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keef75

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  1. Thanks
    keef75 got a reaction from Rivilearner in Free Football Analysis Tool   
    I still haven't managed to fix the Mexico issue but I'll try and work on it this week.
    All data is now up to date.
  2. Like
    keef75 reacted to smartbetting9999 in The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)   
    **TODAYS RESULTS ADDED**
    Summary Update Below; (as of 29/01/2019)
    Start Balance        £10 Current Balance    £14.72 Current % Profit     +47% ---------------------------
    29/01 - Huddersfield v Everton - £0.47 laid at 10.5, liability of £4.47 - WIN 29/01 - Fulham v Brighton - £0.47 laid at 10.5, liability of £4.47 - WIN 29/01 - Wolves v West Ham - £0.36 laid at 13.5, liability of £4.50 - WIN A comfortable win on all 3 games tonight for a 9.7% return. Heading back up, after the loss a few days ago.
     

  3. Like
    keef75 reacted to Rivilearner in Free Football Analysis Tool   
    Thanks man.
  4. Like
    keef75 reacted to Betmakavely in Free Football Analysis Tool   
    Looking forward to this weekend's fixtures as I am optimistic on some of the sets I'm currently testing
  5. Like
    keef75 got a reaction from Betmakavely in Free Football Analysis Tool   
    Hi @Betmakavely. I've had a quick look at your email, it's a busy time for me (and most people I'd imagine) at the moment so when my feet touch the ground I'll get back to you properly and make any necessary adjustments to the site.
    Good luck with your live testing - I've just uploaded the Boxing Day fixtures which will show up in the eligible matches section tomorrow.  There are no matches of interest today or tomorrow so I haven't uploaded anything for them.
    I'd like to wish everyone a very Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year.  Thanks for all your kind words of encouragement over the past few months.
  6. Thanks
    keef75 got a reaction from Betmakavely in Free Football Analysis Tool   
    I've modified the 'DRAW BESTIAL' set that I mentioned earlier by using the new selection analysis to further filter out the worst performing leagues etc.  It's called 'DRAW BESTIAL MODIFIED' and now has a win rate of 42.95% and a ROI of 38.30.  Because it's based on draws, where the odds are higher, this win rate is perfect for giving consistent returns. 
    It's ok to keep filtering out leagues that haven't done well in the past but I think a good indicator of how well a parameter set is doing is to look at the annual summary.  If it's making a profit year-on-year then the chances are it will keep doing so.
    When I get a spare 4 or 5 hours (that's how long it took to process 2016/17 season for the 51 leagues I have data for!!!) I'll add the data for the 2015/16 season and we can run these sets against even more data.
  7. Like
    keef75 reacted to Xtc12 in Free Football Analysis Tool   
    @keef75 thanks again for all the hard work.
  8. Like
    keef75 got a reaction from Xtc12 in Free Football Analysis Tool   
    I'll be adding an indicator soon to show whether or not the upcoming eligible matches have been uploaded.  At the moment if there aren't any eligible matches it just says there are either none or the data hasn't been updated and there's no way to tell which one is the case.
    I usually upload the upcoming matches a few times a week, on Monday I can normally process Tue/Wed/Thu and then on Thursday I can do Fri/Sat etc. it all depends on how quickly Cybet get their PDFs up on the site - sometimes they put them up but don't fill in all the necessary prices we need so I have to wait.  Results are still being updated every day.
  9. Thanks
    keef75 got a reaction from liero1 in Free Football Analysis Tool   
    I'll be adding an indicator soon to show whether or not the upcoming eligible matches have been uploaded.  At the moment if there aren't any eligible matches it just says there are either none or the data hasn't been updated and there's no way to tell which one is the case.
    I usually upload the upcoming matches a few times a week, on Monday I can normally process Tue/Wed/Thu and then on Thursday I can do Fri/Sat etc. it all depends on how quickly Cybet get their PDFs up on the site - sometimes they put them up but don't fill in all the necessary prices we need so I have to wait.  Results are still being updated every day.
  10. Like
    keef75 reacted to liero1 in Free Football Analysis Tool   
    totally fine @keef75 ! thanks for all the work. I just check the tables manually now, that just takes a few minutes.
  11. Thanks
    keef75 got a reaction from liero1 in Free Football Analysis Tool   
    Yes I believe that's the case.  Anything prior to 10th August 2018 is from Indatabet's Bet365 data, it's a massive file you can get from Indatabet that contains years' worth of results for loads of leagues.  I use this data to generate league tables for each league/season when adding the historical data so I can establish league positions for each historical game.
  12. Thanks
    keef75 reacted to liero1 in Free Football Analysis Tool   
    http://adrianmassey.no-ip.org/web1/db3/thaccess.php
     
