Darran

A very good Sunday last week with Onset and Elvision both winning for a decent profit and both run tomorrow morning at Sandown where we have the Australian Steeplechase and Australian Hurdle. We also have the hurdling debut of Constantinople.    Race 1 We start with the Australian Steeplechase and the Wilde pair of Brittanicus and Elvison head the betting. Elvison obviously did us a great turn last week at Casterton and what a jumping performance he put in over the hedges. He never looked in any danger of getting beaten and given the small field I'm not really surprised connections have decided to run him again on the 7 day back up. His stablemate ran a hell of a race in the Brieley to just be beaten by another one from the yard in Vanguard. I have concerns about both of them though. This is a much better race than the one Elvision won last week and although he's clearly improving he was beaten by Once Were Lost at Warrnambool. I also wonder if the two of them might end up cutting each others throats up front. I guess they will try not to do that, but Elvison clearly likes front running and Brittanicus can be keen and although he hasn't always front run he did at Warrnambool. I'm also not sure Brittanicus will stay the trip so as much as either winning wouldn't surprise I do think there could be value in looking elsewhere.   Bit Of Lad won this 2 years ago, but he didn't run great in the Brierly even allowing for the fact that he blew the start. Pateman told the stewards he needs a softer surface which he wont get here. Once Were Lost got the better of Elvison at Warrnambool and maybe this extra trip will help, but he carried 66kg compared to the 2nd carrying 71kg and here Elvison only has to give him 1kg so really the form ought to be reversed. Quite why Coleridge is as short as he is I don't know because he was miles behind Elvison last week.   I put up Getting Leggie in the Grand Annual and I am going to put him up again here because he just shouldn't be the outsider. I thought he ran a cracking race at Warrnambool as he wasn't beaten far in 4th and I think the trip in the very testing ground 2nd up was just a bit too much for him. 1st up he was 1 place in front of Britannicus at Pakenham when they were 3rd and 4th and I think this trip will suit Getting Leggie better than Britannicus. He has never won on a heavy track so this better ground should be ideal and he's got a really solid chance for me. He's been nibbled in the betting which doesn't surprise me.   Getting Leggie 1pt @ 9/1 with everyone   Race 4 Constantinople doesn't need too many introductions I am sure given his high profile form for Aiden O'Brien. He went off favourite for a Caulfield Cup and was well fancied for a Melbourne Cup. That was back in 2019 where you also have to go back to for his last win which came in a Group 3 at the Curragh in May that year. His only other win was a Thurles maiden win the year before. He's been running in good races and has run some good races especially of late where he has been 2nd in the Terang Cup last month and then 3rd in the Warrnambool Cup where he overraced. I've watched his two hurdle trials and he isn't a great jumper it has to be said. He has also looked keen in them. He could well outclass his rivals here and the fact he's likely to make mistakes might not stop him, but on the other side I do wonder if he is keen again that he might not stay the trip. Runaway was behind him in 3rd in the trial last time, he's likely to make the running and they might take each other on.   So can anything beat Constantinople? I thought Blandford Lad did very well in the Champion Novice at Warrnambool to finish 2nd and although he came wide the better ground was certainly on the outside so it helped the first 4 home that day. He's certainly a chance here though as he won his maiden well at Pakenham as well. I thought Hey Happy did it well at Casterton last week as he beat the other market leader and they pulled well clear of everything else. This is tougher, but he should go well. Pueblo was disappointing in the Champion Novice, but if he returns to the Pakenham maiden win form then he has claims. Onset won at a double figure price for us last week and she bolted up. As I mentioned ahead of that she was on the wrong part of the track in the Champion Novice and ran a hell of a race to finish so close. She has clearly improved, but is it enough to beat Constantinople only getting 0.5kg from him?   All the other leading fancies have to give Constantinople weight as he has 66.5kg to carry whereas Runaway has 71kg, Blandford Lad 69, Hey Happy 68.5 and Pueblo 68. So as much as his jumping doesn't impress me and there are stamina doubts, I actually think he will get away with it against this field at these weights as he just has a class edge on the rest of them so I actually do think he offers a bit of value. Onset might be the one to chase him home.   Constantinople 1pt @ 11/5 with Bet365   Race 5 No horse has won back-to-back Australian Hurdles' since The Shu in 95 and 96 and only 3 others have done it in the history of the race which was first run in 1892. Saunter Boy carried 66.5kg last year to win this and has to carry 71kg this time around, but I think he can do it. He's already picked up 2 decent pots this season at Pakenham and Warrnambool and although Out And Dreaming has a chance of reversing form at the weights I don't think he will although he does look the main danger to me. Saunter Boy is just so tough and really has that will to win. Saunter Boy's high rating means the whole field aren't carrying the true weights that they should which helps his chances. El Diez won the Champion Novice and had Brungle Bertie and Devon Miss in behind and I think Brungle Bertie can do the best of that trio, but Saunter Boy can make history and land back-to-back victories in this historic race.   Saunter Boy 2pts @ 13/10 @ Bet365

The jumping action is back on Sunday with four races at Casterton.
Race 1 This looks a very weak race and there is every chance Tolemac only has to repeat his front running 2nd at Warrnambool to land this. That was a better race than this and he looks the most likely winner. Hey Happy was short in the betting for both his hurdle runs last season and didn't really show a great deal. He has been running well on the flat this prep though so he does have the ability to get involved. I'm amazed Joshua Reynolds has gone backwards from his good 2nd at Hamilton. He was only 4th at Pakenham the next time and then only beat one home at Warrnambool. He's got a right chance on the Hamilton run though and if he bounces back he's overpriced. I'm concerned enough about Hey Happy to not want to get involved in Tolemac at the odds so will have a small e/w bet on Joshua Reynolds in the hope he can run up to his Hamilton effort.   Joshua Reynolds 0.5pts e/w @ 14/1 with everyone apart from Bet365   Race 2 Capellani is the odds on favourite here. He had 3 starts over hurdles in New Zealand and showed a little, but he has been in very good form on the flat of late having finished 3rd 1st up and then he's won his last two. He had a hurdle trial as well and that was solid enough. Dr Dependable made a good start to his jumps career, but has gone the wrong way since the 2nd at Warrnambool. It was only a weak race Dubawi Prince won on the flat last time, but it was still a good performance in the context of this race. He had a trial over hurdles last week and he jumped well without really being asked for an effort. Jeune Elvis went too quick at Warrnambool and faded, but if he can settle better he wouldn't be out of this. Hakana Matata ran well on the flat last time and wouldn't be out of it. I think this is more open than the betting suggests and I will take a chance each-way on Onset. She's had a few chances to lose her maiden tag now but she looks in good form this prep. She wasn't beaten far at Pakenham when 5th and was then 3rd at Warrnambool just behind Tolemac. Two days later she ran in the Champion Novice Hurdle and ran a hell of a race to just be beaten in 5th. She stuck to the inside where the going was slower as the first 4 all took wide passages into the straight. If she can repeat those efforts then she is a big player here.   Onset 1pt e/w @ 10/1 with William Hill, Coral and Ladbrokes   Race 3 An open handicap hurdle and we have two of the maiden hurdle runners from Warrnambool line-up in Lord Pierro and Count Zero. I'm not sure either contest was overly strong although both have claims here and I would favour Count Zero of the pair as the front two had a gap to the 3rd and he is the better horse on the flat. By Design is a big price and he's shown little in a couple of flat runs, but he was 3rd here on his hurdle debut last year and then won at Hamilton. I don't think he's out of this. Serenade The Stars landed the first maiden of the season, but that wasn't a strong race at all and he was then 2nd to Chenners at Hamilton which I would be surprised if that was form good enough to win this. Hush Writer hated the ground at Warrnambool in the Champion Novice and he is better than that, but the horse I like was the horse I fancied for that race before he was taken out, Rolland Garros. He finished a fair way in front of Hush Writer when they were 2nd and 4th at Pakenham and it looked the perfect prep run for Warrnambool. Annoyingly he was taken out, but hopefully they get the rain that is forecast because the softer the better for him. The softer the ground the more confident I would be about his chances, but I think he's the best horse in the race so hopefully can go and prove it.   Roland Garos 2pts @ 9/4 with Betfred, Coral and Ladbrokes   Race 4 I'd be a little surprised if Elvison or Historic didn't win this as they look to have the edge on the rest of the field. I put Elvison up at Warrnambool at a double figure price and he ran a huge race from the front only just getting passed late on. They were miles clear of the rest. He had a flat start prior to that, but it is easy to think he is going to come on again for his first jumps start of the prep and he's a course and distance winner so we know that wont be an issue for him. Historic was last in a maiden hurdle at Warrnambool, but he's much better over fences so it was a run just for fitness. He can be very good as he showed when winning 3 times (here, Sale and Coleraine) last year, but he also can throw in some right stinkers and fail to finish as he did in this race last year. For me that tips the balance in favour of Elvison and he can go one better than last time.   Elvision 2.5pts @ 6/4 with everyone apart from Paddy Power and Betfair

It doesn't matter how big your betting bank is you should open as many bookies with the main bookies as possible so you can take advantage of the best price on offer. If you had two shops next door to each other and something you wanted to buy was cheaper in one than the other you aren't going to go for the more expensive option. Betting is no different.

