LEE-GRAYS

well done all thanks for running comp billy

Start a fresh thread here to avoid congestion on the YES thread .

The selection will be the Favourite in the bottom match in thestatsdontlie BTTS table provided the chance of BTTS is UNDER 40 %

Virtual 10pt on each game BTTS NO -

Sat BANDARI 35% 1.67 1-0
Sun VITEBSK 28.5% 1.75 1-0
Mon SJK 34.50% 1.83 2-1
Tues no bet
Wed ULSAN HYUNDAI 37.50% 2.10 0-2
Thu no bet
Fri SLUTSK 26% 1.57 0-1

Profit +30.90pts


Correct score alternative-

4pts on 1-0
3pts on 2-0
3pts on 3-0
4pts on 4-0

Sat - BANDARI 1-0 would have returned +12pts profit
Sun - VITEBSK 1-0 would have returned +8pts profit
Mon - SJK 2-1 10pt loss
Tues - No bet
Wed - ULSAN HYUNDAI 0-2 would have returned +28pts profit
Thurs - No bet
Fri - Belarus - SLUTSK 0-1 10pt loss

Total for week 1 = +28pts


Sat KHAZAHKSTAN - KAISAR v TOBOL 24.50% 1.73 [Skybet]
Odds for correct score [TOBOL] - 6.00 [0-1] , 9.00 [0-2] , 17.00 [0-3] , 41.00 [0-4]

Make sure you have plenty of fuel in the tank. It's a very long road. 

1- Fixed stake win on the top rated match rated over 70%+ - -7.30pts pts

2- a rolling double on the top match provided both are rated 70% + over 2 days. - +19.50pts

3- Fixed stake double on the top 2 rated that day - +47.68pts

4- Fixed stake Treble on the top 3 rated that day - +45.16pts
 
Friday - Iceland  - THROTTUR   53%    1.62
2- BRASIL DE PELOTAS   52%      2.20
3- BOHEMIANS   48.50%    1.95
 
 I am going to put into place another trial with the correct scores of 1-0 , 2-0 , 3-0 and 4-0.
The selection will be the Favourite in the bottom match in thestatsdontlie BTTS table provided the chance of BTTS is UNDER 40 %

4pts on 1-0
3pts on 2-0
3pts on 3-0
4pts on 4-0

Sat - BANDARI 1-0 would have returned +12pts profit
Sun - VITEBSK 1-0 would have returned +8pts profit
Mon - SJK 2-1 10pt loss
Tues - No bet
Wed - ULSAN HYUNDAI 0-2 would have returned +28pts profit
Thurs - No bet
Fri - Belarus - SLUTSK 26% Odds 5.50 , 7.00 , 13.00 and 34.0

Its hard but just stop chasing and have a break , amazing how many times we feel a win is due and it never comes 

I will be on vacation 5 days. I'll think about coming back with $ 500 on new thread 

Very very Good Start  
After 35 Bets , 3 Bets pending. Surrey Will Win today . 
Cricket: USD41.31 | Football: USD67.88 | Rugby Union: USD6.28 | Tennis: USD81.08  
Total P&L:  USD196.55
 
 
 
 
Initial Bank : 52,00$
Current Bank : 170,73$ + 76,73$ Pending = 247,46$

@OP
Hi first of all thanks for a reasonably interesting thread.Better than most of the pointless nonsense you get online nowadays.
Im commenting because you seem to be in earnest and because I’m stuck in some Northern town with nothing better to do.
Honestly it’s like the beginning of Sean of the Dead up here.But then I assume the whole of the Northern 2/3 of the country is like that .
So first of all Im curious to know what exactly your aim is ?
Do you bet to make money ?
I suspect you don’t . Because you will never make money betting on the more obscure leagues .
Because obviously as soon as any bookie notices you making regular profits from such markets you will be banned or heavily restricted.
So you’re just seeing whether you can come up with a way to beat the bookie just for the hell of it ?
Then what ? 
Secondly the answer to your question about value is no,
Its true that in short term markets you need to be betting value but it’s not true in long term markets ,
Thats why I never waste time betting  on short term markets .Even if you find vslue you then get restricted.
Thirdly I note that many of your bets are on odds on shots . Do you really think it likely that that many odds  on shots are value ?
Possibly but I m skeptical .
But if you really want to test your system you should in fact get yourself to pick out tips before you consult your system.
I suspect that you’d be betting on many of those selections anyway .
 
