Brackley were at home. Chester at 21/10 is huge and for me the prices are the wrong way round.
    Chelmsford v Slough
    Taking advantage of another massive drift as Slough are over 2/1 to beat Chelmsford having been as short at 11/10. Chelmsford managed to beat Tonbridge on Monday, but it was a poor game that could have gone either way. They still look a poor side low on confidence to me and Slough are 2nd having lost just twice in their last 10 games. They look a big price as I would have them as favourites.
    Salisbury v Hendon
    Happy to take a chance on Hendon here as they have won 6 on the bounce now and Salisbury have only managed to beat Dorchester in their last 5 games. Don't think there is much between these sides so 3/1 on an away win is big.
    Treble
    Basford host Atherton who had to postpone a game in the week because an outbreak of mumps went through the side. Every chance they will be weakened here in what is already a very tough game for them anyway. Royston should beat a Hednesford side who are dropping off big time and in the same division Tamworth should outclass Biggleswade. The treble is 2.7/1 with Marathon.
    Halifax 2pts @ 3/1 with Betway
    Chester 2.5pts @ 21/10 with Bet365, William Hill and BetVictor
    Slough 1pt @ 21/10 with BetVictor
    Hendon 1pt @ 3/1 with BetVictor
    Basford/Royston/Tamworth 1pt Treble @ 2.7/1 with Marathon
  8. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 14th - 16th   
    Famalicao - Aves  -  16  February   20.00h
    This will be a match with a strong tendency to have some goals, this is because Famalicão and Aves will have no reason to settle for the draw and, after the most recent bad results, will want to give a positive answer, going in search of winning the three points.
    Especially playing at home, Famalicao team always tries to win and play well, which makes Famalicão closer to the goal, but also to suffer. In the face of a very afflicted Aves, who make frequent mistakes defensively, but with some offensive quality, a game with dynamic high is expected.
    Aves are with finantials problems , players don´t receive 2 months , could be or not a decisiv factor to tje result of this game.
     
    Famalicao to win @ 1.57   4 pts 
    Famalicao t -1      @ 1.90   3 pts 
    over 2,5 goals     @ 2.5     4 pts
  9. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 14th - 16th   
    Guimaraes - Porto 16 February 17:30h
     
    Guimaraes were brilliant in the last weekend against Famalicao, but this is likely to be a very different affair as Porto are significantly stronger. At home Guimaraes have dropped points in half of their home matches, while Porto have won 70% of their away games.
    The visitors will be keen to put even more pressure on leaders Benfica, and i expect that they will be back with the maximum points from this clash. 
     My emotional tip : Porto to win @2.00   3 pts
    My tip for punterslounge users : BTTS @ 1.83  2 pts
    I´m also with @StevieDay1983 on Boavista  victory
     
     
  10. Like
    buga00 reacted to StevieDay1983 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 14th - 16th   
    Boavista vs Belenenses
    The Primeira Liga is throwing up some interesting matches this weekend. @buga00, your previews are greatly appreciated so please do keep them coming. Even if the teams can let us down now and again there's no substitute for a knowledgeable head in this section. I'm going to offer my two cents now on the match between Boavista and Belenenses that's scheduled to kick-off at 3pm GMT at the Estadio do Bessa.
    Boavista are currently in 9th place in the league table and hopes of qualifying for Europe are slowing starting to slip away. Head coach Daniel Ramos will hope his team can put together a run of results and close the 8 point gap between themselves and the Europa League qualification spots but it's a tall order. Three wins on the bounces shows they're willing to give it a go but is it too little too late? Only 3 wins from their 10 home league games is proof that their home form needs to improve so bagging a win here could go a long way to helping their efforts.
    Belenenses come into this game down in 15th place and this season is now all about survival. Only 3 points separate Petit's men from the drop zone and 6 defeats from their last 7 games has seen them go down a slippery slope. They visit Boavista knowing that they've only managed to earn 8 points on the road this season and it's a run of results that includes them losing their last three away games.
    I'm going to have to snap up the odds being offered on a Boavista win here. I am surprised they're not being offered at a shorter price. Is there any teams news that is influencing that price? The ELO ratings do favour the away side slightly in the performance aspect but it's not enough to make me want to back them to take anything from this game when Boavista are being offered so generously.
    Boavista to Win @ 1.95 with Betfair
    Total Goals Scored Under 1.5 @ 2.70 with BetVictor

