zemo91
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Posts posted by zemo91
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My first thought, Burnley-stoke draw@3,30 seems good value to me,Stoke failed to score in their last roadtrips but they faced strong opposition,Burnley is having a bad run,even at home,losing 2 and drew 1 of their last three.For me it's just a matter of time before they enter the relegation zone.
Arsenal-West Ham bts.Arsenal is just not defending as a unit .Lines are too far apart,midfielders doesn't offer protection to the back four,Koscielny probably out,lack of spirit and motivation.
Hull city to win@ 2,05
Crystal palace X2,it seems that everything is going there way,Benteke and Zaha in form,Sakho playing great.
Chelsea to win@2,23.just dont see them lose two in a row ,the way city is defending they will be punished.
The games I can't figure out are Watford-wba and Swansea-Tottenham.just not convinced by Jansens and Sissoko in the front line.interesting to know ,5 of the 7 games Spurs played without Kane ended under 2,5 goal
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@neilovan , you're absolutely 100% right,Moyes made a fool of himself in Sociedad. Overrated,has no fire in him.not the right person for a team who has to battle relegation each year.hahahaha as a Belgian I feel you .Fellainus has to be the most lucky player in the world.Playing for one of the greatest clubs getting paid tons to deliver mediocre performances. If the name of the game was headball,he would be an all time great but that's not the case. Lack of vision,lack of pace,lack of skill,no long ball ,no distance shot has absolutely not one quality necessary to play on a Man United midfield or even a top six team midfield .If you want to play him you have to adjust you're tactics to his strengths like in his Everton period.He was playing higher up the field ,receiving long balls,infiltrating in the box. For a team like Man United he's only usefull when the opposition is defending a lead close to their 18 yard box.bring him in as a sub in the last 10 minutes and put some crosses in.
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Not much reply ,will be for the next weeks, Marseille win, sassuolo-lazio bts,Az Alkmaar win,Levante win,fiorentina win,levandialas-veria under 2,5,Zurich win,Burnley+1,5,total goals Everton over 0,5,total goals Leicester over 1,5,west ham bts,Dortmund bts
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13 hours ago, Neubs said:
@Neubs I'm really not convinced by Leipzig as of lately, Don't see a convincing win especially without their main scorer
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I'm sorry guys,posted previously that I will come with some final picks but I didn't have time.My previous post were only suggestions.I have one remark be cautious with the athletico Madrid game,they tend to have difficulties in Malaga and given there shaky away form(seem to have find their groove now) it can be tighter game then most expect it to be
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Nice write up @neilovan ,will take it in consideration.You're right about the Spurs game,Burnley is a strong home side that don't conceed alot,Kane would have been the xfactor. In his absence and taking the head to head record in consideration ,I will not follow through with my Tottenham win pick,odds@1,68. Interesting fact 10 of Burnley's 15 defeats were with one goal difference.At home their 3 defeats were with 1 goal. Burnley +1,5 @1,45 possible accabet Burnley+0,75 @2,02 ,Burnley double chance@2,3,Burnley draw no bet @4,75 is tasty. Probably will go with the safer picks and will do some livebetting.Those odds on Burnley,west brom and crystal palace are ridiculous. I love me some Asian handicapping in those circumstances ,Brom+ 1,5@1,79,west brom or draw @3,75. Brom won two of the last three meetings at Old Traford ,they will be highly motivated after the win against Arsenal
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Glad I could take the espanyol game,made a bet at halftime odd 3,5 .I can kill myself thought about it to bet when it was 0-1 for bettis odd 34 but didn't follow through,sometimes you have to go with your instinct
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Lucky me,watched the Hertha game live so was able to put a bet on it
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7 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:
Welcome to the forum mate!
Some interesting points there. I can certainly see your view. The Leicester game is the one standing out for me. I'm not convinced by Alexis Sanchez right now. Something isn't right behind the scenes. That said, at almost 3.00 he is tempting value. I can see Arsenal scoring against Manchester City (because most teams do) so it's just a case of whether he is one of those that do score in that game for the Gunners. Does Sanchez deliver performances in the big games? Arsenal's record against the top six is appalling.
Looked up Sanchez his goalstats for this season,only scored against Chelsea of the top six teams.Sanchez to score is a no bet for me, bts@1,50 ish,I will skip it.Arsenal is in a bad place at the moment .Im considering a City bet here
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3 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:
Great to see you getting involved in La Liga betting mate. It's been a quiet section this season with not much value but I think you're right. This week there are some fascinating ties. I like your tips. Real Sociedad is a brave one given their back-to-back defeats. Espanyol have only lost 1 of their last 5 league matches so I can see substance in that one. Eibar is another courageous call given they are going through a sticky patch. Agree about Atletico Madrid given Malaga's awful run of results.
Personally, Valencia versus Deportivo is the one I am stuck on. If this was 2002 then this game would be a cracker. Unfortunately, it's 2017 and both of these teams are enduring hard times. Both are in poor form but Deportivo had recently shown signs of a recovery. Is it too much to expect them to get something away?
