Cricket: Champions League Twenty20

[kingrafa]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20

Just 8.1 overs for Aaron Finch to hit a gigantic 6 which was the 2nd Victoria 6 and enough to win that bet. +4.40 from that and +2.24 overall now.

Thanks for the tip Kev... decided to follow you on that one :cheers

[kevshat]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 One for tomorrow. Can't copy the odds in here but it's 8/13 Mumbai vs 11/8 South Australia. Haven't completely ruled out backing SA yet but there's a huge gamble going on Mumbai so I'll let that run for now. 4pts Mumbai Most 6's Evs Stan James This is a bet which has served me well in recent days so I'll take it again. I'll always be happy to take evens on any side where Kieron Pollard is wielding the willow for me. Add to that the hitting talent Mumbai have in Dhawan, Duminy, Sathish and Harbhajan not to mention the possibility, and a strong one at that, of Dwayne Bravo coming into the side if for nothing else than to provide a bit of zip in the field. Those 5 along with Polland equates to a lot of hitting. It's only really Tendulkar who doesn't hit in this Mumbai lineup but it's not beyond the realms that Shaun Tait gets one through him early doors. South Australia aren't a huge hitting team. Their captain hit 5 of his team's 6 6's against the Lions. The main batsman for the Redbacks is Callum Ferguson but he isn't a big hitter of 6's, he deals in dabs and flicks. Tait will be hard to get away but the rest of the Redback attack looks ok to get after. Contrast that to Malinga, Zaheer Khan's yorkers, Harbhajan's off breaks and this is an attack which is a lot harder to score off. Everything looks right for the Indians to hit more 6's than the Redbacks in this one.

[PerryPFC]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20

One for tomorrow. Can't copy the odds in here but it's 8/13 Mumbai vs 11/8 South Australia. Haven't completely ruled out backing SA yet but there's a huge gamble going on Mumbai so I'll let that run for now. 4pts Mumbai Most 6's Evs Stan James This is a bet which has served me well in recent days so I'll take it again. I'll always be happy to take evens on any side where Kieron Pollard is wielding the willow for me. Add to that the hitting talent Mumbai have in Dhawan, Duminy, Sathish and Harbhajan not to mention the possibility, and a strong one at that, of Dwayne Bravo coming into the side if for nothing else than to provide a bit of zip in the field. Those 5 along with Polland equates to a lot of hitting. It's only really Tendulkar who doesn't hit in this Mumbai lineup but it's not beyond the realms that Shaun Tait gets one through him early doors. South Australia aren't a huge hitting team. Their captain hit 5 of his team's 6 6's against the Lions. The main batsman for the Redbacks is Callum Ferguson but he isn't a big hitter of 6's, he deals in dabs and flicks. Tait will be hard to get away but the rest of the Redback attack looks ok to get after. Contrast that to Malinga, Zaheer Khan's yorkers, Harbhajan's off breaks and this is an attack which is a lot harder to score off. Everything looks right for the Indians to hit more 6's than the Redbacks in this one.

For anyone that has an account with them.... Bodog go 11/10 on the same bet :ok

[kevshat]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 That got a bit hairy by the end but Mumbai won the 6's 10-9 to bring that bet home. +6.24 now ahead of a double header tomorrow.

[PerryPFC]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20

That got a bit hairy by the end but Mumbai won the 6's 10-9 to bring that bet home. +6.24 now ahead of a double header tomorrow.

Your telling me! Phew!

[play2win]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 Yeah got pretty close in the end, but looked safe all the way. What a game ! The market just did not want to accept the wickets in hand factor, which in the end made all the difference. They all have muscles and do golf swings. Wickets in hand are gold. Great tipping again KEVSHAT. Keep it rolling. Punterslounge has all but changed my betting outcomes :) learnt a lot fo control and selective betting. Also the TENNIS forum is doing wonders for someone like me, who not so long ago thought its impossible to win and call tennis games. And i still think u cant call WTA ! Nothing proves this point den last year clijsters-serena game. Lost a million in that i think :) 6-0 0-6 first two sets ! and they were the best 2 players in the tournament. Neways.... sorry for off topic :)

[kevshat]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 Ta mate. PL's done the same for me and I'm sure many others which has made it the best betting forum around. I've come on so much in the 5 years I've been on here thanks to help from many people on this site.