    @betcatalog, @allthethings, @AHbettingPT, @Magic0024, @Odyssey, @Xcout, @GreatCaco, @btugero, @FAETTTON, @Sterphyle, @Apeyours. @ivanhoe. @InsyEnergy, @buga00, and @VYA.
  11. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 14th - 16th   
    Benfica - Braga 15 February 18:00h
    Considering the current situation of both teams in the classification and the fact that Benfica and Braga fell short of what was desired in the last round, this will be a match where only the three points should interest both teams. Facing the offensive quality recognized to both teams and the defensive permeability that has also characterized the recent times of Benfica and Braga, the perspective is that of a very well played game and with several goal opportunities from both sides.
    My emotional tip :                         Benfica to win @1.66   3 pts
    My tip for punterslounge users :   BTTS             @1.72 3 pts
                                                       over 2,5 goals @ 1.65 4 pts
     
  12. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 14th - 16th   
    Rio Ave - Sporting    15 February 20.30h
    Rio Ave and Sporting face at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, in a match for the 21 th round of the Primeira Liga. In the last head ‑ to ‑ head for this edition of the league, played on August 2019, Rio Ave won out by (2‑3 . The home advantage may play an important role in this match, since Rio Ave presents significant differences between home and away results.
    Rio Ave

    The home team is currently in the 5th position, with 32 points won, after 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. In two rounds ago, they drew at home against Famalicão by (2‑2). In the last, they won away against Aves by (0‑4).  Their offense has scored regularly, as they have managed to score in 8 of the last 10 games for this competition. In 20 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 8 times and never managed to get around the result.
    Rio Ave team is fighting for access to European competitions and reaches this 21st round at what is the best moment of the season. In 5th place, with the same 32 points from Famalicão, two from Braga and three from Sporting . 
    Sporting

    The visiting team is currently in 3rd position, with 35 points won, after 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate game, they lost against Braga by (1‑0). In the last game, they won at home against Portimonense by (2‑1).
    Sporting has had a very complicated season, considering its history, and comes to this journey already removed from the fight for places to access the Champions League. In 3rd position, Sporting isis only one point ahead of Braga,  they lost, away from home, two days ago, 1-0. In the last week, the “lions” benefited from the first slide of the Minho with Amorim, this because they won in the reception to Portimonense, by 2-1, with the right to turn around. Vietto suspended and Mathieu injured are out from this game.
    This has everything to be a game of great intensity, between two teams that have the objective of guaranteeing the direct qualification for the group stage of the next edition of the Europa League. Rio Ave is going through a beautiful moment of form and, at home, should create many difficulties for a Sporting that lacks defensive cohesion.
    As Sporting fan as i told to you the club is not so fine , the president make a war with supporters fan and i think Sporting will loose this game 
    Rio Ave had a solid performance against Aves and are enjoying the best moment of the season with four wins from the last five matches. Carlos Cavalhal's men will be full of confidence for Saturday.
    Sporting were able to snatch a narrow 2-1 win over Portimonense but they were far from impressive and will need to improve in order to bring points from Vila do Conde. Otherwise, they could drop to sixth place
     
    My emotional tip : Rio Ave to Win @2.60    2 pts  
    My tip for punterslounge users : Rio Ave handicap 0 @1,85    4 pts
  13. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 14th - 16th   
  14. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 14th - 16th   
  15. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from gg-77 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 14th - 16th   
    Rio Ave - Sporting    15 February 20.30h
    Rio Ave and Sporting face at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, in a match for the 21 th round of the Primeira Liga. In the last head ‑ to ‑ head for this edition of the league, played on August 2019, Rio Ave won out by (2‑3 . The home advantage may play an important role in this match, since Rio Ave presents significant differences between home and away results.
    Rio Ave

