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Tennis Picks

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    386
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Reputation Activity

  1. Haha
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from harry_rag in 100 Value Bets   
    Get to 400 then! 😆
  2. Haha
    Tennis Picks reacted to harry_rag in 100 Value Bets   
    Oi, get orrf my thread! 
  3. Like
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from money44 in Corona Tennis Off-Season Betting   
    Nice picks, only just found this thread as I'm always over in the systems and strategy forum (that's dead at the moment). Good to see some people getting some action, I am waiting for the tour to start again proper to get involved with my bets again. 
  4. Haha
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from CzechPunter in Corona Tennis Off-Season Betting   
    I had a quick check on my database to see if he under performs more often with regards to the market opinion. When he's average 1.65 he's only winning 54% of his matches instead of about 60%. 
    He's about on point when he's about 1.35, so maybe he can only perform as expected when he's a strong fave? He's about on point when he's a slight underdog too, winning 45% of his matches when he's average of 2.2. maybe it's more in game laying that you can value from him with. Be interesting to see his break of serve stats compared to the tour. I have to shoot out now so can't check. I bet he's terrible. 
  5. Like
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from kedbet in Corona Tennis Off-Season Betting   
    I had a quick check on my database to see if he under performs more often with regards to the market opinion. When he's average 1.65 he's only winning 54% of his matches instead of about 60%. 
    He's about on point when he's about 1.35, so maybe he can only perform as expected when he's a strong fave? He's about on point when he's a slight underdog too, winning 45% of his matches when he's average of 2.2. maybe it's more in game laying that you can value from him with. Be interesting to see his break of serve stats compared to the tour. I have to shoot out now so can't check. I bet he's terrible. 
  6. Like
    Tennis Picks reacted to kedbet in Corona Tennis Off-Season Betting   
    King - Tabilo / 3-6, 3-6

    7 return points today. this guy deserves a spot in every lay betting portfolio. total self-destruction 
  7. Like
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from kedbet in Corona Tennis Off-Season Betting   
    Nice picks, only just found this thread as I'm always over in the systems and strategy forum (that's dead at the moment). Good to see some people getting some action, I am waiting for the tour to start again proper to get involved with my bets again. 
  8. Like
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from CzechPunter in Corona Tennis Off-Season Betting   
    Nice picks, only just found this thread as I'm always over in the systems and strategy forum (that's dead at the moment). Good to see some people getting some action, I am waiting for the tour to start again proper to get involved with my bets again. 
  9. Like
    Tennis Picks reacted to agourbet in How to become a professional bettor   
    In order to become a successful bettor you need to understand 2 concepts.

    1) Probability
    2) Value
     
    Every game has X probabilities for home to win Y for a draw and Z for away to win. The professional bettor needs to do the following:

    1) Find what is the true probability of home to win, draw or away to win,based on statistics
    2) If for example home has 50% to win then you need to bet on odds above 2.0 in order to be long-term winner.

    The difference between the true probabilities and odds is the profit of a professional bettor.
  10. Like
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from thecurlyone1 in Tennis 2.0   
    I might continue this again when the lockdown is over. Summer matches hopefully still in Europe will mean I can do some of them. Maybe a reduced amount compared to last time but we will see. 
    Just need to wait for this virus to be under control then get going. I have been poring over stats and results again and have the itch.
    I hope everyone is staying safe!
  11. Like
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from Torque in Tennis 2.0   
    I might continue this again when the lockdown is over. Summer matches hopefully still in Europe will mean I can do some of them. Maybe a reduced amount compared to last time but we will see. 
    Just need to wait for this virus to be under control then get going. I have been poring over stats and results again and have the itch.
    I hope everyone is staying safe!
  12. Like
    Tennis Picks reacted to Retired_BSpirit in Tennis 2.0   
    Thank you for sharing this with us. Family comes first! 👍
  13. Like
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from liero1 in Tennis 2.0   
    I'm calling it a day.
    Couple of bad days took the edge off the good run, but mainly because of time issues. Now it's the US matches they are starting  at 4pm for me. I am home at 5pm from work (where I can do what I want as I'm the boss) and have two young children to feed and get ready for bed. I can't keep spending the time at the computer when they need me. 
    If it was a week or two maybe, but it's this then China, Australia in the new year and I am not getting things in my business done that need to be done.  Again, if it was doing £600 a day all the time then I would drop parts of the business but as with all betting the losing run comes and it takes the edge of the winnings. 
    Good luck to you all with your betting, I will check in now and again and see how things are going. I've taken the profit and will use it wisely.
     

  14. Thanks
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from daveg in Tennis 2.0   
    I'm calling it a day.
    Couple of bad days took the edge off the good run, but mainly because of time issues. Now it's the US matches they are starting  at 4pm for me. I am home at 5pm from work (where I can do what I want as I'm the boss) and have two young children to feed and get ready for bed. I can't keep spending the time at the computer when they need me. 
    If it was a week or two maybe, but it's this then China, Australia in the new year and I am not getting things in my business done that need to be done.  Again, if it was doing £600 a day all the time then I would drop parts of the business but as with all betting the losing run comes and it takes the edge of the winnings. 
    Good luck to you all with your betting, I will check in now and again and see how things are going. I've taken the profit and will use it wisely.
     

  15. Like
    Tennis Picks reacted to anaconda69 in Tennis 2.0   
    Thanks for bringing is the tips as ever.
  16. Thanks
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from anaconda69 in Tennis 2.0   
    I'm calling it a day.
    Couple of bad days took the edge off the good run, but mainly because of time issues. Now it's the US matches they are starting  at 4pm for me. I am home at 5pm from work (where I can do what I want as I'm the boss) and have two young children to feed and get ready for bed. I can't keep spending the time at the computer when they need me. 
    If it was a week or two maybe, but it's this then China, Australia in the new year and I am not getting things in my business done that need to be done.  Again, if it was doing £600 a day all the time then I would drop parts of the business but as with all betting the losing run comes and it takes the edge of the winnings. 
    Good luck to you all with your betting, I will check in now and again and see how things are going. I've taken the profit and will use it wisely.
     

  17. Thanks
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from anaconda69 in Tennis 2.0   
    picks

  18. Thanks
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from anaconda69 in Tennis 2.0   
  19. Thanks
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from anaconda69 in Tennis 2.0   
    Morning picks. 
     

  20. Thanks
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from anaconda69 in Tennis 2.0   
    Ouch...
     
    Once again a day with lots of faves hits the bank.That is what led to me narrowing down the odds and making tighter selections before reverting back to all odds. 
    Bad day, but if you showed me the ROI stats for this month so far at the beginning of the month and asked me if I would take that then I would have said yes. Have to find a bright side after an awful day like that. 


  21. Thanks
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from anaconda69 in Tennis 2.0   
    Last ones for tonight. 
     

  22. Thanks
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from anaconda69 in Tennis 2.0   
    Yeah, little bit of luck with Cecchinato winning by retirement to claw a bit back. Fingers crossed. There should be more picks soon, trying to sort the night ones now. 
  23. Thanks
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from anaconda69 in Tennis 2.0   
    crap so far today...
    more picks though. 

  24. Thanks
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from anaconda69 in Tennis 2.0   
  25. Thanks
    Tennis Picks got a reaction from anaconda69 in Tennis 2.0   
    more.