[kevshat]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20

Wednesday 15 September 2010	Home	Away	BPP
	Central Districts Stags v Victoria (12:30 BST)	4.8	1.3	97.76 %
	Chennai Super Kings v Wayamba (16:30 BST)	1.51	2.87	101.01 %

[PerryPFC]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20

Ta mate. PL's done the same for me and I'm sure many others which has made it the best betting forum around. I've come on so much in the 5 years I've been on here thanks to help from many people on this site.

Exactly the same. :welcome to the PL appreciation society!

[Spooner]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 Central Districts v Victoria - 2.5pts Central Districts @ 7/2 Boylesports Both sides looking for their first win, of course on paper Victoria have the better side but it doesn't work quite like that. Both sides will have to improve to win the match let's not forget that, Victoria were nothing special in their opener. The side from New Zealand actually done ok with the ball in the 1st match but it was their batting that let them down, if they can keep it tight with the ball and get their batsmen in better nick, then they could make this price looks silly. At the prices, I think they're worth a small play.

[kevshat]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 2 for me in this 1st match. Looks a mismatch in truth and I think it may well turn out to be that way. We've got the best or at least the most consistent twenty20 side in the world who should come on for the run out against a weak side missing it's 2 best and 2 massive players in Oram and Taylor. I'm no 1/4 backer in any format and I looked at the handicap which has a line I'm willing to take but not at 1.60. So I'm hitting the specials. 4pts Victoria vs Central Districts - 9 or less wides 8/11 Sportingbet I'm pretty happy to take this bet at this line. Between them in their opening match we saw 5 wides and both played at night where the dew factor could've been in play but this one is a day game so we don't need to worry about dew or anything like that. Both sides will play the short ball pretty well so there's little point in banging in a wide to force the batsmen back either. One thing we know from Kiwi sides is that they will be disciplined so I don't expect any extras from them. Victoria could be more expensive with the extras as they have some real pace in their attack but this CD side showed as a batting force and the top level bowlers they are pretty much non existant. The likes of Nannes, Siddle who is due to come in for this game, and McKay have been around long enough to keep the ball straight on a wicket which isn't going to offer lavishes of sideways movement or swing. Central Districts batsmen didn't look like they were going to come down the wicket and change the bowlers plans so I think this will be a comfortable 20 overs bowling wise for the Bushrangers. 9 wides is quite a few really and with 2 decent keepers preventing the dreaded 5 wides I think we'll stay under this total. 3pts A.McDonald's Performance Pts - 38&Over 5/6 Bet365 Points are scored as follows: 1pt per run, 10pts per catch & 20pts per wicket. Andrew McDonald had a cracking 1st game even if his team mates didn't. He took 2-22 from his 4 overs and them smashed 19 with the bat in Victoria's defeat to the Warriors on Monday. I think his game is suited perfectly to these wickets. His medium pace blockholers are hard to get away but takes wickets and then his aggressive batting can clear any ropes going around in SA. He'll also field relatively close to the bat so catches can't be ruled out. 38 is a fairly high line in twenty20 cricket but with a sufficient amount of batting time and 1 wicket we'll have this covered. He took 2fer in the 1st game and a repeat can't be ruled out here against a much weak batting side. There's enough there for McDonald to cover this one.

[play2win]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 WIll follow u on the player performance bet. Dont have an account with sportingbet. Though the 38 line looks a lil big. But who said i was even going to use my head. haha Good Luck to all who follow !

[kevshat]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 Bit unlucky with both mine from the 1st game. Wides was scuppered by a 5 wides where even 1 wide would've been ok and McDonald was there but couldn't get the strike to score enough runs. 2 for me in the 2nd game. 3pts Wayamba to beat Chennai Super Kings 15/8 Boylesports I was fairly impressed with Wayamba in the 1st game. Their opening couple of overs with the bat was a shambles but they recovered well. Whenever you lose Mahela Jayawardene in the opening over you are in trouble but they didn't let that bother them. It's unlikely Mahela's going to fall in the 1st over too often so that bodes well here. It's with the ball that I liked Wayamba though. The conditions never suited their quicks but they should go better here under lights while the spinners are very tight and very hard to get away. Chennai walloped the Central District Stags in their 1st game but I don't see that as much of an achievement long term. Warriors have looked good in their 2 matches so Wayamba's defeat wasn't that bad a one. With the likes of Perera and Kulatunga can set up a score for Mendis and Herath to defend. Add in that Wayamba should be best qualified of all these to play Murali and I think the Sri Lankan side can see off the IPL champions here. 3pts Over 37.5 Boundaries 5/6 William Hill Centurion is a cracking place for boundaries. I did look at the 6's bet originally but with the likes of Jayawardene and Badrinath key batsmen on show I think I'd rather go with this one. Any 6's are of course advantagous but I think Mahela and Badri both score better on the ground. Boundaries here are really short and the wicket is a good one. The outfield is lightning and we've got a couple of sides packed with attacking batsmen. I think all in all that will lead to 38 boundaries and I prefer that more than I do the 6's overall so I'll take this in the 2nd game of the day.