 

Excellent thread @FootballBettingPredictor and I'm sure you'll take the @moggis veiled criticisms above with a pinch of salt. Keep up the good work and show that those who post specific selections for peer review  and real-time accounting are worth a thousand of the posters who offer unqualified and unproven opinion.

Cheers Grex ..just need to find out the best way to caplitalise ...
 
DEGERFORS v FALKENBERGS    0-2     Not too disheartened as Degerfors had 16 goal attempts and missed a 58th min penalty !!
BRAGE     3-2
MARIEHAMN      2-1
 
So i'll try a few staking plans and see how they pan out ..
1- Fixed stake win on the top rated match rated over 70%+
2- a rolling double on the top match provided both are rated 70% + over 2 days.
3- Fixed stake double on the top 2 rated that day
4- Fixed stake Treble on the top 3 rated that day
 
Virtual profit/loss so far on all 4 plans
1- 2/3 with a 10pt win on each would have returned a profit of +1.00pt
2- 1 win , 1 loss for a virtual profit of 4.02pts
3- 1 win from 3 for a virtual profit of 3.41pts
4- 1 win from 3 for a virtual profit of 5.11pts
 
Tuesday - Singapore - TAMPINES v HOME UTD  - 70&  -  Odds  1.57
2nd top - INTER TURKU - 64,50%   1.70
3rd top  - ORGRYTE  - 61%  -  1.80
Both Sweden
 

Fairly large it would seem.  

to PL @rafaelcunha   

Thank you Sir 
I trust i will win a lot of money and take pleasure. 
I would like perfect my English and i think it’s right place. 

I started well 0 pts  1-1 lol
 

take your money well done start again

I fancy iran to get out of group but not beat spain

The 2018 World Cup starts on June 14th and concludes with the Final on the 15th of July
The Punters Lounge will award cash prizes totalling £200 via Paypal
First: £80
Second: £60
Third: £40
Fourth £20
*Deadline for any entries therefore is 4pm on June 14th.*

*If any multiple registrations are found to try and manipulate the competition they will not receive any prizes*
 
Format
1) Entrants will be required to predict the Correct Score of the 48 group matches
2) Players will also nominate four teams from the competition in order of with their main fancy being the No 1 choice.
Scoring
In the group matches by predicting a correct score you are in effect forecasting 3 main outcomes;
- the actual result, whether or not both teams will score and if the game has under or over 2.5 goals.

Points will be awarded as follows for all of the 48 group matches;

3pts for the correct result of the game (1,X,2)
1pt for correctly predicting if both teams score (or not)
1pt for correctly predicting under or over 2.5 goals
1pt Bonus for every correct score predicted
Eg:
Prediction 2-1 - Actual result 3-0 = score 4pts (3pts for home win, 1pt for over 2.5)
Prediction 0-0 - Actual result 0-1 = score 2pts (1pt for under 2.5 goals, 1pt for BTTS No)
Prediction 3-1 - Actual result 4-2 = score 5pts (3pts for home win, 1pt over 2.5, 1pt BTTS)
Prediction 1-3 - Actual result 1-3 = score 6pts (3pts away win, 1pt over 2.5, 1pt BTTS, 1pt CS)
Knock Out Phase
5pts if any of your nominated teams win their group
5pts if any of your nominated teams win a Last 16 match
5pts if any of your nominated teams win a Last 8 match
5pts if any of your nominated teams win a Semi Final
5pts if any of your nominated teams wins the World Cup
Bonus 5pts if your number 1 nominated team wins the World Cup
Any ties will be decided by how many Correct Scores predicted,
then how top 4 teams nominated performed.

Rules
Please post the matches in the order given in the selection thread, easy just to copy and paste.
If games are out of order they may be miscalculated. Pease use the format given.
All predictions must be in the same post (before deadline)
Only 1 entry accepted per member, any duplicate entries will not count towards prizes.
No editing of posts, once you have posted your predictions they will be transferred to the master sheet so i will NOT see any edits.
Any mistakes contact me by PM or post on the forum (ie; if you have missed a game out or something)
Latest tables will be published on a regular basis throughout the journey
Good luck 
ENTER HERE >> https://forum.punterslounge.com/topic/164881-world-cup-2018-competition-prediction-thread/ .
 