The last at Aintree tonight is a point to point bumper. Like the Exeter one last month this race is specifically for horses who have run in a point this season. On paper it doesn't look a strong contest.   Broomfields Cave - Didn't show too much in Ireland, but won both starts since coming over here. Was very well backed on his first start where he was spooked at the first by a loose dog (sadly no video footage) and he nearly unseated. He beat 2 horses there and had 3 in the race he won by 30L at Chilfrome last time. He beat nothing there though and I'm pretty neutral about his chances as he might be good enough, but at the same time I prefer others in the race.   Just Four Fame - Found himself outpaced at Chaddesley Corbett last month over just over 2m3f and on debut he probably would have been 4th if the horse who was going to win didn't have their saddle slip on the run in and if My Virtue hadn't slipped round the bend. Good jockey, but not sure he has the pace for this.   Santos Blue - Was put in at some fancy prices last night which not surprisingly were taken. On debut he won a 3 runner point to point bumper and he then went to Larkhill over 2m4f where he was closing when falling at 2 out. The winner of that race has been sold for £30k since. He went back to Larkhill for his next start but unseated at the 3rd when badly hampered. A week later he went to Horseheath where he was a well beaten 2nd, but the winner was very impressive and has been sold for £30k. There were only 3 finishers and he was 30L in front of the other one who has won twice since. James King rode him in hist first 3 starts and does so again tonight.   Tufton Avenue - Won a match at Paxford where not surprisingly the time was very slow. Quickened away well but the other one was a well beaten 5th on debut so I doubt he achieved much. Off course on the flipside we don't know how good he might be, but under priced at the moment for me. Has already tried to be sold but didn't reach his reserve of £50k although that seemed staggering high for a horse winning a match.   Fascinating Rhythm - Would have been in front of Macavity at Charm Park on his 2nd start but for unseating 2 out and he was still in with a chance of winning. Found himself outpaced in a point to point bumper on his debut when a 3L 3rd although the winner is now with Gordon Elliott. Was beaten a short head over 3m and then won by 17L over the same course and distance. To me he looks more of a stayer and he might find this test too sharp, but I do like his form certainly compared to most of these.   Good Boy - He was an easy winner of a point to point bumper at Sandon a month ago on debut where he had Sugar Pi 17L back in 3rd. Not sure the form is overly strong, but he looked green and there should be more to come. The bigger concern is Gina chooses to rides the stablemate.   Intrepide Sud - And here is said stablemate who finished alone at Garthorpe in a 2m4f maiden although he would have won anyway. He jumped novicey and was clearly still green as he flashed his tail on the run in. On the face of it I was more impressed with Good Boy, but Gina would know better than me and so you have to say he is the most likely winner out of the two. Has already been tried to be sold and went through the ring at £24k unsold.    Macavity - Recorded a slow time last time especially given he got the 14lbs allowance for his age. A couple of weeks before he won a weak race where the favourite pulled up after the rider lost their irons and the 2nd has been beaten since. On debut he was beaten over 40L and as mentioned above would have been beaten by Fascinating Rhythm. I think backers have to hope that a 2m1f bumper suits him better than Fascinating Rhythm otherwise I can't see that form being reversed.   Sugar Pi - Stuffed in his first two point bumpers and can't see any reason why he would reverse form with Good Boy from last time.   My Virtue - Was last and well beaten in a point bumper on debut at Bangor in March, but that did come on very testing ground and she ran much better on her next two starts. She was bang in contention at Maisemore when clipping heels coming round the bend and she would have likely been well clear of Just Four Fame. Had an easy task to shed her maiden tag at Eyton last time in a match and if the ground was to blame for the Bangor run then I think her chance is better than the odds suggest.   Verdict - I don't think this is a particular strong renewal of this race on paper and it looks fairly wide open. Part of the problem is a few of these have been running and winning in small fields so it's hard to judge how much ability they actually have. I thought Good Boy won well on debut, but Gina has chosen Intrepide Sud over him and it would be surprising if she got it wrong, but they both look to have a chance. I think Fascinating Rhythm has the best form in the race, but it is a worry that he was outpaced in a bumper on debut and he looks more of a stayer. The one I like the most is Santos Blue who has managed to win a 2m flat race (albeit only had 2 rivals) and I think he has come up against good horses in the 2 maidens he got the furthest in. There is a good chance that at Horseheath he just didn't stay up the hill as well as the winner which is why he was beaten so far, so this test should be more suitable.    To be honest apart from Sugar Pi and Just Four Fame you could understand why one of the others could win or more have enough ability to win, but I do think the complete outsider My Virtue is overpriced at 50/1. She has a good jockey claiming 3lbs and if she hadn't run at Bangor or had completed at Maisemore then there is no way she would be priced up anywhere near those odds. I have to have a small bet on her as well.   Santos Blue 1pt @ 7/1 with most bookies (take up to 5/1) My Virtue 0.25pts e/w @ 50/1 with everyone (take up to 20/1)

The last at Aintree tonight is a point to point bumper. Like the Exeter one last month this race is specifically for horses who have run in a point this season. On paper it doesn't look a strong contest.   Broomfields Cave - Didn't show too much in Ireland, but won both starts since coming over here. Was very well backed on his first start where he was spooked at the first by a loose dog (sadly no video footage) and he nearly unseated. He beat 2 horses there and had 3 in the race he won by 30L at Chilfrome last time. He beat nothing there though and I'm pretty neutral about his chances as he might be good enough, but at the same time I prefer others in the race.   Just Four Fame - Found himself outpaced at Chaddesley Corbett last month over just over 2m3f and on debut he probably would have been 4th if the horse who was going to win didn't have their saddle slip on the run in and if My Virtue hadn't slipped round the bend. Good jockey, but not sure he has the pace for this.   Santos Blue - Was put in at some fancy prices last night which not surprisingly were taken. On debut he won a 3 runner point to point bumper and he then went to Larkhill over 2m4f where he was closing when falling at 2 out. The winner of that race has been sold for £30k since. He went back to Larkhill for his next start but unseated at the 3rd when badly hampered. A week later he went to Horseheath where he was a well beaten 2nd, but the winner was very impressive and has been sold for £30k. There were only 3 finishers and he was 30L in front of the other one who has won twice since. James King rode him in hist first 3 starts and does so again tonight.   Tufton Avenue - Won a match at Paxford where not surprisingly the time was very slow. Quickened away well but the other one was a well beaten 5th on debut so I doubt he achieved much. Off course on the flipside we don't know how good he might be, but under priced at the moment for me. Has already tried to be sold but didn't reach his reserve of £50k although that seemed staggering high for a horse winning a match.   Fascinating Rhythm - Would have been in front of Macavity at Charm Park on his 2nd start but for unseating 2 out and he was still in with a chance of winning. Found himself outpaced in a point to point bumper on his debut when a 3L 3rd although the winner is now with Gordon Elliott. Was beaten a short head over 3m and then won by 17L over the same course and distance. To me he looks more of a stayer and he might find this test too sharp, but I do like his form certainly compared to most of these.   Good Boy - He was an easy winner of a point to point bumper at Sandon a month ago on debut where he had Sugar Pi 17L back in 3rd. Not sure the form is overly strong, but he looked green and there should be more to come. The bigger concern is Gina chooses to rides the stablemate.   Intrepide Sud - And here is said stablemate who finished alone at Garthorpe in a 2m4f maiden although he would have won anyway. He jumped novicey and was clearly still green as he flashed his tail on the run in. On the face of it I was more impressed with Good Boy, but Gina would know better than me and so you have to say he is the most likely winner out of the two. Has already been tried to be sold and went through the ring at £24k unsold.    Macavity - Recorded a slow time last time especially given he got the 14lbs allowance for his age. A couple of weeks before he won a weak race where the favourite pulled up after the rider lost their irons and the 2nd has been beaten since. On debut he was beaten over 40L and as mentioned above would have been beaten by Fascinating Rhythm. I think backers have to hope that a 2m1f bumper suits him better than Fascinating Rhythm otherwise I can't see that form being reversed.   Sugar Pi - Stuffed in his first two point bumpers and can't see any reason why he would reverse form with Good Boy from last time.   My Virtue - Was last and well beaten in a point bumper on debut at Bangor in March, but that did come on very testing ground and she ran much better on her next two starts. She was bang in contention at Maisemore when clipping heels coming round the bend and she would have likely been well clear of Just Four Fame. Had an easy task to shed her maiden tag at Eyton last time in a match and if the ground was to blame for the Bangor run then I think her chance is better than the odds suggest.   Verdict - I don't think this is a particular strong renewal of this race on paper and it looks fairly wide open. Part of the problem is a few of these have been running and winning in small fields so it's hard to judge how much ability they actually have. I thought Good Boy won well on debut, but Gina has chosen Intrepide Sud over him and it would be surprising if she got it wrong, but they both look to have a chance. I think Fascinating Rhythm has the best form in the race, but it is a worry that he was outpaced in a bumper on debut and he looks more of a stayer. The one I like the most is Santos Blue who has managed to win a 2m flat race (albeit only had 2 rivals) and I think he has come up against good horses in the 2 maidens he got the furthest in. There is a good chance that at Horseheath he just didn't stay up the hill as well as the winner which is why he was beaten so far, so this test should be more suitable.    To be honest apart from Sugar Pi and Just Four Fame you could understand why one of the others could win or more have enough ability to win, but I do think the complete outsider My Virtue is overpriced at 50/1. She has a good jockey claiming 3lbs and if she hadn't run at Bangor or had completed at Maisemore then there is no way she would be priced up anywhere near those odds. I have to have a small bet on her as well.   Santos Blue 1pt @ 7/1 with most bookies (take up to 5/1) My Virtue 0.25pts e/w @ 50/1 with everyone (take up to 20/1)

