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Aryna Sabalenka (-1.5 Sets) to beat Jessica Pegula at 1.709 with Pinnacle
Sabalenka finds her best game in this surface. She is very aggressive and attacking in the most of the rallies. Yes Pegula is one of good players of 2021 but she did not proof her game in Clay surface yet.
 
In the previous meeting of those two players finished in two sets. Sabalenka has dominated that match. I expect same result from Belarusian. I think also Sabalenka can be champion here.
 
Good luck everyone

Aryna Sabalenka (-1.5 Sets) to beat Jessica Pegula at 1.709 with Pinnacle
Sabalenka finds her best game in this surface. She is very aggressive and attacking in the most of the rallies. Yes Pegula is one of good players of 2021 but she did not proof her game in Clay surface yet.
 
In the previous meeting of those two players finished in two sets. Sabalenka has dominated that match. I expect same result from Belarusian. I think also Sabalenka can be champion here.
 
Good luck everyone

Jan-Lennard Struff to beat Alexei Popyrin at 2.06 with Pinnacle
It's always tricky to bet on players that need to travel quickly after finishing finals in the previous week, but the gap in class is decent enough here imo. Popyrin has made it through the qualifiers, but he could've easily lost against Coria and he wasn't too convincing against Cazaux either. Struff had a high level last week in Munich and I think he can get another win here. If he didn't have to travel at short notice, he would be way shorter here and I'm willing to take the risk at these odds.

Both have the same court pace rating. In Madrid the ball even goes slightly faster due to the conditions so that's even better for Karatsev. Are u happy now? 

Karatsev (2-0) to beat Humbert at 1.80 with bet365
Humbert has a negative record on clay (27-29). He never has done something remarkable on this surface. Karatsev did really well in Belgrade. He beat Bedene, Mager and Djokovic. He lost the Final against Berrettini but it was a close match (1-6, 6-3, 7-6). The conditions are similar here so I think Karatsev can do really well in Madrid.

Iga Swiatek to beat Ashleigh Barty at 2.1 with bet365 
Swiatek at 2.1 on clay?!? She's facing Barty but she should have been the favorite imo. I think Iga has already proved that she's elite. I like her attitude as well. She should win this. 
 

Swiatek showed in the last matches against Alexandrova, Konjuh and Muguruza that her level is far from FO's level. She lacks tactical skills when playing against equally aggressive players. In her last game against poorly serving Siegmund she had 10 unused match balls in  the last game.
I'm a fan of Swiatek but I don't think she's actually playing well.

So, Madrid continues for both men and women. Good luck everyone!
Fabio Fognini to beat Carlos Taberner at 1.74 with Pinnacle
I will risk Fognini yet again, hopefully with the same positive result. He was disqualified last time out, but he should care about such a big tournament as this one. He can play better than Taberner, who must be a bit tired after playing a physically tiring match against Thompson and then a mentally taxing one against the talented Italian youngster. I'd have Fognini closer to 1.57 here myself.

Aryna Sabalenka (-1.5 sets) to beat Daria Kasatkina at 1.80 with Pinnacle
 
I did not like Kasatkina 's performance in her last two matches. She made too much unforced errors  against Begu but won some critical points then she saw second round.I dont think that Kasatkina is in her top form.
On the other hand, Aryna Sabalenka was very good in her last match. Big serves.  Big plays. Her serves are much better than Kasatkina's serves. I believe that she will break Kasatkina's serves in rows.
H2H stat shows Sabalenka won 2-0 in this surface. I expect same score for this match.
 
Good luck !

Aryna Sabalenka (-1.5 sets) to beat Daria Kasatkina at 1.80 with Pinnacle
 
I did not like Kasatkina 's performance in her last two matches. She made too much unforced errors  against Begu but won some critical points then she saw second round.I dont think that Kasatkina is in her top form.
On the other hand, Aryna Sabalenka was very good in her last match. Big serves.  Big plays. Her serves are much better than Kasatkina's serves. I believe that she will break Kasatkina's serves in rows.
H2H stat shows Sabalenka won 2-0 in this surface. I expect same score for this match.
 
Good luck !

I presume that's for 2-0, otherwise that'd be a huge price!

