Trotter

Hiya.
 
Good Luck mate and a very Happy Birthday! Regards Justin. 🎂.

Minus 140.00 
(shocking start to the month ... let's hope for some luck on my 72nd birthday!)
Ain 1.45 - Heart Wood 5/1
Ain 2.55 - Mistergif 8/1
Ain 3.30 - Pic D'Orhy 4/1
prices skybet
£5 Trixie

4.14 seconds faster than standard over 13.3 furlongs would get an initial rating of 145 from me prior to any going allowance ..... and I'd have to check all the other races on the card to see if the ground was riding abnormally fast
If you remember that Frankel was 'only' rated 140
I'd definitely be treating that standard time with caution !
 

Minus 140.00 
(shocking start to the month ... let's hope for some luck on my 72nd birthday!)
Ain 1.45 - Heart Wood 5/1
Ain 2.55 - Mistergif 8/1
Ain 3.30 - Pic D'Orhy 4/1
prices skybet
£5 Trixie

Brest - 35 points to win at 1.50
cheers

it's a gold mine ........ 😜

it's a gold mine ........ 😜

it's a gold mine ........ 😜

it's a gold mine ........ 😜

Still very much in the testing stage but my top rated horse today is Blind Beggar in the 3.43 at Bath.
It obtained its best speed figure last May at Leicester on going described as Soft (Heavy In Places) so today's heavy going shouldn't be an issue. That was over 6 furlongs but it has won over today's distance of 5 furlongs twice since then.
Last won off a rating of 84 so today's rating of 82 is not an issue.
Available at 12/1 so perhaps worth a small bet.

Chelm 3.30 - Bracken Laugh win at 7/1 bet365

Chelm 3.30 - Bracken Laugh win at 7/1 bet365

I think my problem with the Ascot thing is that I won't have any figures before racing
My 'modus operandi' is to rate the meeting when it's finished and store those ratings for future use
But I've only ever really done ratings for the AW and few runners at Royal Ascot will have run on the AW...... plus I haven't done any ratings at all for a while. So basically I won't have any ratings for any of the runners at Royal Ascot
 
 
 

When I was really keen on the speed figures (which is probably about 10 years ago now) my idea of a good bet was a horse who's last 2 figures were higher than any figure of any the other's runners last two runs
So basically with 10 runners you had 20 figures ..... if a horse had the top two it was good bet !
At the time I probably had two or three years figures stored on the Racing Post 'My Ratings'  ....... given that these AW horses run frequently on the whole I'd have a long list of figures for many horses. I'd be looking for patterns ..... does it produce it's best figures on today's track or at today's trip, in todays race class and type, are it's figures improving over the last couple of runs etc
To be honest I've never done Turf Racing because I've always considered the variables of going, course configuration and the relatively large number of lightly raced runners, 2 and 3 year olds with not much form and hence not many ratings, to be difficulties ..... plus the sheer amount of racing to keep a eye on

Utt 1.40 - Hawk Stone 7/2 bet365
Utt 3.55 - Rouge de L'Quest 15/8 bet365
Utt 4.30 - Kruger Park 13/8 bet365
res
Chelm 3.30 -  Bracken's Laugh 8/1 bet365
good luck everyone !

Chelm 3.30 - Bracken Laugh win at 7/1 bet365

When I was really keen on the speed figures (which is probably about 10 years ago now) my idea of a good bet was a horse who's last 2 figures were higher than any figure of any the other's runners last two runs
So basically with 10 runners you had 20 figures ..... if a horse had the top two it was good bet !
At the time I probably had two or three years figures stored on the Racing Post 'My Ratings'  ....... given that these AW horses run frequently on the whole I'd have a long list of figures for many horses. I'd be looking for patterns ..... does it produce it's best figures on today's track or at today's trip, in todays race class and type, are it's figures improving over the last couple of runs etc
To be honest I've never done Turf Racing because I've always considered the variables of going, course configuration and the relatively large number of lightly raced runners, 2 and 3 year olds with not much form and hence not many ratings, to be difficulties ..... plus the sheer amount of racing to keep a eye on

When I was really keen on the speed figures (which is probably about 10 years ago now) my idea of a good bet was a horse who's last 2 figures were higher than any figure of any the other's runners last two runs
So basically with 10 runners you had 20 figures ..... if a horse had the top two it was good bet !
At the time I probably had two or three years figures stored on the Racing Post 'My Ratings'  ....... given that these AW horses run frequently on the whole I'd have a long list of figures for many horses. I'd be looking for patterns ..... does it produce it's best figures on today's track or at today's trip, in todays race class and type, are it's figures improving over the last couple of runs etc
To be honest I've never done Turf Racing because I've always considered the variables of going, course configuration and the relatively large number of lightly raced runners, 2 and 3 year olds with not much form and hence not many ratings, to be difficulties ..... plus the sheer amount of racing to keep a eye on

Another advantage of all weather racing for speed figures is that there are lots of meetings ........ and each course rarely goes more than a few days without racing during the winter season. So not only does the going tend to be consistent all over the track but you can compare the going with the meeting a few  days earlier to see if they're within reasonable limits of each other as the going isn't likely to change massively from meeting to meeting a few days apart
 
 

Norwich at 1.50
28 points 
cheers !

This is something that I've considered over the years and my solution is to ignore it !
The logic is based on the fact that stayers are not going to be running against sprinters in the future so what I am comparing is stayers with other stayers. There's no need to compare stayers with sprinters
I guess this partly depends on how you are using your ratings. You appear to be using them to compile a list of horses to follow whereas I've always used them to study a specific race the following afternoon
So if I'm looking at a 6f sprint tomorrow generally all the ratings I have for those horses will be from other sprint races. It doesn't matter what other horses are doing in 12 furlong races ...... it's has no impact on my group of sprinters that are running in the 3.30 tomorrow
And of course vice versa if I'm looking at a 14 furlong race tomorrow
As regards calculating a going allowance ......... I've always tended to take more notice of times over sprint trips on the basis that there's less option for 'dawdling' which you might get over longer trips. If any figures at a meeting look way out of line with the other races I'll tend to ignore them for the purpose of getting an average across the meeting ...... races that get ignored would tend to be the longer ones, particularly low grade with small fields. I guess in mathematical terms I'm looking for a median not an average. So I'm happy to ignore outliers.

7.00 Kemp - Zero Carbon - win at 11/2 wm hill

The Racing Post speed rating for that recent win was 87 ..... which seems a lot more reasonable than 123 !

^^^^^^
that was on my new Chromebook ........
just opened up my old Windows laptop and it's not working on there either, so I guess it must be the site not my machine !
that's a relief ........  hopefully they can fix the site whereas I have no idea how to fix my machine !
 
 

3.10 Chep - Walkinthewoods - £20 win at 5/2 wm hill