zemo91
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Posts posted by zemo91
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Everyone seems convinced that Juventus will win, I'm not so sure of that. I think it's a favorable match up for Barcelona due to the style of play. It's true that Barcelona has not been convincing in some of their away games but it's all due to line up and tactics.Barcelona played in a 433 formation in those games instead of the 343 that has been succefull as of late loosing a lot of the midfield batlles. Against Juventus i'm assuming they will line up in a 343. Busquets suspension is obviously a big blow. Most people expect Gomes to start ,but i think Enrique will have learned the lessons from the game in Paris. I think Mathieu will start in the back three to have extra aerial presence and speed and Mascherano in midfield. I don't see Juventus pressing up high, if they do it I don't think they can do it effectively Barcelona will have most of the ball and will have time to choose their moments. Obviously Juventus can defend but I pretty sure the little man will deliver some magic.
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I will play 1 and 4 as singles and four game acca @ 13.79
1)Dortmund-Monaco : bts in second half@ 2.50
2)Juventus-Barcelona: bts@ 1.76
3)Bayern-Madrid bts @ 1.65
4)atletico-leicester Leicester+1.5@ 1.9
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great idea mate! it will be difficult but not impossible,lets give it a try.
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@andrewcalo, hahahaha you nut. If it's a bitch I'm fine with that
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1 hour ago, andrewcalo said:
@andrewcalo .In my books i'm 66,66% on this premier league forum. You're taking tips and not actual bets in to consideration. Here's an overview of my bets
Burnley-Stoke draw -
Arsenal bts/Swansea+1,5 ACCA -
Hull win+
Crystal palace x2 -
Chelsea win+
Chelsea over 2,5 +
Eriksen to score +
Southampton-palace bts +
Leicester win +
That's 6/9
You probably considered my acca's as single bets and added to this the Leicester/Man utd parlay. I wrote in a later post that I'm only betting on Leicester and Stoke as singles.You forgot about my Eriksen pick.In your calculation that's 5/11 (45%).
I'm a real competitor so had to clarify this.I find this a great idea!Maybe it's interesting to put the amount of bets next to the hit percentage.
I know my way of posting picks can be confusing,my first posts are possible picks.After my research I will post again. if I'm not convinced of one of my picks I will not go through with it. If I do not update I followed my possible picks.From now one I will only post final picks.
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Most of the betters see an easy win for Eibar and a high scoring game. The stats back this up but my gut feeling says no. In my opinion there's not much value for an Eibar win or a high scoring game. I'm staying away from this one.
Valencia-Vigo. Some injuries and suspensions concerns on both side ,I'm slightly in favor of Vigo despite they played on Monday and Valencia's recent homeform.Not confident enough to place a bet before the game,will wait and see.Don't like the odds for the over and bts,so no pregame betting for me .Good luck!
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https://www.jokecamp.com/blog/guide-to-football-and-soccer-data-and-apis/ nice read,sums up most of the statistal resources. I like http://www.simplesoccerstats.com/stats/matches.php ,I like that they give you the equity odds for different markets(over/under,bts)
I like the soccerway layout but only use it to see the fixtures and head to head. The game stats are not reliable and the injury and suspension info are way of.
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Only 2 bts this round of play.We have a bts ratio of 51,78% up till now in the bundesliga. Should be around 54% if it follows the trend of the previous seasons. I expect a few bts the coming fixtures
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Also will not play my Alaves-Ossasuna picks. No valuable plays for me today goodluck
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I will not follow through with my gijon-malaga pick. Gijon have no less then four players suspended,they were all booked against Sevilla
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Possible plays not final picks:
Alaves-Ossasuna bts@2,20
Gijon-Malaga homewin@ 2,45
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Really not liking the odds today,possible plays not final picks
Wolfsburg win@1,75
Mainz 05-Leipzig bts@1,74
Augsburg-Ingolstadt bts@2,10
Leverkusen win @ 1,65
Some interesting games in second bundesliga still have to do some research
Vfl bochum-fc Kaiserslautern
Tsv 1860- Vfb Stuttgart
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Possible plays,not final picks:
hull win @2,02
crystal palace X2 @2,06
Chelsea-City over 2,5@ 1,89(unibet),
Southampton-Palace bts@1,88
Chelsea win @ 2,38
Possible acca: arsenal-west ham bts@1,50 ,Swansea +1,5@ 1,45 total @2,17
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@betcatalog Im not really familiar with the greek super league, is Keryza-Olympiacos under 2,5@ 2,18 a play,the odds seem to high to me
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Nice picks @Vcg2007.Note that none of the games ended bts, most likely there will be some bts tomorrow
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Final picks:took Leicester to win in an acca, small bet on Burnley-Stoke draw
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@Vcg2007i really like your dormund bet,will tail it.