Then I have reached the 2,000 kr.
And the plan was that I would pay out1,000 kr.
But .... I think it's so good a run right now, so I will be continuing with the whole amount :-)

28) 1607,17 kr.
Lyngby - Randers
2-3 odds 50
Possibly winnings: 32,37 kr.

Its always difficult to plan these things for next season as a few members move on etc... but as it stands at the moment these are how the new division will look. Obviously any inactive members will be removed when we get nearer the time.
Anyone not on here because of elimination will have to re-apply next August.
 



 
 

Profit/Loss of the day +20.00PTS
Overall Profit/Loss +208.90PTS
Month Profit/Loss:-  -1.20pts
Overall Selections 112
Won 71
Lost 41
Strike rate :- 63.39%
AVG ODDS 1.94
R.O.I  +18.65%
Full house tonight  only -1.20pts on the month now after a poor start hopefully can kick on now. Got a game overnight in MLS and a game in Sweden tomorrow would be nice going into the weekend in profit for the month.
Most my selections for the weekend are done maybe a few more added as Norway games are on Monday and due to them games just finishing tonight ratings need changing so could throw up a couple more selections.

Thanks for the support, my darling wife

cheers billyhills great comp look forward to next season and world cup

Profit/Loss of the day -4.90PTS
Overall Profit/Loss +165.10PTS
Month Profit/Loss:-  -45.00pts
Overall Selections 98
Won 60
Lost 38
Strike rate :- 61.22%
AVG ODDS 1.90
R.O.I  +16.85%
 
Another small loss and now this is a record breaking run of losing days . I've been working hard on this today so not seen to many games to know if today's results were bad luck or poor selections. 
I'm working on a market predictor which will predict what way the odds are going to move so this will help me (i hope ) to get better prices and to know what teams to back right away and which to leave and let them drift. I will show you all for Wednesday's games in Norway and talk you through it.
So like I've said many times I'm happy with this atm but now adding more to it all the bits and bobs are coming together. So hopefully I will have a market predictor, A football results predictor and a selection predictor If successful it could be very powerful.
After the last ball is kick in Norway that's around 9pm tomorrow I will post the my market predictor odds for Wednesday's match in that league. Then as soon as Bet 365 release there odds on that market I will get a screenshot and post it side by side with the market predictor odds.
From there I will try to predict which odds will go up and which will go down. I am that confident in this that I reckon I will correctly get 75%-80% right maybe even more. Only time will tell if this will work and actions will speak louder then word but if it does it will give me a little edge but lets wait and see.
Right Irish league is getting dropped lack of coverage plus I have J-league 2 now so no real need for the Irish league as I was performing poor in it.
I will continue to push with this I'm working hard on it and as I'm boring I'm excited by the journey ahead will it work long term ? who knows but I will give it my best shot to make it work and it will take more then a few poor results to stop me with this.
I hope this is coming across as interesting for you all as it is for me Like I've said this is not a thread to follow with your money and back my selections Its more to show you what can be done and how bloody hard it can be and how much hard work goes into it.
Let's Go
 

so that's it for this weekend 17 selections 170pts on the line lets see how I do. I do normally look all weekend for odds movement but due to a little change in selection and team ratings and a 170PT risk I will leave it for this weekend.

Profit/Loss of the day -4.70PTS
Overall Profit/Loss +182.80PTS
Month Profit/Loss:-  -27.30pts
Overall Selections 87
Won 55
Lost 32
Strike rate :- 63.21%
AVG ODDS 1.90
R.O.I  +21.01%
Poor run continues for me  a small loss on the day but that's 4 days straight without a profit  longest losing run is 6 days so lets see if I can beat that . Not much more I can say just a blip or something more only time will time but what I will say is I'm happy to show you all that's it's not all plain sailing but when I come out the other side of this in profit will be all worth it . Talk is cheap only results will prove if this can be a success or not.
Roll on the weekend