Ivashka to beat Alexander Zverev at 3.50 with bet365
Ruud to win the ATP Munich at 3.25 with bet365
Ruud plays today against Millman and he's a massive favorite for this match (1.12). Then, he will play against Basilashvili or Gombos (LL) so he will be a big favorite, too. In the Final he will play against Sasha/Ivashka/Krajinovic/Struff. 
I also think there's value on Ivashka considering how impressive he has played recently. He destroyed Pedro Martinez and Fokina in Marbella and he even took a set from Rafa in Barcelona after destroying Cressy, Gaio and Griekspoor. I know Sasha plays home and he has won here a couple of times but this is a minor tournament and we know that the motivation is not the same. The negative part with this bet is the number of matches that Ivashka has played in the last month...

Federico Delbonis to beat Bernabe Zapata Miralles at 1.85 with Pinnacle
I'd have Delbonis as a slightly bigger fav in this one honestly. Miralles has been decent throughout the season, but he's generally had to face lesser opposition than Delbonis and that's where my doubts come from. He also folded against weaker players a couple of times, while Delbonis tends to be stable. His loss against Daniel might look bad on paper, but Taro was playing really well in Belgrade, so no shame in that imo.

Benjamin Bonzi to beat Jiri Lehecka at 1.71 with Pinnacle
Two years ago or so, I had Lehecka to beat Zopp at 4.00+ in this event. Since then, he hasn't exploded as expected. He did crush Lestienne in the first round, but the performance was only average and this should be a dfferent challenge. I'd have Bonzi at 1.57 max.

Dusan Lajovic (-2.5) to beat Mackenzie McDonald at 1.85 with  Pinnacle
Lajovic's favorite surface is clay and he is one of the smartest players on tour. He knows how should he play against the players who do not have too much experience on this surface. McDonald won last two matches against two players but those players were not in top form. I expect good start and finish from Serbian . 
 
Good luck everyone !

Alex Molcan to beat Thiago Seyboth Wild at 1.89 with Pinnacle
I've hated Wild almost every single time I've seen him play so far in this season. Not sure why Molcan isn't the favourite here given that he's made it through the qualifiers. He's improved big time from last year and this could very well be his type of event as well. 

Dusan Lajovic to beat Mackenzie McDonald at 1.68 with Unibet
Although I quite liked McDonald in the qualifying, this is a big step up and Lajovic should get a good chance of breaking his losing streak. It's now three defeats in a row for the Serb, but they came against tougher matches, especially Evans in Monte Carlo, who then went on to beat Djokovic as we all remember. This draw is soft enough and I think he'll take advantage of it.

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe to beat Federico Coria at 1.68 with Pinnacle
I saw Stebe in the qualifying and he was decent enough. He's beaten two potentially tricky players here already and Coria isn't a big step up. He's on a horrible run of 5 straight losses and some of those were pretty bad no matter how you look at them.

Matteo Berrettini to beat Filip Krajinovic at 1.88 with Pinnacle
Krajinovic might have the conditions on his side, but I didn't like him that much in recent weeks and Berrettini is the better player overall. Slight value I'd say with the Italian.

Bravo. Sinner is the next super star for the coming 20 years. 

Jannik Sinner to beat Roberto Bautista Agut at 1.81 with Pinnacle
Serve factor will define victor in this match. Sinner's serves are better than Spanian. h2h stats also 3-0 for Sinner. 

Jannik Sinner to beat Roberto Bautista Agut at 1.81 with Pinnacle
Serve factor will define victor in this match. Sinner's serves are better than Spanian. h2h stats also 3-0 for Sinner. 

Jannik Sinner to beat Roberto Bautista Agut at 1.81 with Pinnacle
Serve factor will define victor in this match. Sinner's serves are better than Spanian. h2h stats also 3-0 for Sinner. 

Jannik Sinner to beat Roberto Bautista Agut at 1.81 with Pinnacle
Serve factor will define victor in this match. Sinner's serves are better than Spanian. h2h stats also 3-0 for Sinner. 

Alexei Popyrin to beat Gianluca Mager at 1.95 with Pinnacle
This looks a bit off to me given how crazy Mager can play at times. Popyrin has built up quite some reputation on clay recently and he's shown a lot of fighting spirit in Belgrade already. If he plays his standard, he should be the favorite in this one and by a decent margin at that in my opinion. Mager is worth backing as the underdog here and there, but he's rarely the favorite.