[Westy]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 Unlucky with the McDonald bet, was on it myself but unfortunately didn't pick up a wicket which would have made life much easier. Was looking to take Doug Bollinger in the player performances for the next match but have missed that market. Also looked at backing Chennai on the sixes count but realised Wayamba hit 9 in their last game so that doesn't seem the right play. All in all looks a fairly even contest so I'll wait to have my first involvement on this thread.

[PerryPFC]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 Having borrowed all the families fingers... I reckon the 4 the ball before the 9 th wicket brought up the 38th boundary?!? Phew!

[kevshat]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20

Thursday 16 September 2010	Home	Away	BPP
	Guyana v Mumbai Indians (16:30 BST)	10.5	1.12	98.41 %

[kevshat]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 Small 6's bet for me. Willing to put faith in Guyana not being as bad as they looked the other night. I'm happy to give them the benefit of the doubt and say Bangalore were just too good. 3pts Guyana vs Mumbai - Over 9.5 6's 5/6 Paddy Power I'm going to take this bet purely because I think Guyana will be more competitive in this match. They'll know what the need to do better and quite frankly Mumbai have been a shambles in this tournament so far. When Mumbai played here against the Redbacks the other night there was 19 6's which is double what we need here. Bangalore's bowling attack ripped out the Guyana top order but when you look at it, the top order for Guyana in Dowlin, Chattergoon, Sarwan and Deonarine are all international cricketers so in theory they should be able to put runs on the board. Add in the likes of Foo and Crandon who come with big hitting reputations and I believe this lot can contribute to a 6's line. As we saw the other night, if Mumbai bat 1st this total will be as good as covered in the 1st innings. The likes of Tiwary, Duminy, Bravo and Pollard will send this Guyana attack to the slaughter. The boundaries here are small and as we've seen in the past, most notably Yuvraj's 6 6's off Broad, this is a ground renowned for big hitting. 9.5 looks a lot of 6's but I genuinely feel Guyana will compete here and bearing in mind Chennai vs Central Districts yielded 9 6's with the latter making only 94 (which had 4 6's in it) then given a better scoring couple of innings we'll be on course to get the overs in.

[Westy]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20

Well the odds for today's game suggest that there can only be one winner and on paper that should be the case however I can't help but feel that the underdogs are worth backing in this format especially at today's price. 

1.5pts - Guyana to beat Mumbai - 10/1 (Victor Chandler)

Guyana were woeful in their opening game however they have a few decent players who if they turn it on can make a match of this one. All it takes is a innings of substance from Sarwan or Chatergoon for Guyana to become competitive. Factor in Mumbai's poor showings having lost two on the bounce so you'd expect their confidence to be a little low. In the past we have seen underdogs such as Zimbabwe defeat the mighty Australia as well as quite a few other shocks in the T20 format so given the nature of this game I'm happy to take a little punt on Guyana taking the scalp of Mumbai in this one.

[CzechPunter]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20

Small 6's bet for me. Willing to put faith in Guyana not being as bad as they looked the other night. I'm happy to give them the benefit of the doubt and say Bangalore were just too good. 3pts Guyana vs Mumbai - Over 9.5 6's 5/6 Paddy Power

