bartonbank
-
Posts
3,345 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Posts posted by bartonbank
-
-
I think the only other option is all other teams being awarded a two or three nil win against Dover, for the remaining fixtures.
My understanding is that Step One voted to continue but without relegation so, if there is (although unlikely) some form of North/South mini league it would be two up and, for one season, Step One having 25 teams, with five down the following year. Whatever, it is a mess!
-
4 hours ago, Jacobus said:
Apparently some North and South clubs are discussing taking part in a new competition which could grant promotion to the National League. I've read that fines will be issued to clubs who don't fufill fixtures in the National League so maybe expunging results won't be happening.
Dover are too broke to pay fines and, by the time this is all sorted, will have far too many games to play; they are already a minimum of 6 games behind. All I can see as far as they are concerned is demotion, and probably to a league lower than National League North.
-
Below is how the table would look, as of today's date, if Dover's results are expunged. Those teams who have their points altered are marked with an asterix:
1. Sutton United 22 14 4 4 +20 46
2. Torquay United 23 13 5 5 +20 44*
3. Hartlepool United 25 13 5 7 +10 44
4. Notts County 21 11 5 5 +12 38*
5. Eastleigh 23 10 8 5 +9 38*
6. Stockport County 23 10 7 6 +8 37*
7. Wrexham 24 10 6 8 +5 36*
8. Boreham Wood 24 9 7 8 +4 34*
9. Chesterfield 22 10 3 9 +8 33
10. Altrincham 26 9 6 11 -4 33*
11. Yeovil Town 24 9 5 10 0 32*
12. Maidenhead United 21 9 5 7 0 32
13. FC Halifax Town 23 8 7 8 +7 31
14. Bromley 23 8 7 8 +5 31*
15. Aldershot Town 23 9 4 10 -4 31*
16. Solihull Moors 21 8 4 9 +1 28*
17. Dagenham & Redbridge 23 7 5 11 -10 26*
18. Wealdstone 23 7 5 11 -18 26
19. Woking 21 6 5 10 -6 23*
20. King's Lynn Town 21 5 5 11 -16 20
21. Weymouth 24 5 5 14 -14 20
22. Barnet 22 3 3 16 -37 12*I cannot see a way how Dover will complete the season and we know their are mutterings by other teams, almost certainly because it was thought there would be no relegation. However, now there is talk of some football returning in Step 2 and there would only be games if there were promotion and, if so, there will be relegation from Step 1. I post all this as Skybet have a market to win the league with e/w 1/5th. The odds are as follows:
Sutton 2.38
Torquay 3.25
Stockport County 6.00
Notts County 8.00
Hartlepool 10.00
Chesterfield 23.00
Solihull 51.00
Boreham Wood 151.00
Wrexham 151.00
Eastleigh 201.00
Bromley 251.00
Halifax 251.00
Maidenhead 501.00
Now, I know that we have lost 3 points if Dover go, and I know that, unlike other teams, we cannot sign players outside the window unless they were without a club when the transfer window closed, but Wrexham at 151:00 to win, but in reality trying for top 3 at place odds of 51:00, seems huge. And, if that is huge, then Eastleigh, two points more and having played 1 game less, is even more value. Against that, the odds on Solihull are completely the other way, looking at where they would be.
So, small plays, e/w on Wrexham and Eastleigh is my recommendation
-
-
1 hour ago, Darran said:
Not at this stage price not really moved from the opening show.
It shortened with Skybet.
I know there is no value on Billericay, but I have doubled Hungerford up with them.
-
I've already mentioned to Darran that I am having 1pt on Wealdstone (-1), where they are 12/5 with more than one bookie. They are a team that, by all logic, are completely at the wrong end of the table but they just keep winning. They scraped past a 9 man Halifax midweek and undoubtedly have been playing teams at the right time, looking at how those teams subsequently perform, but they can only play who is in front of them and, on Saturday, in Dover they have a team in poor form who even got turned over by Altrincham in their last match.