The last at Aintree tonight is a point to point bumper. Like the Exeter one last month this race is specifically for horses who have run in a point this season. On paper it doesn't look a strong contest.   Broomfields Cave - Didn't show too much in Ireland, but won both starts since coming over here. Was very well backed on his first start where he was spooked at the first by a loose dog (sadly no video footage) and he nearly unseated. He beat 2 horses there and had 3 in the race he won by 30L at Chilfrome last time. He beat nothing there though and I'm pretty neutral about his chances as he might be good enough, but at the same time I prefer others in the race.   Just Four Fame - Found himself outpaced at Chaddesley Corbett last month over just over 2m3f and on debut he probably would have been 4th if the horse who was going to win didn't have their saddle slip on the run in and if My Virtue hadn't slipped round the bend. Good jockey, but not sure he has the pace for this.   Santos Blue - Was put in at some fancy prices last night which not surprisingly were taken. On debut he won a 3 runner point to point bumper and he then went to Larkhill over 2m4f where he was closing when falling at 2 out. The winner of that race has been sold for £30k since. He went back to Larkhill for his next start but unseated at the 3rd when badly hampered. A week later he went to Horseheath where he was a well beaten 2nd, but the winner was very impressive and has been sold for £30k. There were only 3 finishers and he was 30L in front of the other one who has won twice since. James King rode him in hist first 3 starts and does so again tonight.   Tufton Avenue - Won a match at Paxford where not surprisingly the time was very slow. Quickened away well but the other one was a well beaten 5th on debut so I doubt he achieved much. Off course on the flipside we don't know how good he might be, but under priced at the moment for me. Has already tried to be sold but didn't reach his reserve of £50k although that seemed staggering high for a horse winning a match.   Fascinating Rhythm - Would have been in front of Macavity at Charm Park on his 2nd start but for unseating 2 out and he was still in with a chance of winning. Found himself outpaced in a point to point bumper on his debut when a 3L 3rd although the winner is now with Gordon Elliott. Was beaten a short head over 3m and then won by 17L over the same course and distance. To me he looks more of a stayer and he might find this test too sharp, but I do like his form certainly compared to most of these.   Good Boy - He was an easy winner of a point to point bumper at Sandon a month ago on debut where he had Sugar Pi 17L back in 3rd. Not sure the form is overly strong, but he looked green and there should be more to come. The bigger concern is Gina chooses to rides the stablemate.   Intrepide Sud - And here is said stablemate who finished alone at Garthorpe in a 2m4f maiden although he would have won anyway. He jumped novicey and was clearly still green as he flashed his tail on the run in. On the face of it I was more impressed with Good Boy, but Gina would know better than me and so you have to say he is the most likely winner out of the two. Has already been tried to be sold and went through the ring at £24k unsold.    Macavity - Recorded a slow time last time especially given he got the 14lbs allowance for his age. A couple of weeks before he won a weak race where the favourite pulled up after the rider lost their irons and the 2nd has been beaten since. On debut he was beaten over 40L and as mentioned above would have been beaten by Fascinating Rhythm. I think backers have to hope that a 2m1f bumper suits him better than Fascinating Rhythm otherwise I can't see that form being reversed.   Sugar Pi - Stuffed in his first two point bumpers and can't see any reason why he would reverse form with Good Boy from last time.   My Virtue - Was last and well beaten in a point bumper on debut at Bangor in March, but that did come on very testing ground and she ran much better on her next two starts. She was bang in contention at Maisemore when clipping heels coming round the bend and she would have likely been well clear of Just Four Fame. Had an easy task to shed her maiden tag at Eyton last time in a match and if the ground was to blame for the Bangor run then I think her chance is better than the odds suggest.   Verdict - I don't think this is a particular strong renewal of this race on paper and it looks fairly wide open. Part of the problem is a few of these have been running and winning in small fields so it's hard to judge how much ability they actually have. I thought Good Boy won well on debut, but Gina has chosen Intrepide Sud over him and it would be surprising if she got it wrong, but they both look to have a chance. I think Fascinating Rhythm has the best form in the race, but it is a worry that he was outpaced in a bumper on debut and he looks more of a stayer. The one I like the most is Santos Blue who has managed to win a 2m flat race (albeit only had 2 rivals) and I think he has come up against good horses in the 2 maidens he got the furthest in. There is a good chance that at Horseheath he just didn't stay up the hill as well as the winner which is why he was beaten so far, so this test should be more suitable.    To be honest apart from Sugar Pi and Just Four Fame you could understand why one of the others could win or more have enough ability to win, but I do think the complete outsider My Virtue is overpriced at 50/1. She has a good jockey claiming 3lbs and if she hadn't run at Bangor or had completed at Maisemore then there is no way she would be priced up anywhere near those odds. I have to have a small bet on her as well.   Santos Blue 1pt @ 7/1 with most bookies (take up to 5/1) My Virtue 0.25pts e/w @ 50/1 with everyone (take up to 20/1)

The last at Aintree tonight is a point to point bumper. Like the Exeter one last month this race is specifically for horses who have run in a point this season. On paper it doesn't look a strong contest.   Broomfields Cave - Didn't show too much in Ireland, but won both starts since coming over here. Was very well backed on his first start where he was spooked at the first by a loose dog (sadly no video footage) and he nearly unseated. He beat 2 horses there and had 3 in the race he won by 30L at Chilfrome last time. He beat nothing there though and I'm pretty neutral about his chances as he might be good enough, but at the same time I prefer others in the race.   Just Four Fame - Found himself outpaced at Chaddesley Corbett last month over just over 2m3f and on debut he probably would have been 4th if the horse who was going to win didn't have their saddle slip on the run in and if My Virtue hadn't slipped round the bend. Good jockey, but not sure he has the pace for this.   Santos Blue - Was put in at some fancy prices last night which not surprisingly were taken. On debut he won a 3 runner point to point bumper and he then went to Larkhill over 2m4f where he was closing when falling at 2 out. The winner of that race has been sold for £30k since. He went back to Larkhill for his next start but unseated at the 3rd when badly hampered. A week later he went to Horseheath where he was a well beaten 2nd, but the winner was very impressive and has been sold for £30k. There were only 3 finishers and he was 30L in front of the other one who has won twice since. James King rode him in hist first 3 starts and does so again tonight.   Tufton Avenue - Won a match at Paxford where not surprisingly the time was very slow. Quickened away well but the other one was a well beaten 5th on debut so I doubt he achieved much. Off course on the flipside we don't know how good he might be, but under priced at the moment for me. Has already tried to be sold but didn't reach his reserve of £50k although that seemed staggering high for a horse winning a match.   Fascinating Rhythm - Would have been in front of Macavity at Charm Park on his 2nd start but for unseating 2 out and he was still in with a chance of winning. Found himself outpaced in a point to point bumper on his debut when a 3L 3rd although the winner is now with Gordon Elliott. Was beaten a short head over 3m and then won by 17L over the same course and distance. To me he looks more of a stayer and he might find this test too sharp, but I do like his form certainly compared to most of these.   Good Boy - He was an easy winner of a point to point bumper at Sandon a month ago on debut where he had Sugar Pi 17L back in 3rd. Not sure the form is overly strong, but he looked green and there should be more to come. The bigger concern is Gina chooses to rides the stablemate.   Intrepide Sud - And here is said stablemate who finished alone at Garthorpe in a 2m4f maiden although he would have won anyway. He jumped novicey and was clearly still green as he flashed his tail on the run in. On the face of it I was more impressed with Good Boy, but Gina would know better than me and so you have to say he is the most likely winner out of the two. Has already been tried to be sold and went through the ring at £24k unsold.    Macavity - Recorded a slow time last time especially given he got the 14lbs allowance for his age. A couple of weeks before he won a weak race where the favourite pulled up after the rider lost their irons and the 2nd has been beaten since. On debut he was beaten over 40L and as mentioned above would have been beaten by Fascinating Rhythm. I think backers have to hope that a 2m1f bumper suits him better than Fascinating Rhythm otherwise I can't see that form being reversed.   Sugar Pi - Stuffed in his first two point bumpers and can't see any reason why he would reverse form with Good Boy from last time.   My Virtue - Was last and well beaten in a point bumper on debut at Bangor in March, but that did come on very testing ground and she ran much better on her next two starts. She was bang in contention at Maisemore when clipping heels coming round the bend and she would have likely been well clear of Just Four Fame. Had an easy task to shed her maiden tag at Eyton last time in a match and if the ground was to blame for the Bangor run then I think her chance is better than the odds suggest.   Verdict - I don't think this is a particular strong renewal of this race on paper and it looks fairly wide open. Part of the problem is a few of these have been running and winning in small fields so it's hard to judge how much ability they actually have. I thought Good Boy won well on debut, but Gina has chosen Intrepide Sud over him and it would be surprising if she got it wrong, but they both look to have a chance. I think Fascinating Rhythm has the best form in the race, but it is a worry that he was outpaced in a bumper on debut and he looks more of a stayer. The one I like the most is Santos Blue who has managed to win a 2m flat race (albeit only had 2 rivals) and I think he has come up against good horses in the 2 maidens he got the furthest in. There is a good chance that at Horseheath he just didn't stay up the hill as well as the winner which is why he was beaten so far, so this test should be more suitable.    To be honest apart from Sugar Pi and Just Four Fame you could understand why one of the others could win or more have enough ability to win, but I do think the complete outsider My Virtue is overpriced at 50/1. She has a good jockey claiming 3lbs and if she hadn't run at Bangor or had completed at Maisemore then there is no way she would be priced up anywhere near those odds. I have to have a small bet on her as well.   Santos Blue 1pt @ 7/1 with most bookies (take up to 5/1) My Virtue 0.25pts e/w @ 50/1 with everyone (take up to 20/1)

