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Posts posted by kroni
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There's 7 race days at kentucky downs over the next 2 weeks, with decent sized fields and plenty of prize money. I had some success here in the past (famous last words) so thought I'd post these up. Some years it's struggle to find bookies pricing it up, so least there's a couple with odds so far.
Kentucky Downs
702 - Intergrated Design @ 10/1 ew bet365
734 - Federalist Papers @ 9/1 ew bet365
806 - Linguistic @ 9/2 bet365 | Bout Time @ 9/1 ew Ladbrokes
914 - Darkroom @ 4/1 Ladbrokes
948 - Big Dreaming @ 5/1 bet365
1021 - Driana @ 20/1 ew Ladbrokes
1054 - Speaking Scout @ 8/1 ew bet365 | Kitodan @ 16/1 ew Ladbrokes
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Saratoga
619 - Scocciatore @ 4/1 Coral, Ladbrokes
- Wildgarden and calva decoy
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1.50 Spirit Dancer
2.25 Goldenstatewarrior
3.00 Jumby
3.35 Enemy
4.10 The Big Board
4.45 Boardroom
5.20 Box To Box
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1.50 Intinso
2.25 Giavellotto
3.00 Action Point
3.35 Equality
4.10 Sisyphus Strength
4.45
5.15 Silver Sword
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1.50 Gunzburg
2.25 Dragon Leader
3.00 Darkness
3.35 Warm Heart
4.10 Makinmedoit
4.45 Straight A
5.20 Royal Dress
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1.50 One Night Stand
2.25 Hot Fuss
3.00 Castle Way
3.35 Mostahdaf
4.10 Solent Gateway
4.45 Radio Goo Goo
5.20 Zabriskie Point
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Agree with @Zilzalian on couple of these
Deauville
250 - One For Bobby @ 8/1 ew bet365
Ran career best last time on first start in France, the 2nd franked it when 2nd to a top class filly the other day. Ground should suit.
325 - Elite Status @ 10/1 ew Hills | Sajir @ 20/1 ew bet365
Elite Status was strong at the finish to see off Sajir 3 weeks ago here a Deauville but it wouldn't be a suprise if Sajir were to find more improvement on only its 3rd start.
400 - Measure Of Time @ 10/1 ew betfair
Ran eyecatching race here 3 weeks ago after a year off. Got messed around in midfield and shuffled back to last, then finished strong for 3rd, should have more to give.
- kensland and black rabbit
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145 Del Mar - And Tell Me Nolies @ 33/1 ew bet365
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Deauville
325 - Golden Lyra @ 12/1 ew skybet
Newbury
225 - May Sonic @ 12/1 ew skybet
300 - Isla Kai @ 9/2 bet365
335 - Marbaan @ 8/1 bet365
Ripon
315 - Live In The Moment @ 16/1 ew skybet
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805 Newmarket - Repertoire @ 10 /1 ew bet365
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805 Newmarket - Repertoire @ 10 /1 ew bet365
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Salisbury 430 - Makinmedoit @ 33/1 ew Ladbrokes 4 places
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18 minutes ago, The Equaliser said:
Interesting; I will lay out 8 pts on your selections but will have a saver on Mystic Pearl with Ryan Moore aboard despite the going being an unknown. Pace makes a race I have often read but I don't see many pundits build this into their selection criteria. Your race is over a mile on soft ground so how pace will pan out looks puzzling. Would it be safest to just stick to 5f and 6f handicap sprints when relying on speed figures? After all, there is no hiding place for a slow muddling pace in these is there? Just a thought.
I wouldn't take much notice of what the Racing Post and ATR say about the going on French tracks they are way off most of the time often saying its much softer than it actually is. Deauville was good ground on Sunday and i believe there has been a couple of light showers since then.
As for pace in race's, you're right you don't see many mention it. I like to look at pace to try predict how a race will unfold but it often doesn't work out how you think.
This race 325 Deauville, Sivka Burka looks like the only front runner and could get easy enough time in front but she is up to a mile for first time. If Sivka Burka doesn't see out the extra furlong you have to like Fancy Me to reverse the form from lto. Also I like Elounda Queen if theres enough pace to run at, she has been held up/slow away last twice and rattled home just beaten a nose lto.
Value has to be Fancy Me @ 16/1
- The Equaliser, black rabbit, yossa6133 and 2 others
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