calva decoy

Good luck to STAGE STAR 4/1 ( free bet Sky yesterday ) & all of their owners who paid about £50 to own an eyelash & around £30 on each seasons renewal , make a nice change from the ever increasing Irish domination . 👎 well done to PROTEKTORAT , a likeable winner who's always threatened to be top class .

@Old codger takes the daily honours, picking 12/1 UNEXPECTED PARTY, 13/2 LANGER DAN and 9/2 JASMIN DE VAUX.
Amother good day for @Bathtime For Rupert means he extends his lead.




 
 

No big priced winners today. @Bathtime For Rupert is the only player to select the 2 biggest winners, 9/1 Lark In The Mornin and 6/1 Chianti Classico along with State Man to take the early lead.




 

Yea, you're right...i am shit at this!!! 40p returned. 
Heard you were semi retiring on here, hope that's not the case? 

Cheltenham 1.30 A field of eleven face the starter in the opener on day three for the 2M 4F Turners Novices’ Chase. Ireland have won nine of the 13 runnings of this contest but this years prize may be staying at home with Nigel Twiston-Davies’s Grey Dawning and Paul Nicholls’s Ginny’s Destiny fighting out the finish. The pair met over course and distance back in December with the latter coming out on top by 3/4L but Grey Dawning is now 3lb better off and made a race ending mistake two out that day. There probably won’t be much between them again with slight preference for Ginny’s Destiny who won the same novices’ handicap over course and distance as last year’s winner Stage Star from the same yard of Paul Nicholls. His record here now reads 7111 and he can take this with Harry Cobden doing the steering although Grey Dawning looks a massive danger..   GINNY’S DESTINY 1 point win @ 4/1 William Hill   Cheltenham 2.10 A maximum field of twenty four staying hurdlers line up for the wide open Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Final. Gordon Elliot has won three of the last six renewals and appears to hold a big chance of enhancing that record with his novice Cleatus Poolaw. He made a promising handicap debut when qualifying for this race when runner up at Naas in February over 2M 6 1/2F, keeping on well. Todays extra distance should suit him and he can run well along with another Irish runner in the shape of the Ted Walsh runner Garth Chuil. A winner of a qualifier at leopardstown over Christmas he went down by 3/4L in another qualifier to Maxxum again at Leopardstown five weeks later and will find conditions to suit here. Mel Rowley’s mudlark Kyntara is an outsider who could out run his odds but in a wide open heat it’s Cleatus Poolaw that has my vote with a saver on Cleatus Poolaw.   GARTH CHUIL 1 point each way @ 9/1 Coral 1/5th 123456 CLEATUS POOLAW 1/2 point each way @ 15/1 William Hill 1/5th 123456   Cheltenham 2.50 The Ryanair Chase is run over the intermediate trip of 2M 4 1/2F and has an open enough look about it this year. The ground appears to have scuppered the chances of Banbridge who was pulled out on the morning of the Turners last year when the ground turned soft. Last year’s winner Envoi Allen has to be in the shake up and although he’s now ten years old remains in top form, and he must go close. Last year’s Turners winner Stage Star has a good record at the track although has to put a poor effort on New Year’s Day in a handicap behind him when pulling up. The best outsider may be Richard Hobson’s Fugitif who prepped for this over too short a trip at Newbury when third to Elixir De Nutz and Jonbon. Bar the rank outsider Fil Dor there is actually only 10lb between the whole field. Trainer Henry De Bromhead is already on the scoresheet for the meeting and can back up last year’s success in this race with the smart Envoi Allen and Rachael Blackmore.   ENVOI ALLEN 1 point each way @ 9/2 bet365 1/5th 1234   Cheltenham 3.30 Thirteen staying hurdlers go to post for the 3M Stayers’ Hurdle in which there is only officially 10lb between the whole field on ratings. The rain that fell earlier in the week will be ideal for Gordon Elliott’s Teahupoo who is well suited by the mud. He came into this race a year ago mind as 9/4 favourite when finishing third to Sire Du Berlais and although he can obviously win is scant value at around the 2/1 mark. An intriguing runner is Gavin Cromwell’s Flooring Porter who has an excellent record at the track which reads 1141 which includes the 2021 and 2022 runnings of tis race. Fourth last year he embarked on a chasing career this season winning here in October. He reverts to hurdles and with his liking for the track and trip could be the each way value in an open renewal in which the best of the home challenge is Fergal O’Brien’s Crambo.   FLOORING PORTER 1 point each way @ 11/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234   Cheltenham 4.10 The 2M 4 1/2F TrustATrader Plate Handicap Chase may have twenty one runners but there’s plenty that are hard to fancy here and this may be fought out by the two novices who head the market in the shape of Jonjo O’Neill’s Crebilly and Richard Bandey’s Theatre Man. Slight preference is for the former who’s shown promise in good novice company on his three starts over fences and looks to have been allotted a very fair handicap mark. With luck in running he could rout this field with Theatre Man chasing him home. Novices have done well in this over the years and another novice Saint Felicien, trained by Gordon Elliott also has claims having won at Gowran Park last time out. Crebilly is the one but it’s well worth a small saver on the danger Theatre Man.   CREBILLY 2 points win 7/2 888sport THEATRE MAN 1 point win @ 5/1 888sport   Cheltenham 4.50 Eleven have declared for the Ryanair Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle and with Ireland having taken six of the eight runnings of this race once again have a very strong hand with the front two in the betting. Gordon Elliott has been waxing lyrical about his unbeaten five year old Brighterdaysahead and she will no doubt be hard to beat although like Willie Mullins’s Jade De Grugy, who is also unbeaten, has to carry a 5lb penalty for winning class 1 contests. One horse who’s done nothing wrong and has been well campaigned to avoid any penalties is the locally trained Dysart Enos. She’s won three bumpers and three novice hurdles with her head in her chest and in receipt of 5lb from the two Irish favourites may be the value bet for Fergal O’Brien and jockey Paddy Brennan. O’Brien has yet to have a winner at the festival but with a bit of luck today could be his day.   DYSART ENOS 1 point each way @ 9/2 BetVictor   Cheltenham 5.30 The finale for day three is the 3M 2F Kim Muir Handicap Chase for amateur riders. The well backed favourite is top weight Inothewayurthinkin trained by Gavin Cromwell in the colours of J P McManus and ridden by the top Irish amateur Derek O’Connor who took this back in 2019 on Any Second Now. He’s been well found in the market however and didn’t jump with fluency last time out, only his fifth ever chase start. He could well win here but with luck in running needed I’m prepared to have a swing at a big priced one each way with extra places. Step forward the Venetia Williams trained seven year old Demnat. Lightly raced, the full brother to high class 2 miler Sceau Royal, is stepping up markedly in trip and at his current odds is worth chancing that the longer trip may actually suit him. He made a winning debut for Williams at Ludlow when routing his field coasting home 15L to the good in February but flopped when dropping back to two miles a fortnight ago when he actually ran better than his finishing position of a 25L third looked as he skidded after jumping the last when 8L down. In the hope the step up in trip helps and with the assistance of female Irish amateur Aine O’Connor in the saddle he’s a value play for a stable that won this race with a 40/1 chance two years ago.   DEMNAT 1 point each way @ 33/1 bet365 1/5th 123456    

