Alley Cat Glover

Hopefully as I have 1/3000th of her. Difficult race to predict. Miranda has run once previously at Sandown finishing 8/8 put was her seasonal reappearance and a race that was a bit one sided. Angus takes off a valuable 7lb and has ridden her twice, a win at Ludlow and 4th at Mussleborough, although another 100yds she probably would have won. Great race last out at Doncaster and been well rested since. So can she compete in this giving weight to several possible ‘handicap blots’. I guess it depends if she can still be close enough coming up the hill, there are several front runners and the money is down for @richard-Westwood selections
 

Posted Monday at 04:51 PM Imperial cup saturday 
Natural history 9.5  9/2 7/2 no value 
One true king  8.4 8/1 16/1 good value 
Rockadenn  8.2 9/1 8/1 no value 
So ground has gone a bit softer which might go against Natural History with the flat speed, hopefully a strong pace and Miranda comes up the outside to win by a neck! 
 
PS don’t follow if you don’t want to lose your money, been trying to make a case for her but will be a big ask, anyway Paddy power are 14/1 5 places and I believe still best odds guaranteed, Hills are paying 6 places. So E/W money down and hope Richard is wrong! ?

Glad you did alright out of today, the longer the season goes the stronger Bolton look, next 3 games are massive for their season, away against Oldham and Bradford the home to Cambridge, 6pts from them and I think playoffs are a real possibility, from relegation to playoff/ promotion inside a month is some going. Be interesting to see how they get on against the form teams/better teams. Barrow sounded like they came for a point and all but achieved it. Still think they will battle and survive. Colchester look in real trouble though.

Hello Alley Cat,
I wasn't going to let the Wunderers bag another 3 points today without getting some consolation from it, Harrogate caught my eye too, who can't beat Grim sby.
I managed to get 5/4 against the Wunderers which I thought was over the odds taking into account the run they've been on recently, and I got 4/5 for Harrogate.
I went for a £100 double, it didn't look all that good at HT with both games at 0-0 and from what I could see of the Wunderers game that was a dour event, 0-0 painted all over it.
There was a glimmer of hope when Harrogate went 1 up with 15 minutes or so to go, it was all down the Wunderers then and oddly enough with 90 minutes gone I still fancied their chance, I'd seen it all before, too many times. 
The Ref gave 3 minutes of extra time, in the 3rd minute Barrow should have had a Penalty, then, in the 4th minute {yea, really} of extra time, it was well into it the 4th minute when Miller CLEARLY OFFSIDE put the ball into the net. I was SURE the Ref would disallow it, but I was glad he didn't, mixed feelings about that though, but I'd come to the point where "if you can't beat 'em, join em".
So at the end of the day I picked a few quid up and a few points in the competition in here, I did a "half my kitty" 39 point double in there too.
Other than that, it's been an exciting week for Bitcoin, it's been $13,000 down from it's ATH {all time high} in the last week !!! I've written up my thoughts on that in the Bitcoin Forum. 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Well doesn’t tell us much. Only change of share ownership. 
Nick Luckock is still there with a 20M loan that’s not surprising. He seems to be in the Private Equity business so maybe has something to do with the 2 x 20M loans secured. So no wonder he has 250,000 shares.
Michael Stuart James still has his 500,000 shares no change there. 

Jeffery Paul Thomas has ‘sold’ his shares all 500,000 of them, left being a director of the company in July 2019 just before they ‘bought’ Bolton. Has been a Director of 130 companies, current directorships 30, seems like a professional director, why did he have 500,000 shares in the first place? 

Sharron Brittan has also ‘sold’ 250,000 of her shares interestingly they have both sold them to the Company Football Ventures (Whites) Limited.
Now I am no expert on shares they are only paper and are only worth what someone else will pay for them. So a holding company had 6 ordinary shares in 2019 worth £1 each, then suddenly create 2,750,000 shares how much are they worth, were they just created I assume some money was paid for them or just out of thin air. So is this a share buy back by the Company? Why has Sharron parted with 250,000 of her shares?
Perhaps you could set up a supporter network and buy the 750,000 shares with some off your spare ‘bitcoins’  Perfect Storm. I’m sure you could tell how much they are worth! ?