The last at Aintree tonight is a point to point bumper. Like the Exeter one last month this race is specifically for horses who have run in a point this season. On paper it doesn't look a strong contest.   Broomfields Cave - Didn't show too much in Ireland, but won both starts since coming over here. Was very well backed on his first start where he was spooked at the first by a loose dog (sadly no video footage) and he nearly unseated. He beat 2 horses there and had 3 in the race he won by 30L at Chilfrome last time. He beat nothing there though and I'm pretty neutral about his chances as he might be good enough, but at the same time I prefer others in the race.   Just Four Fame - Found himself outpaced at Chaddesley Corbett last month over just over 2m3f and on debut he probably would have been 4th if the horse who was going to win didn't have their saddle slip on the run in and if My Virtue hadn't slipped round the bend. Good jockey, but not sure he has the pace for this.   Santos Blue - Was put in at some fancy prices last night which not surprisingly were taken. On debut he won a 3 runner point to point bumper and he then went to Larkhill over 2m4f where he was closing when falling at 2 out. The winner of that race has been sold for £30k since. He went back to Larkhill for his next start but unseated at the 3rd when badly hampered. A week later he went to Horseheath where he was a well beaten 2nd, but the winner was very impressive and has been sold for £30k. There were only 3 finishers and he was 30L in front of the other one who has won twice since. James King rode him in hist first 3 starts and does so again tonight.   Tufton Avenue - Won a match at Paxford where not surprisingly the time was very slow. Quickened away well but the other one was a well beaten 5th on debut so I doubt he achieved much. Off course on the flipside we don't know how good he might be, but under priced at the moment for me. Has already tried to be sold but didn't reach his reserve of £50k although that seemed staggering high for a horse winning a match.   Fascinating Rhythm - Would have been in front of Macavity at Charm Park on his 2nd start but for unseating 2 out and he was still in with a chance of winning. Found himself outpaced in a point to point bumper on his debut when a 3L 3rd although the winner is now with Gordon Elliott. Was beaten a short head over 3m and then won by 17L over the same course and distance. To me he looks more of a stayer and he might find this test too sharp, but I do like his form certainly compared to most of these.   Good Boy - He was an easy winner of a point to point bumper at Sandon a month ago on debut where he had Sugar Pi 17L back in 3rd. Not sure the form is overly strong, but he looked green and there should be more to come. The bigger concern is Gina chooses to rides the stablemate.   Intrepide Sud - And here is said stablemate who finished alone at Garthorpe in a 2m4f maiden although he would have won anyway. He jumped novicey and was clearly still green as he flashed his tail on the run in. On the face of it I was more impressed with Good Boy, but Gina would know better than me and so you have to say he is the most likely winner out of the two. Has already been tried to be sold and went through the ring at £24k unsold.    Macavity - Recorded a slow time last time especially given he got the 14lbs allowance for his age. A couple of weeks before he won a weak race where the favourite pulled up after the rider lost their irons and the 2nd has been beaten since. On debut he was beaten over 40L and as mentioned above would have been beaten by Fascinating Rhythm. I think backers have to hope that a 2m1f bumper suits him better than Fascinating Rhythm otherwise I can't see that form being reversed.   Sugar Pi - Stuffed in his first two point bumpers and can't see any reason why he would reverse form with Good Boy from last time.   My Virtue - Was last and well beaten in a point bumper on debut at Bangor in March, but that did come on very testing ground and she ran much better on her next two starts. She was bang in contention at Maisemore when clipping heels coming round the bend and she would have likely been well clear of Just Four Fame. Had an easy task to shed her maiden tag at Eyton last time in a match and if the ground was to blame for the Bangor run then I think her chance is better than the odds suggest.   Verdict - I don't think this is a particular strong renewal of this race on paper and it looks fairly wide open. Part of the problem is a few of these have been running and winning in small fields so it's hard to judge how much ability they actually have. I thought Good Boy won well on debut, but Gina has chosen Intrepide Sud over him and it would be surprising if she got it wrong, but they both look to have a chance. I think Fascinating Rhythm has the best form in the race, but it is a worry that he was outpaced in a bumper on debut and he looks more of a stayer. The one I like the most is Santos Blue who has managed to win a 2m flat race (albeit only had 2 rivals) and I think he has come up against good horses in the 2 maidens he got the furthest in. There is a good chance that at Horseheath he just didn't stay up the hill as well as the winner which is why he was beaten so far, so this test should be more suitable.    To be honest apart from Sugar Pi and Just Four Fame you could understand why one of the others could win or more have enough ability to win, but I do think the complete outsider My Virtue is overpriced at 50/1. She has a good jockey claiming 3lbs and if she hadn't run at Bangor or had completed at Maisemore then there is no way she would be priced up anywhere near those odds. I have to have a small bet on her as well.   Santos Blue 1pt @ 7/1 with most bookies (take up to 5/1) My Virtue 0.25pts e/w @ 50/1 with everyone (take up to 20/1)

The last at Aintree tonight is a point to point bumper. Like the Exeter one last month this race is specifically for horses who have run in a point this season. On paper it doesn't look a strong contest.   Broomfields Cave - Didn't show too much in Ireland, but won both starts since coming over here. Was very well backed on his first start where he was spooked at the first by a loose dog (sadly no video footage) and he nearly unseated. He beat 2 horses there and had 3 in the race he won by 30L at Chilfrome last time. He beat nothing there though and I'm pretty neutral about his chances as he might be good enough, but at the same time I prefer others in the race.   Just Four Fame - Found himself outpaced at Chaddesley Corbett last month over just over 2m3f and on debut he probably would have been 4th if the horse who was going to win didn't have their saddle slip on the run in and if My Virtue hadn't slipped round the bend. Good jockey, but not sure he has the pace for this.   Santos Blue - Was put in at some fancy prices last night which not surprisingly were taken. On debut he won a 3 runner point to point bumper and he then went to Larkhill over 2m4f where he was closing when falling at 2 out. The winner of that race has been sold for £30k since. He went back to Larkhill for his next start but unseated at the 3rd when badly hampered. A week later he went to Horseheath where he was a well beaten 2nd, but the winner was very impressive and has been sold for £30k. There were only 3 finishers and he was 30L in front of the other one who has won twice since. James King rode him in hist first 3 starts and does so again tonight.   Tufton Avenue - Won a match at Paxford where not surprisingly the time was very slow. Quickened away well but the other one was a well beaten 5th on debut so I doubt he achieved much. Off course on the flipside we don't know how good he might be, but under priced at the moment for me. Has already tried to be sold but didn't reach his reserve of £50k although that seemed staggering high for a horse winning a match.   Fascinating Rhythm - Would have been in front of Macavity at Charm Park on his 2nd start but for unseating 2 out and he was still in with a chance of winning. Found himself outpaced in a point to point bumper on his debut when a 3L 3rd although the winner is now with Gordon Elliott. Was beaten a short head over 3m and then won by 17L over the same course and distance. To me he looks more of a stayer and he might find this test too sharp, but I do like his form certainly compared to most of these.   Good Boy - He was an easy winner of a point to point bumper at Sandon a month ago on debut where he had Sugar Pi 17L back in 3rd. Not sure the form is overly strong, but he looked green and there should be more to come. The bigger concern is Gina chooses to rides the stablemate.   Intrepide Sud - And here is said stablemate who finished alone at Garthorpe in a 2m4f maiden although he would have won anyway. He jumped novicey and was clearly still green as he flashed his tail on the run in. On the face of it I was more impressed with Good Boy, but Gina would know better than me and so you have to say he is the most likely winner out of the two. Has already been tried to be sold and went through the ring at £24k unsold.    Macavity - Recorded a slow time last time especially given he got the 14lbs allowance for his age. A couple of weeks before he won a weak race where the favourite pulled up after the rider lost their irons and the 2nd has been beaten since. On debut he was beaten over 40L and as mentioned above would have been beaten by Fascinating Rhythm. I think backers have to hope that a 2m1f bumper suits him better than Fascinating Rhythm otherwise I can't see that form being reversed.   Sugar Pi - Stuffed in his first two point bumpers and can't see any reason why he would reverse form with Good Boy from last time.   My Virtue - Was last and well beaten in a point bumper on debut at Bangor in March, but that did come on very testing ground and she ran much better on her next two starts. She was bang in contention at Maisemore when clipping heels coming round the bend and she would have likely been well clear of Just Four Fame. Had an easy task to shed her maiden tag at Eyton last time in a match and if the ground was to blame for the Bangor run then I think her chance is better than the odds suggest.   Verdict - I don't think this is a particular strong renewal of this race on paper and it looks fairly wide open. Part of the problem is a few of these have been running and winning in small fields so it's hard to judge how much ability they actually have. I thought Good Boy won well on debut, but Gina has chosen Intrepide Sud over him and it would be surprising if she got it wrong, but they both look to have a chance. I think Fascinating Rhythm has the best form in the race, but it is a worry that he was outpaced in a bumper on debut and he looks more of a stayer. The one I like the most is Santos Blue who has managed to win a 2m flat race (albeit only had 2 rivals) and I think he has come up against good horses in the 2 maidens he got the furthest in. There is a good chance that at Horseheath he just didn't stay up the hill as well as the winner which is why he was beaten so far, so this test should be more suitable.    To be honest apart from Sugar Pi and Just Four Fame you could understand why one of the others could win or more have enough ability to win, but I do think the complete outsider My Virtue is overpriced at 50/1. She has a good jockey claiming 3lbs and if she hadn't run at Bangor or had completed at Maisemore then there is no way she would be priced up anywhere near those odds. I have to have a small bet on her as well.   Santos Blue 1pt @ 7/1 with most bookies (take up to 5/1) My Virtue 0.25pts e/w @ 50/1 with everyone (take up to 20/1)

