RACING CHAT - Sunday 6th December

[MCLARKE]

Most of the jumping action in Ireland tomorrow.

No Nicky Henderson runners so I'll select one from my young handicappers system in the 3.10 at PUNCHESTOWN.

ARVERNE - 7/4. A 5yo, this is the youngest horse in the race and last ran 54 days ago.

 

[The Brigadier]

Yes all the best action over in Ireland. Some race the John Durkan ?. Fancy Min myself , hes won the race the past two years and five from five on the back of an absence . Won't be any gimme though that's for sure.

[roger2256]

Dec +39

Few extra for me 

1put level stakes win only 

13.00 Kel Gypsy Lee Rose 12/1 Lost

14.02 Kel The Silver Prince 20/1 Lost

15.20 Kel Coole Hall 16/1 Lost

15.40 Pun Ambitious Fellow 40/1 Nr

Prices as of now all b365

- 3

Dec +36 

Edited December 6, 2020 by roger2256
Result

[alancraik]

KELSO 12:25 Vengeur De Guye 7/2 win

KELSO 13:00 HANDICAP CHASE Caventara 3/1 win

KELSO 14:45 Mighty Thunder 15/2 e/w 3 Places

KELSO 15:20 Bob Mahler 17/2 e/w 4 Places

plus e/w yankee

Top

 

 

 

 

[Wildgarden]

245 kelso one touch 10-1 e/w 888 sport

Out of sorts lto but had over another month off and could come back to at least place with only 8 in race.

[Wildgarden]

58 minutes ago, roger2256 said:

Dec +39

Few extra for me 

1put level stakes win only 

13.00 Kel Gypsy Lee Rose 12/1

14.02 Kel The Silver Prince 20/1

15.20 Kel Coole Hall 16/1

15.40 Pun Ambitious Fellow 40/1

Prices as of now all b365

Also have gypsy lee rose Roger ?

[Bathtime For Rupert]

All prices Bet365:

12.01 Southwell - 1pt e/w Navajo Dawn @ 8/1

All of its best form has come here with both career victories coming over course and distance and off higher marks than this. Was badly hampered at the start here on his last visit here which is always going to be tough to recover from at this venue, for all he stayed on to finish respectably. With more luck at the beginning of the contest, with him edging down the weights and those ahead of him that day sneaking up, I think he could go well at a decent price.

12.25 Kelso - 1pt e/w Pass Rusher @ 12/1

Has bits and pieces of nice form including 2nd in a novice event when finishing a place ahead of a now 118-rated horse. A similar run here going handicapping off 105 would see him go close and his stamina has just been stretched over 2m4f the last twice, including on really testing ground at Hexham last time. The return to 2 miles will suit and I think he can outrun the odds if handling the conditions. 

12.31 Southwell - 1pt e/w Professor Galant @ 15/2

Looks ready for the return to the minimum trip here having pulled hard over 6f the last twice. Both efforts were decent however behind nice enough types and the saddle slipped last time as well. Definitely has the speed for 5f, has form around here and looks a big price now facing handicaps.

1.46 Southwell - 1pt e/w Mister Freeze @ 12/1

Has been running okay lately including on turf where he's not as good and shaped with some credit at Lingfield last time, keeping on without threatening. His best form has come at Southwell however and is in decent enough heart to suggest he can threaten back at this venue. Was a c&d winner off 3lbs lower on his last visit and looks capable of getting involved at a double figure price.

2.02 Kelso - 1pt e/w Morozov Cocktail @ 14/1

I think this one is interesting upped in trip today having shaped okay in a novice event last year and seemingly needing the run/finding the trip too sharp when returning over two miles when last seen. Has plenty of stamina in the pedigree to suggest this test will suit and still very unexposed.

2.55 Southwell - 1pt e/w Milldean Felix @ 25/1

Hasn't run over a trip this short for a while but can race handy over 1m2f so I'm hoping the speedier test here won't completely ruin his chance. Usually runs a race from the front and his best form has come at this track. Understandably needed the run after over a year off last time out but still wasn't disgraced and at a big price now stripping fitter I'll chance it.

[Trotter]

Punchestown card under threat from thick fog

Course update at midday !

[calva decoy]

11 minutes ago, Trotter said:

Punchestown card under threat from thick fog

Course update at midday !

Let's hope some clever fog moves in to replace it ? 

1.40 Punch - BATTLEOVERDOYEN 7/1 ew bet365 last night , now 5's.

Beat Easy Game & Samcro in Grade 2 at Down Royal over 19f on yeilding 36 days ago ,  3/4 Mullins runners may need the run Chris's Dream back 3.5f in trip from Grade 1 at Down Royal represents the biggest threat.

[roger2256]

1 hour ago, Wildgarden said:

Also have gypsy lee rose Roger ?

Trainer in form and Brian Hughes booked ,hopefully a good choice. I was on last night at much bigger than 12's , price is plummeting .

Good luck 

[Tedthewolf]

50p e/w lucky 15 for me today. Boylesports BOG

1,32 kelsio LARGEY PRINCESS 12/1 3places

2.02 Kelso BIG BAD DREAM 5/1 4places

2,10 Punch RIGHTPLACERIGHTIME 11/1 5places

3,10 Punch AH LITTLELUCK ( NAP) 16/1  4places

Edited December 6, 2020 by Tedthewolf

[The Equaliser]

Kicking myself because i missed Saint Arvans in the 12.25 Kelso; the price to be paid for sleeping in I guess.

All selections at Kelso today

1.00 Caventara £1 win at 3/1
2.02 Artic Man £1 win at 9/2
One £2 win double = poss return of £44.00

1.32 Southern girl £1 win at 11/2

3.20 Just Your Type £1 win at 13/2

Total multiples = £2

Total win bets £4

Total stakes £6

I don't like the look of Mahlervous in the 2.45 despite it being top rated by RPR/Timeform and recommended by many tipsters.  The distance is a problem and I also think that the  going isn't suitable.  Good luck to anyone being successful and taking the 2/1 price on offer.

===============================================================================================================

I was wrong about Mahlevous; it did win jumped terribly.  I still wouldn't back it next time

Pity that Caventara let me down so a £2 loss on multiples.  C/fwd is £588.04 (£800 Bank).  Top rated multiples £2 loss = deficit now (£33.65)

Luckily Artic Man won for me.  I took 9/2 so a return of £5.50.  Hence a profit of £1.50 on the day.  The balance c/fwd is now £138.61 (Bank £400)

Four meetings tomorrow so I should find something to look at

 

 

 

Edited December 7, 2020 by The Equaliser
Results Update

[Wildgarden]

7 hours ago, Wildgarden said:

245 kelso one touch 10-1 e/w 888 sport

Out of sorts lto but had over another month off and could come back to at least place with only 8 in race.

Felt had value given started at 5-1 half the price but unfortunately unseated rider having led one for next time again when it behaves.

[Wildgarden]

5 hours ago, roger2256 said:

Trainer in form and Brian Hughes booked ,hopefully a good choice. I was on last night at much bigger than 12's , price is plummeting .

Good luck 

Had it Ew luckily feel a big win soon all these 2nds last 4/8 my personal selections lol

[roger2256]

2 hours ago, Wildgarden said:

Had it Ew luckily feel a big win soon all these 2nds last 4/8 my personal selections lol

Upsides at the last I thought we had it but not to be unfortunately