I'm a bit stuck this weekend,no time to do proper analysis ,would not pay to much attention on my suggestion.Those were great teams in the early 2000's,was still young but i remember the champions league finals,valencia-real and some of the great players they had,mendieta,Tristan,makaay,the Spanish zidane valeron,Its a shame that such great teams have fallen to such lows. About the Valencia-depor game.they had some good results the last few weeks,especially the win against Barcelona.I definitely see them score,given the valencia defence is trash but I also think they will conceed.Maybe they can take a draw out of the Mestalia but i would not bet my house on it. Draw at 3,30 is tasty but i would not makprediction yet. .last full Depor game I saw was against Barcelona ,they lost the week after against celta de Vigo,will have to see what happened in that game
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Busy day ,I will not have time to analyse the second bundesliga games. Hertha bsc-hoffenheim: my first thought was bts.Bookie is offering 1,77.don't really see value in here despite the goalscoring stats of both teams.Kalou and Kramaric will probably play but they will not be 100%.Hertha bsc kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 home games.hoffenheim four clean sheets in their last 10games.I think both teams will play with caution here,hoffenheim is lining up in a 352 formation and will try to exploit the inexperience of substitute leftback Mittelstaedt.hertha bsc is aware of that and will make some adjustments.hoffenheim like to attack from the wings and with Wagner they have someone who can finish those crosses.I'm leaning more towards a Hoffenheim win ,but not enough to place a bet
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Chievo to win,genoa-atlanta bts,Napoli juve bts,latina-citadella under2,5 not final picks will update
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Bts:Hertha-hoffenheim,schalke04-dortmund
Nurnberg to win,Stuttgart to win ,hannover96 win
Those are not final picks,will update
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There are some interesting games in la liga, my first thoughts:espanyol to win,sociedad to win,atletico Madrid win,eibar X2.those are not my final picks Games in the segunda division to pay attention to:alcarcon-mallorca ,levante- mirandes,huesca-getafe,girona-vallecano,Zaragoza -valladolid.tomorrow I will post my final picks
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Hi guys,I'm a new member of this forum.Honestly I don't like the odds the bookies are giving,they are not being generous at all apart from the Leicester game. Will probably play a three game acca liverpool-everton bts,arsenal-city bts and Tottenham to win. Singles: Leicester to win,Swansea win .I have a feeling that Everton can take something at Anfield,the odds are way to high on Everton,draw@ 4,10 Everton+1,5@1,45 probably something I would use in a acca. Alexis Sanchez to score @ 2,70 is a no brainer for me.those are not final picks just my thoughts on this moment. I think for this weekend Spain is a better place to look for value,some interesting games in la Liga and secunda division
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In my opinion it's easier to find value in those leagues,the bookmakers have less information to go with and less people are betting on it. I was wondering what's your favorite small league to bet on, witch market do you bet on (1x2,bts,over/under...) and most importantly what are the sources and tools you're using to gather the information. I find it difficult to find valuable and reliable stats on it . hint: Nigerian and Iranian goal markets are goldmines ,bts odds as high as 4,5
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3 hours ago, andrewcalo said:
Not feeling Leicester Walkers crisps. Don't know why...
Maybe because Stoke almost forced a draw away to Chelsea a few weeks ago?
The tipster I love is on the 'Pool -1 ... so maybe Liverpool to win? After the last international break they flew important players back quickly too and then drew with Southampton 0-0. Also, Coleman being out might not be such a big deal with Ashley Williams around...any thoughts?
You're right about the Leicester game,Stoke is probably super motivated after their performance against Chelsea.Don't trust the Liverpool game,Everton has a world class striker who has been on fire lately.their away form has been improving,I just don't see them lose with 2 goals difference.maybe bts is a play? No actually I don't like it,few clean sheets in the head to head meetings.its a derby so everybody will be highly motivated and focused.Would I play it as a single,maybe but I would not put it in a monsteracca
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10 hours ago, allyhibs said:
I'm in.
Scottish banker this weekend, Celtic 4/9.
I'm not familiar with the Scottish league but the odds seem to high for me no? I'm used to work with decimal odds,4/9 is like 1,44 wright ? I would expect something like 1,20ish for Celtic. Are there injuries or other causes?
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First time posting here guys.I find this a great topic !In my opinion acca's can be profitable when they are well balanced,using games from different leagues and combining different markets(bts,over/under...) so i applaud the idea.Here's my opinion on the above acca.I would stay away from Lyon ,they are verry inconsistent when playing abroad. I'm not feeling the leverkussen pick.they are in bad form losing 3 of their last 5 home games,but they have history on their side,lost only once to Wolfsburg.I see a draw here.Torino-Udinese is a tricky game,I have the feeling Torino is losing momentum,they are a strong homeside,lost only once but they drew their last three homegames and they managed only two wins in their last 10 games.Other then that I'm diggin it. Maybe Man utd ,leicester,Az Alkmaar,Levante,freiburg are a play,I will have to take a closer look. In my opinion the international break will cause the bigger teams to be less organized, I think there's value to find in bts and over market.
Midweek > Apr 4th & 5th
in Premier League Predictions
Posted
Possibility of a Leicester Man united parlay,Sunderland is doomed,Everton has problems defending skilled fast players,Lukaku can't score or create chances when teams are playing tight and well organized.