I got 16’s drifted through the day, have started taking the SP rather than the price on some of the longer price E/W selections as I want the extra places but they tend to over shorten the price. Can not cash out though as they don’t then offer one. But then not often you want to cash a horse race bet. Bit different to football that lasts 90 minutes, and you can get some decisions that can alter the likely result you were expecting.

I got 16’s drifted through the day, have started taking the SP rather than the price on some of the longer price E/W selections as I want the extra places but they tend to over shorten the price. Can not cash out though as they don’t then offer one. But then not often you want to cash a horse race bet. Bit different to football that lasts 90 minutes, and you can get some decisions that can alter the likely result you were expecting.

No one of there extra place races so you get the price when placing your bet or your choice to take the SP by altering your bet slip. We’re paying 6 places I think. But paid for the poor ride on the other one!

Can’t see them going bust this season now, too many changes going on with the squad and academy, if not going to finish the season don’t think they would have happened.
Tonight is a big night Bolton home to Morecambe, not sure Bolton were good last game or Leyton Orient were bad, guess we will be wiser after tonight. Morecambe don’t do many draws, have a decent away record.
Can not see Southend or Stevenage picking up many points tonight both not good on the road. Tranmere home win bet for me tonight though. Also fancy Mansfield away at Walsall.

Not even going to attempt 25 runner fields yet, after yesterday’s 2nd and nowhere (from being prominent disappeared very quickly) thought I’d have a go at the 3.10 Leopardstown now only the bear 8 runners.
Monkfish 10.2  5/1   4/6
Latest Exhibition  9.45  11/2  7/2
Andy Dufresne  8.75   13/2  10/1
Fils D’oudaries 7.05   8/1   25/1
Now obviously graded race level weights and Monkfish beat Latest Exhibition last time out over further. Can not be risking a 4/6 odds on a Novice Chase when anything could happen, Monkfish is the probable winner. You have the X form wise of Asterion Forlonge but needs to have a clear round before my money goes anywhere near it. Anyway going E/W small stake Andy Dufresne for interest only 10/1 with Bet365.

Not even going to attempt 25 runner fields yet, after yesterday’s 2nd and nowhere (from being prominent disappeared very quickly) thought I’d have a go at the 3.10 Leopardstown now only the bear 8 runners.
Monkfish 10.2  5/1   4/6
Latest Exhibition  9.45  11/2  7/2
Andy Dufresne  8.75   13/2  10/1
Fils D’oudaries 7.05   8/1   25/1
Now obviously graded race level weights and Monkfish beat Latest Exhibition last time out over further. Can not be risking a 4/6 odds on a Novice Chase when anything could happen, Monkfish is the probable winner. You have the X form wise of Asterion Forlonge but needs to have a clear round before my money goes anywhere near it. Anyway going E/W small stake Andy Dufresne for interest only 10/1 with Bet365.

If you are able to do offer paddy do free bet if 2nd 3rd 4th this race. So almost like a free bet on the race as u have another chnace.

Tried the 2.05 at Mussleborough Cl2 2.0 Hurdle
Lockerroom Talk.  9.2   7/1.  16/1 Available (value)
Voix De Reve.   9.0.  15/2    12/1 Value
Blakeny Point.  9.0   15/2    8/1 about right
Newtown Boy.  7.9   9/1   8/1 about right
Dear Sire.   7.8    9/1     16/1 Value
It would seem wherever Blakeney Point finishes Voix De Reve will not be far away judged on last run and 1lb pull in favour of VdR. Christopher Wood and Torgini raced against each other last time and again are closely matched with Angus Cheleda taking off a useful 7lb.
Lockerroom talk my top rated, reverts to hurdles could be well handicapped if can bring the same form over Hurdles, first race for a new yard. Going to try both VdR and Lockerroom E/W to small stake.