130 PREDATORS GOLD 10/1 ( 3 places ) 👎
250 ZANNDABAD 16/1 ( 5 places ) non runner 
450 UNEXPECTED PARTY 14/1 ( 5 places ) 1st 12/1 👍
530 THE YELLOW CLAY 8/1 ( 5 places ) 👎
10p each way lucky 15 prices bet365 & b.o.g. 🙏 
staked £3.00 
returns £3.96 
total weekly staked £6.00
total weekly returns £5.89 .

130 PREDATORS GOLD 10/1 ( 3 places ) 👎
250 ZANNDABAD 16/1 ( 5 places ) non runner 
450 UNEXPECTED PARTY 14/1 ( 5 places ) 1st 12/1 👍
530 THE YELLOW CLAY 8/1 ( 5 places ) 👎
10p each way lucky 15 prices bet365 & b.o.g. 🙏 
staked £3.00 
returns £3.96 
total weekly staked £6.00
total weekly returns £5.89 .

130 PREDATORS GOLD 10/1 ( 3 places ) 👎
250 ZANNDABAD 16/1 ( 5 places ) non runner 
450 UNEXPECTED PARTY 14/1 ( 5 places ) 1st 12/1 👍
530 THE YELLOW CLAY 8/1 ( 5 places ) 👎
10p each way lucky 15 prices bet365 & b.o.g. 🙏 
staked £3.00 
returns £3.96 
total weekly staked £6.00
total weekly returns £5.89 .

