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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

vikki37

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  1. Haha
    vikki37 reacted to calva decoy in RACING CHAT - Sunday 6th December   
    Let's hope some clever fog moves in to replace it ? 
    1.40 Punch - BATTLEOVERDOYEN 7/1 ew bet365 last night , now 5's.
    Beat Easy Game & Samcro in Grade 2 at Down Royal over 19f on yeilding 36 days ago ,  3/4 Mullins runners may need the run Chris's Dream back 3.5f in trip from Grade 1 at Down Royal represents the biggest threat.
  2. Like
    vikki37 reacted to harry_rag in Road to 2021 ; No Pressure !!   
    Hi mate, unlucky with the recent run, sometimes happens. As I’ve been known to lament about my own form, a blind monkey throwing darts from a unicycle could reasonably expect to pick more winners!
    That said, I think you need to consider the possibility, for the time being at least, that you are a losing punter. No shame in that, most are. Nothing wrong with viewing betting as a hobby where the money you lose is the cost of admission, while aiming to improve by reducing how much you lose and eventually edging into profit.
    One thing I’d ask you is what do you perceive to be your edge over the bookies, across all the sports you're betting on? Do you just look at an event and back what you fancy as long as the odds don’t strike you as too short or are you pricing things up in advance and looking for prices that are bigger than your assessment?
    Your approach still seems a little too scattergun to succeed. Based on my own long and sometimes costly experience I’d say you need to specialise and find a way of setting your own odds in advance for your chosen markets.
    Value is a complex and controversial topic but I don’t think that many would disagree that you need to improve your understanding and assessment of it, based on your posting to date, if you want to start reducing your losses and eventually get into the black.
    Good luck with your future bets, hopefully you hit a hot streak that makes it look like I don’t know what I’m talking about! 
     
  3. Like
    vikki37 reacted to Fader in UK Championship   
    It's the final we all expected then, really. Judd Trump takes on Neil Robertson for the third final this year. These two are very closely matched, even for their centuries as they both chase the 800 mark. Judd Trump is one century clear of the match-up and has won the 2 ties this year but of the two this week, it's Trump that looks to have some frailties. Robertson is definitely more successful from long range at the moment. Trump missed quite a few against Lu Ning from range but lucky for him Lu didn't punish him often enough. Robbo should have beaten Trump the last time they played. He was 7-4 up in the English Open final and he was 4-2 up in the German Masters final so he needs to play like it's any other match.
    Robertson has had the highest break in the last five matches between these two, not including Championship League matches. I think Robertson wins tomorrow and I think he does it with a couple of centuries and the highest break. It's a "first to 10" tomorrow. We could easily see 17-18 frames and it could become a great final. I can see there being a good 4-5 centuries in this. I don't think like betting on who pots the first ball because i may aswell roll a dice but the 15/2 on Robbo doing that, winning and with the most century breaks is probably worth it if you think the other two aspects are going to transpire.
    We aint seeing 10 centuries tomorrow but 55/1 it's abit of fun. Selby and Robertson had 7 in 11 frames so it's possible to get 10 in 17-18-19 frames. It's not going to happen but incase this final truly catches fire, half a point.
    5pts N.Robertson to have the highest break evens betvictor
    1pt N.Robertson to pot the first ball, most century breaks and win 15/2 paddypower
    0.5pts 10 or more century breaks 55/1 paddypower
     
  4. Like
    vikki37 reacted to Fader in Anthony Yarde Vs Lyndon Arthur   
    9/1 winner. Arthur wins it on points  +16pts
    boxing 2020 +21.5pts
  5. Like
    vikki37 reacted to waggy in 2020 Finish continued   
    1701 result: Both won 3-1. Won £70
    Profit to date £339.97
  6. Like
    vikki37 reacted to Fader in UK Championship   
    Both win 6-2 in the end then. Big final tomorrow and as I say, I'll be on Robertson but I also feel like the century market is worth looking at. Both covered the handicap for a +14pts on the night.
    UK Championship +22pts
    Snooker 2020 +221.5pts
  7. Like
    vikki37 reacted to Fader in Anthony Yarde Vs Lyndon Arthur   
    A real close fight tonight for me and one that I'm surprised you can get 5/1 on Arthur on. The price on Arthur is too big and I'll take a couple of points on him to win this fight. Yarde is an big danger with his power but the jabs coming from Arthur means he should win alot of rounds. 
    The two outcomes I see here is either Yarde finally getting that big punch OR Arthur winning the fight through his excessive jabs.
    2pts L.Arthur to beat A.Yarde by decision 9/1 betvictor
    2pts A.Yarde to win in rounds 9-12 7/2 betfair
     
