FleetFanatic Posted September 30, 2010 Author Share Posted September 30, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II -5 Grimsby vs Newport County..... suggesting X2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted October 1, 2010 Share Posted October 1, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II At least we agree :lol now explain how you're gonna dutch them at that short a price. :spank AFC Wimbledon 9.74 @ 2/5 Fleetwood Town 10.26 @ 1/3 ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 1, 2010 Author Share Posted October 1, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Both to win or you lose then..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted October 1, 2010 Share Posted October 1, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II No if one wins I get a return If one of yours looses you get nothing, the longer you stay in the game the more chance you have of winning. The object is if you lose its better to lose a little than the lot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 2, 2010 Author Share Posted October 2, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II 13 minutes gone & Chesterfield are 0-3 down. :@ wtf??? Oooh they've got one back 1-3 now. F*** 1-4 now, hopeless. Buxton 3 up.... deleted that link, half their scores were wrong lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 2, 2010 Author Share Posted October 2, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II OK, so referring to bet365 odds & applying the rules: I've noticed since posting last night that several of these have been trimmed, especially in Scotland. :unsure Home bias shines through in the Euro treble, with some tough matches involved. Trebles: Previous Banks: EURO: -30pts MAIN UK: +19.4pts AM&S: +110.42pts Euro 10pts @ Victor Chandler Dortmund 6/4 :clap Villareal 4/6 :clap St Etienne 2/1 :wall Main UK 10pts @ Paddy Power Chelsea 3/4 :clap Chesterfield 5/6 :wall 5-5! Accrington 6/4 :clap 7-4! AM&S 10pts @ Coral Cambridge City 10/11 :@ Buxton 4/6 :clap 7-1! Berwick 4/5 :wall New Banks: EURO: -40pts MAIN UK: +9.4pts AM&S: +100.42pts Canadian of Doubles: Coral Current Bank: +27.44pts Group A Berwick 4/5 :wall Dortmund 6/4 :clap Group B Buxton 4/6 :clap Leamington 4/6 :clap Group C Cambridge City 10/11 :@ Northwich Victoria 10/11 Group D Chelsea 8/11 :clap Stranraer 8/13 :@ Group E Chesterfield 5/6 :wall Sutton Utd 4/6 Perm groups ABCDE into 4, 6, 8 & 10 folds - 26bets @ 1pt = 26pts New Bank: +1.44pts And finally, 1pt acca on all 30+: Coral Current Bank: -0.59pts Ajax 1/5 :@ PSV Eindhoven 1/9 :clap Real Madrid 1/6 Fleetwood 1/3 :wall AFC Wimbledon 2/5 :wall Chelsea 8/11 :clap Celtic 1/6 :clap Cambridge City 10/11 :@ Buxton 4/6 :clap Berwick 4/5 :wall Raith 4/9 :clap New Bank: -1.59pts :hope:hope:hope:hope:hopeSome crazy scorelines..... Chesterfield came from 4-1 down to a 5-5 draw, Accrington won a 7-4 thriller, Buxton romped to a 7-1 win..... but ultimately we got beat again this week. Onwards & upwards..... the first year I did this, it didn't start to excel until December/January onwards. Updated the Euro results, St. Etienne drew to deny us, even got the Dortmund result correct. :wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted October 3, 2010 Share Posted October 3, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Its a conspiracy :unsure They're all against us :lol I cant even get crappy odds on to win :eyes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 3, 2010 Author Share Posted October 3, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II PMSL, I'm far from worried. I'm doing this for fun, not as a main source of income. Besides, thanks to Scotland, we're up overall. Who'd have thought Scotland would be our current saviours eh? :lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 4, 2010 Author Share Posted October 4, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Midweek: 40 Buxton 37 Salisbury City 35 Cray Wanderers 34 Lowestoft Town 23 Leamington 23 Chippenham Town 22 Windsor & Eton 20 Newport County Applying the rules,we get this midweek bet: AM&S 10pts @ Skybet Cray Wanderers 8/11 Leamington 6/5 Lowestoft Town 4/5 New Banks: EURO: -40pts MAIN UK: +9.4pts AM&S: +90.42pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 5, 2010 Author Share Posted October 5, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Well Cray & Leamington both won 2-1, but Lowestoft could only muster a 1-1 draw. Back before the weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted October 6, 2010 Share Posted October 6, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II I was making my mid week selections as usual (clutching a rabbits foot stuffed with 4 leaf clovers topped of with white gypsies heather,in my lucky red hat and spinning a prayer wheel whilst trying to draw a pentangle with the blood of a freshly sacrificed cockerel) when I realised they had already kicked off :eyes. If Its any consolation mine would have been down as well :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 7, 2010 Author Share Posted October 7, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Weekend rating's Without even looking at the odds, I am saying that the sensible thing to do here for a treble is one treble, taking 5 points of the MAIN UK & AM&S banks. Anyway, back in a little while. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 7, 2010 Author Share Posted October 7, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Trebles: Previous Banks: EURO: -40pts MAIN UK: +9.4pts AM&S: +90.42pts Euro No games to bet on. Main UK & AM&S (5pts from each bank) 10pts @ bet365 - Truro ruled out under our system's "bet365 rules". Fleetwood 4/6 Cray 4/6 Rochdale 1/1 New Banks: EURO: -40pts MAIN UK: +4.4pts AM&S: +85.42pts Canadian of Doubles: bet365 (Amazingly, we had enough teams even after applying the rules) Current Bank: +1.44pts Group A Brighton 5/6 Montrose 2/1 Group B Chesterfield 5/6 Newport County 4/5 Group C Cray Wanderers 4/6 Oxford Utd 10/11 Group D Fleetwood Town 4/6 Rochdale 1/1 Group E Lowestoft 11/8 Rotherham 11/10 Perm groups ABCDE into 4, 6, 8 & 10 folds - 26bets @ 1pt = 26pts New Bank: -24.56pts And finally, 1pt acca on all 30+: Coral (bwin offer slightly better, but I don't use them) Current Bank: -1.59pts Fleetwood 8/11 Cray 8/13 Truro 8/15 New Bank: -2.59pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted October 10, 2010 Share Posted October 10, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Bad day at black rock Fleet by the looks of it :sad Just cant sum up whats happening to these teams at the moment, maybe the leagues have become so finely balanced that a few more weeks are needed before teams play fully to what there rating figure suggests. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 11, 2010 Author Share Posted October 11, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II It's only October. Keep the faith. Midweek Amateur Ratings: 28 Bradford PA 24 Worksop 24 Northwich 15 Hemel Hempstead 15 Chasetown Potentially a treble - I'll check the odds later today, as Bradford play tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 11, 2010 Author Share Posted October 11, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Well Coral seem to be the only ones offering a price on Bradford PA, sowe'll go with it anyway. 10Pts Bradford PA 8/15 Worksop 8/11 Northwich 4/6 New Banks: EURO: -40pts MAIN UK: +4.4pts AM&S: +75.42pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 11, 2010 Author Share Posted October 11, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II For the 2nd time in recent weeks, it turns out the reason for no odds was a postponed match due to cup replays. Thinking this, I took the lazy option of checking Sky Sports Centre - you'd think by 5pm on the day that they might have known. Grrrr. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 12, 2010 Author Share Posted October 12, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Northwich won 4-3, onto Worksop tomorrow night..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 13, 2010 Author Share Posted October 13, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Worksop won 2-1, so with Bradford being void, we got a return of 28.79pts. :ok New Banks: EURO: -40pts MAIN UK: +4.4pts AM&S: +104.21pts Weekend ratings: Back tomorrow with some bets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 14, 2010 Author Share Posted October 14, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II So apply the "bet365 odds rules", here are the bets: Trebles: Previous Banks: EURO: -40pts MAIN UK: +4.4pts AM&S: +104.21pts Euro 10pts @ bet365 Genk 21/20 Brest 4/7 Mainz 11/8 Main UK 10pts @ Will Hill Port Vale 17/20 QPR 4/6 Cardiff 8/15 AM&S 10pts @ bet365 Boston 8/13 Dunfermline 3/4 Alfreton 8/11 New Banks: EURO: -50pts MAIN UK: -5.6pts AM&S: +94.21pts Canadian of Doubles: best odds for the 10-fold = Blue Square Current Bank: -24.56pts Group A Boston 8/13 Genk 11/10 Group B Brest 8/15 Kayserispor 8/13 Group C Bursaspor 8/11 Mainz 13/10 Group D Cardiff 8/15 Port Vale 5/6 Group E Dunfermline 7/10 QPR 4/6 Perm groups ABCDE into 4, 6, 8 & 10 folds - 26bets @ 1pt = 26pts New Bank: -50.56pts And finally, 1pt acca on all 30+: Coral Current Bank: -2.59pts Port Vale 5/6 QPR 4/6 Braintree 4/9 Boston 4/7 Droylsden 4/7 New Bank: -3.59pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 16, 2010 Author Share Posted October 16, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Frustrating day - Main UK found a winner in Cardiff & 2 0-0's :wall (there were only 3 in the 5 English divisions). AM&S found 2 winners in Dunfermline & Boston, only do be thwarted by another 0-0. :wall Mainz lost their 100% record in losing 0-1. See you again soon. :sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 21, 2010 Author Share Posted October 21, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Well there wasn't enough to warrant a midweek bet, but here are the weekend's ratings, commencing with Friday: Back in a little while with the bets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 