The last at Aintree tonight is a point to point bumper. Like the Exeter one last month this race is specifically for horses who have run in a point this season. On paper it doesn't look a strong contest.   Broomfields Cave - Didn't show too much in Ireland, but won both starts since coming over here. Was very well backed on his first start where he was spooked at the first by a loose dog (sadly no video footage) and he nearly unseated. He beat 2 horses there and had 3 in the race he won by 30L at Chilfrome last time. He beat nothing there though and I'm pretty neutral about his chances as he might be good enough, but at the same time I prefer others in the race.   Just Four Fame - Found himself outpaced at Chaddesley Corbett last month over just over 2m3f and on debut he probably would have been 4th if the horse who was going to win didn't have their saddle slip on the run in and if My Virtue hadn't slipped round the bend. Good jockey, but not sure he has the pace for this.   Santos Blue - Was put in at some fancy prices last night which not surprisingly were taken. On debut he won a 3 runner point to point bumper and he then went to Larkhill over 2m4f where he was closing when falling at 2 out. The winner of that race has been sold for £30k since. He went back to Larkhill for his next start but unseated at the 3rd when badly hampered. A week later he went to Horseheath where he was a well beaten 2nd, but the winner was very impressive and has been sold for £30k. There were only 3 finishers and he was 30L in front of the other one who has won twice since. James King rode him in hist first 3 starts and does so again tonight.   Tufton Avenue - Won a match at Paxford where not surprisingly the time was very slow. Quickened away well but the other one was a well beaten 5th on debut so I doubt he achieved much. Off course on the flipside we don't know how good he might be, but under priced at the moment for me. Has already tried to be sold but didn't reach his reserve of £50k although that seemed staggering high for a horse winning a match.   Fascinating Rhythm - Would have been in front of Macavity at Charm Park on his 2nd start but for unseating 2 out and he was still in with a chance of winning. Found himself outpaced in a point to point bumper on his debut when a 3L 3rd although the winner is now with Gordon Elliott. Was beaten a short head over 3m and then won by 17L over the same course and distance. To me he looks more of a stayer and he might find this test too sharp, but I do like his form certainly compared to most of these.   Good Boy - He was an easy winner of a point to point bumper at Sandon a month ago on debut where he had Sugar Pi 17L back in 3rd. Not sure the form is overly strong, but he looked green and there should be more to come. The bigger concern is Gina chooses to rides the stablemate.   Intrepide Sud - And here is said stablemate who finished alone at Garthorpe in a 2m4f maiden although he would have won anyway. He jumped novicey and was clearly still green as he flashed his tail on the run in. On the face of it I was more impressed with Good Boy, but Gina would know better than me and so you have to say he is the most likely winner out of the two. Has already been tried to be sold and went through the ring at £24k unsold.    Macavity - Recorded a slow time last time especially given he got the 14lbs allowance for his age. A couple of weeks before he won a weak race where the favourite pulled up after the rider lost their irons and the 2nd has been beaten since. On debut he was beaten over 40L and as mentioned above would have been beaten by Fascinating Rhythm. I think backers have to hope that a 2m1f bumper suits him better than Fascinating Rhythm otherwise I can't see that form being reversed.   Sugar Pi - Stuffed in his first two point bumpers and can't see any reason why he would reverse form with Good Boy from last time.   My Virtue - Was last and well beaten in a point bumper on debut at Bangor in March, but that did come on very testing ground and she ran much better on her next two starts. She was bang in contention at Maisemore when clipping heels coming round the bend and she would have likely been well clear of Just Four Fame. Had an easy task to shed her maiden tag at Eyton last time in a match and if the ground was to blame for the Bangor run then I think her chance is better than the odds suggest.   Verdict - I don't think this is a particular strong renewal of this race on paper and it looks fairly wide open. Part of the problem is a few of these have been running and winning in small fields so it's hard to judge how much ability they actually have. I thought Good Boy won well on debut, but Gina has chosen Intrepide Sud over him and it would be surprising if she got it wrong, but they both look to have a chance. I think Fascinating Rhythm has the best form in the race, but it is a worry that he was outpaced in a bumper on debut and he looks more of a stayer. The one I like the most is Santos Blue who has managed to win a 2m flat race (albeit only had 2 rivals) and I think he has come up against good horses in the 2 maidens he got the furthest in. There is a good chance that at Horseheath he just didn't stay up the hill as well as the winner which is why he was beaten so far, so this test should be more suitable.    To be honest apart from Sugar Pi and Just Four Fame you could understand why one of the others could win or more have enough ability to win, but I do think the complete outsider My Virtue is overpriced at 50/1. She has a good jockey claiming 3lbs and if she hadn't run at Bangor or had completed at Maisemore then there is no way she would be priced up anywhere near those odds. I have to have a small bet on her as well.   Santos Blue 1pt @ 7/1 with most bookies (take up to 5/1) My Virtue 0.25pts e/w @ 50/1 with everyone (take up to 20/1)

A bit disappointing from Beneficio but she was racing on the wrong part of the track on the inside as it was softer than the centre of the track where the front 5 ended up coming from including my other tip who came 2nd. Jockey also thought she struggled a little on the soft ground. Interestingly as much as she looks like she needs 1000m her two worse runs have now come at that trip. Disappointing but she’s still learning and will bounce back.

My Australian horse Beneficio is back out tomorrow morning at Sandown in Race 4 (5.10am) and I have had a good look at the race. I think there are 5 including her who have a winning chance.
Sniper Legend - A course and distance winner in January who was then spelled for a few weeks and he returned with a fast finishing 2nd at Cranbourne last time. Should go well if building on that here.
Super Thief - Won at Swan Hill and then landed a BM64 (same level as this) at Sale in the September and October last year. He then went to Flemington on Melbourne Cup day and ran well enough to finish 5th of 8. He then went to Moonee Valley when disappointing, but suffered a small laceration so you could ignore that effort for me. He jumps quite well so should be fairly handy and he has had a couple of jump outs in preparation for this.
Tycoon Humma - Course and Distance winner at this level in February and ran well at Moonee Valley in March when she had a poor draw when finishing 4th. She was disappointing at Flemington last time, but that was at BM78 level and I wonder if she didn't truly stay the 1100m. If she bounces back from that then she can go well here.
Burnum - Looked good when winning at Mornington a year ago but then picked up an injury. Has had a couple of jump outs in preparation for this and could be anything although the fact she is favourite is more on potential for me.
Beneficio - Ran a huge race at Caulfield to finish 2nd when getting run down late on by the winner who had very useful form. Beneficio wasn't running from out of the handicap and she was only getting 0.5kg from the winner when it should have been 4kg. As usual she was so fast away from the start and having looked at the field I think she will lead them up quite easily here. Teluici has front run the last twice, but she doesn't look to have as much speed from the gate as Beneficio has. She's drawn in the middle so should be able to get across to the rail OK. The 3rd at Caulfield has finished 3rd in a Listed Race since so that is a boost to the form. To me it looks like the drop down to 1000m should be ideal for her given how much speed she has and she has handled a bit of cut in the ground before so the Soft track shouldn't be an issue. It was an open handicap she ran in at Caulfield so this BM64 should be easier for her and although I don't know much about the jockey she comes highly recommended and she claims 2kg. The trainer reports that she has done extremely well since the run and he expects her to be super competitive in this race. I think she will be hard to run down and has a great chance of winning although at 5/1 I think she is a great e/w bet because I really would be surprised if she is out of the first 3.
As for the others I do think Tycoon Humma is over the odds and take out the Flemington run she would be shorter in the betting so I will have a little on her e/w. I think the other main danger is Super Thief given the good run at Flemington on Melbourne Cup day.
Beneficio e/w @ 5/1 with William Hill and Betfred
Tycoon Humma e/w @ 16/1 with William Hill and Bet365

A bit disappointing from Beneficio but she was racing on the wrong part of the track on the inside as it was softer than the centre of the track where the front 5 ended up coming from including my other tip who came 2nd. Jockey also thought she struggled a little on the soft ground. Interestingly as much as she looks like she needs 1000m her two worse runs have now come at that trip. Disappointing but she’s still learning and will bounce back.