Great to see you back pal. Your still shit at this though 🤣

Hi all, day 2 and hope for some better luck today 🤞.....soooo a few early selections.......
 
Ballyburn To Win & Either Ile Atlantique Or Predators Gold To Finish 2nd In The 13:30 @  5/4 ........ 
W Mullins Win treble of Ballyburn / Fact to File / El Fabiolo  @ 3/1.............Ballyburn / El Fabiolo double @ 6/5
14.10    Fact to File @ 4/6 ......WON  ( return 100pts)  
Monty Star to be top 3 @ EVS......WON ( return 100 pts)  
Fact To File To Win & Either Stay Away Fay Or Montys Star To Finish 2nd In The 14:10 @ 13/8......WON  ( return 131.25 pts )
woop woop 🥂 👌 💷 ......1 race with 3 returns has turned around our racing with nice profit 🐎    
soooo now all on El Fabiolo for 2 more WINS of a double & treble 👌 
 
Sa Majeste, Built By Ballymore, Doddiethegreat & Jigoro All To Finish In The Top 10 In The 14:50 @ 5/1 
last bets of day .... soooo its G Elliott and D Skelton ( after his earlier handicap plot !)
16.50    Sa Fureur  11/2  EW    4TH                       Unexpected Party  12/1 EW    WON   (return 205 pts)              Triple Trade  33/1 EW              5 places 
 
soooo a good day in end with big profit 🥂  💷.......the what 'if' had El Fabiolo won for a double & treble would have been a 4 figure profit day !!
 
 