  8. Like
    vikki37 reacted to richard-westwood in Becher Chase, Aintree, Saturday Preview   
    Vieux lion rouge wins ...what a superstar....le breuil3rd ....so happy the ratings spotted that especially because of the age factor ...approx 110pts returned 
  9. Like
    vikki37 reacted to richard-westwood in Becher Chase, Aintree, Saturday Preview   
    Well done ....what a star he is ?
  10. Like
    vikki37 reacted to Fader in UK Championship   
    Well, no bookies on request a bet want to give me a decent price on that double handicap so to try and find any kind of value I'll take the "first 4 frames market" 
    5pts N.Robertson (-2.5 frames) / J.Trump (-3.5 frames) 3/1 willhill
    0.5pts N.Robertson to beat Yuelong 6-0 12/1 paddypower
    0.5pts N.Robertson 4-0 / J.Trump 4-0 22/1 betvictor (first 4 frames)
     
  11. Like
    vikki37 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > December 5th   
    Non-League Football stats for November saw 61pts staked and 33.26pts profit. Current season stats has seen 142.5pts staked for 132.59pts profit after Tuesday's games.
  12. Like
    vikki37 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > December 5th   
    A cracking Tuesday with 4 winners out of 5 helped by a late winner from Torquay. Been waiting for the National League fixtures to be priced up which for some reason took until Thursday afternoon. I have just the 3 bets for Saturday, but they are all outsiders (at the time of writing).
    Barnet v Wealdstone
    Barnet performed with credit against MK Dons in the FA Cup last week, but their awful league form showed up again on Wednesday night when they were thumped 5-2 by Halifax. Prior to that game Halifax had only scored 6 goals in the league! Barnet's defence has been an issue all season and they have conceded 24 in their 10 league games. We know that Wealdstone can score goals against the right opposition and Barnet are clearly the right opposition. They performed with credit against leaders Torquay on Tuesday night, but eventually Torquay got that late winner for us. Barnet's 2 league wins have come against Weymouth and Dagenham who are either side of them in the table. The away side may have only picked up 1 point in their last 4 games, but given they have played 4 of the current top 6 in the table I think 1 point was probably as much as they could have hoped for. There is no way they should be 9/4 to win this and I would have them no bigger than 6/4 myself.
    Hartlepool v Boreham Wood
    Boreham Wood are definitely better than their league position suggests and they had a nice confidence boosting win against Canvey Island in the FA Cup on Monday night. In my view they have a better side than Hartlepool. the home side have only won one of their last 7 games and that was against bottom side Yeovil. They also were held to a 0-0 draw at Barnet in their next game. Granted on Tuesday night they ended up with 10 men against Solihull, but they were playing a side who had played 120 minutes on Saturday in their first game for a while. They look lacklustre up front at the moment and apart from the 3-1 at Yeovil they have only scored 1 goal in their last 7. There is every chance 1 will be enough for the away side.
    Hungerford v Dulwich Hamlet
    I mentioned that Dulwich were improving when I put them up to beat Bath a couple of weeks ago and after going a goal down they ran out easy 4-1 winners. They haven't played since so come into this game fresher than their hosts. To be fair to Hungerford they have done amazingly well to be as high in the table as they are and a draw against St Albans and only going down 2-1 to Dartford after being in front were good efforts as well. Tuesday night it came crashing down a bit though as Oxford City beat them 4-1. Given Oxford had played 120 minutes just two days prior you would have thought Hungerford would have done better. I'd still have them as favourites, but I certainly think their is plenty of juice in Dulwich's price.
    Wealdstone 2pts @ 9/4 with Bet365
    Boreham Wood 2pts @ 19/10 with Bet365
    Dulwich Hamlet 1pt @ 23/10 with Betfair
  13. Like
    vikki37 reacted to Fader in Billy Joe Saunders Vs Martin Murray   
    This looks very much like a points win for Billy Joe Saunders. Like so many of his fights but I think it's worth giving a knockout at the latter stages a punt though. I'm also putting a point on Murray winning. If it does go to points then I'm not sure Murray is 10/1 to win it. 
    2pts B. Joe Saunders to win in rounds 9-12 8/1 skybet
    1pt M.Murray to beat B. Joe Saunders 10/1 bet365
  14. Like
    vikki37 reacted to waggy in 2020 Finish continued   
    1700 result: Sparta won 2-1. Won £40
    Profit to date £269.97
  15. Like
    vikki37 reacted to Bathtime For Rupert in Racing Chat - Friday 4th Nov.   
    A much needed return to form. Patience can pay off - even after a few bad days, you can make it all back in one fell swoop!
  16. Like
    vikki37 reacted to Wildgarden in Racing Chat - Friday 4th Nov.   
    Nothing more today but well done all between us we could've come up with a life changing acca lol
