thecurlyone1

So benfica decided to throw away a 2-0 lead last night, which is a sore one. Will be tough to make profit this week but we'll give it a go.
One for tonight

Just the 2 yellow cards so the bet wins, even if you had to take the amended line.
14 winners and 3 pushes from 26 bets, 4.83 points up with an ROI of 19.34% to advised stakes
3.83 points up with an ROI of 14.75% to level stakes.

2 yellows and a red = 45 points and 4 cards (2 for a red) so the bet wins.
13 winners and 3 pushes from 24 bets, 4.93 points up with an ROI of 21.45% to advised stakes
3.93 points up with an ROI of 16.39% to level stakes.

This weekends selections



 

This week’s selection is Exeter +1 Asian handicap corners v MK Dons, 1pt at 1.9 with 365.

Stevenage lose the game 2-0 but thrash Forest Green 7-2 in terms of corner count.
11 winners and 3 pushes from 21 bets, 4.06 points up with an ROI of 20.3% to advised stakes
3.06 points up with an ROI of 14.57% to level stakes.

@thecurlyone1 I have pursued it tbh. The rules were never clear had a go may have another go when I get more time.

@footysystems
how did you get on with this  ?

@only1woz You might want to use a : instead of a - to separate as it's confusing if it's a positive or negative.  

Example:
Daily total: -£16.00
Running total: +£101.50

Enough shoving for things to come to a push this week! (That sounded funnier in my head.) The 6th yellow came close to the end of 90 minutes and we got through extra time without the bet becoming a loser.
10 winners and 3 pushes from 19 bets, 4.13 points up with an ROI of 22.97% to advised stakes
3.13 points up with an ROI of 16.49% to level stakes.

BRAGA, SPORTING and AVES were all winners, giving profit of £28.50, leaving the current total at £89.00
 
Todays bets are

 
Obviously I've mentioned that the odds from CGM and actual betfair odds can vary a bit. So this is my thinking moving forward.
Now, you'll see 2 sets of odds for my selections. The second set of odds is the odds from CGM bet tool (Benfica should read 6.5 not 6.7).
I'm looking to get matched as close to the CGM bet odds as possible. Maximum I will accept over the CGM odds is 1 point (so 6.0 to CGM 5.0) as I don't want to lose too much value.
In light of this, I may not get matched with some bets. If I don;t get matched then I will update when I give my results.
For example, in the Porto match above, the odds on CGM were around 8.10. I set a small bet (to test) at 8.6 a day or two ago as betfair was around 9.0, and it's now shot out to 10.0
Moving forward I wil leave the original bets up and if I get matched in play then happy days, if not it'll be a void bet.
 
I need to be wary of the value, while not cutting my nose off to spite my face
 
 
 
 
 

No joy, Macc would have needed +3.5 to win!
10 winners and 2 pushes from 18 bets, 4.13 points up with an ROI of 24.32% to advised stakes
3.13 points up with an ROI of 17.41% to level stakes.
Both the 0.5 staked bets so far have been losers, hence the better performance to advised stakes.

For tomorrow, Macclesfield +0.5 Asian handicap corners v Swindon, 0.5pt at 2.0 with 365.

Update
 
Aberdeen - £9.50
Dundee - -24.50
Juventus - £9.50
Empoli - £9.50
Napoli - £9.50
Milan - £9.50
Update Total - £23.00
Overall Total - £60.50
 
 
Nothing now till after the new year. Have a great one everybody. Stay safe and have fun

For tomorrow, Crawley +3 Asian handicap corners v Newport, 1pt at 1.975 with 365.

Here are the next set of selections for anyone who is still interested
Approx halfway through the season and showing a small profit
 

This week’s selection is Bradford most corners taken v Peterborough, 0.5pt at 4-1 with Sky Bet.
Forgot to check till this morning, cut to 3/1 now.

Another winner (4-3 to Hull in terms of corners).
7 winners and a push from 12 bets, 2.46 points up with an ROI of 20.49%
All bets still advised to 1 point so far so no difference between advised and level stakes. (Maybe Kev's ditched the variable staking.)

Hi All As promised is a list of the predictions. Prices were taken on Betfair either Exchange or Sportsbook if the bet was recorded on exchange then 5 ticks were removed from the available price to account for Commission. The P/L to date is 1.84 pts.
I am sure that by searching various bookies this could have been reduced nor have I checked but this will be done when the season ends
I will continue with the over 2.5 goal selections as I think there is a chance of a profit even though the last couple of weeks have been a bit disappointing. Plus there has been interest from other form users and I wouldn't like to disappoint them by giving up
 

Ken

Today's over 2.5 Selections

Ratings include last nights result


If you have used the new over under link you should have the same Ratings as below these are not selections just testing




Possible away win Reading and over 2.5?
Ken
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

My selections for today:
 
For Away strategy (31 units played, 2.63 units won, +8.48%)
A32: Kaiserslautern  - Uerdingen 05   2 @ 3.44
A33: Shalke 04  - Bremen  2 @ 3.75
A34: Barcelona - Sevilla  2 @ 8.16
 
For Home strategy (10 units played, 10 units lost, - 100.%)
H11: Aluminij K- Domzale 1 @ 3.60
 
For Draw strategy (11 units played, 1.64 units lost, -14.91%)
D12: Valencia - Leganes X @ 3.72
D13: Wiedenbruck - Cologne II X @ 3.56
D14: Vila Nova - Juventude X @ 3.22

A comfortable winner this week with Newcastle chasing for much of the game.
5 winners and a push from 9 bets, 1.61 points up with an ROI of 17.88%
All bets still advised to 1 point so far so no difference between advised and level stakes.

A loser this week, 1 card too many. Perhaps unlucky as United coming from 2 goals down to win ensured the game was competitive to the final whistle.
4 winners and a push from 8 bets, 0.7 points up with an ROI of 8.75%
All bets still advised to 1 point so far so no difference between advised and level stakes.
Odds on for a week off this week given it's an International weekend.

For tomorrow, Under 3.5 Asian total cards Manchester United v Newcastle, 1pt at 1.925 with 365.