    The home team is currently in the 5th position, with 32 points won, after 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. In two rounds ago, they drew at home against Famalicão by (2‑2). In the last, they won away against Aves by (0‑4).  Their offense has scored regularly, as they have managed to score in 8 of the last 10 games for this competition. In 20 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 8 times and never managed to get around the result.
    Rio Ave team is fighting for access to European competitions and reaches this 21st round at what is the best moment of the season. In 5th place, with the same 32 points from Famalicão, two from Braga and three from Sporting . 
    Sporting

    The visiting team is currently in 3rd position, with 35 points won, after 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate game, they lost against Braga by (1‑0). In the last game, they won at home against Portimonense by (2‑1).
    Sporting has had a very complicated season, considering its history, and comes to this journey already removed from the fight for places to access the Champions League. In 3rd position, Sporting isis only one point ahead of Braga,  they lost, away from home, two days ago, 1-0. In the last week, the “lions” benefited from the first slide of the Minho with Amorim, this because they won in the reception to Portimonense, by 2-1, with the right to turn around. Vietto suspended and Mathieu injured are out from this game.
    This has everything to be a game of great intensity, between two teams that have the objective of guaranteeing the direct qualification for the group stage of the next edition of the Europa League. Rio Ave is going through a beautiful moment of form and, at home, should create many difficulties for a Sporting that lacks defensive cohesion.
    As Sporting fan as i told to you the club is not so fine , the president make a war with supporters fan and i think Sporting will loose this game 
    Rio Ave had a solid performance against Aves and are enjoying the best moment of the season with four wins from the last five matches. Carlos Cavalhal's men will be full of confidence for Saturday.
    Sporting were able to snatch a narrow 2-1 win over Portimonense but they were far from impressive and will need to improve in order to bring points from Vila do Conde. Otherwise, they could drop to sixth place
     
    My emotional tip : Rio Ave to Win @2.60    2 pts  
    My tip for punterslounge users : Rio Ave handicap 0 @1,85    4 pts
  16. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from gg-77 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 14th - 16th   
    Benfica - Braga 15 February 18:00h
    Considering the current situation of both teams in the classification and the fact that Benfica and Braga fell short of what was desired in the last round, this will be a match where only the three points should interest both teams. Facing the offensive quality recognized to both teams and the defensive permeability that has also characterized the recent times of Benfica and Braga, the perspective is that of a very well played game and with several goal opportunities from both sides.
    My emotional tip :                         Benfica to win @1.66   3 pts
    My tip for punterslounge users :   BTTS             @1.72 3 pts
                                                       over 2,5 goals @ 1.65 4 pts
     
