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Posts
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Xtc12 got a reaction from corky in Naps Competition - Wednesday Feb 28th (Newcastle Off)
14.15 Wolverhampton - Jeremys Jet - 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 Paddy Power
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Xtc12 got a reaction from BillyHills in Big Race Trends - Sat Feb 24th
3.35 – Betdaq Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m
13/15 – Rated 139 or higher (11,12,13,14,15)
13/15 – Finished in the top 5 last time out (1,2,6,7,8)
12/15 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks (9)
12/15 – Aged 9 or younger (3,10)
11/15 – Won a class 2 chase or better before
10/15 – Carried 10-13 or more
10/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/15 – Rated between 139 and 150
7/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before (5)
Art Mauresque 1 Pt EW @ 9\1 Generally
2.45 - Betfred Eider (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 4m1f
14/14 – Had won over at least 3m before (6)
12/14 – Aged 10 or younger (2,3,13,14)
11/14 – Carried 11-0 or more (7,8,9,10,11,12,15,16,17)
10/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks (1,5)
Baywing 1 Pt EW @ 10\1 Bet365
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Xtc12 reacted to Trotter in Big Race Trends - Sat Feb 24th
Well done with Baywing, Xtc !
From my short list of 3 I had the winner and a placed horse but obviously the winner was the one of my three that I discounted ..........
Wiggo gets West of the Edge in second .......
So that's pretty good for the Eider ....... 5 horses selected and we get the winner and two of the placed runners
I'll skip over Kempton .............
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Xtc12 reacted to Bubbles180 in Stats
As you may be able to tell by the time frame im a bit of any insomniac, and when I get going on something I dont stop till i have finished see you tomorrow
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Xtc12 reacted to Bubbles180 in Stats
Hi guys have updated the 4/1 + (4/1 to 25/1 odds) stats sheet to show monthly stats as well now, upto Jan 2018 including Bets, wins, S/R, P&L and ROI
Have also gone through each month and found that the longest bank drawdown on any month, within the month period, and overall is 65 points, i dont believe in LLR overall just monthly, as each month you start with a new bank so to me it does not matter if you have a LLR of 50 and that may happen 3 or 4 times a year (which is true) if you settle your bank monthly, this would only effect any one doing 3, 6 or 12 month runs, even doing that the longest draw down on your original starting bank is only 16 points in 18 months, therefore if you started in Aug 2016 with a 100 point bank and backed at 1% of the bank, the lowest ever point of your bank would have been 84 points, if you did that your bank would stand at the end of JAN 2018 at 1,499.39 in total a P&L of 1,399.39.
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Xtc12 reacted to Sir Puntalot in SPREADSHEETS
@Bubbles180 Just wanted to say a big thank you from me personally too. You've put in a lot of work to refine the stats, so well done.
We will over the course of this year be having more and more of that available at a touch of a button, but all the new UK regulations have meant we are way behind schedule with updates we'd rather be doing. Also, we have a handover of long time tech to new tech guys, which will mean we're far better placed for the future.
2018 will be testing at times, 2019 will be paradise.
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Xtc12 reacted to Bubbles180 in Stats
@Birchy as Billy says mate seems to be your luck, their are many ways using PL Tips to make money, you just have to be a judge on what is best for you as a backer, You say you lost in December and now in February but had you backed In January you would have made 21.50 pt profit which would have got some of your december losses back, as Billy says its no good switching from 1 system to another you need to make a decision on one system or several smaller ones as a portfolio and run them for at least 3 to 6 months and make sure your bank is sufficient to cover losses, their are plenty of stats info in the forum to help you.
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Xtc12 reacted to BillyHills in Stats
I don't think its Birchy's Luck but its definitely Birchy's something!
the voice of doom rocks up once again, the most negative guy I know.
Just go and find something else to whinge about, you are obviously a poor gambler, switching from one thing to another. I see you were even asking how to do Speed figs.