Cheltenham 1.30 Day two of the 2024 Cheltenham Festival kicks off with the 2M 5F Gallagher Novices’ Hurdle which has attracted a rather disappointing turnout of eight of which five are trained by Irish maestro Willie Mullins. His number one here is the six year old Ballyburn who will be hard to beat. He oozed class when winning at the Dublin Racing Festival at Leopardstown in February clocking a very fast time. Paul Townend was on board that day and has picked him here ahead of his stable mates and although he’s a skinny price will be very tough to beat if in the same mood. Mullins’ Ile Atlantique is maybe the one to chase him home but it may well be the case of Ballyburn coming home clear of his field. The home team only have three chances with The Grey Man a total no hoper and both Ben Pauling’s Handstands and Nicky Henderson’s Jingko Blue having a mountain to climb on form with the favourite. Stablemate El Fabiolo looks a similarly good thing later so maybe a win double is the bet.   BALLYBURN & EL FABIOLO (3.30) 2 points win double 1/2 & 8/15 bet365 @ 1.3/1   Cheltenham 2.10 The 3M 110 yard Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase has disappointedly only attracted six runners. We have another Willie Mullins favourite in Fact To File who it seems the trainer is very sweet on. There is however a horse in here who, in my opinion, has done as much if not more than him over fences. That horse is the Paul Nicholls trained Stay Away Fay who won the Albert Bartlett Novice Hurdle last season, which is always a good guide to this novice chase the following year with six of the past 14 winners having contested the race the previous year. He’s made a good start to chasing winning twice at Exeter and Sandown (Giovinco back in second)and finishing a good third in open company to Capodanno in the Cotswolds Chase here on trials day on the new course. He can run a bit in snatches so Nicholls reaches for first time cheek pieces today which may help him if it comes to a battle. At the respective prices the value bet has to be Stay Away Fay.   STAY AWAY FAY 1 point win @ 10/3 bet365   Cheltenham 2.50  A near maximum field of twenty five assemble for the highly competitive Coral Cup run over 2M 5F. Last year’s winner Langer Dan is worth a close look now that he’s dropped to the exact same mark he won off last season with stomach ulcers the ‘excuse’ for his poor efforts this season. Expect him to run a lot better today. Willie Mullins saddles three with his handicap debutant Sa Majeste the most interesting. He could be chucked in but is priced accordingly. Nicky Henderson has three in this and all three have chances with Doddiethegreat just favoured over Lucky Place and First Street. He ran well in the Betfair Hurdle last time out, a race that was franked last weekend and with the step up in trip sure to suit, this lightly raced eight year old is the pick although I have to have a saver on his stable mate Lucky Place who is making his handicap debut and looks well treated on his runs behind smart novices Golden Ace and Gidleigh Park. The form of the Henderson’s stable has to be questioned though with his Tuesday runners (bar Champion Hurdle 3rd Lucia) running shockingly. Had they been been running better I would be splitting stakes on Doddiethegreat and Lucky Place but with the way the stable are running the bet is last year’s winner Langer Dan.   LANGER DAN 1 point each way @ 9/1 Unibet 1/5th 12345   Cheltenham 3.30 Just eight face the starter for the 2M Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase. Yet again we have a very warm Willie Mullins trained favourite in El Fabiolo. He’s six from six over fences including taking the Arkle Novices’ Chase at the meeting last year and the Simon Munir & Isaac Souede owned seven year old is hard to oppose. His chief rival is the Nicky Henderson trained Jonbon who was firmly put in his place by El Fabiolo in the Arkle last season going down by 5 1/2L and hardly boosted his chances for this when blundering his way around when beaten a neck by the re-opposing Elixir De Nutz here on trials day in the re-arranged Clarence House Stakes. Edwardstone employed new forcing tactics when blitzing his rivals at Newbury last time but is up against it in this company and this can and should go to the favourite bar any accidents.   Cheltenham 4.10 Six of the last 9 winners of this Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase have been won by Gigginstown Stud and they are once again well represented with two big chances in Punchestown banks winner Coko Beach and Delta Work who is the pick here having shown his liking for this unique course having won the last two renewals. Blinkers are added for the first time to Gordon Elliott’s eleven year old who teed up for his hat trick bid by running in a grade two hurdle at Navan in February. 2021 Gold Cup winner Minella Indo is not the force of old but should be competitive here and with heavy ground likely to be against Galvin and many others hard to fancy this may well be fought out by Coko Beach, Minella Indo and Delta Work with the latter the selection with Jack Kennedy on board.   DELTA WORK 1 point win @ 3/1 888sport.com   Cheltenham 4.50 A decent sized field of seventeen line up for the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Chase run over 2M. The race has an open look about and in a race that novice’s have a good record in it may be worth chancing Evan Williams’s Libberty Hunter. He’s won two of his three starts over fences (he fell 3 out on chase debut) including over course and distance on New Year’s Day by a length from Matata (who’s run well in defeat since). A 7lb rise for that victory may not be enough to stop him from running a big race in this open handicap. Last year’s winner Maskada (8lb higher today) and Dublin Racing Festival winner Madara are others likely to run well but with extra places it may be worth backing Libberty Hunter.   LIBBERTY HUNTER 1 point each way @ 7/1 bet365 1/5th 12345   Cheltenham 5.30 The finale of day two is the 2M 87 yard Champion Bumper which has fallen to Ireland on 24 of the last 31 runnings with that man Willie Mullins winning the race a staggering twelve times in that time span. He saddles nine of the 24 runners here and must have a solid chance of winning it again with the likes of the Souede & Munir owned Jasmin De Vaux, a 15L winner at Naas or possibly the Paul Townend ridden Cantico. There maybe some value with the latter who by all accounts works as well as anything at Closutton and it looks significant that Townend has picked him ahead of other promising types. He couldn’t have done anymore than win a six runner Navan bumper by 6L when last seen so to small stakes he’s the each way pick. Paul Nicholls saddles a brace of runners in Quebecois and Teeshan with the latter a very interesting runner. An easy Irish point winner he made an impressive British rules debut when winning by 7L at Exeter and although Britain have a poor record in this race can run well and be involved in the finish.   CANTICO 1 point each way @ 12/1 bet365 1/5th 12345

2.50 TRELAWNE 15/2 ( 6 places ) fell 
3.30 IRISH POINT 6/1 ( 3 places ) 2nd 9/2 
4.10 TELLMESOMETHINGGIRL 14/1 ( 3 places ) 2nd 22/1 
4.50 LIARI 8/1 ( 6 places ) 👎
10p eway lucky 15 all prices bet365 & b.o.g. ( will watch recording when get home from work 🤞 ) 
Staked £3.00
Returns £1.95 

