The Equaliser

1535 Doncaster - The Lincoln
The Gatekeeper - £10 e/w at 12/1 w/Betfair.

Donc 335 One Night Thunder 50/1
£10 ew skybet 7pl 

winning double - today + 1.00
month + 373.86

Done 2 x 0.20 L15's on the Daily L15.  Couldn't get some of the higher prices
2.25 Don Harswell Duke 1 pt ew at 7/1 with Betfair 6 places
= 8 pts staked today
 

Lucky15Ref: 341477471 4 Selections
4. What A Johnny - 15/2Winner - 14:00 Bangor-on-Dee   5. Party Vibes - 5/1Winner - 15:15 Newbury   1. Regent's Stroll - 11/4Winner - 15:50 Newbury   6. Fantomas - 5/2Winner - 16:15 Bangor-on-Dee   Stake£ 3.00 Potential Returns£ 284.09 Keep bets in betslip? Total Stake£ 3.00 Total Potential Returns£ 284.09

Not done one of these for a while so here goes nothing -
Doncaster          2.25    Dirtyoldtown            10/1ew    5pl
Doncaster          3.35    Vetiver                         9/1ew    6pl
Newbury            3.15    Drumlee Spud          14/1ew    5pl
Newbury            3.50    Gwennie May Jem    17/2ew    4pl
Returns £2,244.40 W Hill

I don't know how you do it. I struggle to pick 4 on a Saturday.😆

2024 Running total -£29.46
Bet 15
 

-£16
+78
day 85

Day 85
+78 
 

AW selection
Newcastle 8.00
MOON FLIGHT

7.15 Wolverhampton - ALFRED COVE 17/2 eway bet365 . 2nd , got pipped in last half furlong .
3.35 Doncaster - VETIVER 20/1 eway bet365 ( Thursday price , now 15p rule 4 with Awaal a n/r . 👎 never really featured , probably better over 7f & with the headwind 8f probably felt like 9f today .

2-25 don maysong decent mark acts on soft and 16/1

2024 Running total -£4
Bet 3 (singles)
Following trainers in form.
 

Zambezi magic last at don is very well handicapped and has the ground if ready

14:40 Newbury 1pt Win Heltenham @6/4 They had been knocking on the door for a while and finally got the win they deserved last time out. A 6lb rise is probably fair and another bold show is likely for the inform Skelton yard.
13:20 Doncaster 1pt win Astral Beau Won this race last year comfortably and ran fairly well for the rest of the season, we know they love the ground and the track and another bold show is expected in what is a much more competitive renewal this year 
14:25 Doncaster Harswell Duke 1pt E/W @11/2 (5 places) Winner of this last year and are 8lbs better of here today, another good draw has been given to them and any more rain would only enhance their winning chances as they love the ground and love the track.
 
15:35 Doncaster Spirit Genie 0.5pts E/W @16/1 (6 places) They love the ground and their last run can be left behind them back on turf after a break. There form on soft or worse ground is 4 runs 2 seconds and a first which is pretty impressive and have a definite chance here.
 

Wayfinder               N/R
Lilting Verse                                           3 15 Neb/               1/40th of a pt ew     22/1   - 5th
Expressionless                                      2 25 2 25/                1/40th of a pt ew    18/1
 
