The Equaliser

Franny from the clouds on Madam 😃  ok dog&duck time  beer curry cat house  on franny' and madams efforts
+ a fine run by commander crouch also   + bosh still to run 😄

Newmarket 1:30
Draw data throws up two runners due to an anomaly in the four years of data. One is adjusted the other is without tasking the anomaly into account
whispering words
Queens Regent
both win 
horses don’t usually run green after winning as this one was reported to last time out
Madam Ambassador 
each way

Stats for the Howden handicap
Last ran 7 - 15 days ago 5 from 49, LSP 17, remainder 3 from 84, loss - 51
Forecast fav / 2nd fav 1 from 18
Finished 5th to 8th last time 4 from 33, LSP 13
This leaves BLESS HIM 14/1 and ORBAAN 16/1, 5 places

Bet365 have The Brigadier's 3 pt selection Zoulu Chief (2:05 Newmarket) boosted to 7/4 at the moment.

Me and @Carole-dawney going to do a lucky 31 for a week ending next Saturday last time did quit well 🤞😂mine are the 2 at wolves Carole got other 3 know my place 😂😂

3:35 Ascot
Bless Him 14/1 bet 365 - bog
Harry Brown 15/2 bet 365 bog
2 x singles - each way double - 5 places
Hayley Turner has been in fine form in the last fortnight, operating at a 27 per cent strike-rate in that period, and heads to the Berkshire track for two rides. - Source  - Racing Post.

430 red 
Shaladar  8.4 10/1 
Ron o   8.2 10/1 
Hirtzadar  7.8 
5pt Ew ....top 2 

335 ASC
Quinalt. 9.0 9.2.
Popmaster. 8.8. 7.2.
Orbaan.  8.6 15/1 
These 3 appear to be a little ahead of the rest so I'll try 5pt wins all 3 

Newmarket 1.30 A eleven runner fillies handicap run over 10F starts the day proceedings off for the eight ITV races today. Charlie Appleby’s Whispering Words makes her handicap debut off of what maybe a workable mark but has been well found in the market and it maybe worth opposing her with the Roger Varian trained Red Danielle who is also making her handicap debut. Her penultimate run points to her been well handicapped here as she ran the now 105 rated Sweet Memories to half a length at levels so off of an initial mark of 90 looks well treated here.   RED DANIELLE 1 point each way @ 6/1 Betfred 1/5th 1234   Ascot 1.50 The listed 5F Blue Eagle Rous Stakes has attracted a field of nine and can go to Kevin Ryan’s Emaraaty Ana who is the highest rated in the field. The likely fast ground is ideal for the seven year old who comes into the race having run well in 6F listed contests at Newmarket and York this autumn finishing placed in both. The gelding is dropping a furlong today but he has winning form over the minimum trip and with ground conditions to suit can take this contest under Neil Callan.   EMARAATY ANA 1 point win @ 9/4 William Hill   Newmarket 2.05 A big field of twenty two for the Tattersalls October Auction Stakes for two year olds run over 6F. It’s hard to look beyond the favourite here in the Heather Main trained Zoulu Chief who will be ridden by Gina Mangan. He’s the clear top rated and his latest nursery victory at York is working out very well with the runner up, third and fourth all winning since. He’s progressive and despite the big field will be very hard to beat.   ZOULU CHIEF 3 points win @ EVS bet365   Ascot 2.25 Shadwell Stud set a poser in this Group 3 Cumberland Lodge Stakes by declaring both Israr and Al Aasy and with the owners number one jockey Jim Crowley picking the latter he’s is the one to be with. He’s been a bit of an enigma over the years but has done nothing wrong on his last three starts, winning in listed and Group 3 company at Newbury and Haydock respectively and running well in defeat in Ireland last time out. Very fast ground may not be his desired surface but he may just be too good for his seven rivals here.   AL AASY 1 point win @ 7/4William Hill   Redcar 2.45 It’s hard to look beyond the short favourite Dragon Leader in this 6F listed William Hill Two Year Old Trophy run over 6F. Clive Cox’s two year old is favourably treated here being 8lb and more ahead of his ten rivals. Owned by Kennet Valley Syndicates he took a valuable sales contest at York in August in decent fashion and wasn’t disgraced on much softer ground when runner up in a similar contest at Doncaster’s Leger meeting. Back on better ground he can outclass his rivals.   DRAGON LEADER 3 points win @ 4/6 BetVictor   DRAGON LEADER 4/6 & ZOULOU CHIEF Evs (2.05 Newmarket) 2 points win double BetVictor   Ascot 3.00 The 6F Group 3 John Guest Racing Bengough Stakes has attracted ten runners with the top three Commanch Falls, Garrus and Jumby all carrying 3lb penalties. Ed Walker’s Dark Trooper may be the value play here with conditions to suit and although he has officially 9lb to make up on the principals is still progressing having won his last four starts including twice over course and distance. Paul Mulrennan gets the call up to ride and looks decent each way value.   DARK TROOPER 1 point each way @ 7/1 bet365 1/5th 123   Newmarket 3.15 Eight smart fillies line up for this year’s renewal of the Group 1 Virgin Bet Sun Chariot Stakes. John & Thady Gosden’s Inspiral is a warm favourite and if bringing her A game to the table will be very hard to beat under Frankie Dettori who’s looking for his 500th win at his home track before he retires. She has an outstanding chance and although she hasnt always been the most consistent in her career is the clear pick here. The only horse close to her on ratings is the French challenger Mqse De Sevigne who is chasing a hat trick for her master trainer Andre Fabre but may prefer easier ground.   INSPIRAL 2 points win @ Evs William Hill   Ascot 3.35 The days ‘cavalry charge’ is the 7F Howden Challenge Cup with a maximum field of eighteen declared. There are many form lines tying in with the likes of Quinault and Baradar and its the James Fanshawe trained Hickory who looks the value each way bet. He’s 7lb better off for a 1/2L beating from Baradar over course and distance in July and 5lb better off for a 2L beating from Quinault over course and distance last month. 7F and fast ground are his optimum conditions and as long as stall 2 isn’t a negative (last year low number were a positive) can run a big race. I also can’t resist a tiny each way saver on last year’s winner Escobar who, following some lack lustre runs, is now 13lb lower. He showed some sparkle last time and in first time cheek pieces is a lively outsider.   HICKORY 1 point each way @ 12/1 bet365 1/5th 12345 ESCOBAR 1/2 point each way @ 20/1 BetVictor 1/5th 12345