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@DuucDortmund hasn't been that impressive over the last three games.lost one drew one and a 1-0 victory against Ingolstadt. I watched the game,if they had a slightly better offense they could have got a result.I think if they win it will be my a small margin
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Picks of the day:
Atletico-sociedad:really don't like the odds,not much value for me.maybe a cornerbet over 10,5 @2,07
bilbao-espanyol: bts@2,23 bts and homewin@ 4,00 note that espanyol topscorder Moreno is suspended but they still have enough goal treat with Piatti.they will be highly motivated after their last-minute win against Betis.73 % of Bilbao's home games bts and 7/10 last meetings bts.
Betis-vilareal: X2 @1,49 for an accabet.most likely outcome is a draw@3,20. But I'm giving a small advantage to Villareal .Villarreal -0,25@2,38
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14 hours ago, rangers234 said:
Athletico Madrid minus one looks good at 2.05.. sociedad struggled to see off leganes at home last gsme and think Madrid should be too strong!
You mean AH -1,5? It seems verry unlikely to me that a bookie is offering 1,61 for AH -1.Sociedad will have some starters back for this one,main striker William Jose played his first game against leganes after a long absence ,if he gets back on track he's a real scoring treat. Atletico has been clinical in front the last few games but they give away some chances.Malaga had some good possessions but they don't have enough quality to create clearcut chances something Sociedad has. I think they will score so atletico has to score 3,something they managed to do in three of their last 5 home games.I'm not fully convinced they can do it in this game. The stakes are high Atletico is playing for third spot ,sociedad to consolidate their Europa league ticket
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3 hours ago, Tiffy said:
Thanks @StevieDay1983, had a mixed bag with the coirners last week! But managed to pull some others out of the bag over the weekend.
(Celtic -1, Cov & Oxf BTTS, Arse V City BTTS & O2.5 treble at over 4/1 one of the best). Then lumpled large on Barca last night too.
Surely Leicester & Spurs are bankers, and why are Palarse over 5/1 @Mindfulness, surely they would be worth backing on the X2?
Great shout by the way on backing them against Chelseas. A Chelsea supporting customer of mine had a fiver on Palace to win 2-1 at 33/1!!
Are you going to sell Zaha again? Think Brighton could be interested for next season....
I'm not 100 procent sure Tottenham is a banker,like I said before ,most of the games they played without Kane were under 2,5.Sigurdsson is possibly playing and considering Swansea's home record they are fully capable of scoring. It's true they conceed a lot but if they manage to tighten up at the back,there's a possibility they can get a result
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51 minutes ago, andrewcalo said:
I consider premier league my main source of wins and area of betting expertise. I can see five clear winners by a mile boys.
Burnley, the scum, Leicester, Arsenal, Spurs.
thats 12.5 to 1! Lovely. Going big on that.
value on Liverpool is way too low considering how the reverse fixture turned out. They'll be going all out for the win but then that's how they lost last time.
so a smaller stake on the six fold with Bournemouth +2.
I don't see them all winning,I'm not convinced by a Burnley win,Stoke has been mediocre on the road but neither has Burnley been convincing over late.I will wait till the final line ups comes out.
Champions League > Apr 11th & 12th
in Champions League Predictions
Posted
First off all you have to be humble in victory and defeat.The Bayern-Real game could easily have gone the other way around.Secondly the media had Juventus as clear favorite.Messi was not in goat form but delivered three clearcut chances(Iniesta,Suarez and Umtiti). All props to Allegri and his players. the tactics were on point and the execution was almost flawless. pressing up high in the first half ,crowding the midfield,short and double coverage of Messi and Neymar higher up the field,isolating Suarez,fast switch-overs from defense to attack, high intensity and positive aggresion. FC Barcelona had no answer for that. Enrique showed his tactical incapability,some players showed their lack of quality and their is certainly a lack of effort and motivation. The goals conceeded were all preventable.I expected to see a high energy , pumped up team that had something to prove after the Malaga debacle but that was defenitly not the case.The thing that blew my mind was how passive Enrique was. No major adjustments were made and only one substitution. Enrique relied to much on the front three and it's now backfiring on him.