Back to the jumps action on Sunday and the first visit of the season to Casterton where Elvision will be bidding to win yet again over the hedge fences. First though there are 3 hurdle races.
Race 1
When I saw Dubai Moon was going over 3500m I was a little concerned, but it really should be his chance to break his maiden tag over hurdles. The Pakenham 2nd was franked when the winner followed up at Warrnambool and the horse that beat him at Warrnambool was very impressive. What is also crucial is that his two main rivals in the market were behind him in those 2 races. Maatsuyker was 3rd and could improve for that first run, but he didn't look like he needed the extra 300m. Jack Knows Best was only 2/1 at Pakenham and only beat 1 home. I suspect that was too bad to be true and his run on the flat was good prior to that over 3300m at Warrnambool. It should be one of those 3 and I take Dubai Moon to get the deserved success with Jack Knows Best the main danger.
Dubai Moon 1pt @ 7/5 with Bet365
Race 2
A tricky race to weigh up as we have a horse in the shape of Oceanic Flash who is making his debut over hurdles but has some very good flat form this year against 3 horses who all showed good placed form in the maidens at Warrnambool. Wilewink finished a good 2nd whilst Pressfal and Freddie The Eagle finished pretty much upsides each other when 3rd and 4th in a different division. They both ran like the step up in trip would suit. I don’t have a strong view but those two are the bigger prices and offer a little bit of value to small stakes given how well they finished off their races that day.
Freddie The Eagle 0.5pts
Pressfal 0.5pts