  13. Like
    keef75 reacted to liero1 in Free Football Analysis Tool   
    amazing work @keef75 ! I really like the site and everything works like a charm. 
    I think if you test a footy system on BF the ROI might be even higher as BF normally has the highest odds compared to bookies. Just a question if liquidity is there for some absurd leagues I guess.
    I downloaded some data into excel, to play with the staking as I like a points per bet system that adjusts every day to the current bank (bank / 100 points per bet). 
    Going to test some of this in real life I think. Only concern would be - a few months in and you stop the project ;).. 
  14. Like
    keef75 got a reaction from liero1 in insane (I think) draw backing progression betting system   
    Horse racing is Betfair. There's a commission parameter on that. Football uses Cybet data as that's the only place I've found that has easy to use league position data with odds.
  15. Like
    keef75 got a reaction from Zico10 in insane (I think) draw backing progression betting system   
    Hi @liero1, if you click on the blue 'Filters' button just above the results you will see the parameters for the set.  If you hover over any of the option labels you should see an explanation of what it does.  You can create your own systems and save them - scroll to the very bottom of the page and enter a name for the set.  You can then load it up (or any of the other saved sets) by clicking the 'Load Set' button next to the filter button and finding it in the lists, or searching for it.
  16. Like
    keef75 got a reaction from Zico10 in insane (I think) draw backing progression betting system   
    I was just about to mention that the eligible games for today for this set were all losers but the third one (Figueirense v Atletico) just equalised with 13 minutes to go.  Fingers crossed it stays at 2-2.
  17. Like
    keef75 got a reaction from Zico10 in insane (I think) draw backing progression betting system   
    There's a big horse racing section too. Check out the favourites part of that. 
  18. Like
    keef75 got a reaction from Zico10 in insane (I think) draw backing progression betting system   
    Horse racing is Betfair. There's a commission parameter on that. Football uses Cybet data as that's the only place I've found that has easy to use league position data with odds.
  19. Like
    keef75 got a reaction from Zico10 in insane (I think) draw backing progression betting system   
    Thought I'd chip in here, I started a thread in here about the historical football (and horse racing) data site I put together.  I've been following a couple of the strategies, especially concerning draws.  If you take a look at the following, it has a maximum stake parameter that can be tweaked to stop stakes getting out of hand.  Currently, the longest losing run is 9 matches.  Matches played on the same day have the same stake and the stake resets following a winning day.  Multiplier is also set to increase 50% on a losing day.
    https://bit.ly/2xTGBI2
    The thread here on PL is called 'Free Football Analysis Tool', in Betting Systems and Strategy, if you haven't already seen it.

    All the best.
  20. Thanks
    keef75 got a reaction from footysystems in Free Football Analysis Tool   
    For it to work with under and over I think we will need all those options.  Have a look at these examples and let me know if I've understood you correctly:
    Over 2.5 goals - You want to bring back all matches where the home team scored at least 2 goals and conceded 1 in their last x number of games and where the away team has scored at least 1 goal and conceded 1 goal in their last x number of games.  You'll need to set the home scored minimum to 2 and maximum to the highest number available (let's say 10).  You'll need to set the home conceded minimum to 1 and the maximum to 10.  For the away team, their min/max scored will be 1 and 10.  Conceded will be 1 and 10.
    Under 2.5 goals - You want to bring back all matches where the home team scored no more than 1 goal and conceded no more than 1 in their last x number of games and where the away team has done the same.  You'll need to set the home scored minimum to 0 and maximum to 1.  You'll need to set the home conceded to the same.  Then do the same for the away team.
    So, it looks like we'll need the eight options to cater for over 2.5 (set the min to the desired number and the max to 10 for both teams) and under 2.5 (set the min to 0 and the max to the desired number for both teams).  If we just have an 'average number' scored/conceded for each only matches where the average is exactly that will be returned - I highly doubt any matches will be returned as they'll have several decimal places due to the calculations.
    Please correct me if I'm wrong - I'm struggling a bit with this one to be honest.
  21. Like
    keef75 reacted to BillyHills in Doncaster Competition - Day 4 Selections   
    Top spots with one race left

     
  22. Like
    keef75 got a reaction from BillyHills in Doncaster Competition - Day 4 Selections   
    Sad times, it's been a crazy day and I didn't get chance to make my selections today.  Good luck everyone else though!
  23. Haha
    keef75 reacted to BillyHills in Doncaster Competition - Latest Table   
    Day 3 Friday
    This is embarrassing, my missus is leading
    Can somebody please beat her tomorrow or I will never hear the last of it!
    Any errors just PM me

     
  24. Like
    keef75 got a reaction from Xtc12 in Free Football Analysis Tool   
    Thanks. 
    I've fixed that error.  There were only three saved sets that were affected and I've updated the number of bets and win rates in these to reflect the correction.  Much better win rates on them now! 
    Please let me know if you spot anything else that isn't right.
  25. Like
    keef75 got a reaction from Rivilearner in Free Football Analysis Tool   
    Hope everyone is doing ok! I've been downloading the PDF files on my phone each day and will process them all when I return next Tuesday/Wednesday. I'm happily laying in the Portuguese sun at the moment. Has anyone discovered any brilliant systems?
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