Well, you don't even need Guyana to bat. What a performance by Pollard :eek

[HUTHI]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20

Small 6's bet for me. Willing to put faith in Guyana not being as bad as they looked the other night. I'm happy to give them the benefit of the doubt and say Bangalore were just too good. 3pts Guyana vs Mumbai - Over 9.5 6's 5/6 Paddy Power I'm going to take this bet purely because I think Guyana will be more competitive in this match. They'll know what the need to do better and quite frankly Mumbai have been a shambles in this tournament so far. When Mumbai played here against the Redbacks the other night there was 19 6's which is double what we need here. Bangalore's bowling attack ripped out the Guyana top order but when you look at it, the top order for Guyana in Dowlin, Chattergoon, Sarwan and Deonarine are all international cricketers so in theory they should be able to put runs on the board. Add in the likes of Foo and Crandon who come with big hitting reputations and I believe this lot can contribute to a 6's line. As we saw the other night, if Mumbai bat 1st this total will be as good as covered in the 1st innings. The likes of Tiwary, Duminy, Bravo and Pollard will send this Guyana attack to the slaughter. The boundaries here are small and as we've seen in the past, most notably Yuvraj's 6 6's off Broad, this is a ground renowned for big hitting. 9.5 looks a lot of 6's but I genuinely feel Guyana will compete here and bearing in mind Chennai vs Central Districts yielded 9 6's with the latter making only 94 (which had 4 6's in it) then given a better scoring couple of innings we'll be on course to get the overs in.

:rollinKIERON POLLARD

[dave51]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 Great call Kev! 10 6's in the first innings - 9 from Pollard :clap

[kevshat]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 Ta all. Nice when a plan comes together ;).

Friday 17 September 2010	Home	Away	BPP
	Royal Challengers Bangalore v South Australia (16:30 BST)	1.57	2.69	100.81 %

[kevshat]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 Just the one for me tomorrow. Might be worth waiting until tomorrow as not everyone has priced up so a lower line or higher price might come about. I'm at The Oval tomorrow so I'll take this now. 4pts 11 or more 6's 5/6 Sportingbet I'm more than happy to take this line between these two sides who are very aggressive with their batting. Last time the Redbacks played here they were involved in a match which contained 19 6's. Other games here at Kingsmead have had 9 in a match where one side only scored 94 and the other 13 6's. The boundaries here are short and the ball carries a long long way. With the likes of White, Uthappa, Taylor, Kohli, Harris and Klinger we've more than enough batting to cope with this. The danger to the bet I guess is that this Bangalore attack strangle the life out of the Redbacks but Harris and Klinger dealt with Malinga and Zaheer last time out so they should be fine. If Bangalore bat 1st they could have this total on their own but between both sets of players I'm happy that we'll see at least 11 6's.

[Only the Brave]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 Early game appears to be one-sided on paper. Warriors have both a better batting lineup, and a better bowling attack than the Stags. However, no team should ever be backed at 1/3 before the off in any t20 game - let alone in the champions league. Only one bet for me, more so due to the value in the odds than anything else. Central District Stags to score the most 6s @ 7/4. Warriors are flying right now having won 2 from 2 in the competition so far. Both wins have come at Port Elizabeth, which is also the venue for today's game against the Stags. In the first game against Wayamba, the Warriors scored 2 sixes in chasing 153. Both were scored by Boucher towards the end of the chase. In their 2nd game here, the Warriors hit only 1 six on their way to setting a total of 158. What's more interesting however is the number of sixes that they have conceded, despite winning both games. In the 2nd game against Victoria they conceded 4 sixes, and in the first game against Wayamba they gave up a massive 9 sixes. Therefore in both games played at this ground, despite winning both matches, the Warriors have lost the 6's bet on both occasions. Central District Stags' stats are harder to compare, as they have been at different venues. In their last game against a strong Victoria side they scored 165, amassing 6 sixes along the way. They only conceded 4, which is fairly impressive considering that they lost the game and that the Victoria team contains some big hitters. Against Chennai they conceded 5 sixes - not bad when you consider that Chennai are arguably the best 6 hitting team in the tournament on paper (Hayden, Raina, Dhoni, Morkel). In their reply to chasing 151, the Stags were bowled out for a poor 94. However even with such a low total, they still managed to hit 4 sixes despite their top order failing. Overall it can be seen that the Stags are definitely a runner in this market. They may end up struggling against the Warriors/finding the PE pitch a tough one, but the stats and the big odds suggest that this is definitely a value play.

