The Equaliser

2.52 Chantilly Ayguemorte 25/1 (Unibet  - 5 places) £10 each way.

So napers tips today 🤞👍

Day 52 in profit yesterday +£5 overall-£87

Miss Bluebell a non runner so 6:25 Galway Enfranchise 40/1 bet365

A nice early domestic selection in search of winners.
4:45 laytown
DREAM TODAY
Win
A visit to the enchanting coastal setting of Laytown.
This runner is a serial September winner having won on 8th September  twice in recent years including in England under Sadie Osbourne .  Has had to wait for the tides  turning to run today on the 12th but so long as it is in a two week zone it is close enough for the biorhythms to work.
Dream Today won here under Patrick Mullins over seven furlongs off a much higher mark last year.
The drop in trip and grade plus a claimer means he is well above the ceiling for this race and if he takes it all in his stride will be a very tough nut to crack.
The other notable runner here is drawn alongside the main selection and is Army of India.
each way.
this ex mark Johnstone and Julie Camacho runner has run off much higher marks and indeed ran in the Coventry on just second run. There is a strong link coincidentally between the two runners in that Dream Today was ridden to victory last year by a retained Willie Mullins jockey and Paul Townend has his only ride today on army of India. Army of India has all weather experience and has been readied for this run by being lowered in the ratings  by Julie Camacho and has  enjoyed a pipe opener recently at a rain softened navan.
ARMY OF INDIA
Each way
5;35 Perth
Johnson’s blue
win
I love match bets as they are about opinions and very often the book is totally wrong.
one such possibility here as Bella bliss comes over from Ireland and the gig goes to a claiming jockey rather than Sean Bowen.
John McConnell has gone to secure the weight advantage despite already being bottom weight and sacrifices jockey craft here, which means he’s worried.
She look impressive enough on chasing  debut to best junior rattler in a beginners chase across the water. She faces just the one rival on handicap debut and that comes in the form of chase debutant Johnson’s blue.  He’d have been a great selection on blue Monday yesterday, but a day late is soon enough and I had to wait until the last race of the day at Newcastle for the “ coincidence bet in Phoenix Star.
However Johnson’s blue has a fantastic strike rate of 70 % in his last ten runs and looks an out and out chaser in the making.  The summer has likely been spent schooling over larger obstacles. And given a good send off when  last seen 206 days ago when winning a class two hurdle and this handicap debut should suit his free running style and he could go well if getting into a rhythm. Well worth a punt in this two runner head scratcher ,..The non runner top weight was rated 133 well clear of these two and who bears the impact of the absence negatively and positively is difficult to judge but my feeling is that all the advantages of the absence of the top weight will go to Johnson’s blue and that he’ll make the best of being  new top weight here…

Fastman                                      4 55 Gal/                    1/40th of a pt ew    25/1

Catterick. 
Double. 
2.05. Miss Calculations       17/2    unpl
4.50. Highfield Viking            11/4  2nd 
singles &double. 
stk 6.00    rtn 97.00
Double. 
6.25. Galway.Thanks Monica       11/1
3.25. Leicester.  Ciro Dimarzio      11/4    unpl
singles & double. 
stk.6.00    rtn 121.00.
Good luck all. 

6.25 Galway - THANKS MONICA 12/1 eway sky bet ( 4 places ) 
The in form R.Beckett team send this one over in the Listed Mares & Fillies , Mullins Echoes in the Rain worthy favourite , tip more of a whimsical bet than anything else & Sky only bookmaker atm paying 4 places . 👎Out of the first four which saw 50 & 40/1 shots fill the first four .

Five winners
uncle Dick proved the importance of holding a course specialism by coming Back from what appeared  “way off the pace”, but was in reality running to the course and distance and won easily. 
Ya Know Yaseff ran a superbly judged pace to get on top from two out and outstay his rival.
Even Brian Hughes won for me on
A different kind twice once at sp and also won the distance bet +3 actually winning by over ten.
All went wrong when jockey was overcocky on  A joy to behold and lost on a horse ( who had about 25 pounds in hand) with a very badly judged hold up ride. Took the rest of the evening to get my head around the ride when in the last at Newcastle 
Phoenix Star’s form analysis threw up lots and lots of red flags too many to mention in the build up but he dead heated at sandown with hurricane Ivor two years ago. He beat pop dancer last September. Pop dancer won at Brighton last week beating secret handsheik, who won at Brighton today. Hurricane Ivor was entered in the bold lad at the curragh yesterday but didn’t run.  
1. uncle Dick
2. & 3. A Different kind 
(sp and winning distance)
4. Phoenix Star  20/1
5. Ya Know Yaseff
 
the one that got away
A joy to behold
( handicapper will hard pressed not to raise this one seven pounds or more!!)

Newcastle 8:30
phoenix star 
each way
last win over year ago touching off pop dancer( recent winner at Brighton beating secret handsheik who won today….)

B/Fwd -6.65 MTD and -39.75 YTD
Have done 2 L15's on the daily = 4 points
4.40 Bri Lucidity (OM) 1 pt win at 5.4 (my PL Nap)
6.30 Nc Desert Raider 0.50 w at 13/2
7.30 Nc Laertes 1 pt win at 11/2
8.30 Nc Howyadoin 0.50 w at 6/1
Total stakes today = 7 points

4th   ½ King Of Steel 39-3 10/3 T: R VarianJ: K Stott Mid-division, 6th halfway, 5th and closer approaching straight, 4th and ridden over 1f out, kept on well inside final 150

Brighton L15 and Acca
3.30 Daddas Boy 17/2
4.05 Temur Khan 8/1
4.40 Lucidity 4/1
5.15 Corellian Star 9/2
1 x 0.10 w L15 & .25 ew Acca = poss ret 1005.84 
 

Newcastle L15
4.55 Golden Delite 5/1
6.30 Hooray For Hazel 6/1
7.30 Laertes 5/1
8.30 Glorius Rio 7/2
1 x 0.10 L15 + 0.50 w Acca = poss ret 782.50

Brighton 
2:55
miguel has gone close twice and should take this, given the advantage of experience…..
but MEDICIAN STAR
Each way
ticks a few boxes on breeding and is an interesting debutant 
 

way out 3.15 

realism 3.55 

hashtag pretender 3.20 

Brighton 2:20
Uncle Dick
win
Beat Galileo glass for most recent win and form duly franked when the Evans horse won recently.
Ran very well at Salisbury when along with the field taken off heels by front running winner. Recovered to make third under this jockey. Returns to scene of previous winning run and as the only course winner uncle Dick is the one they have to beat. Has some good rivals here but there are few substitutes at Brighton for course form. It is an apprentice race, but this jockey competent.

sharp note 2.40 

You need to stay the distance on this one, I am down £250 over my last 271 lucky 15s

Lost +£38 aug
-£398 10/07/23

Newcastle 
6.00. Lyndsanda    8/1  coral win 
Good luck all