The Equaliser

Newton Abbot
2.45- O'FAILANS LAD 6/1eway bet365 👎still running , a 3rd wind op maybe needed .
3.20- SISTERANDBROTHER 11/4 bet365 poor Cobden ride , got closed up & no room at last & finished 3rd 👎

Powerfull aggie                                           6 40 Gal/           1/40th of a pt ew  20/1  { if the reserve Nibru gets in this race could run well }
Boom Boom Boom                                    5 40 Ga/             1/40 th of a pt ew  33/1
 
 
 
 
 
P/L   + 164.70pts
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Newton Abbot 
2.45 Jony Max 11/4 bog 
3.55 Fat Sam 5/2 bog 
4.30 Eritage 13/2 
5 points win all 3 

Ayr.
Single 
4.50. Yeeeaah        9/2
stk 5.00   rtn 27.00
Patent 
3.20. Supposedtobe     5/1
3.55. Lermoos Legend      3/1
4.30. Dicey Rielly               9/2
stk 3.50     rtn 104.50.
Good luck all. 

Looking at the forecast it looks likely that the ground will be soft and probably heavy most of the week getting worse by the day.

Most winners
Well done to @Alastair who sets a new record with today's winner

had it down on a list of horses i expected could improve and i knew it had started to work very well at home 

I have tried this angle a good few times over the years and always concluded it was detrimental to my existing system/s (it seemed to take out the possible "improvers") but i wish you well in this endeavour.

I think no matter how good you get the ratings and yours are very good, you will always have races where they are just way off for that particular race on that day, especially handicaps . I’ve started using a -minus and a + plus in my ratings to separate horses that have say both won a class 2 for example. It’s not hard to notice that some class 2s are far weaker than others and a quick look at the prize money and the calibre of horses in the race shows you that. 

For instance on the class rating ...this is the first race that has come off its the Lennox stakes Tuesday 
Al suhail    9.0  100 116 112 
Kinross   8.9 116 112 98 
Isaacs shelby    8.5   77 116 112 
Audience   8.2 28 54 74 
See on ratings alone it looks more open but audience is taking on much better opposition here so although he looks an improver I'd scrub him ........so I've narrowed it to top 3 so far ....it looks close between top 3 on class but Al suhail and Kinross look the strongest bets to me at the moment .....
A look at betting now shows all 3 are top 3 in betting ...with Kinross 13/8 fav ......I don't think he warrants that price given the ratings and class .....overall I think Al suhail 15/2  ew is the value bet 🤔 maybe ....but you can see any of the 3 is capable at this class 

Yes, OK.  There does seem to be a big overlap in the classifications.  Hope all goes well with your new class measurements

I once used a prize money won strategy to pick my selections . It was promising but never stuck with it which tells you it wasn’t all that in the end , but I’d definitely consider using it again to form some  part of a rating for a horse 

2.35 Uttx Quid Pro Quo 3/1
2.50 Pont Raadobarg 4/1
3.25 Pont Orchestra 4/1
3.45 Uttx Buttlers Brief 9/1
Bit of  a crossover with prev L15 and hit the EW button on the acca by mistake
1 x w 0.10 L15 = 197.9 and 0.50 ew acca = 509.80 = poss 707.70= 2.50

Pontefract 
4pm
win
tribute

They shoukd have run better than that ....races like that do my head in ......but it happens I think sometimes the racing gods have a laugh 😃. 
I'm just putting the finishing touches to class rating .....I want to narrow the bets to 1 or 2 from top 4 so I'm programming the computer to give me a class rating for each of  last 3 runs so it will hopefully come out like this 
Horse,a   9.0    41 39 38.5 
Horse b 8.8   36  34 34 
Horse c 8.7  31 27 30 
Horse d 8.5   33 32 34 
As you can see in this case Horse a woukd warrant a bigger bet with b and d as dangers . .  Its a work in progress but it shoukd help in long run hopefully 🙏 

Oh wow ....what a crap race ....head scratcher 

I see Charlie Johnston has been saying he has been training his horses with this Goodwod meeting in mind   ill be keeping ans eye on his runners.

Uttoxetter 
Juvenile hurdle 
2pm
vitani
national
health
both win
both hold good claims and Sean Bowen a good booking here

Yes I looked that one over and had a little bit of heavy ground form. If he hadn’t run the other well bred one I’d have picked him with Stott on board but if my auntie had balls she’d be my uncles brother. Just the type I was rolling out like a conveyor belt three days ago. You say 369 free energy and whoosh you lose all your superpowers!!!

Longshot but the kind I excel at. ( but not lately)…
seems so long ago today 
pontefract
13:40
an ordinary race.
Estifada
win
looks the best of these on breeding related to juvenile winners.
La Habana 
win
David Evans runner shaped well latest when third in class two company over six furlongs looking liked the drop to five would suit 

Flat selection
Pontefract 5.10
J R CAVAGIN

I've backed LANDOFSMILES in the 3.10 for the Bowens who've had a good month at 5/1 bet365 , good luck with POLISH in 3.45 , F.O'Brien leasing summer trainer at Uttoxeter with 6 winners . 1st 👍

Cosmos Raj was 10's with bet365 at 5pm last night , he has 2 non runners at Ponty today with Soul Seeker enjoying a day off after 25/1 win yesterday at York & Auld Toon Loon also a non runner .
Roll on Goodwood on Tuesday .

Today - 1:45 Mia Toretto 28/1
(Overnight) at Pontefract British EBF Ruby Anniversary Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)
Today - 2:15 Cosmos Raj 6/1
(Overnight) at Pontefract Visit The Brand New Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap
 

I'm still gutted lol .....I don't think anyone expected it and I'm so chuffed to bits the computer spotted it .....would have been a 160 pt payday and lost by a head ...jeez lol 😆....that's racing for ya