All Activity

Last. Well clobbered

It seems that Summer Jump Cards are on the increase nowadays compared to 4/5 years ago though not every Sires progeny want Winter going .

Jak could have got really close in this but keeps making silly errors

I understand the confusion, but the overround, or underround, are not applied - that is the situation regarding the field book. Which race is it that equal fair odds are on offer ? The field book operates on 100% take out, calculated on price percentage : 7/2 is 22%,11/2 is 15%, 8/1 is 11% and so on for every price available. Every book on every race is overround i.e the take out is more than 100%. The only advantage the bettor has over the bookmaker is that the bookmaker has to bet in every race, the bettor doesn't - so, in a field of 8 or 10 runners, depending on the book takeout, taking 3 or 4 against the field for a total of less than 100% guarantees a profit - and, if that is a 10 runner field, that means that instead of having one horse running for you and nine for the bookmaker you have three or four running for you, which 60% or 70% of the field. This seems to me to be fairly basic.

thurley 535 ffos las 9/1 bet365

fiston de becon 4.25 warrick

1645 C - Shimmerz @ 40-1 ew bet365

400 b Stage show 10/1

14/1 ! I was worried when Eaves scooted quickly to the rear of pack rather than pushing up wide. But he knew 😉.

Must admit I would have been on bunting and edhouse

340 bv Powdering 12/1 ew

I think you've missed his point but I had to re-read the post to get my head round it. If you backed all 16 runners 1 point win in a theoretical race at equal fair odds of 15/1 you'd get your money back. If you backed them all half a point each way with 5 places on offer you'd make a small profit. (I make it 2 points but I could be wrong.) So it's taken as being suggestive that there's more value than normal when backing each way in extra place races. It will, of course, depend on the overround being applied.

325 b Joy Choi 6/4 515 bv Original Thinker to place 1/1 double 4/1

B/Fwd L15's -80.77, RC incl L15's -113.71 Had 4 L15's today = 6 points 4.15 Bev Swatch 2.10 win at 3.95 (um at 3.80) will leave if not matched Total stakes = 8.10 today

4.15Bev Swatch 1 pt win at 11/4 with Bet365

3.15 Warwick Hot Fizzy Lizzy ( each way ) 6/1 William Hill

Lucky15Ref: 383937476 4 Selections 9. Bluedrum - 7/1Winner - 15:35 Curragh 9. Tiriac - 9/2Winner - 16:20 Windsor 8. Magnificent Match - 3/1Winner - 16:55 Windsor 5. Rathbranchurch - 5/1Winner - 17:20 Curragh Stake£ 1.50 Potential Returns£ 204.65

Lucky15Ref: 383934398 4 Selections 1. Hostelry - 5/1Winner - 15:40 Beverley 9. Amerigo Vespucci - 3/1Winner - 17:10 Bath 4. Willingly - 6/1Winner - 17:30 Windsor 6. Dubai Immo - 7/1Winner - 18:00 Windsor Stake£ 1.50 Potential Returns£ 251.90

Brummell 1st. Won £50 May -£8

3.35 Curragh You Send Me @ 10/1 ew bet365

Lucky15Ref: 383928602 4 Selections 2. Ciotog - 9/2Winner - 16:00 Bath 1. Swatch - 5/2Winner - 16:15 Beverley 8. Encosta - 22/1Winner - 16:45 Curragh 8. Distinction - 11/1Winner - 16:50 Beverley Stake£ 1.50 Potential Returns£ 912.50

Lucky15Ref: 383923310 4 Selections 4. Red Sand - 9/1Winner - 14:50 Bath 9. Pepper Noir - 7/2Winner - 15:00 Curragh 1. College Choir - 4/1Winner - 15:45 Windsor 6. Maxux - 9/4Winner - 16:10 Curragh Stake£ 1.50 Potential Returns£ 154.17

All good things come to an end; first game that Campbell and Stevens have both started this season where neither scored. Missed Cheek who should have been a bet. Today's lesson is don't study the goalscorer markets for a lower tier game before you establish that anybody is offering prices! Still, stats have steered me to betting on Worthing >1.5 goals at evens (365 or old baldy chops) They scored 25 goals in their last 10 games, scoring in all of them (btts in 9). It took Braintree 20 games to score their last 27 goals, scoring in 17 with btts in just 6. It feels a bit like 1-0 to Braintree is the most likely score if they win, whereas a higher scoring win for Worthing would be no surprise.

225 c 250 b fav diuble 13/8

215 bath It's Showtime 8/1 ew