Grass Cash
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Posts posted by Grass Cash
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I think Vadastra you are right.. Berankis is not a trustworthy player.. I have already taken him in a parlay bet for small stake but I'm not risking anything more on Berankis even though I still think he has a chance, but I'm adjusting my prediction to 55/45 for him, and gonna get some sleep .. Cyaz later on.
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Thanks for your help on that Vadastra.. @darko08 Londero match is really difficult to predict.. I could use some help with your guys thoughts on the Moutet match in Cordoba.. I really feel that Martin is going to win unless he's hampered by some injury.. Moutet was not impressing me in his last match vs Pella but it seemed like a month ago now that it happened, and that it is a big plus because Moutet needed the rest.. So, that aspect of it scares me, but I think I'm overrating that factor..
and yes I think Berankis is gonna win Vs Sugita Vadastra
65% Berankis/35% Sugita - Implied +5% starts @ 59%confidence.
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Schwartzman -500 in play 2-0 first set Cordoba.
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*update.. probably not going to be able to try gombos.. I was tempted, but I'd have to do some more research before i could have this opinion.
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seems very possible... I'm staying away from Djere .. I haven't seen his matches in Cordoba, but definitely good clay player. It all depends on what we think about Londero.. I'm watching the match now, and inclined to believe he will win..
He can present some tough challenges to Djere, and I think I'd have to pick Londero to win vs Djere but its not really something I'd be betting.. I have reservations about betting Londero right now.. Because I don't have a read on his game at all. Also he's going to be favored to win the match against Djere.. probably something like 1.55 for Londero..
After watching the match live.. I feel Cachin has zero chance to win, and there is even some value on Londero with short odds 1/10.
Good parlay bet I think from you Dark.. Londero getting all the support from the crowd, and with a huge advantage in skills also.
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6 hours ago, vadastra said:
i'll bet the house on j. wolf.
This feels like a banker bet for those that seem to be interested in the small odds.. I didn't see any of his recent matches but I saw some in earlier tournament this year, and he's playing fabulous with good movement, and all court game.. One of the young usa stars, its hard to not see big things from him.. Gomez does not strike me as an indoor player at all. He barely snuck by in his last match, so one could imagine its going to be extremely difficult vs a higher level opponent.
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Darko .. you were right about Andujar .. he was playing well, and Ramos not what I wanted from him.. I jumped in to viewing the match in the third set .. so Ramos must have done something good in the first set because I saw nothing.. Ramos somehow fought back 4-4 0-30.. But I decided to stay with the trend of today, and buy all the potential risk, and freeroll with Ramos which probably I would have done had I monitored Albert taking the first set. I got a decent price on Andujar so I'll make a small profit with Ramos if he wins.. I was shocked to see that Rodionov came back from what would have been a massive price.. I commented this morning about the odds being inflated on the match yet we have some people here complaining I've said too much today.. I do find that a bit hilarious after now seeing the Rodionov result, and realizing that we all could have gotten him at insane odds.
These are my leans for tomorrow Darko, and I've yet to pull anything on them.
Pospisil, Goffin, Krajinovic, Gombos - low confidence Montpellier
Ivashka, Berankis, Duckworth, Kwon - Pune
Martin, Garin, Schwartzman - Cordoba
JJ Wolf - Dallas
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13 minutes ago, CSanders22 said:
@money44 you have some good picks but I think its the 5/6 posts in a row discussing the same match which can look a bit scattergun.
It looks like spamming commentary which isn't too helpful, I know its most likely you getting your thoughts onto the thread.
If you are a punter who changes position throughout a match as you watch and analysis I know it makes sense to update your position on here, however the standard approach is to give picks and reasons. If you can justify a position then thats all that matters, others can give counter-positions and people can choose to agree and follow who-ever they think is better reasoned.
TL:DR Keep up the good picks, but maybe try to reduce the consecutive posts. Just my opinion. ?
It's reasonable, but if you can offer more counter positions .. I would appreciate it, and also more positions in general. Part of the problem here is some members have useful information, and they don't post it or even give comments to why it's a bad bet.. I lost massive bet on Sam Stosur couple weeks ago, and nobody made any comment on how they disagreed or anything like that..
So if you are one of the good people here.. I would hope that you can be more active with your comments, and not worry about spamming this forum.. We need as much action as possible here for people to read. And I mean that seriously.. Please post atleast one pick for tomorrow..
Darko and Czech are great .. but, what happens if three people all post the same player to win which we've done on here before.. It's all about cooperation, and this is a difficult skill to have even for someone who could bet with 100% proficiency. good luck chap ?️
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too many bets on a day which I've i picked winners at high prices @CzechPunter. Smells like pure jealousy rather if you prefer that one instead.. Its fine by me though.. Have a good one Czech
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58 minutes ago, Valentine said:
Just found one pick for tonight...