A bit disappointing from Beneficio but she was racing on the wrong part of the track on the inside as it was softer than the centre of the track where the front 5 ended up coming from including my other tip who came 2nd. Jockey also thought she struggled a little on the soft ground. Interestingly as much as she looks like she needs 1000m her two worse runs have now come at that trip. Disappointing but she’s still learning and will bounce back.

A bit disappointing from Beneficio but she was racing on the wrong part of the track on the inside as it was softer than the centre of the track where the front 5 ended up coming from including my other tip who came 2nd. Jockey also thought she struggled a little on the soft ground. Interestingly as much as she looks like she needs 1000m her two worse runs have now come at that trip. Disappointing but she’s still learning and will bounce back.

My Australian horse Beneficio is back out tomorrow morning at Sandown in Race 4 (5.10am) and I have had a good look at the race. I think there are 5 including her who have a winning chance.
Sniper Legend - A course and distance winner in January who was then spelled for a few weeks and he returned with a fast finishing 2nd at Cranbourne last time. Should go well if building on that here.
Super Thief - Won at Swan Hill and then landed a BM64 (same level as this) at Sale in the September and October last year. He then went to Flemington on Melbourne Cup day and ran well enough to finish 5th of 8. He then went to Moonee Valley when disappointing, but suffered a small laceration so you could ignore that effort for me. He jumps quite well so should be fairly handy and he has had a couple of jump outs in preparation for this.
Tycoon Humma - Course and Distance winner at this level in February and ran well at Moonee Valley in March when she had a poor draw when finishing 4th. She was disappointing at Flemington last time, but that was at BM78 level and I wonder if she didn't truly stay the 1100m. If she bounces back from that then she can go well here.
Burnum - Looked good when winning at Mornington a year ago but then picked up an injury. Has had a couple of jump outs in preparation for this and could be anything although the fact she is favourite is more on potential for me.
Beneficio - Ran a huge race at Caulfield to finish 2nd when getting run down late on by the winner who had very useful form. Beneficio wasn't running from out of the handicap and she was only getting 0.5kg from the winner when it should have been 4kg. As usual she was so fast away from the start and having looked at the field I think she will lead them up quite easily here. Teluici has front run the last twice, but she doesn't look to have as much speed from the gate as Beneficio has. She's drawn in the middle so should be able to get across to the rail OK. The 3rd at Caulfield has finished 3rd in a Listed Race since so that is a boost to the form. To me it looks like the drop down to 1000m should be ideal for her given how much speed she has and she has handled a bit of cut in the ground before so the Soft track shouldn't be an issue. It was an open handicap she ran in at Caulfield so this BM64 should be easier for her and although I don't know much about the jockey she comes highly recommended and she claims 2kg. The trainer reports that she has done extremely well since the run and he expects her to be super competitive in this race. I think she will be hard to run down and has a great chance of winning although at 5/1 I think she is a great e/w bet because I really would be surprised if she is out of the first 3.
As for the others I do think Tycoon Humma is over the odds and take out the Flemington run she would be shorter in the betting so I will have a little on her e/w. I think the other main danger is Super Thief given the good run at Flemington on Melbourne Cup day.
Beneficio e/w @ 5/1 with William Hill and Betfred
Tycoon Humma e/w @ 16/1 with William Hill and Bet365

My Australian horse Beneficio is back out tomorrow morning at Sandown in Race 4 (5.10am) and I have had a good look at the race. I think there are 5 including her who have a winning chance.
Sniper Legend - A course and distance winner in January who was then spelled for a few weeks and he returned with a fast finishing 2nd at Cranbourne last time. Should go well if building on that here.
Super Thief - Won at Swan Hill and then landed a BM64 (same level as this) at Sale in the September and October last year. He then went to Flemington on Melbourne Cup day and ran well enough to finish 5th of 8. He then went to Moonee Valley when disappointing, but suffered a small laceration so you could ignore that effort for me. He jumps quite well so should be fairly handy and he has had a couple of jump outs in preparation for this.
Tycoon Humma - Course and Distance winner at this level in February and ran well at Moonee Valley in March when she had a poor draw when finishing 4th. She was disappointing at Flemington last time, but that was at BM78 level and I wonder if she didn't truly stay the 1100m. If she bounces back from that then she can go well here.
Burnum - Looked good when winning at Mornington a year ago but then picked up an injury. Has had a couple of jump outs in preparation for this and could be anything although the fact she is favourite is more on potential for me.
Beneficio - Ran a huge race at Caulfield to finish 2nd when getting run down late on by the winner who had very useful form. Beneficio wasn't running from out of the handicap and she was only getting 0.5kg from the winner when it should have been 4kg. As usual she was so fast away from the start and having looked at the field I think she will lead them up quite easily here. Teluici has front run the last twice, but she doesn't look to have as much speed from the gate as Beneficio has. She's drawn in the middle so should be able to get across to the rail OK. The 3rd at Caulfield has finished 3rd in a Listed Race since so that is a boost to the form. To me it looks like the drop down to 1000m should be ideal for her given how much speed she has and she has handled a bit of cut in the ground before so the Soft track shouldn't be an issue. It was an open handicap she ran in at Caulfield so this BM64 should be easier for her and although I don't know much about the jockey she comes highly recommended and she claims 2kg. The trainer reports that she has done extremely well since the run and he expects her to be super competitive in this race. I think she will be hard to run down and has a great chance of winning although at 5/1 I think she is a great e/w bet because I really would be surprised if she is out of the first 3.
As for the others I do think Tycoon Humma is over the odds and take out the Flemington run she would be shorter in the betting so I will have a little on her e/w. I think the other main danger is Super Thief given the good run at Flemington on Melbourne Cup day.
Beneficio e/w @ 5/1 with William Hill and Betfred
Tycoon Humma e/w @ 16/1 with William Hill and Bet365

My Australian horse Beneficio is back out tomorrow morning at Sandown in Race 4 (5.10am) and I have had a good look at the race. I think there are 5 including her who have a winning chance.
Sniper Legend - A course and distance winner in January who was then spelled for a few weeks and he returned with a fast finishing 2nd at Cranbourne last time. Should go well if building on that here.
Super Thief - Won at Swan Hill and then landed a BM64 (same level as this) at Sale in the September and October last year. He then went to Flemington on Melbourne Cup day and ran well enough to finish 5th of 8. He then went to Moonee Valley when disappointing, but suffered a small laceration so you could ignore that effort for me. He jumps quite well so should be fairly handy and he has had a couple of jump outs in preparation for this.
Tycoon Humma - Course and Distance winner at this level in February and ran well at Moonee Valley in March when she had a poor draw when finishing 4th. She was disappointing at Flemington last time, but that was at BM78 level and I wonder if she didn't truly stay the 1100m. If she bounces back from that then she can go well here.
Burnum - Looked good when winning at Mornington a year ago but then picked up an injury. Has had a couple of jump outs in preparation for this and could be anything although the fact she is favourite is more on potential for me.
Beneficio - Ran a huge race at Caulfield to finish 2nd when getting run down late on by the winner who had very useful form. Beneficio wasn't running from out of the handicap and she was only getting 0.5kg from the winner when it should have been 4kg. As usual she was so fast away from the start and having looked at the field I think she will lead them up quite easily here. Teluici has front run the last twice, but she doesn't look to have as much speed from the gate as Beneficio has. She's drawn in the middle so should be able to get across to the rail OK. The 3rd at Caulfield has finished 3rd in a Listed Race since so that is a boost to the form. To me it looks like the drop down to 1000m should be ideal for her given how much speed she has and she has handled a bit of cut in the ground before so the Soft track shouldn't be an issue. It was an open handicap she ran in at Caulfield so this BM64 should be easier for her and although I don't know much about the jockey she comes highly recommended and she claims 2kg. The trainer reports that she has done extremely well since the run and he expects her to be super competitive in this race. I think she will be hard to run down and has a great chance of winning although at 5/1 I think she is a great e/w bet because I really would be surprised if she is out of the first 3.
As for the others I do think Tycoon Humma is over the odds and take out the Flemington run she would be shorter in the betting so I will have a little on her e/w. I think the other main danger is Super Thief given the good run at Flemington on Melbourne Cup day.
Beneficio e/w @ 5/1 with William Hill and Betfred
Tycoon Humma e/w @ 16/1 with William Hill and Bet365