[kevshat]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 2 for me in the 2nd game. Quite like Victoria's price purely because I'm not sure what Chennai have beaten but I'm on the Bushrangers outright so I'll just play these two. 3pts Chennai vs Victoria - 10 or more 6's 6/5 Sportingbet I'm a little bit priced in here but having just watched the Central Stags wallop 6 6's against a decent Warriors bowling attack I think this is worth the risk. Both these sides have big hitters in their ranks. 1-7 go big for the Super Kings and probably a couple further down as well. Victoria have big hitters themselves in the likes of Hussey, Finch and McDonald. Hodge and Quiney are no mugs either. The danger to the bet is Chennai's bowling attack but Wayamba smoked a few 6's the other night and unlike in that game, the CSK bowlers can't push the Bushranger batsmen back because that's their bread and butter. Victoria's men will also be used to facing Dougie Bollinger. So it could all be down to Murali but the likes of Hussey and Hodge have played him well down the years. The Stags hit 6 6's off this Victoria bowling attack so with much more powerful hitters you'd expect Chennai to hit a few as well. On this ground 10 isn't that many so I'll take the 6/5 on offer here. 1pt ew A.Morkel Top Chennai Batsman 12/1 Coral (1/5 1,2,3) This Victoria bowling attack have the capabilities to take out batsmen in this Chennai side to get Albie Morkel in. What I like about this bet is Victoria will go with pace which is what Morkel specialises in sending out of the ground. Hayden at the top of the innings for Chennai isn't playing too well and there's still doubts over a couple of the younger elements of the Chennai lineup. Morkel will have played here many a time and will know conditions very well. I think the Bushrangers with the likes of Siddle, Nannes and McDonald can get him in and then it's up to Albie to deliver. 12/1 on a guy who hits it like Morkel does is very big and well worth an ew punt.

[kevshat]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20

Sunday 19 September 2010	Home	Away	BPP
	Highveld Lions v Guyana (12:30 BST)	1.35	3.8	100.39 %
	Mumbai Indians v Royal Challengers Bangalore (16:30 BST)	1.83	2.24	99.19 %

[kevshat]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 6's bet came through in a cracker yesterday. 2 for me in the opener today. 3pts Guyana to beat Highveld Lions 11/4 Bet365 3pts Guyana Most 6's 2/1 Paddy Power Guyana are outsiders in this match but they ain't this big an outsider. The pressure is all on the Lions really as a win here keeps alive their quarter final hopes while a loss with Bangalore to come will make things tricky. Guyana are as good as out. A win here keeps them alive but with the Redbacks to come it's a tough ask to qualify from here. I do however feel they can leave their mark on the tournament. I thought they played well against Mumbai last time out but unfortunately for them Kieron Pollard did what only Kieron Pollard can do. They won't be coming up against a 30 ball 72 in this match that's for certain. In fact I like Guyana to hit the most 6's in this match because as I've mentioned before, the Lions main scorers in Petersen, van Jaarsveld, McKenzie and de Bruyn aren't natural big hitters. The likes of Sarwan, Dowlin, Deonarine and Foo are more natural hitters which leads me to think Guyana will win the 6's match. I've not seen a huge amount in this Lions bowling attack to worry Guyana but the Caribbean side have a couple of canny spinners who could make things tricky for the South African outfit and at 11/4 I'll take Guyana to edge this one.

[kevshat]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 Just the one for me in the 2nd match. Shame the 2nd game isn't in JoBurg as well else there would be nearer 30 6's :lol. Durban's good enough though. 3pts Mumbai vs Bangalore - 12 or more 6's 11/8 Sportingbet I'm quite happy to look at this line in a match between two huge hitting sides. Obviously we know all about Kieron Pollard but there's also the likes of Bravo, Duminy, Tiwary, Dhawan for Mumbai and Taylor, White, Uthappa, du Preez and Kohli for Bangalore. We've seen in the past how the boundaries at Kingsmead are still pretty short and with this being the only match in Durban today the wicket should be good too. Both bowling attacks have gone around the park in this tournament so that's only a minor concern despite there being some real heat in both attacks. These two produced 10 6's in the IPL semi final on a big ground in Mumbai and 13 on a similar sized ground in Bangalore so there's enough there to suggest this total is in reach at a nice price.

[Westy]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 In Play Bet 3pts - Bangalore to beat Mumbai - 11/10 (bet365) With 166 to get I feel that the much is very much in the balance however I'm favouring RCB due to the fact that chasing teams have done really well in this tournament. Bangalore bat very deep and Mumbai haven't really been at their game with the ball or in the field so happy to take Bangalore at the midway point.

[Westy]

Re: Cricket: Champions League Twenty20 Match even*