Odds on just to win, the handicap is worth a point. Second highest scorers in the league, the concern is that that only Kings Lynn and their opponents, Dover, have shipped more. However, Dover have only scored 5 in 7 league games and three of those were in one game.
1pt Wealdstone (-1) 12/5
-
I am adding in Chesterfield to win at Wealdstone. I was able to be at Wealdstone and Wrexham gifted them the game. Crap defending and sitters missed by the away side had me, as a fan, banging my head on the table in front of me. Wealdstone try to play out of the back and, when pressed, there are always mistakes in them. In addition they are wide open to the counter. Anyone who saw the highlights of the Wrexham game (leaving aside the away team not getting a clear penalty for the third game in a row) and it could have been 7-4 to the away side...which is just what the odds are on Chesterfield winning.
I've added it to Darran's picks and done a 5 fold as well as the bare fourfold
-
Darran has tweeted that he doesn't, matty!
-
-
Coventry @4.33
AFC Fylde (x) @ 3.60
10 point double please
-
Wales 1.45
Bromley 2.00
Hartlepool 2.87
10pt treble please
-
Notts C 1.83
Fylde 2.10
£20 double please
-
-
Exeter 2.25
Cheltenham 3.25
£10 double please
-
-
10 point treble
Torquay 2.15
Yeovil 2.70
Halifax 2.50
-
Yeovil 3.4
Woking 3.6
Both to draw
10 pts
-
Newport (x) 3.25
Sutton (x) 3.20
£15 double please
-
Bristol C win @ 3.50
Bromley win @ 3.10
£20 double please
-
Wrexham @ 2.50
Maidenhead (draw) at 3.50
£10 double please
-
-
1 hour ago, THEODORE-007 said:
Too much draws for me today and with goals i believe.
Stockport i think is close to a win.
The same for Wrexham.
Why do you tip Wrexham close to a win? We have been poor last week, fans losing patience and Maidenhead are flying away from home.
-
Talking of massive prices for an away win, Maidenhead to win at Wrexham seems huge and priced up on reputation rather than form. Maidenhead, away from home, are in a rich vein of it and us, last week, are not! We have forgotten how to defend and we appear to have a manager with little idea as to what system to play and who to have in it. We certainly have a squad to compete for promotion but at the moment we just are not showing it and our heads drop if we concede. Maidenhead must be buzzing at the moment and scored two cracking goals at the weekend (plus a penalty). 7/2 seems mad.
-
Maidenhead 3.10
Woking 2.37
15pt double please
Non-League Predictions > April 24th
in Non League Predictions
Posted
I've already mentioned to Darran what I'm putting up here, although he hasn't expressed a view (probably out of kindness!) but bet365's goalscorer market on the Wrexham v Chesterfield market is just jaw droppingly laughable. I won't criticise them for not having Chesterfield's new signing Danny Rowe listed (and we know that, if they listed him at the likely short odds they wouldn't push the others out anyway) but whoever set the odds has done NO research at all, and I mean none.
Leading the market is Chris Sang, with first/last scorer odds of 6.00 and anytime odds of 2.87. He has played no more than 10 minutes since he joined us (Wrexham) a couple of weeks ago! Following him is Asante (out for 9 months), Dior Angus (he will start but odds are pretty short) and then Scott Boden (who plays for Torquay now!). There are more errors like that but, as such, there are now a couple of players you may want to take a look at.
The first pick is Jordan Davies. He was the "next big thing" when we sold him to BHA but things didn't work out there for him, although he was a regular in their u23s. Coming back to us and then having to play out of position in "grown up" football has seen him take time to adjust, but he is showing what we know he has now he is playing as an attacking midfielder supporting the fornt two. He has scored 4 in the last 2 games and is known to hit a free kick. He has also hit the post and the bar and the goals have come from his head and both feet. He is brimful of confidence right now. His odds are 17.00 first/last and anytime 7.50
The second pick, at shorter odds, is another midfielder, Luke Young. He also takes free kicks, is our penalty taker and likes to take a shot if he has sight of goal. He's scored 8 so far and, at odds of 12.00 first/last and 5.00 anytime. Odds are obviously nowhere near the value of JD though.