Tried the 2.05 at Mussleborough Cl2 2.0 Hurdle
Lockerroom Talk.  9.2   7/1.  16/1 Available (value)
Voix De Reve.   9.0.  15/2    12/1 Value
Blakeny Point.  9.0   15/2    8/1 about right
Newtown Boy.  7.9   9/1   8/1 about right
Dear Sire.   7.8    9/1     16/1 Value
It would seem wherever Blakeney Point finishes Voix De Reve will not be far away judged on last run and 1lb pull in favour of VdR. Christopher Wood and Torgini raced against each other last time and again are closely matched with Angus Cheleda taking off a useful 7lb.
Lockerroom talk my top rated, reverts to hurdles could be well handicapped if can bring the same form over Hurdles, first race for a new yard. Going to try both VdR and Lockerroom E/W to small stake.

Interesting I have done the 2.00 @ Catterick as well Class 3, 3m1f HH
Wbee   7.3   8-1   8-1 about right
Legalised   7.2  8-1  6-1 no value
Bryden Boy. 7.0   8-1    8-1  about right
Jessiemac  6.5    9-1  12- 1  value
Dadsintrouble 6.5  9-1  9-1  about right
Now again last time out Dadsintrouble was in front of Bryson Boy by about 11 lengths with only a 1lb pull can’t see that being reversed all things being equal? Jessiemac would have scored higher but been off track for 100+ days, but claimer takes off 5lb which would be another positive.
Going with Jessiemac e/w  12/1 with bet365 to a small stake. Thing Wbee may well be there about also.

Interesting I have done the 2.00 @ Catterick as well Class 3, 3m1f HH
Wbee   7.3   8-1   8-1 about right
Legalised   7.2  8-1  6-1 no value
Bryden Boy. 7.0   8-1    8-1  about right
Jessiemac  6.5    9-1  12- 1  value
Dadsintrouble 6.5  9-1  9-1  about right
Now again last time out Dadsintrouble was in front of Bryson Boy by about 11 lengths with only a 1lb pull can’t see that being reversed all things being equal? Jessiemac would have scored higher but been off track for 100+ days, but claimer takes off 5lb which would be another positive.
Going with Jessiemac e/w  12/1 with bet365 to a small stake. Thing Wbee may well be there about also.

Going to give it another go, might survive the weather this time. Gone for the 14.45 at Wincanton, 10 runners Class 3 2m 3f. Interesting outcome, not sure quiet what to make of it.
Top 5 rated
Dan Macgrew 8.7  6/1.   33/1 available. ???
Broken Quest. 8.5. 6/1   4/1. No Value
Stormy Flight. 8.3.  13/2.  3/1. No Value
Thor de Cerisy. 7.7   7/1    7/1  about right
Rocheston   6.5   8/1    6/1   No Value
Now Dan Macgrew (went off at 100/1 for new stable) finished 8 lengths behind Stormy Flight at Exeter last time out is 2lb better for those 8 lengths. Dan Macgrew has won off 130 and runs of 130 here, Stormy Flight won off 115 runs off 123 here, beat 5 lengths by Bear Ghylls. Last time out who is unbeaten. This will be Dan’s third run this season, Stormy Flight will be running for the 5th time. So could the extra fitness and 2lb be enough to reverse places with Stormy Flight, is it proper value. Going to have to back him E/W to small stake now.
Interested for anybody else’s thoughts, have I gone wrong somewhere?

Going to give it another go, might survive the weather this time. Gone for the 14.45 at Wincanton, 10 runners Class 3 2m 3f. Interesting outcome, not sure quiet what to make of it.
Top 5 rated
Dan Macgrew 8.7  6/1.   33/1 available. ???
Broken Quest. 8.5. 6/1   4/1. No Value
Stormy Flight. 8.3.  13/2.  3/1. No Value
Thor de Cerisy. 7.7   7/1    7/1  about right
Rocheston   6.5   8/1    6/1   No Value
Now Dan Macgrew (went off at 100/1 for new stable) finished 8 lengths behind Stormy Flight at Exeter last time out is 2lb better for those 8 lengths. Dan Macgrew has won off 130 and runs of 130 here, Stormy Flight won off 115 runs off 123 here, beat 5 lengths by Bear Ghylls. Last time out who is unbeaten. This will be Dan’s third run this season, Stormy Flight will be running for the 5th time. So could the extra fitness and 2lb be enough to reverse places with Stormy Flight, is it proper value. Going to have to back him E/W to small stake now.
Interested for anybody else’s thoughts, have I gone wrong somewhere?

