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thecurlyone1
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thecurlyone1 reacted to TheLionsMFC in RP tips 2016 season
Mark Langdon
1pt Bristol City 13/10 v Wigan WON
1pt Norwich 7/5 at Blackburn WON
1pt Charlton 5/4 DNB at Bury LOST
1pt Notts County 21/20 DNB at Yeovil LOST
Stake 4
Return 4.7
YTD +0.7
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thecurlyone1 reacted to only1woz in ELL TEE DEE
Nice start, hopefully a good omen for the rest of the season
29.07. bel mechelen club brugge 4 £9.50 0 2 -
thecurlyone1 reacted to only1woz in Euro 2016 - Underdog
Finished the tournament at 40 points profit overall, for a 5 points stake. Will definitely be trying this system at future tournaments too
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thecurlyone1 reacted to jtw1 in Head-to Head Meetings
TROMSO 2-2
SOGNDAL 4-3
SOL DE AMERICA 3-2
LA GUAIRA play this evening .
Sunday.....
Sweden - GOTEBORG v sundsvall 4-0-0 , 1.40
Sweden - HELSINGBORG v elfsborg 7-0-0 , 2.90
Those are the h2h's
Norway - ODD v Aalesund has ended OVER 2.5 goals in 9/10 corresponding fixtures , the last meeting at ODD was the exception [1-1] but there were no fewer than 32 goal attempts
Over 2.5 goal odds = 1.50 with Paddy Power , around 1.40 the rest.
PARAGUAY - DEP PETARE v ANZOATEGUI has finished UNDER 2.5 GOALS in 9/9 corresponding fixtures since 2008.
DEP PETARE have seen UNDER 2.5 in 9/10 home games this season [since 31st Jan]
ANZOATEGUI have had 7/12 aways end UNDER in the same period.
UNDER 2.5 goals = 1.95
BRAZIL - VITORIA v FLUMINENSE has finished OVER 2.5 in 9/9 corresponding fixtures , all 9 featured BTTS.
VITORIA have scored in all 5 league and 1 Cup game in Serie A this season , 5 were BTTS.
FLUMINENSE have scored in 5/7 aways this season , one of which was against current leaders who are 7-0-0 scored 20 conceded 4 so far.
OVER 2.5 GOALS = 2.05
BTTS = 1.80
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Hotshots Betting
Yeah, 4 goals so made up at 100. Would have been great to have bought, less so to have been a seller! Fair to say there's not been a lot of encouragement for betting on goals generally in this tournament.
So far you'd have been 67 points up blindly buying the hotshots but I think it's fair to say we'll need a bit more data than that to start drawing any conclusions!
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thecurlyone1 reacted to ghiaccio in Euro 2016 - Underdog
Yes the victory of Hungary (at around 5.80), the victory of Slovack (at 3.50) and the victory, yesterday, of N. Ireland (at 5.5) made the big profit...around 6 unity to punt 1 unity each..
Think this strategy is running good
PS: Only1woz: like already said by others forum members, i'm waiting at august to tail you at the underdog strategy...:)
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thecurlyone1 reacted to TheLionsMFC in RP 2016 tips
1pt 11/4 Belgium v Ireland DRAW LOST
1pt 11/5 Iceland v hungary DRAW WON
1pt 21/20 Austria or draw double chance WON
stake 3
Return 5.25
Ytd +0.65
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein saturday picks, 18% yield, 96 bets
It may yet not be the final tally for the season but that's where we stand so far after two bet-free weeks. I make it that betting to advised (as opposed to level) stakes would see you 4.48 points up with a yield of 15.04%.
I'd be interested to know if anyone's been following the selections at all, or at least taking an interest in how they perform.
Keeping the thread updated was a bit of a chore until I decided to start buying the Ipad edition of the paper every Friday night, which was also the only way to give myself a decent chance of getting on at the price. As luck would have it, I hit a decent run of results and the paper more than paid for itself.
28 of the 37 bets were with 365 who were not, shall we say, too keen to hold the price for long on the Saturday morning.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein saturday picks, 18% yield, 96 bets
No bet again this week, just thoughts on the Champions League and Play Off finals. Nice work if you can get it!
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein saturday picks, 18% yield, 96 bets
No cards shown so another winner.
20 winners and 1 push from 35 bets this season, a profit of 4.83 points with a yield of 13.79% and overall +23.91 with a yield of 22.34% from 107 bets.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein saturday picks, 18% yield, 96 bets
Just the one yellow card so the bet wins.
19 winners and 1 push from 34 bets this season, a profit of 4 points with a yield of 11.76% and overall +23.08 with a yield of 21.77% from 106 bets.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein saturday picks, 18% yield, 96 bets
The only card of the game was shown to the hosts so a reasonably comfortable win.
16 winners and 1 push from 30 bets this season, a profit of 2.4 points with a yield of 8% and overall +21.48 with a yield of 21.06% from 102 bets.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to only1woz in ELL TEE DEE
Excellent week. Only one away from a clean sweep.
