Zilzalian

Dodgy time of year but worth a dabble

My admittedly brief research showed up a little anomaly which is interesting. In the majors the average age is 32, but if we look at all the signature events it is 27

Maybe a simple way for enthusiasts and i use that term as opposed to a betting term because i suspect like me there are many who just like to have a bet for interests sake, meaning watching/following the golf is more important than the betting on golf. So keeping notes about your chosen player/s, the reason you chose them, the odds etc and then for me the important bit is after the event and how the analysis panned out, what works or doesn't work, did you miss an opportunity, should you have gone EW etc. A simple notebook or a spreadsheet would be all you need to keep a simple record, I do believe that keeping your eye on things day by day is essential if you do like a bet as there are many opportunities arising at the end of each days play. I had too many bets on the Masters but a small bank is ideal, lets say for the sake of argument £10 is your bank per tournament you might have a couple of initial picks and raise twist or stick as the rounds go by. Sometimes you may not need your whole bank so all options are open. Maybe starting next year we could do a collaboration to see differing ideas/approaches and create a spreadsheet of relevant data. @tonythepaint @Torque @CakeCakeCake @fd1972uk @monty63 @MinellaWorksop @Striker @tschurchy @calva decoy @charliepie Or maybe a fun 4 day comp.

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I wonder if the analytically minded people on here like @harry_rag could answer this question, I know the average age of the signature tournaments is around 27 years old. I wonder what it is for the masters and even the other majors? I also wonder if it could even be broken down into the different courses say easy to hard. Harder courses=older more experienced winners would be the hypothesis. if the hypothesis is true then that would be valuable information from a betting point of view.

I think i called this bit right, and it just shows how a player (Rose, Reed) can look to be out of it. Well done to Rory. My overall impression of this tourney is that there will be a few feeling foolish this morning for giving up as many of them did. Shocking from DeChambeau maybe he is now only used to LIV'S 3 rounds or the easy money. Personally i had too many points/bets but there is only 1 Masters. Interestingly the combined age of the first 3 was 115 which indicates experience is premium around Augusta.

The quirky bit here in this is highlighted by many commenting here and that is both Mcllroy and De Chambeau are both capable of collapse so maybe a little bet on others is wise if your on either.

Just 1 added Patrick Reed based on his experience and 80/1 seems fair given hes closer in comparison to others at lesser prices.

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I have noticed in this and in the past that the golf coverage is shocking, anyone would think there are only half a dozen players in a tournament. They show them over and over again and occasionally a few others. They have cameras on every green so there is no excuse for it. i can understand it on the last 9 of day four but days 1 2 & 3 is a piss take.

Did you get the extra place on Maw Lam? (40/1)

Bit extra added for Hovland, and 1 point on Lee. had a 2balls of 8 players because i think i can win the lottery 😂 (4 from 7 again yesterday)

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newbury 520

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Wind my neck in after failing by 1 player yesterday for the five. tonight i will stick to 6 folds and an acca in the 3 balls for a bit of extra interest nothing to add to my players list until after this round.

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Better Together another Fabre horse to note put up a good performance to win at Deauville over 7F (8thApril) Kaadi a good yardstick went off like a bolt and was soon 7l clear before being swallowed up in the final furlong by its shorter price stable mate (fav) Better together came through late and won comfortably in a decent time.

Over budget already 😂 bit of extra interest. Four from seven bit annoying but tiz what it tiz. Pendrith looked the banker in this so just shows you.

Bet365 LOST

All tongue in cheek stuff Harry. As for your golf bet I have filed it under fun/mug bet. 😂

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Final selections. Four backed and watching two see where we are after round one. Good luck all

I have a strict policy, i never listen to noise whether that is a horserace trainer a jockey, a paper pundit or MSM even down to what players say, i do my own research i make notes and i back what/who i think can win at whatever price/s is available within reason, i don't use exchanges (foolish i know but i can live with it) you are correct i avoid favs like the plague even in Horse racing unless they totally align with my criteria which consists of my own speed figures, my notebook and my memory. its a simple approach but it works for me. i recommended one max bet of 100 points this year i posted it on here it was a second fav and it won. A sample of one is as MR Rag says means nothing much but there are enough of my posts on here to support the profitability of my methods if anyone cares to research them. I bet for fun and the challenge. The EW question is a personal thing i also avoid them as much as possible sometimes if i am on a bit of a bad run i will do the occasional ew L15 just for the confidence boost if getting a little back. I will agree that the sensible thing to do would be ew on the golf given the prices but i choose not to i prefer to bet by the round and i view ew as thinning my bank, better to have two runners at a point each than 1 point ew on one given how pathetic ew is these days 1/5th odds is a joke. 1/4 was/is bad enough. In my opinion Hovland is currently one of the top golfers and as such should be able to play any course, if left handers can overcome what are essentially courses designed around right handers then Hovland should be able to negotiate Augusta. We shall see its going to be interesting/exciting as it always is.

I have a full list of all players and the comments i make as i am watching and believe me i can find negatives on most of the field but at the end of the day you have to decide who has fewer than most. lets take Scheffler nought from five this year and surgery and becoming a father for the first time are few real negatives add on the yanks are not winning many of their own tournaments but you are willing to take a short price? How about Mcllroy getting on a bit now and doesn't seem able to get the job done at the top level but he has surprised me this year but that price is shocking. Rahm faded in the liv and seems to have lost his edge to me, Morikawa i would argue is past his sell by date and another lacking belief, Aberg has been woeful, Lowry is a bottler to my eyes Shaufelle another who has had surgery and is out of form, Thomas is a sulker, Matsuyama didnt make the cut last week. Koepka is older than me ffs (well nearly) Cantlay, Spieth and fleetwood are zig zagers. De Chambeau i dont really know much about his recent form. im going to add Nieman to a point to my list at 28/1. Pops a few surprises the masters so there are a few reasons to avoid the top end of the market but like i have said before we all have our ways and means so it will be interesting, im looking forward to it.