Bubbles180
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Posts
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Last visited
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Posts posted by Bubbles180
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17 hours ago, BillyHills said:
Sorry mate, rules state selections have to be on 10 mins before race time.
No probs
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13.30 Fairy Apples Jade
hope not to late
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On 30/11/2017 at 6:12 PM, BillyHills said:
Musselburgh
1230: Court Baloo Won 7/2 45.00
1.30: Canny Style Won 10/11 19.19
2.30: Silver Concorde Won 5/4 22.50
3.30: Town Head Won5/2 35.00Taunton
1220: Diese Des Bieffes Won 8/13 16.15
1250: Brahms De Clermont Won 4/6 16.67
1.50: Lovely Job Won 6/4 15.00
2.20: Cabernat Dalene Won 9/2 55.00
Stakes: 140pts
Returns: 224.51ptsTotal St: 1210pts
Total Rt: 1408.63ptsDecent month, will sort out the calendar for December later
Well done billy going well hopefully some nice xmas money coming
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15.05 Uttox Baraboy 9/2
Form working out well couuld be primed for today
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Chelmsford 21.15 SPIN TOP
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21 hours ago, Bubbles180 said:
Wednesday November 15 (7pm)
Second Round x4
Mensur Suljovic to win Score 10-3 (5.00)
Glen Durrant to win (1.66) Score 10-6 (9.00)
Gary Anderson to win Score 10-4 (7.50)
Stephen Bunting to win (3.50) Score 10-8 (13.00)Mensur Suljovic 10-2 Berry van Peer Lost -1.00
Glen Durrant 10-8 Dave Chisnall Won +0.66 Lost -1.00
Gary Anderson 10-6 Michael Smith Lost -1.00
Peter Wright 10-4 Stephen Bunting Lost -2.00P&L -4.34
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14.25 Ludl Creevytennant
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On 13/11/2017 at 11:34 AM, tomyb said:
Fantastic stats Bubbles .....Do you know how the stats look if applying your 4-1 - 25-1 price strategy to just the courses with a winning record ,cutting out the losing ones ?
Southwell today overall 555.14 (on AW type as today -30.50)
clonmel +338.00 no filter on type (all odds +539.00)
Taunton +512.00 (all Odds +825.80)
Ludlow +201.74 (overall -293.96 (this shows a huge profit at 4/1 to 25/1 compared to overall)
Chelmsford +1,033.00 (overall 1,750.46)
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On 13/11/2017 at 11:34 AM, tomyb said:
Fantastic stats Bubbles .....Do you know how the stats look if applying your 4-1 - 25-1 price strategy to just the courses with a winning record ,cutting out the losing ones ?
hi tomyb just to let you know most tracks in profit make a larger profit by doing 4/1 - 25/1 stats
Having looked throught he top 30 tracks all show a bigger profit with this filter.
but their are a few that show a much lower profit like Carlisle were the profit their overall is 888.36 but the filter is only showing 132.96 so this is why it is best to filter the tracks using the results page each day.
you can also find better profit by filtering the course by type as well when their is mixed types at a course for example i could show a loss overall but on FLAT type it could show a profit, or it could show a profit overall but when filtering type NH could be much higher profit and FLAT could be a small profit or even loss,
best way to filter is
1. go to punters lounge results
2.click on the arrow next to course
3. click on FILTER BY CONDITION
4. click were it says none and go to text contains
5. in space type name of course searching click OK
6. go to odds click on arrow go to filter by condition then go to between then in box 1 put 5 & in box to 26 click OK
this will then give you all the selections between 4/1 and 25/1 at the course, to check the P&L over mouse over column then were the F is at top of column click on that and at bottom left it will say SUM this is the total.
If you want to filter by type click on arrow next t type then uncheck the boxes you dont want and it will filter between types, REMEBER if changing filters after make sure you check the box again because if you filter to another course it will stay unchecked,
to check more courses you only need to go to course and repeat from 2 and type in new course for this to filter no need to do odds again as already set, WHEN FINISHED FILTERING MAKE SURE ALL THE ARROWS AT THE TOP ARE RETURNED TO NORMAL IF NOT GO INTO FILTERING SECTION AND CLICK ON NONE IN ALL SECTIONS AND MAKE SURE ALL BOXES ARE TICKED.