My Australian horse Beneficio is back out tomorrow morning at Sandown in Race 4 (5.10am) and I have had a good look at the race. I think there are 5 including her who have a winning chance.
Sniper Legend - A course and distance winner in January who was then spelled for a few weeks and he returned with a fast finishing 2nd at Cranbourne last time. Should go well if building on that here.
Super Thief - Won at Swan Hill and then landed a BM64 (same level as this) at Sale in the September and October last year. He then went to Flemington on Melbourne Cup day and ran well enough to finish 5th of 8. He then went to Moonee Valley when disappointing, but suffered a small laceration so you could ignore that effort for me. He jumps quite well so should be fairly handy and he has had a couple of jump outs in preparation for this.
Tycoon Humma - Course and Distance winner at this level in February and ran well at Moonee Valley in March when she had a poor draw when finishing 4th. She was disappointing at Flemington last time, but that was at BM78 level and I wonder if she didn't truly stay the 1100m. If she bounces back from that then she can go well here.
Burnum - Looked good when winning at Mornington a year ago but then picked up an injury. Has had a couple of jump outs in preparation for this and could be anything although the fact she is favourite is more on potential for me.
Beneficio - Ran a huge race at Caulfield to finish 2nd when getting run down late on by the winner who had very useful form. Beneficio wasn't running from out of the handicap and she was only getting 0.5kg from the winner when it should have been 4kg. As usual she was so fast away from the start and having looked at the field I think she will lead them up quite easily here. Teluici has front run the last twice, but she doesn't look to have as much speed from the gate as Beneficio has. She's drawn in the middle so should be able to get across to the rail OK. The 3rd at Caulfield has finished 3rd in a Listed Race since so that is a boost to the form. To me it looks like the drop down to 1000m should be ideal for her given how much speed she has and she has handled a bit of cut in the ground before so the Soft track shouldn't be an issue. It was an open handicap she ran in at Caulfield so this BM64 should be easier for her and although I don't know much about the jockey she comes highly recommended and she claims 2kg. The trainer reports that she has done extremely well since the run and he expects her to be super competitive in this race. I think she will be hard to run down and has a great chance of winning although at 5/1 I think she is a great e/w bet because I really would be surprised if she is out of the first 3.
As for the others I do think Tycoon Humma is over the odds and take out the Flemington run she would be shorter in the betting so I will have a little on her e/w. I think the other main danger is Super Thief given the good run at Flemington on Melbourne Cup day.
Beneficio e/w @ 5/1 with William Hill and Betfred
Tycoon Humma e/w @ 16/1 with William Hill and Bet365

My Australian horse Beneficio is back out tomorrow morning at Sandown in Race 4 (5.10am) and I have had a good look at the race. I think there are 5 including her who have a winning chance.
Sniper Legend - A course and distance winner in January who was then spelled for a few weeks and he returned with a fast finishing 2nd at Cranbourne last time. Should go well if building on that here.
Super Thief - Won at Swan Hill and then landed a BM64 (same level as this) at Sale in the September and October last year. He then went to Flemington on Melbourne Cup day and ran well enough to finish 5th of 8. He then went to Moonee Valley when disappointing, but suffered a small laceration so you could ignore that effort for me. He jumps quite well so should be fairly handy and he has had a couple of jump outs in preparation for this.
Tycoon Humma - Course and Distance winner at this level in February and ran well at Moonee Valley in March when she had a poor draw when finishing 4th. She was disappointing at Flemington last time, but that was at BM78 level and I wonder if she didn't truly stay the 1100m. If she bounces back from that then she can go well here.
Burnum - Looked good when winning at Mornington a year ago but then picked up an injury. Has had a couple of jump outs in preparation for this and could be anything although the fact she is favourite is more on potential for me.
Beneficio - Ran a huge race at Caulfield to finish 2nd when getting run down late on by the winner who had very useful form. Beneficio wasn't running from out of the handicap and she was only getting 0.5kg from the winner when it should have been 4kg. As usual she was so fast away from the start and having looked at the field I think she will lead them up quite easily here. Teluici has front run the last twice, but she doesn't look to have as much speed from the gate as Beneficio has. She's drawn in the middle so should be able to get across to the rail OK. The 3rd at Caulfield has finished 3rd in a Listed Race since so that is a boost to the form. To me it looks like the drop down to 1000m should be ideal for her given how much speed she has and she has handled a bit of cut in the ground before so the Soft track shouldn't be an issue. It was an open handicap she ran in at Caulfield so this BM64 should be easier for her and although I don't know much about the jockey she comes highly recommended and she claims 2kg. The trainer reports that she has done extremely well since the run and he expects her to be super competitive in this race. I think she will be hard to run down and has a great chance of winning although at 5/1 I think she is a great e/w bet because I really would be surprised if she is out of the first 3.
As for the others I do think Tycoon Humma is over the odds and take out the Flemington run she would be shorter in the betting so I will have a little on her e/w. I think the other main danger is Super Thief given the good run at Flemington on Melbourne Cup day.
Beneficio e/w @ 5/1 with William Hill and Betfred
Tycoon Humma e/w @ 16/1 with William Hill and Bet365

My Australian horse Beneficio is back out tomorrow morning at Sandown in Race 4 (5.10am) and I have had a good look at the race. I think there are 5 including her who have a winning chance.
Sniper Legend - A course and distance winner in January who was then spelled for a few weeks and he returned with a fast finishing 2nd at Cranbourne last time. Should go well if building on that here.
Super Thief - Won at Swan Hill and then landed a BM64 (same level as this) at Sale in the September and October last year. He then went to Flemington on Melbourne Cup day and ran well enough to finish 5th of 8. He then went to Moonee Valley when disappointing, but suffered a small laceration so you could ignore that effort for me. He jumps quite well so should be fairly handy and he has had a couple of jump outs in preparation for this.
Tycoon Humma - Course and Distance winner at this level in February and ran well at Moonee Valley in March when she had a poor draw when finishing 4th. She was disappointing at Flemington last time, but that was at BM78 level and I wonder if she didn't truly stay the 1100m. If she bounces back from that then she can go well here.
Burnum - Looked good when winning at Mornington a year ago but then picked up an injury. Has had a couple of jump outs in preparation for this and could be anything although the fact she is favourite is more on potential for me.
Beneficio - Ran a huge race at Caulfield to finish 2nd when getting run down late on by the winner who had very useful form. Beneficio wasn't running from out of the handicap and she was only getting 0.5kg from the winner when it should have been 4kg. As usual she was so fast away from the start and having looked at the field I think she will lead them up quite easily here. Teluici has front run the last twice, but she doesn't look to have as much speed from the gate as Beneficio has. She's drawn in the middle so should be able to get across to the rail OK. The 3rd at Caulfield has finished 3rd in a Listed Race since so that is a boost to the form. To me it looks like the drop down to 1000m should be ideal for her given how much speed she has and she has handled a bit of cut in the ground before so the Soft track shouldn't be an issue. It was an open handicap she ran in at Caulfield so this BM64 should be easier for her and although I don't know much about the jockey she comes highly recommended and she claims 2kg. The trainer reports that she has done extremely well since the run and he expects her to be super competitive in this race. I think she will be hard to run down and has a great chance of winning although at 5/1 I think she is a great e/w bet because I really would be surprised if she is out of the first 3.
As for the others I do think Tycoon Humma is over the odds and take out the Flemington run she would be shorter in the betting so I will have a little on her e/w. I think the other main danger is Super Thief given the good run at Flemington on Melbourne Cup day.
Beneficio e/w @ 5/1 with William Hill and Betfred
Tycoon Humma e/w @ 16/1 with William Hill and Bet365

My Australian horse Beneficio is back out tomorrow morning at Sandown in Race 4 (5.10am) and I have had a good look at the race. I think there are 5 including her who have a winning chance.
Sniper Legend - A course and distance winner in January who was then spelled for a few weeks and he returned with a fast finishing 2nd at Cranbourne last time. Should go well if building on that here.
Super Thief - Won at Swan Hill and then landed a BM64 (same level as this) at Sale in the September and October last year. He then went to Flemington on Melbourne Cup day and ran well enough to finish 5th of 8. He then went to Moonee Valley when disappointing, but suffered a small laceration so you could ignore that effort for me. He jumps quite well so should be fairly handy and he has had a couple of jump outs in preparation for this.
Tycoon Humma - Course and Distance winner at this level in February and ran well at Moonee Valley in March when she had a poor draw when finishing 4th. She was disappointing at Flemington last time, but that was at BM78 level and I wonder if she didn't truly stay the 1100m. If she bounces back from that then she can go well here.
Burnum - Looked good when winning at Mornington a year ago but then picked up an injury. Has had a couple of jump outs in preparation for this and could be anything although the fact she is favourite is more on potential for me.
Beneficio - Ran a huge race at Caulfield to finish 2nd when getting run down late on by the winner who had very useful form. Beneficio wasn't running from out of the handicap and she was only getting 0.5kg from the winner when it should have been 4kg. As usual she was so fast away from the start and having looked at the field I think she will lead them up quite easily here. Teluici has front run the last twice, but she doesn't look to have as much speed from the gate as Beneficio has. She's drawn in the middle so should be able to get across to the rail OK. The 3rd at Caulfield has finished 3rd in a Listed Race since so that is a boost to the form. To me it looks like the drop down to 1000m should be ideal for her given how much speed she has and she has handled a bit of cut in the ground before so the Soft track shouldn't be an issue. It was an open handicap she ran in at Caulfield so this BM64 should be easier for her and although I don't know much about the jockey she comes highly recommended and she claims 2kg. The trainer reports that she has done extremely well since the run and he expects her to be super competitive in this race. I think she will be hard to run down and has a great chance of winning although at 5/1 I think she is a great e/w bet because I really would be surprised if she is out of the first 3.
As for the others I do think Tycoon Humma is over the odds and take out the Flemington run she would be shorter in the betting so I will have a little on her e/w. I think the other main danger is Super Thief given the good run at Flemington on Melbourne Cup day.
Beneficio e/w @ 5/1 with William Hill and Betfred
Tycoon Humma e/w @ 16/1 with William Hill and Bet365

