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Everything posted by Zilzalian

  1. The going description at Goodwood is good. It is not. Unless every runner at goodwood today ran 3 seconds slower than its average the going is on the softer side of good to soft.
  2. It may make a significant difference over the year, as an avid fc tc merchant might i suggest you keep careful records of your bets, its tedious on top of rating but well worth it long term. for info only, i often drop the shortest price runner in my top 3 or four rated especially in small stakes fc and tc's.
  3. Im a little curious about something and that is this. If you just stuck to your top 3 in fc & tc's =12 bets @ lets say 3pt wins instead of the 36 @ say 1 point wins, going off ur past results would you be better off or worse off?
  4. Not sure what form Varians horses are in to be honest hes not doing as well as he usually does thats for sure so maybe it is better than it showed plus, that was a tricky pair to take on maybe he just finding its level.
  5. SUMMARY/UPDATE Date Posted by Horse 1st Run 2nd Run 3rd Run 18/02/22 Zilzalian Harrys Bar lost W 10/3 lost 18/02/22 Zilzalian Enemy W 11/1 lost 01/03/22 Zilzalian Baratti W 11/10 (2/1 ep) 16/04/22 calva decoy Enshrine W 2/9 (2/5 ep) 18/04/22 Zilzalian Potapova 19/04/22 calva decoy Security Code 26/04/22 calva decoy Akhu Najla lost 28/04/22 black rabbit Flash Bulb 29/04/22 black rabbit Eyedon 4th 33/1 (4 places) 30/04/22 Zilzalian Traise Fluors 13/05/22 black rabbit Cairn Gorm 13/05/22 kroni Tashkhan 14/05/22 Zilzalian Beringer 17/05/22 Zilzalian Katey Kontent
  6. Notebook Horses 2022 is doing ok up to press.
  7. Katey Kontent hoping this is a decent price for Ascot, only a 4 runner race LTO but an exceptional speed rating of 130 from me, 130 is quite rare for a 2yo up to this time of year.
  8. We can't know what the sp is or the race is going to be when we see one of these notebook horses so a win is a win. i think the back next three races for a "spot" is not a bad philiosophy unless like you say you wasn't impressed with the 1st run.
  9. a winners a winner but yes 2/5 sp 2/9 is/was not very tempting.
  10. have long had issues with Crowley he had 4 winners at ascot one day and arguably cocked up on his easiest ride which was Mohaather. I admit i speak from my pocket because on this occasion it cost me 18 grand but i had reservations before that and although i dont like to get involved with arguments (like has been said it can happen to anybody) about jockeys riding but some do leave a lot to be desired and with Crowley for me it happens too often same with Spencer and a few others.
  11. Was an half decent animal for Martyn Meade ie running against top class Ghaiyyeth so there are reasons to believe it should be at least competetive in this, the 66/1 was always far to big its 16/1 now 365 and that is probably what it should have opened up as. it will be interesting non the less.
  12. The draw can be horrendous at Longchamp.
  13. The simplest equation for betting on GG's 1 Pick a GG 2 put cash on 3 sit back watch race 4 if GG wins 😁 5 if gg loses 😪 6 go back to 1 and repeat until bank is empy.
  14. A great return to action from Alan Kings Beringer expect this to turn up at royal ascot after catching the eye today off of a very long lay off. lets hope for a decent price.
  15. Got a bit of advice regarding baeed and it is this- its speed figures match the hype so i would be very wary about laying this one.
  16. You are correct in my opinion, Singles are always a better option, for me the fc and tc are more like fun bets simply because i think if i speed rate a race and i am correct with my figures i like to do fc and tc when the odds are big because i think to myself why do all that work if your not going to use it. it can get expensive so i stick to 2yo pattern races mainly. i like multiples too (lucky 15 because of the double odds for one winner) but again i agree the bookies love them for a reason and its a long time between drinks. okay when your on form but horrendouse at those times you cant buy a winner which happens to us all.
  17. in my opinion and my experience i wouldn't over complicate things i do fc & tc on all my rated races although i generally stick to the top 3. ie 6 x fc and 6 x tricasts thats on top of the win bet i have on the top rated or the top 2 rated (split stakes if i do top 2 rated) the reason i say dont over complicate is simply the costs which can mount up quite quickly and so can the losses when u have an unlucky run which happens often. example i do £10 win on top rated, i then do 6x 50p forcasts and 6 x 50p tricasts. 16 quid per rated race soon mounts up. if i do have to reduce stakes i never reduce the 50p forcasts just the win bet, down to a fiver and the tricasts, down to 25p costing £9.50 instead of the £16. just an addition here my criteria for doing fc is minimum odds of one of the rated must be 8/1+ and in tc 2 out of the 3 must be double figures otherwise i leave well alone and just do the win bet, again this is purely down to cost/benefit analysis.
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