 
P/L  + 176.15 pt

Doncaster 1.20 The 2024 turf flat season kicks off with a seven runner renewal of the listed Doncaster Mile. The ground is likely to be pretty sticky here and that may play into the hands of last year’s winner Astral Beau who although having a few pounds to find with a few of these on official ratings has form figures of 3111 on soft or heavy ground and has won first time out for the last two seasons including a 4L victory in this race a year ago. Pam Sly is a more than capable trainer and may have most to fear here from the Roger Varian trained Charyn who kept better company than this last year and is the highest rated of the seven runners. Knight is another who relishes the mud but its the only mare in the race that can beat the boys here under Shane Kelly under her ideal ground conditions.   ASTRAL BEAU 1 point win @ 5/1 bet365   Bangor 1.30 A rare visit for the ITV cameras to Bangor-On-Dee for this class 2 2M 3 1/2F handicap hurdle which has attracted eight runners. It may chiefly concern Dan Skelton’s veteran West To The Bridge who’s fallen down to a winning mark, Olly Murphy’s hat trick seeking Pickanumber and last year’s winner Jungle Jack. Preference is for Skelton's West To The Bridge who has the assistance of Tristan Durrell here with main stable jockey Harry Skelton required at Newbury.   WEST TO THE BRIDGE  1 point each way  @ 5/1 bet365   Doncaster 1.50 The first two year old turf race of the season is the historic Brocklesby Stakes run over the minimum trip of 5F and has attracted a field of fifteen this year. Obviously the market will tell us the ones that are expected to run well but I can pass on a good mark for the Amo Racing newcomer Mystical Elegance trained in Lambourn by Dominic Ffrench Davis. The owners are already off the mark with the first juvenile race of the Irish flat turf season last Monday and the trainer was on the Nick Luck podcast on Thursday stating that the son of Zoustar will love the prevailing ground and is very forward with a good willing attitude. He was the pick from three entries from the yard and without the benefit of any market clues is worth a speculative interest.   MYSTICAL ELEGANCE 1 point win 5/2 bet365   Newbury 2.10 A field of nine face the judge for this 2M 3F class 3 novices’ handicap hurdle. Phillip Hoobs & Johnson White’s Into The Park and Nigel Twiston-Davies’s Spirits Bay head the weights and the market and come here both chasing hat tricks although both are up in the weights. As a four year old the Dan Skelton trained Kartoon And Co gets a healthy age allowance of 12lb and off of just 10 stone 2lb here, a weight which is jockey Harry Skelton’s bare minimum (he may well have to put up a pound overweight). He ran well at Sandown a fortnight ago when runner up in a handicap hurdle when well backed and with the extra 3F likely to suit looks the pick although I can’t resist a small each way saver on Nicky Henderson’s only runner of the day in handicap debutant Break My Soul, who’s recent second spot at Warwick has been boosted by the winner placing in graded company since and the third winning a handicap. We all know Henderson’s stable has been under a cloud but his only runner since Cheltenham was a winner at Kempton a week ago.   KARTOON AND CO 1 point each way @ 8/1 BetVictor 1/5th 123 BREAK MY SOUL 1/2 point each way @ 16/1 bet365 1/5th 123   Doncaster 2.25 The Lincoln consolation race the Spring Mile Handicap has attracted eighteen runners and is run over the straight mile. Last year’s winner Harswell Duke is back to defend his title with the runner up Titian, third Maysong, seventh Arthur’s Realm and a few others all back as well. Harswell Duke did us a favour that day and can race here off of a 8lb lower mark mainly due to the fact that he lost his form after last year’s win. Although he’s 6lb worse off now I would prefer Julie Camacho’s Titian from last years race to come out best here. The one I want to be with though is the Tony Coyle & Caine Wood trained Thunder Roar with the booking of Jamie Spencer an eye caching one. He obviously adores the mud with form figures on soft or heavy reading 11213 which include a a heavy ground victory of a 7f race here in October. He teed up for this with an eye catching third at Southwell a fortnight ago and even though he has to prove he stays a mile looks the bet as long as stall number 1 is not a negative.   THUNDER ROAR 1 point each way @ 8/1 bet365 1/5th 12345   Newbury 2.40 Just the seven have declared for this class 2 2M 4F handicap chase where last year’s winner Heltenham heads the market following another win here at the beginning of the month. He’s up 6lb for that win and 13lb in total from last years win. His best form appears to be on testing ground so drying conditions may not suit and I’ll take him on with Kerry Lee’s bottom weight Eaton Collina. He arrives in top form having won two handicaps at Wetherby in February rising 12lb for those success’s under today’s jockey Richard Patrick. He maybe the value bet against the favourite.   EATON COLLINA 1 point each way @ 5/1 William Hill 1/5th 123   Doncaster 3.00 Seven line up for this 6F listed Cammidge Trophy. Bar the rank outsider Glorious Angel a case can be made for all with Karl Burke’s Marshman (first time tongue tie) and William Haggas’s Montassib jointly the best horses in the field although neither would want a real mud bath. The same could be said about Charlie Hills’s Orazio and with Baradar dropping down from a mile to 6F it maybe worth taking a swing with the only three year old in the field Adaay in Devon trained by Rod Millman who has his dual purpose stable in fine form currently winning with three of his last 8 runners at time of writing. She was a big improver through last summer and autumn winning four times, all on soft ground, before ending the season finishing 1 3/4L runner up in the listed Bosra Sham Stakes at Newmarket on heavy ground won by a well touted Godolphin filly. She gets not only a 5lb fillies allowance but also a hefty 13lb age allowance and could be the value play on ground she likes under Silvestre De Sousa. Back her each way with the firms paying three places in the seven runner field.   ADAAY IN DEVON 1 point each way @ 14/1 William Hill 1/5th 123   Newbury 3.15 A wide open renewal of the EBF mares novices handicap hurdle run over 2M 4 1/2F with seventeen runners going to post. The race has a wide open look about it with many of the mares making their handicap debuts here. An interesting runner is the Dan Skelton trained Lindy Reilly who’s got in here off of a nice low mark following there starts and is worth watching closely. Barbury Castle trainer Alan King took his mare Kay Tara Tara up to Kelso to get qualified for this event 15 days ago on ground that was too soft for her but she ran well in defeat finishing 2 1/4L second to the re-opposing El Elefante and it will be no surprise if on 11lb better terms and on significantly better ground she turned that form around and runs a big race.   KAY TARA TARA 1 point each way @ 12/1 888sport 1/5th 12345   Doncaster 3.35 The first big flat turf handicap of the season is the William Hill Lincoln run over the straight mile of Town Moor with a maximum field of twenty two gong to post. The front two in the market Awaal, who ran second in this last year to Migration and Liberty Lane,a course and distance winner at the St Leger meeting both hold decent claims with preference just for the latter who is trained by the in form Karl Burke and could be well drawn in stall 20 if last year’s renewal has anything to do with it especially now he’s been gelded. Both have been well found in the market mind as has last Monday’s Irish Lincoln winner Chazzesmee who if none the worse for that victory can be in the shake up. The most interesting runner to my eyes however is Lattam who’s joined Julie Camacho’s Yorkshire stable having been bought for a cheap looking 50,000 guineas. A winner first time out the last two seasons he loves soft ground and took the Irish equivalent first time out last season when in the care of William Haggas. Ryan Sexton is a good booking and from a draw in the middle means he can go either side if there appears an advantage earlier in the meeting. A tough call and whilst I wouldn’t put anyone off Liberty Lane it’s Lattam that appeals each way with the firms paying extra places.   LATTAM 1 point each way @ 10/1 bet365 1/5th 123456    