Nope they have pulled it out. Orbaan had already been pulled out of that race too.
Fun and games i'm hoping for a big run from both them tomorrow.
looking forward to seeing your ratings  in that 3,35 race to see how my two rate i also like  Atrium in it  but hoping it drifts to 25's before i snipe in.
 

Madam  Ambassador                                        1 30 New/        1/40th of a pt ew     33/1           -    Won    
Ropey Guest                                                       3 35 Asc/           1/40th of a pt ew    44/1
Designer                                                               1 50 Asc/          1/40th of a pt ew    12/1
Happy Romance                                                 3 00 Asc/           1/40th of a pt ew    16/1
Commander Crouch                                           2 05 Asc/          1/40th of a pt ew    36/1            -   2nd
Love Billy Boy                                                       2 45 Red/          1/40th of a pt ew   36/1
Vultan                                                                    2 20 Cra/           1/40th of a pt ew   38/1
Bosh                                                                       7 30 Wol/           1/40th of a pt win  12/1
 
 
 
 
P/L   + 171.95 pts

3,35 Ascot HICKORY  has generally been running well apart from howler at Doncaster 3 runs back looks a lot more to come from this horse  so worth a  bet 1pt e/w 5places bog 14/1 corals. ORBAAN is also worth a 1pt e/w bet 5p  NOT BOG 20/1 seems to be running into form now is well handicapped  so should go well at a decent price  would think  it will go off shorter so have taken the bigger price without bog. To be honest  Fresh would have been a 3pt e/w  bet had it been double figure price but at 6/1 ill take my chance else where as he has been struggling to get his head in front this year but will be keeping a close eye on it as has been dropped to fair mark.  4PTS  Invested.
Good Luck All.
 
 

£18.50 return- the other 3 were placed 😂

Lucky 15 Elusive Tiger @ 4/1
16:15 Lingfield
Tiriac @ 4/1 16:30 Salisbury
Wind Your Neck In @ 3/1 17:02 Salisbury
Kyle Of Lochalsh @ 3/1 17:45 Lingfield
Bet Ref.576/789 Stake£1.50 Est. Returns£89.90 Summary Total Stake £2.00 Total Estimated Returns £289.90  

Lucky 15 Monkmoor Pip @ 11/4
13:40 Lingfield
Global Effort @ 11/2 14:10 Lingfield
Sweet Sister @ 11/2 14:45 Lingfield
Mitwaa @ 10/3 15:15 Lingfield
Bet Ref.575/787 Stake£1.50 Est. Returns£142.40 Summary Total Stake £2.00 Total Estimated Returns £485.68  

Lingfield 
3:15 - Guns and Flowers 10/1 
£10 e/w

Lingfield
3:45 Wadacre Grace 6/1
5:15 Streetform 8/1
Salisbury 
2:57 Secret Satire 12/1
Chelmsford
6.00  blue Flame 4/1
 
Lucky 15 e/w
 

A double at 22/1 and 9/4
Profit on the day £ 23.20
Out £ 1,208.50
In £ 2,251.49
Profit £ 1,042.99

Lost
-£80 oct
-£662 10/07/23

2.00 Warwick real pieces 60/1. 5 places £10 e/w bet365

Lost.    Crowley had 3 rides and I pick the unplaced one  🙄

Day 74 -£152.60

A profit is a profit !

Wolverhampton 1900
suprise picture
chalk mountain 
both  win 
both won on their last visit here
top weight with a penalty 
Bottom weight unbeaten on the course 
Set to meet on the traverse at the draw and by the weights. One of these two should win, if nothing else gets in the way.