LEE-GRAYS

Day 73
+£154

Granted Cheltenham is obviously going to take most of the focus, but Tuesday also sees the start of the Australian jumps season at Warrnambool and I am back to cover the season for the 5th time. It has been 2 very profitable years and a couple of small losses. What started as something to focus on during Covid has turned into a real passion. All being well I should be taking in the all jumps card at Pakenham next month on my visit to Australia and I can't wait to see some of these horses in the flesh.
Right onto Warrnambool and we have 3 races an Open Hurdle, a Maiden Hurdle and an Open Steeple.
Race 1
There is actually a Cheltenham link in this first race as Crosshill featured in races against Galopin Des Champs and Gentlemansgame among others when trained by Jessie Harrington. He ran a couple of promising races at Pakenham and in the Grand Annual last year and whilst he did go on to win a maiden on the flat his other jumps starts weren't great. He hasn't run over hurdles in Australia, but his last run in Ireland was a win over hurdles at the Punchestown Festival so he's very capable. He's trialed well and ran a respectable race on the flat last month. 
He does have to give weight away to the very short price fav here though. Teofilo Star ran in 3 hurdles last year and after finishing 2nd at Pakenham he broke his maiden tag over course and distance in May. He impressed that day and he was even more impressive 3 weeks later at Sandown in a BM120 when winning by 15L. He went back on the flat after that and whilst he was well beaten in the Brisbane Cup he did when a BM100 at Flemington just before. He's not run in a race since, but won his last hurdles trial.
Serenade The Stars was behind Crosshill in the trial at Terang last week. He won the first maiden hurdle of the season last year and was then 2nd in his other 2 hurdle starts. He will be fit from the flat.
If Crosshill could run to his Irish form he would be over priced, but I don't think he's been quite up to that level and Teofilo Star looks a potential top notcher over hurdles this season and he ought to win as his odds suggest although 1/14 is very short. Its a race to watch.
Race 2
Only 2 of these have raced over hurdles and Buffalo Bill has had 20 goes without. That clearly makes things tricky especially as none of these have raced at that high a level on the flat. Tarn's Prince is the favourite and he trialed well against some useful horses last week at Terang. I am though going to take a chance on Elementry. Very unusual for top connections to send a horse over hurdles after just one flat run, which granted was awful. He won his 2nd hurdles trial here and beat Antequera into 2nd place. He seemed to enjoy jumping and his jockey seemed keen to try and teach him how to race. He's been very well backed which whilst annoying in one way does add to the confidence that he's going to go very well.
Elementry 1pt @ 7/2 with William Hill
Race 3
There can't be many horses that have run in the Arc and then won a steeplechase, but Nelson has done that having been behind Enable in the Arc and then winning a chase at Coleraine last August. He could win this, but he is very short for me and there could be value elsewhere.
Police Camp is very experienced and was 2nd at a big price in the Grand Annual last year which was actually his last run. I suspect he will need this. 
Mighty Oasis caused a huge shock when he won the Thackeray over course and distance beating the Grand Annual winner Rockstar Ronnie. He had been 2nd in this race last year and he usually runs his race.
Instigator has been a solid hurdler and is making his chasing debut here. He had one steeple trial here and it was OK. I want to see him in a race though before backing him.
Yulong Prince showed some decent form when last seen over fences in 2022. He won a couple over fences including over course and distance and was 2nd to Flying Agent, who was superb that year, in a couple of the big races. Clearly he's been injured since, but he ran in a Picnic (Aussie version of point to point but on the flat) race a couple of weeks ago and then trialed well last week at Terang. 
I'm certain we will have some better punting cards in during the rest of the season, but I will have a couple of small bets on Mighty Oasis and Yulong Prince as I think they are over priced and we might just get Nelson beat.
Yulong Prince 0.5pts @ 17/2 with William Hill
Mighty Oasis 0.5pts @ 7/1 with Bet356
 

Sleepy 20/1 e/w 👍

Sleepy 20/1 e/w 👍

Sleepy 20/1 e/w 👍

Day 72
+£157

Won SP 3/1
Profit £ 75.60
Monthly profit £ 114.20

-£16
.+£157
day71

won - today +32.50
month + 43.39

Each Way 4 Fold AccumulatorRef: 330641582 4 Selections
8. Dgalwaygallivantor - 8/1Winner - 15:20 Gowran ParkEach Way: 1/5 Odds 4 Places   5. Terresita - 7/2Winner - 15:35 SandownEach Way: 1/5 Odds 3 Places   3. Baldomero - 7/2Winner - 17:00 WolverhamptonEach Way: 1/5 Odds 4 Places   5. Elterwater - 4/1Winner - 17:30 ChelmsfordEach Way: 1/5 Odds 3 Places   Stake£1.00 Win Stake£0.50 Place Stake£0.50 Potential Returns£462.39 Lucky15Ref: 330641585 4 Selections
  8. Dgalwaygallivantor - 8/1Winner - 15:20 Gowran Park   5. Terresita - 7/2Winner - 15:35 Sandown   3. Baldomero - 7/2Winner - 17:00 Wolverhampton   5. Elterwater - 4/1Winner - 17:30 Chelmsford   Stake£1.50 Potential Returns£181.40 Retain Selections Total Stake£2.50 Total Potential Returns£643.79  

Running total -£103
Bet 104
 

Day 71 
+£173

Lost
-£106 mar
-£738 10/07/23

-£15 
+£173

Day 71 
+£173

Day 71 
+£173

No rules as such but...
One lucky15 per day settled to 20p win or 10p each way please stipulate. Default will be win.
Cash out if you want Lee but for the comp your Original 4 will count.
Preferably bets would be real and not just paper picks.
Kudos, big swede and a huge imaginary trophy will be the only prize unless I win £1million, if this happens i will reimburse all your stakes for the week via Paypal. 🤣😂🙏🤑🤑
Wind ups allowed. Sensitive sorts need not apply.
Due to the varying bonus's among bookies we will default to double the odds for singles and 10% bonus for all 4 winners.
Good Luck everyone lets have a bit of fun.
Anyone winning  £1 million on the first day will be barred from the following 3 days to give the others a chance to catch up. 😂🤣
Please restrain yourself until the daily post is posted either Monday evening or early Tuesday Morning. Thank you very muuuuuuch.
Oh! and don't forget to do the daily Cheltenham competition being run by @MCLARKE for real money. 🤑🤑

Whatever your bet returns, so it would include the extras, that's why a real bet is preferable.  as for banana tits Ulrika some might prefer Dolph Lundgren so we will stick to big swede referring to a big head (erm thats not to say Ulrika couldn't give a little head if u asked her nicely) @LEE-GRAYS is the man for the big swede, straight from the allotment if he can put down his racing post for 10 mins to plant some.

Belargus                                         4 40 San/                1/40th of a pt ew   18/1
Holy Fire                                         5 00 Wol/                1/40th of a pt ew   22/1
 
 
 
P/L   + 176.20pts

@Carole-dawney will be in but have to do it with mine if ok 👍

In 👍

+£7 today

In 👍

Day 70
+£188
@Carole-dawney bottom