Many thanks, I will heed your advice. 

Many thanks, I will heed your advice. 

I never suggested you were even a partial one to be fair.
I think hardly anyone is trying to become a pro to be honest. But there’s an underlying assumption that by posting on a public forum that you think others may take an interest and that may lead to them making observations about your bets.
I’m inclined to agree with the one that suggests the e/w acca is an overly defensive bet and the stake could be put to better use. Alongside a £3 L15 it uses 25% of your stake. Half is wasted on the win acca that is effectively covered by the L15 and half goes on the “just in case” place acca. Sometimes they’re not worth the bother because the return would be so small (which is what prompted the initial comments). That suggests at least not doing them every time but only where the return would be significant. But, if the bet is losing money in the long term, just bin it off and either put it on your nap or up your L15 stakes.
Theres nothing wrong with betting small stakes for fun and accepting that you’ll probably make a small loss which is the cost of your entertainment. That’s what most punters do. The suggestion is that you bet so as to win more when you’re luck’s in rather than lose less when it isn’t. Accept the risk of, once in a blue moon, all 4 placing but you get nothing back. View it as a “reverse bet” and share the hard luck story on here. You can tell me and Zil what berks we were for talking you out of it. But don’t expect us to be too contrite if it means you missed out on a fiver back after a run of 20 straight losses!

Nothing anyone does on here or says to me on here would offend me because i already know i'm a twat, most people just bet for fun and most people lose overall so you are no different, and small amounts is sensible but you keep either missing the point or choose to miss the point, My previous advice to you was around lucky 15s which you eventually shifted too which was only half of my point the other half was that if you are going to lose money and are comfortable with what you lose then why be so timid? i will try one last time, here is my advice- do the lucky 15's sack the pathetic ew at those skinny prices they really are worthless. Now here is the main point Lucky 15's are loved by the bookies because people tend to put 4 short prices or favs on them, so drop the favs and 2nd favs and choose upwards of 4/1, 4/1 being your shortest price then pick 3 at decent prices, i have said elsewhere all the prices ideally should add up to around 40, in your case lets say 30 and remember, yes you want all 4 to win but that is quite rare so you are looking for a treble eg lets just say W8/1 W8/1 W8/1 winners  which equates to 1000/1 so even to 10p that's a hundred quid (2 winners at 8/1 gets you a tenner). The point being if you are going to consistently lose (like most of us do) then when you do get lucky (like most of us do)  then at least the returns are worth the loses or if we never win then there is no difference, the loss of stake like you said is the cost of the enjoyment of having a bet. Staking plan? You say you stake 7.5 points, so do 2x20p lucky 15's =£6 (or half that if you are being prudent) then as Clarkey has suggested bet your nap with the extra £1.50 thats 8 horses per day to amuse you and keep you interested. One other thing- avoid betting two horses in the same race which is another really bad habit of yours.