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Showing content with the highest reputation on 06/25/19 in all areas

  1. 4 points

    Naps - Tuesday June 25th

    5.15 Brighton Nervous nerys 33/1 sky e/w
  2. 3 points

    Naps - Tuesday June 25th

    1 pt win Brighton 5.15 Nervous Nerys 40/1 Ladbrokes
  3. 3 points

    Racing Chat - Tuesday June 25th

    Great to get paid out on Buck Dancing at last. Obviously at Stratford we were on e/w, but I really fancied him at Hexham when he ran his only poor race of the year. We got that back and more though on Monday so that was good. Onto Tuesday and there are plenty of runners from points and hunter chases running at Newton Abbot. In the first race I am keen on Ardview Boy. In Ireland he didn't win in 28 starts and he then failed to win his first 4 points for new connections this year. The last of those he slipped up when in front and as 11/10 fav. He finally got his head in front last month when clocking a winning time of 5.26 so clearly the track at Llwyn Ddu is not 3m which is important given the trip here is 2m2f. He followed that up 5 days later winning his restricted and then on Derby Day he won an Intermediate. He is clearly in the form of his life at the moment and connections have found a very winnable race for. Ben Jones keeps the ride from points which is no bad thing as he takes another 7lbs off. The only horse I am really concerned about is Lapford Lad who is clearly in very good form himself and although he has gone up 11lbs since the first win last month the fact he is bang in form in this low grade is more important. Hopefully Ardview Boy can beat him to get the evening off to a good start. It could be a big night for Ben as in the next race he gets to ride Midnight Foile who of course won last week for us when he was on top. Obviously there are more runners in this race, but it looks another good opportunity and he didn't look to take too much out of himself last week. Skinflint has been pointing this year, but in my view what he has achieved isn't up to what Midnight Foile has done. He fell on his last start when in every chance 2 out and he had won his restricted and intermediate on the two previous starts. I do think he is a danger, but given the times of the races he has won and the fact he won his maiden over 2m4f suggests the trip could be an issue. He does though look in the best form he has been in so far in his short career. If This Breac can get close to his 3rd at Fontwell last year then he wouldn't be out of this on his first start for Jimmy Frost and the fact his daughter takes over for the first time is a pretty significant jockey switch. His form this season would need improving on, but I think he is worth a small cover bet e/w at 16/1 given he has the form to be competitive in this and he does stay this far. Ballycahane was a horse I thought had a chance at Cheltenham in the Intermediate Final, but he never got involved. On the back of that and his point run after that he can be passed for me. Like I say it's a race that does have more depth than the Ffos Las one, but given how much I think Midnight Folie has in hand of the handicapper the only thing that can get him beat is if the race comes too soon, but given he had short times between his races in points this year that shouldn't be an issue. A small e/w bet on This Breac is the other play. Moving onto the 7.55 and I think Robin Des People and Ballyknock Cloud are worth backing. I thought Robin Des People was a little high in the weights when he ran at Bangor, but although he was 6th of 8 he was only beaten 3 and a half lengths so it was a decent enough effort on his first start for the yard. Clearly they thought he wind was an issue as he has had a wind op and the tongue-tie is back on. The win at Stratford last year was a decent effort and he is worth backing. The main bet though is Ballyknock Cloud who has looked very good in a couple of point wins last month (his first win was a walkover). Those two efforts suggest he is in much better form than he was in under rules earlier in the year and late last year. On those handicap chase efforts you wouldn't fancy him at all, but going pointing could well be the key to him and now he's in form he could be about to show what he can do over rules fences. At 8/1 Ballyknock Cloud can still be backed e/w and Robin Des People is 5/1.
  4. 2 points
    If anyone saw how Jeremy Chardy played the first few points against Cam Norrie you shouldn't back him to come back in the set or the match because it's likely to continue. When Jeremy has started his rott the rott is likely to continue for the rest of the match. The guy is having trouble turning performances around and he's also lost to Cam once before on hard last season in Atlanta and his record isn't anything special in Eastbourne. Last time 2017 he went out in first round to Dusan Lajovic, he did reach the quarter once after beating dr. Ivo and a clay courter but lost the quarter in straights to Feli Lopez. Cam Norrie is exactly the type of player Jeremy doesn't matchup well with because of Cams reasonably big serve and good movement on court. Added that Jeremy is making tons of unforced doesn't make it any better.
  5. 2 points
    Svitoliva is 5.00 to come back against Cornet on bet365. Set and a break down with play ended for the day because of rain. Both players have awful records in this tournament and both are pretty poor on grass too. But i just feel the suspended play will help Svitolina regroup and come back tomorrow with a much better performance which she is very capable of.
  6. 1 point