  17. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > February 15th   
    Another good day last Saturday kept up the good record so far this month. As for tomorrow the weather is set to be pretty shocking and I suspect plenty of games will get called off. I have a shortlist of 6 teams, but I am going to just put 2 bets up for now as I think both of these games will go ahead. If any of the other 4 do go ahead I will add them tomorrow.
    Notts County v Woking
    County seem very confident this will go ahead and they are in very good form at the moment losing just one of their last 10 league games. They also had a good win last week in the FA Trophy beating Yeovil 2-1 despite having 10 men from just before half time and then 9 men for the last 20 minutes. Woking haven't played since the first day of the month, but their away form has been dreadful as they have lost 6 on the bounce conceding 18 and scoring just 4. County should be confident of picking up another 3 points here.
    Dorking v Chelmsford
    More than happy to oppose Chelmsford again who lost to Step 4 Aveley in the Trophy last week. They have struggled away from home all season anyway. Dorking also lost in the Trophy, but they were playing Fylde and gave it a good go. They are very good at home having lost just 3 games and with this match on a 3G pitch only the wind will stop it from being on. I would make them odds on so a shade of odds against looks a decent price.
    Notts County 2.5pts @ Evs with Bet365 and William Hill
    Dorking 2pts @ 21/20 with William Hill and BetVictor
  18. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > February 15th   
    Two more bets for today 
    hampton & Richmond 1pt @ 11/8 with marathon 
    Gainsborough 1pt @ 67/59 with marathon 
  19. Like
    buga00 reacted to StevieDay1983 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 7th - 9th   
    Aves vs Rio Ave
    One of the things I love about writing these previews for matches in leagues across Europe is covering games I would never normally think twice about looking into. This week is a prime example of that as I take a deeper look into the 8pm GMT clash between Aves and Rio Ave on Sunday night at the Estadio do Clube Desportivo das Aves. Let's see what the statistics say.
    Aves are enduring a bit of a rough campaign. Caretaker manager Nuno Manta Santos is in temporary charge of a team toiling at the wrong end of the Primeira Liga table in 18th place. The club is now 4 points adrift of safety and the prospect of relegation is growing bigger with every passing game. 3 of their 4 league wins this season have come at home so they'll be looking to add to that tally here and having won 2 of their last 3 matches they'll feel they can get something from this game.
    Rio Ave fans will be satisfied that their team is thriving under the management of former Sheffield Wednesday manager Carlos Carvalhal. The club is in 6th place in the league but a big win would even take them into the Europa League qualification spots above the likes of Sporting CP and Famalicao. The team does come into this game knowing they've become a tough team to beat on the road having lost just 3 of their away league games this season. 9 goals scored and 9 goals conceded on their travels in the league shows they're not exactly the most exciting team away from home but it's effective.
    This is fast turning into a disaster of a season for Aves but they are starting to scrape the odd win together. All hope is not lost and I think they could give Rio Ave a game here. The only problem is that the visiting side have only lost 1 of their last 5 matches so their tails are up. I think the away side have the potential to sneak it but because I think the draw is available at better value I'll opt for that.
    Draw @ 3.30 with BetVictor
    Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.77 with Marathonbet

    @betcatalog, @allthethings, @AHbettingPT, @Magic0024, @Odyssey, @Xcout, @GreatCaco, @btugero, @FAETTTON, @Sterphyle, @Apeyours. @ivanhoe. @InsyEnergy, @buga00, and @VYA.
  20. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 7th - 9th   
    Sporting - Portimonense 17:30h  9 February
    Sporting and Portimonense face at Estádio José Alvalade, in a match for the 20 th round of the Primeira Liga. Sporting won away by (1‑3) the last time they met in this edition of the league, on 25‑08‑2019. The recent head ‑ to ‑ head record favors the home team, since they have won 5 and lost 1 in the last 6 matches. The previous head ‑ to ‑ head between these two teams was played on December , and ended in a (2‑4) win by Sporting. ). The home / away condition deserves special attention, since although this is a game between 4th and 17th in the general classification, it is actually a match between the 8th classified in home games and the 15th as a visitor.
    Sporting
    After 10 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, the home team is in 4th position, having won 32 points. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Braga by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have won (1‑0) at home, in a match against Marítimo. Interestingly, this is a team that has achieved better results away from home, as they won 17 points as a visitor and only 15 at their stadium. Sporting has registered 5 wins and 4 losses in the last 9 home matches for the championship, so they have won 15 points out of 27 possible. In the matches played at their stadium for the championship, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 'was 0‑0, which occurred in 4 of their 9 games.
    Sporting reaches this 20th round of the Liga NOS after falling from 3rd place to the position below, being now one point behind Braga, with the same record as Famalicão and three points above Rio Ave. The team Jorge Silas has had, in the last few weeks, complicated results to digest, mainly due to the defeat in the classic with Benfica (0-2), for the championship, and two defeats with Braga, first in the League Cup semi-final and most recently on the last day of the League, in a new trip to Pedreira. In the last week, the defeat happened 1-0, in a mostly balanced game, but where the “lions” were unable to take the opportunities they created.
    Portimonense
    The visiting team is currently in 17th position, with 14 points won, after 2 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses.In  the last game, they lost at home against Tondela by (0‑1). This is a team that is little affected by the home factor, that is, they win practically the same points at home and away, with 7 goals scored and 11 goals conceded at home, against 6 goals scored and 16 conceded as a visitor. In the last 10 away matches for the league, Portimonense has recorded 1 victory, 4 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 30 possible. In this competition, they haven't won any of the last 9 away matches. In the away matches for the championship, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 'was the 1‑0, which occurred in 4 of their 9 games. The team has conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition, so they haven't been very strong defensively. In 19 games in this competition, he never managed to turn the scoreboard in the 11 games in which he suffered the first goal .
     