Chianti does the business .. ..+56.00 .....that's +146.00 from two races 

The 'experts 'writing off gaelic warrior, so guess he's a banker now, lol

Who needs Cheltenham !
AW selection
Southwell 8.00
MOULIN BOOJ

2.50 TRELAWNE 15/2 ( 6 places ) fell 
3.30 IRISH POINT 6/1 ( 3 places ) 2nd 9/2 
4.10 TELLMESOMETHINGGIRL 14/1 ( 3 places ) 2nd 22/1 
4.50 LIARI 8/1 ( 6 places ) 👎
10p eway lucky 15 all prices bet365 & b.o.g. ( will watch recording when get home from work 🤞 ) 
Staked £3.00
Returns £1.95 

There's lots of scrolling about to find the relative Cheltenham thread atm & was just going to add that looks like a fair bit of rain due tomorrow morning & going will be soft , which is good , as long as it doesn't go heavy which there's a chance on Cross Country Course for Wednesday's race .

After looking at the first day decs i can see W.Mullins bagging 4 or 5 winners with 6 of the 12 in the Supreme , hope I'm wrong , he had a lot of odds on favourites turned over at the Dublin Festival but his 2nd & 3rd string those days were most probably their seasonal pinnacle races .
I fancy G.Elliotts NDAAWI 17/2 in 4.50 , he's won 3 of last 6 renewals of this race . 3rd 12/1 , missed out on b.o.g. but risk you take going early .
 
Sky Bet are giving all cash back on the Supreme maximum bet £5 in which I did MYSTICAL POWER 7/2 .
Galileo out of Annie Power , some breeding , quirky type , still green but very talented & best of all , if it comes last , I get my cash back 👍 2nd , got cash back & good run for my money .

There's lots of scrolling about to find the relative Cheltenham thread atm & was just going to add that looks like a fair bit of rain due tomorrow morning & going will be soft , which is good , as long as it doesn't go heavy which there's a chance on Cross Country Course for Wednesday's race .

2.50 TRELAWNE 15/2 ( 6 places ) fell 
3.30 IRISH POINT 6/1 ( 3 places ) 2nd 9/2 
4.10 TELLMESOMETHINGGIRL 14/1 ( 3 places ) 2nd 22/1 
4.50 LIARI 8/1 ( 6 places ) 👎
10p eway lucky 15 all prices bet365 & b.o.g. ( will watch recording when get home from work 🤞 ) 
Staked £3.00
Returns £1.95 

After looking at the first day decs i can see W.Mullins bagging 4 or 5 winners with 6 of the 12 in the Supreme , hope I'm wrong , he had a lot of odds on favourites turned over at the Dublin Festival but his 2nd & 3rd string those days were most probably their seasonal pinnacle races .
I fancy G.Elliotts NDAAWI 17/2 in 4.50 , he's won 3 of last 6 renewals of this race . 3rd 12/1 , missed out on b.o.g. but risk you take going early .
 
Sky Bet are giving all cash back on the Supreme maximum bet £5 in which I did MYSTICAL POWER 7/2 .
Galileo out of Annie Power , some breeding , quirky type , still green but very talented & best of all , if it comes last , I get my cash back 👍 2nd , got cash back & good run for my money .

Probably better to put comments on this normal daily thread (although it will have Cheltenham in the title to make it easier for new members who are attracted by the Cheltenham festival).

Will be interesting to see how this one gets on in the 2:50 tomorrow.

After looking at the first day decs i can see W.Mullins bagging 4 or 5 winners with 6 of the 12 in the Supreme , hope I'm wrong , he had a lot of odds on favourites turned over at the Dublin Festival but his 2nd & 3rd string those days were most probably their seasonal pinnacle races .
I fancy G.Elliotts NDAAWI 17/2 in 4.50 , he's won 3 of last 6 renewals of this race . 3rd 12/1 , missed out on b.o.g. but risk you take going early .
 
Sky Bet are giving all cash back on the Supreme maximum bet £5 in which I did MYSTICAL POWER 7/2 .
Galileo out of Annie Power , some breeding , quirky type , still green but very talented & best of all , if it comes last , I get my cash back 👍 2nd , got cash back & good run for my money .

There's lots of scrolling about to find the relative Cheltenham thread atm & was just going to add that looks like a fair bit of rain due tomorrow morning & going will be soft , which is good , as long as it doesn't go heavy which there's a chance on Cross Country Course for Wednesday's race .