Don’t know if Sedgefield will be on but tried rating the 1.30 10 runners Class 3, 2 mile hurdle.
Top 4 I have as follows
Hasenkey 8.4 13/2  9/1 available Value
Hart of Steel  8.1 7/1  9/2 available  no value
Martinhal  7.6  15/2  9/4  no value
Laskaline  7.0   8/1  4/1 no value
Other points to note Treshnish no form but been Chasing first run back over hurdles off a winning mark if decides he likes them I had as 11/1 and 33’s available but not a bet for me. Oscars Leader I have as 5th rated and finished 2nd to The Cob over 2m 3f, 2 starts back this has been shortened to 7/2 from 6’s by bet365.
Any comments gratefully received.
See how it goes, if it gets past inspection!

Don’t know if Sedgefield will be on but tried rating the 1.30 10 runners Class 3, 2 mile hurdle.
Top 4 I have as follows
Hasenkey 8.4 13/2  9/1 available Value
Hart of Steel  8.1 7/1  9/2 available  no value
Martinhal  7.6  15/2  9/4  no value
Laskaline  7.0   8/1  4/1 no value
Other points to note Treshnish no form but been Chasing first run back over hurdles off a winning mark if decides he likes them I had as 11/1 and 33’s available but not a bet for me. Oscars Leader I have as 5th rated and finished 2nd to The Cob over 2m 3f, 2 starts back this has been shortened to 7/2 from 6’s by bet365.
Any comments gratefully received.
See how it goes, if it gets past inspection!

Tough race ....I like the look of hasankey ....he didnt quite last home and jumped awkwardly at the last which probably upset his momentum ...drop back to 2 mile is perfect so he looks value for sure ....of the others I'd be concerned about Oscar's leader ...headgear is returning and form has been franked ...could run well now ....good luck if you play but too much of a mud pit for me .....will watch with interest 

2nd .... taking risks won .....cheltenham here we come !!!

I've tweaked the formula slightly and rerated the race 
Aye right  8.4 
Mister malarkey  8.2 
York hill    8.2
Taking risks  8.0 
Cap du nord  7.8 
This looks aye rights for the taking....he was improving up until the last run which I think can be ignored .....handles soft ....i think he can bounce back at a big price.....
Aye right ..10pts ew 10/1 bet365  

Yorkhill did me a big favour lto but not for me this week as we are likley to be  on at least soft ground york hill needs good ground. I'm with Chris on rank  outsider TAKING RISKS looks to have a very decent e/w chance  and have just  taking e/w with Bet 365  at a massive 33/1 3places 1/4 odds & BOG. Was behind york hill lto 1lb lower here  over  same  trip  will be a lot softer here which will suit got hampered a bit lto  i just can not let this horse go unbacked at current odds.

@Alley Cat Glover yes fantastic ride  wasnt as close as it maybe should have been with the henderson horses,  Kingwell would be a good shout indeed for her

Well a lot seems to have gone on at Bolton yesterday, the restructure of the Academy has not gone down very well with supporters, several well respected ex players have been let go, also been a statement to go along with that development from FV.
On the footballing side the decision to let George Taft go to Scnuthorpe on loan for the rest of the season seems to be working out very well for Scnuthorpe!!! Third clean sheet and they have moved clear of any problems quickly.
Todays matches pit 2 of the bottom three against each other, can’t possibly fancy any result with any confidence but think we would prefer to see Grimsby pick up 3 points. Really hoping Southend could do the same away at Port Vale who are struggling at this time, that would put the cat amongst the pigeons so to speak. 
 
That brings us to Bolton, several team changes required due to injury/ suspension and recovering players, not sure what we will get. Leyton Orient are a decent team and hopefully will want to get back on track after the defeat to FGR.
Two for me today, Bradford and Mansfield, the rest are a sit and watch, should of bitten the bullet with Scnuthorpe last night! Might be happy even if Barrow get something!
All to play for, 3 days then the transfer window will be closed and we can see what the squads will be for the rest of the season.