HOPE THIS HELPS
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so close on the first bet if Barry had hit that double, well played Barry great tournament and Mensur great has usual
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Wednesday November 15 (7pm)
Second Round x4
Mensur Suljovic to win Score 10-3 (5.00)
Glen Durrant to win (1.66) Score 10-6 (9.00)
Gary Anderson to win Score 10-4 (7.50)
Stephen Bunting to win (3.50) Score 10-8 (13.00) -
Noppert to win (1.72) Score 5-2 (6.00) won both bets +5.72
Gurney to win 5-4 (5.50) Lost -1.00
MVG to win 5-0 (3.00) Lost -1.00
Cross to win 5-3 (4.75) Lost -1.00
Green to win (1.44) Score 5-1 (6.50) Lost -2.00
Taylor to win 5-2 (4.50) Lost -1.00
Price to win 5-3 (4.75) Lost -1.00
RVB to win 5-1 (5.50) Won +4.503 winning bets and a Profit +3.22
I had 5 wins out of the 8 matches on players but some of the prices were to short
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12.40 Bang Agamenon 2.37 Lost
13.10 Bang Renes Girl 2.50 Lost
13.45 Bang Potters Legend 5.50 Lost
14.20 Bang If The Cap Fits 1.50 Win
14.50 Bang Midnight Tour 5.00 Lost
15.20 Bang Pageburg 2.50 Lost
15.55 Bang Motueka 1.80 Lostnot a good day at Bangor just 1 winner (these are the odds I got) -5.50
Newc Innoko 9.00 Lost
Newc Ostilio 2.20 Lost
Newc Lady Lintera 8.00 Pl
Newc Francis Xavier 1.20 Win
Newc The Lincoln Laywer 2.10 Lost
Newc Rock On Bertie 13.00 Pl
Newc Ypres 10.00 LostP&L -1.04
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results in excel table will be updated monthly
yes you can use 100+ bets but also look at tracks like Taunton who do not have many meetings per year but have high S/R and ROI and the PPB is very high so you can still bet at these tracks.
no this does not fit in with the 4/1 + odds that is a different system but TBH I think it can be used with that and should improve the ROI
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HI guys hope ths spreadsheet is of help
Just some info for those following as im not going to be posting all the time.
For bets my suggestions would be to look at the Track stats and by using a combination of a good S/R, a Profit in the P&L Column and a good ROI would give you a good selection of tracks bets to follow, you can also use the PPB to show if a track is making a profit for each bet placed and maybe ensure this figure is 2.00 or above to sort it more, remeber that a combination of the 3 helps figure if a track has had just a couple of big winners but not consistantcy, my personal views would be
S/R +25%
P&L +100.00
ROI +10%
PPB +2.00
I would also be carefull were tracks have a small amount of bets as this could make the stats unbalanced.
Also remeber that by using the results page you can also filter each track by race type to enhance the stats more
Have fun with the stats, enjoy your racing and make money
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12.40 Bang Agamenon
13.10 Bang Renes Girl
13.45 Bang Potters Legend
14.20 Bang If The Cap Fits
14.50 Bang Midnight Tour
15.20 Bang Pageburg
15.55 Bang Motueka
15.40 Newc Innoko
16.15 Newc Ostilio
16.45 Newc LAdy Lintera
17.15 Newc Francis Xavier
17.45 Newc The Lincoln Laywe
18.15 Newc Rock On Bertie
18.45 Newc Ypres -
3 Newcastle Racecourse 572 160 412 27.97% 11,440.00 1,391.76 12.17% 2.43
Newcastle AW Stats
8,740.00 Total Staked
1,243.90 Flat Profit
14.23% ROI
6.50 Average Losing Odds
7.12 Average Winning Odds
6.81 Average Odds
321 Losers
116 Winners
437 Runners
26.54% Strike Rate -
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Tomorrow's Track Stats
Rank Racecourse Bets Wins Loss S/R Staked P&L ROI PPB
64 Fairyhouse races (mixed) 158 43 115 27.22% 3,160.00 -151.40 -4.79% -0.9681 Ayr Racecourse 264 64 200 24.24% 5,280.00 -513.20 -9.72% -1.94
18 Bangor on Dee Racecourse 117 42 75 35.90% 2,340.00 668.65 28.45% 5.69
66 Exeter Racecourse 110 34 76 30.91% 2,200.00 -176.30 -8.01% -1.60
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Got to say was very happy and tearful to see Barry Van Peer qualify for the KO stages, having known a number of people with Dartitis I know how difficult that was especillay in his game against Gary Anderson, and I must say how brilliant Gary was during and after the match towards Barry and showed why he is a credit to the sport unlike some other players.
Will be cheering him on in the next round but can not really see him getting through but would love it.
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Tuesday Matches in Grand Slam
8x A-D Group MatchesWill state winner of match and score prediction, prices in brackets mean a bet so can be 1 bet or 2 bets per match
Noppert to win (1.72) Score 5-2 (6.00)
Gurney to win 5-4 (5.50)
MVG to win 5-0 (3.00)
Cross to win 5-3 (4.75)
Green to win (1.44) Score 5-1 (6.50)
Taylor to win 5-2 (4.50)
Price to win 5-3 (4.75)
RVB to win 5-1 (5.50) -
Naps Competition - Monday Dec 4th
in NAP of the Day Competition
Posted
12.50 South Jock Talk @ SP