  17. Like
    vikki37 reacted to richard-westwood in Racing Chat - Friday 4th Nov.   
    Get in beauty....astrojakk wins 110pts returned 
  18. Like
    vikki37 reacted to richard-westwood in Racing Chat - Friday 4th Nov.   
    Dawwaleb wins ........129 pts profit on the night 
  19. Like
    vikki37 reacted to Fader in Australia Vs India T20 Series   
    After India beat Australia in the third ODI only two days ago, they go into a Twenty20 match at Manuka Oval, Canberra. Australia won the first two ODIs but ofcourse India won the final third one. It meant very little, the result of that match but it does give India abit of momentum going into the match this morning.
    Ofcourse T20 isn't ODI. In T20 history India have done well against Australia in their back yard. Australia will be missing Warner whilst there are doubts over the likes of Starc and Cummins. 
    I think Warner will missed greatly and when you look through this India team and see how many can smack it out the ground at every opportunity, I think the value is most certainly with India
    5pts India to beat Australia - 1st T20 match 11/10 bet365
  20. Like
    vikki37 reacted to Fader in UK Championship   
    Quarter-finals day :
    J.Lisowski Vs Z.Yuelong
    M.Selby Vs N.Robertson
    J.Trump Vs K.Wilson
    L.Ning Vs J.Perry
    Very much looks like a Trump Vs Robertson final if you look at the odds but I think all four "underdogs" have a good chance today. I'm not too keen on betting on Yuelong purely because I already have him at 20/1 to win this match. He has a chance for sure. 
    I am going to go with Selby to beat Robertson though. These two have given us some absolute belters in recent years and none more so than their last head-2-head, where Robertson won on a deciding frame. There was an unreal SIX centuries (3 each) in that match and nobody deserved to lose. Infact, they've already played eachother 5 times in 2020. Robertson has won 4 but 2 of those are short frame Championship League matches which can be discarded. All four of Robertson's wins have been via deciding frames where as Selby's one win was a 13-7 at the Worlds. I think we're going to see a good match and I think Selby has every chance in the way that he is playing but the bet to go to is the over 9.5 frames.
    I watched some of the Kyren Wilson match yesterday and he easily beat Dott. Some of Wilsons play was absolutely brilliant. I also watched Trumps match and AFTER he went 4-0 up he looked very average. I think Wilson has a good chance tonight. I'm quite surprised that we're getting 7/4 on Kyren. He certainly has it in him to beat Judd as seen when he knocked him out of the Worlds this year.  
    Lu Ning is playing with a superb temperament at the moment and if Perry isn't on his game later then Ning has every chance. 
    5pts Over 9.5 frames - M.Selby Vs N.Robertson evens betfair
    1pt accy - Yuelong / Selby / K,Wilson / Lu Ning 22/1 paddypower 
  21. Like
    vikki37 reacted to waggy in 2020 Finish continued   
    1696 result: 0-3.  Won £40
    Profit to date £229.97
  22. Like
    vikki37 reacted to Fader in PDC Home Tour   
    Meulenkamp couldn't take advantage of there being no Smith. In for Smith came Boulton and Boulton was the winner. Meulenkamp only lost one match and that was to Boulton. Who normally plays more like Michael Boulton but made an exception. I didn't have too much of an opinion on todays group. It was of high quality with Ratajski, Smith, Searle and Whitlock. I probably would have gone for Whitlock but Ryan Searle put in some huge averages to win the group
    Tomorrow, Michael Smith is back again and his only opposition looks to be Chris Dobey I've seen that Dobey has been practicing alot with Wattimena and hitting some big averages against him. I think it's worth giving him a shot tomorrow as Smith looks abit lackluster in his performance's.
    3pts C.Dobey to win the group 10/3 betvictor
    Home Tour 3 tips -3pts
    Darts 2020  +122.5pts
     
  23. Like
    vikki37 reacted to waggy in 2020 Finish continued   
    1699 result: W 4-2, W 2-1, W 3-1. Won £122.44
    Profit to date £189.97
  24. Like
    vikki37 reacted to Fader in UK Championship   
    All three win with ease, you have to say. I must admit that I took alittle each-way bet on Lu Ning at 50/1 as I think he can beat Joe Perry too. +14pts on the night and into profit for the tournament.
    UK Championship +2pts
    Snooker 2020 +201.5pts
  25. Like
    vikki37 reacted to Fader in UK Championship   
    Just the one boosted treble for me today. Trump i can see winning with ease against Walden. Williams made so many mistakes against Walden of which Trump will certainly not be making. I think Kyren beats Dott. Dott has had a pretty easy run here and Bingham looked as pants as ever. Lu Ning and Panxu is the interesting one. Both have looked good. I feel like that extra bit of experience should see Ning through though.
    4pts J.Trump / K.Wilson & Lu Ning 7/2 paddypower
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