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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

Grass Cash

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Posts posted by Grass Cash

  1. Nikoloz Basilashvilli to beat Andrey Rublev @ 3.5 with William Hill

    Just confirming this is a bet for me also.. Actually this was one of the highest rated bets i had coming in today.. I think there is a quite few possibilities where underdogs can win in the next day or two.. I hope this is one of them.. 

    I believe that Basilashvilli tanked the Australian open match vs Verdasco, and wasn't giving his full effort there.. He knows he's not ready to win that tournament, and maybe was consering his energy a bit. Rotterdam is a big tournament in my opinion.  Nikoloz has won first round match here last year, and as Czech Punter said about Rublev.. well i agree with the analysis on him, and think this is also a bad spot for him. 

  2. Natalia Kostic @ 8.0 to beat Zheng - Hua Hin

    Rating 20% chance to win. I have seen a little bit of Kostic and reviewed some her match results. Its not great, but she has wins over some known players, and I am suspicious that Zheng is not in form.. Could be completely wrong but its enough of a chance for me to try it.  she looked tired or in pain vs Osaka at AO. again this is all speculation. 

  3. @darko08 I know that we picked Bublik wrong last time, but I don't see Barrere as the favorite in the match.. I think 1.9 odds for each player is reasonable.. Bublik is the more talented, and respected player.. I also think he has a good chance to win the match because Barrere has struggled a little bit in qualies I guess.  Not sure what Bublik was doing in the Goffin match, but I did see him playing some decent tennis at times.. The only way i see Bublik losing is if he really is dealing with some injury on his leg.. i've noticed he is playing with a sleeve there for now.  I've got 55% chance on Bublik sporting odds 2.11. 

  4. 8 hours ago, FrenchPunter said:

    You Xiaodi to beat Elien Perez at 2.20 with Parions Sport

    The Chinese already beat the Australian relatively easily in 2 sets last September in Zhengzhou on hard. The conditions seem similar to me given the proximity between China and Thailand so I expect for another good performance from the Chinese here

    I will be surprised and impressed if you win this bet.. I see that Xiaodi has 1-0 h2h over Ellen Perez on a small tournament 2019.. I don't think it holds any value for this match, and can Perez can adjust her game this time maybe.. Perez has also advanced through two qualifying rounds here quite easily.. I am very unfamiliar with both players, especially Xiaodi.. Good luck brother. ?

  5. I think Krainovic has far better chances.. Shapovalov is in a bit of a low period.. I don't think he's relevant here.. Goffin is playing very well right now.. I didn't tell you, but you may have read i had a parlay going yesterday.. 6 players and 25/1 odds.. all won , but I hedged too much money on the back end of it.. 

    I've got 75%Goffin/25% Pospisil -- Krajinovic50%/Monfils 50%

  6. @CzechPunter and other awake punters.. I am deciding between Krajinovic and Duckworth to bet.. Having difficulty making that decision but I'm figuring one of them probably wins.. More tempted with Krajinovic because my gut feeling tells me Darko was right and he wins the tournament.. The Vesely - Berankis match I'm finding a bit difficult to analyze.. I'd like to bet it because its the next match on the card, and I'd like some action but really got no feeling for it.. I know that Berankis played pretty decent last match, and he should have enough gas tank to play atleast the same quality today.. The problem is that Vesely serves so much bigger than Sugita, and I think we all know that Berankis isn't reliable.. Vesely will want to win a match against a lower level opponent like Berankis who he has more talent than. So thats where I'm at right now. 

  7. No offense to you Czech.. but this isn't really your concern, and you are encouraging nonsense dramatic behavior in the chat.. something you stated not to like.. I prefer to talk about tennis matches... not converse with random jealous drama queens who offer no tennis information.. leave your ego at the door czech..I want to see which tennis match you are gonna bet tomorrow, and write it down.. because u know I will,  And we are short on contributions right now speaking about tennis.

  8. Darko got alot of action in France right now .. They are giving Monfils 1.58.. Yeah's its a bit scary that its so low, and Monfils is rolling over all his opponents.. I didnt see any of the match but I did watch Goffin.. I believe he's playing quite well but there is a chance for Pospisil there to make the finals... If Pospisil makes the final vs Monfils for whatever reason.. I think he's got a much better chance than if he has to go up against Krajinovic.. That could be a problem .. or not at all depending on how you wagered your futures... Could be a little slice of heaven. 

  9. 6 hours ago, money44 said:

    Andrej Martin to beat Moutet @ 2.6 - I've explained previously Moutet was poor in his match vs Pella.. He looks tired, and not serving well and some other things.. Pella was very bad also, and Moutet had to amount a comeback to win this match.. Pella served very bad from what I saw, and also unforced errors.. I missed first set, but I watched most of the match. . 

    70% Martin/30% Moutet - Implied +5% start at 44%. backed with Gombos small

    It's' not a disrespectful thing going against you , because I immensely respect your tennis knowledge, and quite a few others here. I didn't believe you made any valid points simply stating that because someone beats Pella.. they should win the next round.. If you had mentioned that you watched the match , then it might be different. Good luck mate , and I hope that I am not spamming too many winners on +dog money for you guys to keep track of.. I know that some of you are slow readers.  And, I'm not talking about you@South_African_Punter.

  10. Andrej Martin to beat Moutet @ 2.6 - I've explained previously Moutet was poor in his match vs Pella.. He looks tired, and not serving well and some other things.. Pella was very bad also, and Moutet had to amount a comeback to win this match.. Pella served very bad from what I saw, and also unforced errors.. I missed first set, but I watched most of the match. . 

    70% Martin/30% Moutet - Implied +5% start at 44%. backed with Gombos small

  11. Yeah We'll see how the match goes with Gombos .. Russuvouri was not impressing me in the last match vs Gombos.. I think Gombos was doing regular for himself, but he can't beat an in form Monfils in this surface.. 

    Also @vadastra I think we made a good pick on Berankis.. Sugita looks completely cooked, and Berankis level has improved a huge amount now.. The match is booked in my opinion already speaking too soon again.. But now I am inching closer to completing a great parlay.. Probably should have bet a straight wager on Berankis, but as you said he can't be trusted clearly losing the first set easily, and I don't have live betting option on the match right now.

  12. it makes sense to me.. But I did watch the match vs Pella, and Argentine was playing terrible.  So if you didn't watch that match.. I think that is key missing ingredient.. but I will tread carefully because last time you proved me wrong SAP with the Cuevas - Simon match. If Berankis loses then I'm going to be even more careful but I have feeling he's coming back.. 

    Berankis ball striking is brilliant right now , but the future does not look promising for the Lithuanian.. His fitness level does not look adequate to me.. Surely he might win a few matches in Pune, but what about the rest of the season and his career. 

  13. Streams are terrible this morning.. I don't have futures options for smaller tournaments right now.. But I would bet with you on Kraj.. What will be interesting if Krajinovic and Monfils both win their matches.. If Monfils plays well .. then he can beat anyone in these conditions but I'll have to assume he'll be tired in the next match if he beats Gombos and prefer Krajinovic as we've discussed... The odds will be so interesting at that point because you know that the bookie is going to favor Monfils to win.. I think they will give him 1.80.  Something of a setup maybe but the odds would be fair again in this situation, but certainly has no determination on whether Monfils will actually win the match or not. 

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