My Australian horse Beneficio is back out tomorrow morning at Sandown in Race 4 (5.10am) and I have had a good look at the race. I think there are 5 including her who have a winning chance.
Sniper Legend - A course and distance winner in January who was then spelled for a few weeks and he returned with a fast finishing 2nd at Cranbourne last time. Should go well if building on that here.
Super Thief - Won at Swan Hill and then landed a BM64 (same level as this) at Sale in the September and October last year. He then went to Flemington on Melbourne Cup day and ran well enough to finish 5th of 8. He then went to Moonee Valley when disappointing, but suffered a small laceration so you could ignore that effort for me. He jumps quite well so should be fairly handy and he has had a couple of jump outs in preparation for this.
Tycoon Humma - Course and Distance winner at this level in February and ran well at Moonee Valley in March when she had a poor draw when finishing 4th. She was disappointing at Flemington last time, but that was at BM78 level and I wonder if she didn't truly stay the 1100m. If she bounces back from that then she can go well here.
Burnum - Looked good when winning at Mornington a year ago but then picked up an injury. Has had a couple of jump outs in preparation for this and could be anything although the fact she is favourite is more on potential for me.
Beneficio - Ran a huge race at Caulfield to finish 2nd when getting run down late on by the winner who had very useful form. Beneficio wasn't running from out of the handicap and she was only getting 0.5kg from the winner when it should have been 4kg. As usual she was so fast away from the start and having looked at the field I think she will lead them up quite easily here. Teluici has front run the last twice, but she doesn't look to have as much speed from the gate as Beneficio has. She's drawn in the middle so should be able to get across to the rail OK. The 3rd at Caulfield has finished 3rd in a Listed Race since so that is a boost to the form. To me it looks like the drop down to 1000m should be ideal for her given how much speed she has and she has handled a bit of cut in the ground before so the Soft track shouldn't be an issue. It was an open handicap she ran in at Caulfield so this BM64 should be easier for her and although I don't know much about the jockey she comes highly recommended and she claims 2kg. The trainer reports that she has done extremely well since the run and he expects her to be super competitive in this race. I think she will be hard to run down and has a great chance of winning although at 5/1 I think she is a great e/w bet because I really would be surprised if she is out of the first 3.
As for the others I do think Tycoon Humma is over the odds and take out the Flemington run she would be shorter in the betting so I will have a little on her e/w. I think the other main danger is Super Thief given the good run at Flemington on Melbourne Cup day.
Beneficio e/w @ 5/1 with William Hill and Betfred
Tycoon Humma e/w @ 16/1 with William Hill and Bet365

Saunter Boy really toughed it out well to win yesterday and Elvison so nearly made all in the race before, but we did get the e/w money at least. Tomorrow sees the Champion Novice Hurdle and the big race of the week the Grand Annual.
Race 1 No surprise that Brungle Bertie is favourite for the Champion Novice Hurdle after his dominant win at Pakenham last time where he had Roland Garros, Devon Miss, Hush Writer, El Diez and Cenan all in behind by 11L and more. He was really impressive, but the concern has to be the Heavy 10 track which will make things very different from that Pakenham race. The worse ground he's raced on so far was in a flat race at Ballarat last year and to be fair he was a good 3rd, but that was only a Heavy 8 whereas it is likely to be a Heavy 10 tomorrow. When I previewed that Pakenham race I mentioned that Roland Garros was likely to be using that race as a prep for this contest as it has been reported he wants a heavy track which of course he is going to get here. Because of that I think he has a chance of reversing form and I make him the selection here. Pueblo and Blandford Lad won the maiden hurdles on the card although both were in slower times than Brungle Bertie's race. I don't think the form is overly strong from either contest although the flat class that Blandford Lad has does mean I would favour him out of the two plus he has Pateman on top.   Roland Garros 1.5pts @ 3/1 with William Hill, Betfred, Coral and Ladbrokes   Race 7 - Grand Annual Bit Of A Lad - Was well beaten in the Brierly on Tuesday and hasn't shown much in 3 previous runs in this contest.   Police Camp - Likely to be outclassed in this.   Getting Leggie - A really interesting runner who was having his first start in just over a year at Pakenham last time after suffering a tendon injury. I thought he would probably need it, but he exceeded my expectations in finishing a very good 3rd behind Riding High. He won the Brierly 2 years ago so he certainly has the class to win a race like this and he will no doubt come on plenty for his first run in a year. He's had a good trial since then as well. I think it is interesting connections have skipped Tuesday's race to just run him here although the Heavy track would be a small concern.   Master Poet - A solid horse who should enjoy getting out to this trip given he was 2nd over 4000m over hurdles in 2019 and on the flat he's been 2nd over 3800m and 4th in the Jericho Cup which is over 4600m both in November last year. He's had two solid placings over fences at Warrnambool and Pakenham and he wouldn't be out of this.   Vanguard - What a winner of the Brierly he was on Tuesday as he really toughed it out to beat his stablemate Britannicus. His trainer spoke beforehand that he would be better suited to the Grand Annual trip and he certainly ran like a dour stayer on Tuesday. In September he did win two races with just 4 days between them one a maiden hurdle and the other a maiden steeplechase over 4100m in heavy ground. That suggests he is tough enough to do the 2 day back up here. This will be tougher though, but clearly deserves to be favourite.   Heberite - Bolted up in a BM120 Hurdle at Terang to start the season off and then made his chasing debut at Pakenham last time when he was 3rd behind Valac and Budd Fox. He was 3rd in last year's Jericho Cup and won over 3800m prior to that so you would imagine he will enjoy stepping up to this distance. He has a good heavy track record as well which will help him. This has no doubt been his target although I always worry about chasing experience for a race like this.   Budd Fox - Was 2nd on the flat at this meeting last year after winning on hurdling debut at Pakenham. He was 4th on his only other hurdling start last year, but he has some very good flat form including finishing 2nd in the Jericho Cup. I thought he jumped very well on his steeple trial in March and then he stayed on strongly to nearly pip Valac at Pakenham on his steeplechase debut. Valac's rider did ease up so the margin should have been bigger, but the way he stayed on suggests he needs this sort of test. Again lack of experience is a concern, but he certainly has the class to win this.   American In Paris - Was well beaten by Vanguard at Hamilton in April and it is hard to see him being able to reverse that form here unless Vanguard underperforms on the back up.   San Remo - Pretty consistent over jumps, but at a lesser level than this and not sure he will be good enough.   My Kings Counsel - Will be outclassed here.   Eyes Are Blue - Another who shouldn't be good enough.   Verdict - This should be a tremendous race and Vanguard could easily win this on the 2 day back up, but I think he is tight enough in the betting. I think Budd Fox will thrive for the trip and I really liked his performance at Pakenham last time as a prep for this. Obvious slight concern about jumping experience, but he jumped well round here in his trial. I am also backing Getting Leggie who I think will have been trained with this in mind and ran really well at Pakenham given the time off.   Budd Fox 1.5ps @ 9/4 with William Hill Getting Leggie 1pt e/w @ 16/1 with William Hill

No luck on day 1 sadly but we have 2 races on the 2nd day including the feature Hurdle of the week.
Race 5 The betting sees Runaway and Under The Bridge miles clear of anything else, but I'm not sure about either of them. Runaway makes the running, but I'm not sure he will see the trip out. Simon Wilde had a fantastic day 1 with his horses and Under The Bridge did win on the flat 11 days ago so he is in good form. He was only average in maiden hurdles though and failed to finish in his one start in a maiden steeplechase last July. To be fair he might have had a problem that day and he trialled well enough last week over the larger obstacles. Even so I still think he looks on the short side. Instead I am going to tip up his stablemate Elvison. It seemed he had issues last year as he only ran twice over fences and disappointed both times and the last of which was last May at Casterton. He was better in 2020 though and he stays well as he showed when winning over 3800m at Casterton. He stayed on well enough over 1600m on the flat 17 days ago and I thought he looked good in his steeple trial last week so he looks the value in the race for me.   Elvison 1pt e/w @ 12/1 with everyone   Race 6 The big hurdle race of the week is the Galleywood and I think Saunter Boy can follow up his Pakenham success. He was made to work hard for it by Out And Dreaming who reopposes here, but he is worse at the weights and I don't see him being able to reverse the form. Out of those racing so far this year I do think Saunter Boy is the best hurdler we have seen and no doubt he has been aimed at peaking for this contest. It will be interesting to see how his stablemate Big Blue gets on and the last time he ran over hurdles was in the 2020 Cheltenham Festival. Last year he went over fences and won 1st up, but then disappointed in two subsequent starts. I suspect this is being used as a prep run before going back over fences, but he does have the ability to play a part.   Saunter Boy 3pts @ 6/5 with Bet365 and William Hill