    My predicition as Sporting fan is : 
    Sporting to win @1.45
    Sporting -1 @1.75
    ( note : this two predictions above is with some emotion )
    For the punterslounges users forum my avice is : 
     
    BTTS @1.91
  21. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 7th - 9th   
    Porto - Benfica  8 February  20.30h
    FC Porto will aim for another important win against SL Benfica, which could reduce the gap between the two sides in the standing.
    These two teams have been the dominant force in Primeira for quite some time now, so this match will surely produce fireworks.
    FC Porto are undefeated in 43 of their last 46 league games. they have won by 2+ goals 19 of their last 38 matches in Primeira.
    Benfica have won their last 18 away matches in Primeira. and they have won by 2+ goals 25 of their last 38 Primeira games.
    For me i will go on Benfica to win or draw  @1.65 
    For  the forum users i recomend  BTTS @ 1.86 
  22. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > February 8th   
    Saturday was a superb day with 5 of the 7 bets winning including the Nap's Spennymoor and Stratford at a big price as well. Tuesday saw two winners and an injury time goal from Horsham stopped us getting 3/3 in midweek. This Saturday I have 8 bets spread across the leagues and the FA Trophy.
    Welling v Slough (National League South)
    Happy to go in with Welling again after they did us a turn last weekend against St Albans. This is a tougher game for the home side, but as I mentioned last week I think we will continue to see improved performances from them due to the change in manager. Slough are obviously in the play-off picture, but did lose to Oxford City last week and I give Welling a better chance of making it 4 wins on the bounce than the bookies do.
    Hednesford v Kings Langley (BetVictor Southern Premier Central)
    Another team to do the business for us in the last week were Kings Langley who came from a goal down to win on Tuesday night. That win continued their great form and they can pick up another 3 points here. I don't think all is right at Hednesford and they have lost their last 3 games and the only wins in their last 10 are against the lesser teams in the division. I nearly opposed them on Tuesday but left Nuneaton alone in the end only for Nuneaton to win 3-0. Kings Langley can go above their hosts with a win here and I would make them favourites to do so.
    Buxton v Gainsborough (BetVictor Northern Premier)
    Gainsborough were the other team to win for us on Tuesday night and that made it 5 wins on the bounce. We have been on them a few times of late and they are worth backing again here for me. Buxton have only managed 6 wins all season and although they aren't in bad form they are tending to beat the teams around them more than anything else and Trinity are clearly better than a 15th place team at the moment.
    Radcliffe v Lancaster (BetVictor Northern Premier)
    Radcliffe have picked up just one point in their last 8 games and they have scored 6 goals in their last 10 whilst conceding 23. Lancaster look a good price at odds against to beat them. They are 3rd in the table at the moment and had a good win against Warrington last weekend. They ought to be capable of picking up 3 more points here.
    Potters Bar Town v AFC Hornchurch (BetVictor Isthmian Premier)
    As I mentioned when I took Potters Bar on a couple of weeks ago they tend to only be capable of beating teams lower in the table than them and struggle against the better teams in the league. Hornchurch are certainly one of those as Folkestone have been the only team to beat them in their last 10 matches. They look full of goals at the moment and have scored 7 in their last 2 matches. Like Lancaster I think they should be odds on to win this.
    Aveley v Chelmsford (FA Trophy)
    Into the FA Trophy now and I fancy Step 4 Aveley to cause an upset here. I don't think all is well at Chelmsford at the moment with the sacking of Rod Stringer last week and then they were beaten by Dulwich on Saturday. They look vulnerable against an Aveley side who in any other season would be likely title winners having lost just 3 games all season, but they are in the same division as Maldon & Tiptree so they are going to have to try and go up via the play-offs. Maldon are actually the only team to have beaten Aveley in their last 10 league games, but they are clearly better than a Step 4 side. This looks the perfect time to play Chelmsford as well so they are worth a bet.