21, 2010 Author Share Posted October 21, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Trebles: Previous Banks: EURO: -50pts MAIN UK: -5.6pts AM&S: +94.21pts Euro 10pts @ Blue Square Lazio 8/11 Dortmund 3/4 Paris SG 4/5 Main UK 10pts @ Victor Chandler Brighton 4/7 Bury 20/21 Burnley 1/1 AM&S 10pts @ Victor Chandler Livingston 4/7 Windsor & Eton 23/20 Welling 4/5 New Banks: EURO: -60pts MAIN UK: -15.6pts AM&S: +84.21pts Canadian of Doubles: best odds for the 10-fold = Victor Chandler Current Bank: -50.56pts Group A Brighton 4/7 Lazio 8/11 Group B Burnley 1/1 Livingston 4/7 Group C Bury 20/21 Norwich 1/1 Group D Dortmund 3/4 Paris SG 8/11 Group E Fenerbache 3/4 Swansea 6/5 Perm groups ABCDE into 4, 6, 8 & 10 folds - 26bets @ 1pt = 26pts New Bank: -76.56pts And finally, 1pt acca on all 30+: Victor Chandler Current Bank: -3.59pts Real Madrid 1/7 PSV Eindhoven 1/3 Porto 2/9 Lazio 8/11 Dortmund 3/4 Trabzonspor 2/5 Chelsea 1/7 Brighton 4/7 Bury 20/21 Burnley 1/1 Livingston 4/7 New Bank: -4.59pts :hope :hope :hope :hope :hope Feeling confident? Looks quite good on paper. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted October 23, 2010 Share Posted October 23, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Good Luck this weekend Fleet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 26, 2010 Author Share Posted October 26, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Looked good but overall, disappointing again..... ......Burnley & Welling cost us trebles, Fenerbache denied us a 6-fold & extra 4-folds.....even the 1pt acca got 9 out of 11. Trebles: Previous Banks: EURO: -50pts MAIN UK: -5.6pts AM&S: +94.21pts Euro 10pts @ Blue Square Lazio 8/11 :clap Dortmund 3/4 :wall Paris SG 4/5 :@ Main UK 10pts @ Victor Chandler Brighton 4/7 :clap Bury 20/21 :clap Burnley 1/1 :@ AM&S 10pts @ Victor Chandler Livingston 4/7 :clap Windsor & Eton 23/20 :clap Welling 4/5 :wall New Banks: EURO: -60pts MAIN UK: -15.6pts AM&S: +84.21pts Canadian of Doubles: best odds for the 10-fold = Victor Chandler Current Bank: -50.56pts Group A Brighton 4/7 :clap Lazio 8/11 :clap Group B Burnley 1/1 :@ Livingston 4/7 :clap Group C Bury 20/21 :clap Norwich 1/1 :clap Group D Dortmund 3/4 :wall Paris SG 8/11 :@ Group E Fenerbache 3/4 :wall Swansea 6/5 :clap Perm groups ABCDE into 4, 6, 8 & 10 folds - 26bets @ 1pt = 26pts One x 4-fold returned 10.60pts New Bank: -65.96pts And finally, 1pt acca on all 30+: Victor Chandler Current Bank: -3.59pts Real Madrid 1/7 :clap PSV Eindhoven 1/3 :clap Porto 2/9 :clap Lazio 8/11 :clap Dortmund 3/4 :wall Trabzonspor 2/5 :clap Chelsea 1/7 :clap Brighton 4/7 :clap Bury 20/21 :clap Burnley 1/1 :@ Livingston 4/7 :clap New Bank: -4.59pts :hope :hope :hope :hope :hope Feeling confident? Looks quite good on paper.It'll come, keep the faith. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 26, 2010 Author Share Posted October 26, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Midweek ratings: Euro: Roda 23 Ajax 23 Utrecht 17 AM&S: Halifax 45 Chasetown 35 Bromley 30 Northwich 21 Colwyn Bay 15 If I don't post by tomorrow evening then there's no bets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Machine Posted October 26, 2010 Share Posted October 26, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Unlucky again fleet. :( So close but no cigar. Have give up on ratings and am trying the totally random approach (cant be any worse than my ratings have been doing). Wrote a team generator programme to pick 3 teams at random each week and back in a patent :lol Keeps the interest going while watching soccer saturday and gives me a betting slip to rip up at 5.50 :eek (tho I did get one winner this week,still a loss tho :( ) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 26, 2010 Author Share Posted October 26, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II We'll be swerving on tonight - 4/11, 3/10 & 1/2 on the top 3 rated at bet365. :lol However, based on the "value" tool posted by jamiedavies02, I will start looking at singles on teams rated 30+: Chasetown value is higher than 1.47 Halifax value is higher than 1.33 Bromley value is higher than 1.25 If I can get 10% above value, then I will bet Chasetown needs 1.47+0.147 =1.617 or better 1.7@Bwin Halifax needs 1.33+0.133=1.463 or better 1.36 best available so no bet Bromley needs 1.25+0.125=1.375 or better 1.4 @ Coral 5pts on the 2 matches in bold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 26, 2010 Author Share Posted October 26, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Bromley drew 1-1 :spank Chasetown drew 2-2 :spank Oh I am cursed. :lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted October 28, 2010 Author Share Posted October 28, 2010 Re: Fleet's Football 2010/11 MK II Yes it's thursday. Well Friday now. No, I haven't forgotten, or not bothered. Just a couple of hectic days, job-hunting wise. I shall hopefully have it up before tomorrow evening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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