TheLoneBettor

15.20 Newcastle Brian The Snail 6/1 b365
All the best.

Oh well, here we go...Home at last!!! Good Luck and stay safe everyone. 
1100 Newcastle - Zodiakos @ 25-1 ew Bet365 

2 out of 4 today. Just over 1pt up and a 25.2% ROI. Wow, did you see Frankly Darling's Win!! Reminded me a bit of my favourite horse, Frankel.

Newcastle 13.35 Little Jo E/W
 

Newcastle 13.35 Little Jo E/W
 

Looking for angles for favourites at Kempton has been one of the toughest searches yet for me. I've tried this and tried that but finally I think I've found something. What I have learned though is that backing favourites blindly is not worth your time at this AW track. Yes, over 3 years and a bit would have yielded a small profit but the last 2 years would have not. I use Forecast Favourites because when betting is live favourites can sometimes fluctuate from 1 horse to another horse then back to the original favourite. That's not static so that would change my selections all the time. Below are the stats for Betfair Starting Prices which are non static.


And if we break it down by the month of June (Below) it has a slightly higher strike rate (38.6%) than overall.

Breaking down the favourites using trainer/jockey combo and using Forecast Favourites which are static prices.

 
I'd say overall that is quite impressive. Good strike rate and ROI. Even the Betfair P/L(Place) made a small profit. I will say that I did break it down by June and it only produced 1 bet over the last 3 years. The result was a Place.
The system has brought up a bet and I will be posting it in Tuesdays Racing Chat.

Really !!!!
You'd have thought they'd have mentioned it on ATR ? ?
like every 10 f..kin seconds ?

Bonds Boy looks a stand out .Fahey's best chance I think/ We'll see if its fancied. 
Stoute looks to have the Fav in a 4yo Handicap. Has to be respected. Need to wait  to see the market tomorrow morning! 
 

7 EW bets out of 10 races!! 

Government have now given the green light for live sport to resume from Monday !

Cards up on HRB
https://www.horseracebase.com/horse-racing-today.php

I have just been searching for win strategies on HRB lately but I have just started to notice the Place P/L and  Place ROI% on some of my finds quite impressive. So yesterday and today I have been system building with a few strategies. Again, I have used Newcastle.
Finding double figured odds winners is hard enough but for a Place, it quite surprised me. I will be taking precautions to this approach (I will be halving my normal stakes for now until I know things have settled down) for obvious reasons. 
I have done a combination of Stallions, Trainers and Jockeys. The Forecast price range starts at 11 to 34. Sounds a bit cuckoo land doesn't it lol? But I am place betting on Betfair. Here is what I found. What I found impressive was Plc%(BF) is 49.73%. I just hope I have some qualifiers so I can give it a go.

Some good stats , they'll come into use sooner or later ?

I just hope my thread hasn't been in vain, calva. lol.
 
Regards

Given the government are so keen to get things going again ASAP I would be surprised if they don’t give the go ahead tomorrow when they are set to announce if we can go to the next stage or not

Thank you for getting back to me Billy. And as soon as racing gets back underway I will be a lot more busier on here. I look forward to what goes on here.
 
Regards