    Barnet v Barrow (FA Trophy)
    Barrow suffered their first loss since October on Tuesday night when they went down 2-1 to Dover and I think they can lose again here. The team made their way down to London on Friday morning, but although the exact team isn't known Ian Evatt has said he will be using the fringe players of his squad. That isn't really a surprise given the position they have in the league and the fact they had a long journey on Tuesday night. I suspect we will see a strong Barnet side as they will see this as a good chance to progress to the next round and get a step closer to Wembley. Paul McCallum is a great signing and he should help them get the goals they have sometime been lacking. I would make them favourites myself.
    Ebbsfleet v Royston (FA Trophy)
    Royston like Aveley have been flying in their league of late and have also only been beaten in their last 10 games by the best side in their division, in this case Tamworth. They beat Chester 3-0 in the previous round and they certainly won't fear an Ebbsfleet side who look like they are going to be relegated back down to Step 2 this season. At 16/5 it looks a value play to me.
    Welling 1pt @ 2/1 with William Hill
    Kings Langley 2pts @ 197/100 with Marathon
    Gainsborough 1pt @ 6/4 with BetVictor
    Lancaster 3pts @ 11/10 with Marathon
    AFC Hornchurch 3pts @ 23/20 with Marathon
    Aveley 1pt @ 69/25 with Marathon
    Barnet 1pt @ 9/5 with Bet365
    Royston 1pt @ 16/5 with Bet365
  23. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > February 1st   
    Thinks ticked over nicely towards the end of January and there was another small profit last weekend. Hopefully we can keep the profits coming on Saturday as we start a new month.
    AFC Fylde v Boreham Wood
    I am a bit surprised Boreham Wood aren't favourites here. They were one of the favourites to go down at the start of the season, but they have blown those odds out of the water and yet again Luke Garrard has got another good team together to rival the one that reached the play-off final two years ago. They have a real chance of getting in the play-offs again and they haven't lost in the league since October 26th. They got a superb draw against top of the table Barrow on Saturday and more than matched them as well. They travel to a Fylde side who haven't won in 8 league games now and they must be getting nervous about going back down to the National League North. It just hasn't quite been clicking for them since Jim Bentley took over and with Boreham Wood full of confidence right now I think they look a good price.
    Halifax v Bromley
    Bromley seem to have blown all hopes of winning the title in recent weeks. They have lost 3 games on the bounce and have only picked up 10 points in their last 10 games. They are struggling to reach the heights they were reaching in the early months of the season and Halifax are bang in form at the moment. Unbeaten in 6 and they have been impressive in their last two home wins against Maidenhead and on Tuesday against Dover. I am surprised that the away side are favourites for this as I would have Halifax no bigger than 5/4 to win this.
    Dorking v Bath City
    Granted Dorking haven't won in 4 league games, but they did beat Stockport in the FA Trophy and they were unlucky to lose to Weymouth on Saturday as they ended up with just 9 men on the pitch. They have scored a huge 24 goals in their last 10 league games, but have conceded 17 and that is with keeping 4 clean sheets! This could be the right time to be playing Bath as they were thrashed 7-0 on Saturday at Wealdstone and they then lost to Concord in the FA Trophy on Tuesday night. Every chance Bath will score, but I think Dorking can outscore them here.
    St Albans v Welling
    Welling have improved a lot under their new manager and he has changed plenty since owner Mark Goldberg decided to step down as boss. There are even rumours that Goldberg did the team talks from the beach on holiday for the 3 games they played over Christmas. They have won their last 2 games and they are clearly benefiting from having a proper manager in charge. St Albans are doing OK at the moment although have only picked up 1 victory in their last 6 and Welling look value at over 2/1 to make it 3 wins on the bounce.