    World Cup 2019

    Quite looking forward to this. Very much a different kind of event. Gets started 24th June. Pairings from each country : Group A : China A - Ding / Bingtao Thailand - Un-Nooh / Saengkham Poland - Stefanow / Filipiak Austria - Ploner / Nuessle Norway - Maflin / Watts Germany - Lichtenberg / Kleckers Group B : N.Ireland - Allen / J.Brown England - K.Wilson / Lisowski Iran - Vafaei / Vahedi R.O.I - Doherty / O'Brien Hong Kong - A.Lee / Kai Cheung S.Arabia - Alajani / Asseri Group C : Scotland - Higgins / Maguire Belgium - Brecel / Mertens Malaysia - Thor Leong / Hoo Israel - Sharav / Ruberg UAE - Shehab / Al Joaker Cyprus - Georgiou / Poullos Group D : Wales - Williams / Day China B - Yuelong / Wenbo Switzerland - Ursenbacher / Vetter Malta - Borg / Cini Australia - Mifsud / Thormerson India - Jain / Vatnani Example of a tie (Wales Vs China B) - Williams Vs Yuelong Day Vs Wenbo Doubles Williams Vs Wenbo Yuelong Vs Day Top 2 of each group go through to the final 8.
  7. 1 point

    Racing Chat - Tuesday June 25th

    Looks tough on Tuesday! EW Lucky 15 300 Bev: Sioux Frontier 5/1 415 Bri: Luxford 4/1 740 Nb: Image Of The Moon 4/1 815 Nb: Sir Roderic 15/2 good luck all
  8. 1 point

    Tennis Tips - June 24 - June 30

    But one thing I don't like is the 1.80-1.83 price on Miomir as he could easily lose the match also so I think it's best to stand by and wait for the match to start and then look at how Ugo is performing and if his game is looking dreadful like in Ilkley he loses again. Dominik Koepfer played a good match in Ilkley when he beat Ugo but it's the way Ugo played that makes me wonder what he's gonna do to turn that form around. His confidence can't be sky high exactly after losing so many matches past two months.
  9. 1 point

    Naps - Tuesday June 25th

    7:40 Newbury Image Of The Moon 4/1 bet365
  10. 1 point

    Naps - Tuesday June 25th

    1925 Newton Abbot The Butcher Said 2/11 Bet365 If it wins I am back in the KO Cup! ty
  11. 1 point

    100 Value Bets

    Italy Women v China Women: 6 points on Giacinti to score at 10/1 2 points on her to score 1st at 28/1 and 1 on her to score 2 or more at 75/1 (All with Fred) Relating this back to the above waffle, comes on to my radar at anything over 4/1 so I think she's slipped under Fred's at those prices.
  12. 1 point
    TRIXIE SELECTIONS TODAY 2.15 Bri (1) Shamson 4/1, 8.45 Newb ((7) Rose Hip 4/1, 9.00 N. Abb (5) Glanvilles Guest 7/2 Reasons for selections: Shamson ran badly last time (I always forgive one previous poor run but not two or more) but it is a class 4 CD winner and won on good to soft and has a jockey aboard that rides well at the track. The favourite is up 5lbs and is only a Class 5 winner The market favours Raincall over Rose Hip but I feel that Rosehip’s form is better, we’ll see? Glanvilles Guest is a strong market favourite to win. The pundits are pushing Prophets Prayer 3rd to my selection last time but the market is not supporting that view. TRIXIE RESULTS UPDATE No bet yesterday so the bank remains unchanged Original Bank £500 +£27.19 = £527.19 Balance C/Fwd. Equals 5.40 % ROI
  13. 1 point

    100 Value Bets

    11.7% return is impressive over 100 bets but what is not clear to me, not read all the posts so apologies if you have already explained, is which factors do you use to decide odds are good value?
  14. 1 point

    Gooners 20/1

    Nice profit in a short time Gooner. Well done
  15. 1 point

    Next Newcastle Manager Odds

    Well he's not going to get transfer funds at Newcastle Ashley has squeezed that tangerine into a dried managerless husk. Whoever replaces Benitez will be on a zero hours contract and beaten with sticks if they so much as try to claim sandwich and chocolate bar money on expenses.
  16. 1 point
    Cameron Norrie to beat Jeremy Chardy at 3.00 with Betfair I don't see where these odds come from. I wouldn't back Jeremy as such a big favourite as he has been playing crap all season.
  17. 1 point

    2019 Cricket World Cup

    I spent half the tournament thinking this was a proper mugs bet until I realised he was shown a "Gulbadin" on the scorecards when I was looking for Naib! It's actually in reasonable shape after 7 innings as he's on 9 with the others on 7, 6, 5 and 4. Fingers crossed he can stay in front over the remaining couple of games.
  18. 1 point

    Naps - Monday June 24th

    Windsor 7.10 Open Wide 11/1 bet365
  19. 1 point
    silver fox

    Naps - Monday June 24th

    4.00 Chepstow: Glamourous Crescent @ 6/1 (WilliamHill)
  20. 1 point
    dai bando

    Naps - Monday June 24th

    chep 4-00 glamorous crescent 5/1 bet 365
  21. 1 point

    Unraced 2 Year Olds To Follow

    Thanks for the info, are any of them likely to run in the near future 😊
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