11.03. den esbjerg aarhus 3.5 £9.50 2 1 12.03. aus ried altach 3.8 £9.50 0 2 12.03. eng stoke southampton 3.3 £9.50 1 2 12.03. ger hannover cologne 3.6 £9.50 0 2 12.03. ger hoffenheim wolfsburg 3.95 £9.50 1 0 12.03. ita inter bologna 4.2 £9.50 2 1 12.03. hol willem az 3.8 £9.50 0 2 13.03. den copenhagen aalborg 3.8 £9.50 6 2 13.03. ger leverkusen hamburg 4.2 £9.50 1 0 13.03. ita palermo napoli 5.9 £9.50 0 1 13.03. nor molde tromso 4.9 -£39.00 1 1 13.03. spa sevilla villareal 3.95 £9.50 4 2 ------ ------ WEEKLY TOTAL ---- £65.50 --- ------ ------ OVERALL TOTAL ---- -£87.50 --- -
thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Corners Picks
Cheers, my "not great so far" in relation to the results reads worse than intended - really good, detailed analysis and one more winner would have turned the small loss into a decent profit! I look forward to further previews.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to jtw1 in Head-to Head Meetings
2/4 on Sunday with a profit shown !!
HERACLES v roda 0-5
PANIONIOS v levadiakos 0-2
SPURS v swansea 2-1
MAN U v arsenal 3-2
Since Aug 7th the overall profit if 10pts had been placed on each selection would be 57.50pts
Yield , i think , sits at 9.62% [open to query]
146 bets returning 1517.50pts
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thecurlyone1 got a reaction from MPLouis in Sam Says
Loius they are usually on the end of match preview pages , ive been working silly hours ( 14-16 hrs ) again the last two weeks thats why i havent posted
got another 2 weeks of it unfortunately
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thecurlyone1 reacted to allen29 in Goal Supremacy
Because you are using a simple formula and goals are not the best measure of team quality. They are rare events and subject to chance. Also, a high scoring game can skew a team's average.
You may want to read about Expected Goals. Here is a good article.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in 50/50 system : 2015/16 :: 41 Selections : 59.22% ROC
This thread seems to be driving a coach and horses through the rules for posting in systems and strategy. No indication of odds or bookie before or after the event, an ROI claimed where most of the bets were placed before the thread was started., no indication of the ROI of the bets actually posted in the thread. I'd say it belongs in the glory hunts thread but I'm not sure it would even be compliant with the rules for there.
Or am I being unduly harsh?
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thecurlyone1 reacted to only1woz in Home underdogs
Wow a winning week lol. It's been a while
13.02. SUNDERLAND man u 5.50 £42.75 2 1 14.02. AUGSBURG bayern 13.00 -£10.00 1 3 14.02. ASTON VILLA liverpool 4.90 -£10.00 0 6 TOTAL OVERALL £205.32 -
thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein saturday picks, 18% yield, 96 bets
13 winners and 1 push from 26 bets this season, a profit of 0.63 points with a yield of 2.4% and overall +19.71 with a yield of 20.11% from 98 bets.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to jtw1 in Head-to Head Meetings
BREMEN v hertha 3-3 [Bremen have scored 2+ goals in all 7]..
LEVERKUSEN v hannover 3-0 [L'kusen have scored 2+ in 7/8]..
BARCELONA v ath madrid 2-1
GENK v kortrijk 1-0 [Genk have scored 2+ in 5/6]..
ASTERAS v levadiakos 2-0
RIO AVE v setubal 2-1
Sat
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SCHALKE v wolfsburg 5-0-0 , 2.40 [19/20 in all comps/h+a have finished 2+ goals , 13/14 have finished Over 2.5 goals]
GENOA v lazio 4-0-0 , 2.70
GALATASARAY v konyaspor 8-1-0 , 1.60
Whilst looking for h2h i noticed a couple of games with goals in them ..
1 - NEWCASTLE v WEST BROM has finished 2+ goals in 11/11 corresponding meetings , also 9 of those were Over 2.5 goals in all comps [2.25]
2 - MATTERSBURG v REID has finished 2+ goals in 15/17 previous corresponding fixtures , whilst 15 of those ended over 2.5 [1.88]
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thecurlyone1 reacted to iroquois in Secret Edge
Sandhausen - Paderborn 1, 2.50
Evian TG - Paris FC 1, 1.95
Dordrecht - Breda 2, 1.95
Volendam - Sittard 1, 1.61
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thecurlyone1 reacted to MPLouis in 50/50 system : 2015/16 :: 41 Selections : 59.22% ROC
Hi babyodds,
Thanks. It would be helpful if you could possibly quote odds and bookmaker with your tips. (I think you publish the odds with the results?)
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein saturday picks, 18% yield, 96 bets
Just the 3 cards so a fairly comfortable winner this week.
11 winners and 1 push from 24 bets this season, a loss of -1.2 points with a yield of -5% and overall +17.88 with a yield of 18.63% from 96 bets.