    Gloucester City v Spennymoor
    The price is going on Spennymoor so am putting this one up first ahead of the others. Gloucester are in a right old mess at the moment. New manager James Rowe is so far proving to be totally inept in his first managerial role having won just one game in 10 matches since taking over. He has signed 13 players in that time and the new team has not gelled out all and unlike the players that have left they don't seem to have much fight. Part of the problem is a lot of the new players are on 18 month contracts so they are at a new club and don't have to play for a new contract either as they are already sorted for next season. On paper some of the players have a good background, but apart from Liam Daly and Matt McClure they haven't done it on the pitch for a while and they look dubious signings to me. Rowe has changed the team too quickly for me and they are playing like a team who don't know each other which is exactly what they are. City lost 6-1 to a Alfreton team who hadn't won at home since the beginning of September on Tuesday night which is a new low under Rowe. Now one slight concern is that sometimes you see a team react to a heavy defeat and Rowe will surely know he is close to getting the sack, but I am not sure the players are capable of playing for him. He is also still blaming the former manager for things despite the fact it is his team now. Spennymoor seem to have got over their blip they had in December and are clearly a much better side. The other thing that stops this being a max bet though is away from home they have drawn 7 times and won just twice so that has to be in the back of your mind. Even so I think this will be an away win and Spennymoor should be odds on.
    Alvechurch v Leiston
    Yes I am putting Leiston up again, but they look a cracking bet to beat an Alvechurch side who have lost 9 of their last 10 games and the one win was against Redditch who are bottom. Pointless repeating myself on Leiston and they got a good draw when I put them up last week, but we should get our money back here.
    Biggleswade v Stratford Town
    I am chancing Stratford again at a big price. There has been improvement for sure despite only picking up 1 point since beating Redditch 4 games ago. That game was on Tuesday night when they drew 3-3 with Hitchin. Biggleswade aren't in great form at the moment although they did beat St Ives easily on Saturday and to be fair the 4 games without a win were against the stronger sides in the division. Even so at around 4/1 Stratford seem a sporting play as they are playing better than their league position suggests.
    Boreham Wood 1pt @ 15/8 with Betway and William Hill
    Halifax 1pt @ 17/10 with Bet365, Betway and William Hill
    Dorking 1pt @ 31/20 with BetVictor
    Welling 1pt @ 85/40 with BetVictor
    Spennymoor 3pts @ 5/4 with BetVictor
    Leiston 2pts @ 33/25 with Marathon
    Stratford Town 1pt @ 21/5 with BetVictor
  24. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > January 25th   
    A small profit last Saturday thanks to Boston and Hendon winning to keep things ticking over. This Saturday I have just the 4 bets with 3 of them over 2/1.
    Chesterfield v AFC Fylde (National League)
    Two sides who were favourites for the title and yet find themselves in the relegation zone. Chesterfield do seem to have improved for the change of manager and have won both games since sacking John Sheridan which makes their big price here baffling. Fylde haven't won in 7 league games now and although they have drawn against Yeovil and Barrow in that time. They have lost 3 on the bounce now and although you feel they should get themselves out of the relegation zone they are struggling to do so. Like I say the 5/2 available on a home win is huge and it is the sort of price you would expect if Chesterfield were the away side so I am more than happy to take it.
    Chester v Darlington (National League North)