Alex to win in straight sets 1.70 at my local bookie, sorry not to good with reasons, make my selections based on mostly statistics so if it's ok with the house I'll keep posting whatever pick I fancy here....
Great analysis champ .. that helps my decision so much.. Thanks for inserting last name of player also , and not giving any opinion.. This is not betting school for elementary kids.. it's tennis forum, and typically you are supposed to give a little bit of reasoning for your own picks or atleast the full name of a player. I'm not your teacher, and certainly don't care to be but its pretty clear you are new type of guy, and need some help with the guidelines here.
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3 hours ago, Valentine said:
thats right .. it isn't your place to say because you offer the forum nothing but negativity.. I think you lost money on info i made, and look to blame someone else, and likely same goes for south african.. cheers !
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Albert Ramos -130 to beat Andujar - I like the serving advantage, and revenge factor for this match.. I also think Ramos was doing pretty well in Australia, and the loss to Bolt is not very bad.
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turning off the Rodionov match... He looks a bit sloppy to me.. I was taking a look at a dog there, but something smells rotten about the match.
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@four-leaf you got some life over there.. Richard with the second set, and now the break... limping to the finish line.. crazy match, and Gombos winning also. Wonder how that one will finish out.. on serve in the second set.. Gombos seems to be playing well enough to close it out. He's good indoor player.
Also good confirmation on Marcora Four leaf.. you were on top of that one also.
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I shouldn't have done it probably .. but I leveraged out all of the risk again now on Marcora bet. I think he's going to win the match.. more enjoyable to not lose i guess.. I was tempted to just bet more on Marcora instead but we'll see how it shakes out soon..
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Richard Gasquet looks very frail, and even in pain.. For me Its Lopez or no bet at all .. I'll be keeping an eye on the Marcora - Paire match, and this one.. waiting for something in play.
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I may do that four leaf.. I slightly preferred Richard, but I think the match is too close , and I'll wait for something in play maybe.. I don't trust Gasquet for one thing, and I think he can easily lose that match.. I want to get an eye on him first..
Also for the record.. I am free-rolling now on Gerasimov as I've leveraged the bet, and risking nothing now. Milojevic has started to play terrible, and Gerasimov is more consistent now.. Probably at this point it only makes sense that Gerasimov will seal the victory..
Milojevic looks out of shape in my opinion.
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They are not offering me an in play line on the Bublik match which is frustrating that I don't have that option.. but now I'm seeing 3.9 on Gerasimov which is a bit silly considering odds prematch.. maybe he will improve in the second set.
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Bublik is doing massive serves right now , and playing some good tennis .. I am watching Gerasimov match, and not impressed with him.. Thankfully I waited for in play, and my book didn't open lines until after I saw he's performing quite badly.. very tempted to bet on Bublik.. I think Darko might have nailed that analysis there.. Goffin looks good but not fantastic.. The match looks 50/50 to me
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Darko , I'm not gonna be surprised at all if Marcora beats Paire in the PUne tournament also.. Maybe you don't have opinions on Pune.. I was watching Paire at the Australian open, and he was doing ridiculous shots, and lack of motivation to play also.. Its something i might look at in play, but Marcora has a pretty big serve and if Paire is not ready to go physically .. Its game set match for the italian. Paire is just one of those players who will dump matches when you don't think he can lose to a lower rated player like Marcora.
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3 minutes ago, money44 said:
I hope you got a big bet on Kraj darko because he cruised through that match, and who's gonna stop him now .. Next up is Barrere.. maybe he could be tough.. I'm not sure, and then after that is Monfils, Mannarino, Russuvouri, and Gombos.. All winnable matches and probably he should be rated the favorite in all of those in his path to the finals.
Tennis Tips - February 3 - February 9
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
I agree that Moutet is the favorite .. I just don't think it means he's going to win.. Martin is the better clay court player, and I think that can be agreed upon... He's got miles more experience than Moutet, and I think he will actually serve better than Moutet in this match as well.. The biggest problem with this bet and all of Cordoba is there going to serious weather problems going on there .. We've got thunderstorms all the way up until 2 in the afternoon.. Will this make the conditions slower on the clay.. Well I'm not sure about that.. But, I will tell you that Martin is not going to go down easy if the conditions are slow because he hits heavy looping balls, and he should have the advantage in almost every area of tennis this match in my opinion.. Probably Moutet will have the speed edge because he's a first class athlete.. But I don't think he's at 100% .. closer to 85 %, but that still puts him faster than Martin. This is something I'm sitting on with the firing trigger pin in place. It's either this one comes through or Gombos.. So I might set that play for smaller stake. @darko08 I think that explains it well for you to consider.