Just to balance things out, the tips made an overall profit last month, are in front this month (speak too soon), the Naps ended in profit last month too. The Top 10 tracks thread is in profit again, the overall Naps thread is in profit. Give me some credit, just a tiny little bit maybe.....
Please don't go on about prices, BOG etc.. I can only publish whats available at the time i post them.
To be fair the Naps are doing crap this month buts thats my fault, I pick them, simple as that, we all have bad runs , I apologise, hey, try picking your own
Good luck in your quest for an easy life scrounging off others
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Xtc12 got a reaction from Bubbles180 in Conflict Cup
Soloman Grey 15.15 Market Rasen 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog)
Has made a promising start over hurdles, opening his account in good style at Plumpton (15.9f, good to soft) in December. Useful third at Kempton since and opening mark looks very fair.
Diamond Cauchois 14.20 Navan 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)
Smart hurdler. Course winner. Tongue strap on for 1st time, good 6½ lengths third of 7 to Presenting Percy in John Mulhern Galmoy Hurdle (5/1) at Gowran (24f, heavy) 24 days ago. The one to beat.
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Xtc12 got a reaction from Bubbles180 in Short Priced Favs
2nd - Tracked leaders, pushed along after 4 out, headway before 3 out, chased winner before 2 out, not quicken run-in
Captain Chaos 15.50 Market Rasen 2 Pts Win @ 4\7 (bog)
Improved since fitted with blinkers, making all at Aintree and Wetherby in November. Faded into fourth in Grade 2 at latter track latest but the one to beat with sights lowered.
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Xtc12 got a reaction from Bubbles180 in Short Priced Favs
Agrapart 14.05 Haydock 3 Pts Win @ 1.67 (bog)
Enjoyed another big victory with success in last month's Cleeve Hurdle at Cheltenham, finding plenty under usual pilot. Will relish these conditions and is the one to beat.
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Xtc12 reacted to BillyHills in Big Race Trends - Sat Feb 17th
Well we got 1st and 2nd in the Ascot race
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Xtc12 got a reaction from corky in Short Priced Favs
1st @ 1\3 - Made all, not fluent 4 out, soon clear, very easily
Well thats 11 consecutive high for the season.
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Xtc12 reacted to BillyHills in Grand National Weights
No more horses can enter but we have a couple of forfeit stages to come yet.
Apparently i heard that in the past 12 years down to number 59 have actually got in the race due to NR's from now until race day.
I think you can forget anything under 140 for a kick off.
Gigginstown Stud have 11 entries and are expected to run 3 according to their racing manager.
At this stage Blaklion and Cause Of Causes look pretty solid to me.
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Xtc12 got a reaction from Bubbles180 in Naps Competition - Wednesday Feb 14th
16.30 Musselburgh - Nefyn Bay - 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 Bet365
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Xtc12 got a reaction from corky in Naps Competition - Tuesday Feb 13th
14.55 Southwell - Volatile - 1 Pt Win @ 5\1 PP
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Xtc12 got a reaction from corky in Conflict Cup
Volatile 16.30 Southwell 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)
Useful gelding. Won 7-runner minor event at Chelmsford City (6f, 10/1) 26 days ago, driven out. Makes fibresand debut. Big shout if he takes to the new surface.
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Xtc12 got a reaction from corky in Short Priced Favs
1st @ 10\11 - Jumped right, tracked leader, tracked new leader from 10th, challenged travelling well 2 out, led between last 2, went right last, ridden and hung left towards finish, held on
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Xtc12 got a reaction from corky in Conflict Cup
1st @ 11\4 - Tracked leaders, ridden 4f out, went 2nd 2f out, led over 1f out, stayed on, clear towards finish
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Xtc12 reacted to Bubbles180 in Short Priced Favs
What a price that was finished up 10/11 but managed to get 6/4 early nice one
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Xtc12 got a reaction from corky in Short Priced Favs
1st @ 2\11 - Made all, clear from 3 out, readily
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