    Chester are hard to beat at home and are clearly a side who look destined for a play-off berth, but I do think Darlington are a big price at 3/1 here as I would make them a point shorter myself. They have won 7 of their last 8 league games and they beat Solihull in the FA Trophy. In that spell they beat Chester in the reverse fixture and also beat York. They are clearly flying right now and this game is much closer than the odds compilers think it is.
    Potters Bar Town v Bognor Regis Town (BetVictor Isthmian Premier)
    I like Bognor here who seem to have picked up after a dodgy spell. Having mentioned them for the league at 20/1 in the ante-post update before Christmas they then duly lost 3 of their next 4. However they have won their last two beating good teams in Leatherhead and Folkestone. Potters Bar are a pretty average side and have won 3 and lost 3 of their last 6, but they are beating the lesser teams in the division and whenever they come up against a better side they tend to struggle. Hopefully Bognor will show their superior class here. 
    Leiston v Rushall Olympic (BetVictor Southern Premier Central)
    Even I didn't think an improving Leiston would be able to beat Tamworth last week and yet they only went and just that. That was a huge effort to beat the best team in the division and it shows how far they have come. I can't believe that on the back of that and the fact they have lost just twice in their last 7 games that they are still being treated as if they are a bad side by the bookies. 1 of those defeats a lot of the squad was ill and the other was an unfortunate injury time loss to Rushden. Rushall are a decent side and have won 5 of their last 7, but I think Leiston are as good as them now and the 16/5 quote is massive in my view.
    Chesterfield 1pt 5/2 with Bet365
    Darlington 1pt @ 3/1 with Betfred and Betway
    Bognor Regis 1pt @ 7/4 with BetVictor
    Leiston 1pt @ 16/5 with Marathon
  25. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from btugero in Primeira Liga Predictions > Jan 17th - 19th   
    Porto - Braga     19:00h in Portugal
    Porto have won 13 of their 16 games in the Portuguese top-flight, including a 2-0 win at their title rivals. In recent games, they have won six and drawn one of their last seven games in the Primeira Liga.
    Only Benfica have scored more goals than the home team this season. Their prolific form in front of goal was been on full show of late, as Porto have scored at least two goals in four of their last five league outings.
    Porto have been simply formidable on home soil in the Primeira Liga, winning their last 12 league games at the Estadio Do Dragao.
    Pepe central defender and Nakajima midfielder are out for the game today.
    Braga they need to win points  to go to Europa League . They are currently five points outside the top-four in the Portuguese top-flight.
    They had a new coach in 2 games they won both , but is a coach without experience very young .
    So Porto is forbidden to loose points because they´re on second place 4 points behind the leader Benfica,  and i think they will win for 2 goals or more.
    Porto to win  @ 1.66   ( bookmaker in Portugal i don´t know odds on bet365 because we portugueses are forbiden  yes it´s true to bet on bet 365 )
    Sporting - Benfica   21.15h in Portugal
    Sporting is my team and tonight as a supporter i´ll be there but without any confidence.  Sporting are 16 points behind Benfica on 4 th place i hate the coach i hate the president and tonight central defender from Sporting , uruaguay international Coates is out  from the game suspended du red card on last game. Also argentinian player and very good player for me the 2 nd best behind Bruno Fernandes , Luciano Vietto is injured and out also .
     
    Benfica have been strong away from home in recent months, winning their last 16 league games on their travels in the Primeira Liga.
    The visitors are currently four points clear of rivals Porto at the top of the table, having won 15 of their 16 league games so far this season. Their only blip was a 2-0 defeat against their title rivals in August.
    For me tonight e see easy victory for Benfica maybe for 2 or more goals and i don´t understand the odds 1.96 for Benfica victory is crazy for me 1.40 for Benfica it was fair.
     
    Benfica to win @ 1.96   ( bookmaker in Portugal i don´t know odds on bet365 because we portugueses are forbiden  yes it´s true to bet on bet 365 )
     
     
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