PERFECT Posted July 25, 2010 Share Posted July 25, 2010 Here i will back any team with odd falling down, could be the home or the away team. Sometimes i will wait since 5-10 minutes before the game to select a bet, due to the moving lines. The odds will be between 1.40 and 2.00 approximately. Starting bank 1000 units, the stake 10% of current bank, i bet with real money on Pinnacle book. Nothing else to say, let’s go: - LASK Linz - Austria Wien stake 100 @ 1.81 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted July 25, 2010 Author Share Posted July 25, 2010 Re: Dropping odds - Molde - Start Kristiansand stake 100 @ 1.68 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted July 25, 2010 Author Share Posted July 25, 2010 Re: Dropping odds - Santos - Sao Paulo stake 100 @ 1.66 - UMF Selfoss - KR Reykjavik stake 100 @ 1.61 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BK92 Posted July 25, 2010 Share Posted July 25, 2010 Re: Dropping odds +108 units :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted July 30, 2010 Author Share Posted July 30, 2010 Re: Dropping odds +108 units :ok Lucky start :ok - LASK Linz - Austria Wien 3 - 4 - Molde - Start Kristiansand 1 - 2 - Santos - Sao Paulo 1 - 0 - UMF Selfoss - KR Reykjavik 0 - 3 Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 1108 Total bets: 4 Winning bets: 3 Strike rate: 75% R.o.i.: 27.0% - Standard Liege - Zulte-Waregem stake 110 @ 1.69 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted July 30, 2010 Author Share Posted July 30, 2010 Re: Dropping odds - Standard Liege - Zulte-Waregem 1 - 1 Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 998 Total bets: 5 Winning bets: 3 Strike rate: 60% R.o.i.: -0.3% - Vila Nova (GO) - Coritiba (PR) stake 99 @ 1.72 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted July 31, 2010 Share Posted July 31, 2010 Re: Dropping odds I tried something like this once, but I couldn't decide on the criteria. I did it for totals and sides...totals were especially good; if the odds went from O2.5 1.7 to O3 2.1, I jumped on the U3, for example. The problem was the odds were poor, but U3 is pretty much always a good bet. Cheers, and good luck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted July 31, 2010 Author Share Posted July 31, 2010 Re: Dropping odds I tried something like this once' date=' but I couldn't decide on the criteria. I did it for totals and sides...totals were especially good; if the odds went from O2.5 1.7 to O3 2.1, I jumped on the U3, for example. The problem was the odds were poor, but U3 is pretty much always a good bet. Cheers, and good luck[/quote'] Never tried this with U/O , thanks alltheth. - Vila Nova (GO) - Coritiba (PR) 0 - 1 Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 1069 Total bets: 6 Winning bets: 4 Strike rate: 66.6% R.o.i.: 13.5% - Wohlen - FC Lugano stake 106 @ 1.81 - Zurich - Sion stake 106 @ 1.60 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted August 1, 2010 Author Share Posted August 1, 2010 Re: Dropping odds - Wohlen - FC Lugano 0 - 3 - Zurich - Sion 1 - 1 Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 1049 Total bets: 8 Winning bets: 5 Strike rate: 62.5% R.o.i.: 5.9% - Genk - Germinal Beerschot stake 104 @ 1.71 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted August 2, 2010 Share Posted August 2, 2010 Re: Dropping odds I think you'll find that your odds are the same whether the closing line is 2.00-2.2 or 1.4-1.6. Your return will be better if you just concentrate on the juicy odds. Are you only playing them when they drop a certain amount (say 0.2)? Another way would be to bet against any team that is called a "banker" on PL. Or worse, "I can't see any other result than..." :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted August 2, 2010 Author Share Posted August 2, 2010 Re: Dropping odds I think you'll find that your odds are the same whether the closing line is 2.00-2.2 or 1.4-1.6. Your return will be better if you just concentrate on the juicy odds. Are you only playing them when they drop a certain amount (say 0.2)? Another way would be to bet against any team that is called a "banker" on PL. Or worse, "I can't see any other result than..." :loon I look at how much it drops and “where†it drops. Thanks for the advice. - Genk - Germinal Beerschot 2 - 1 stake 104 @ 1.71 Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 1123 Total bets: 9 Winning bets: 6 Strike rate: 66.6% R.o.i.: 15.1% - Valerenga - Start Kristiansand stake 112 @ 1.45 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bill_Slayer Posted August 3, 2010 Share Posted August 3, 2010 Re: Dropping odds Hey... Perfect how do you pick the matches?Are you tracking any sites?Thanks and good luck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted August 3, 2010 Author Share Posted August 3, 2010 Re: Dropping odds Hey... Perfect how do you pick the matches?Are you tracking any sites?Thanks and good luck I use betexplorer.com to pick my bets. - Valerenga - Start Kristiansand 8 - 1 Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 1173 Total bets: 10 Winning bets: 7 Strike rate: 70.0% R.o.i.: 16.7% - Kickers Offenbach - Bayern Munich (Am) stake 117 @ 1.60 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted August 4, 2010 Author Share Posted August 4, 2010 Re: Dropping odds - Kickers Offenbach - Bayern Munich (Am) 4 - 1 Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 1243 Total bets: 11 Winning bets: 8 Strike rate: 72.7% R.o.i.: 21.0% - Breidablik - Valur stake 124 @ 1.71 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BK92 Posted August 5, 2010 Share Posted August 5, 2010 Re: Dropping odds Breidablik 5-0 Valur :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bill_Slayer Posted August 5, 2010 Share Posted August 5, 2010 Re: Dropping odds I look at how much it drops and “where†it drops. Thanks for the advice. What do you mean ''where'' it drops?What bookie specifically? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted August 6, 2010 Author Share Posted August 6, 2010 Re: Dropping odds - Breidablik - Valur 5 - 0 Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 1331 Total bets: 12 Winning bets: 9 Strike rate: 75.0% R.o.i.: 25.9% - Zagreb - ZNK Osijek stake 133 @ 1.66 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted August 6, 2010 Author Share Posted August 6, 2010 Re: Dropping odds - Cork City - Wexford Youths stake 133 @ 1.61 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted August 7, 2010 Author Share Posted August 7, 2010 Re: Dropping odds - Zagreb - ZNK Osijek 0 - 0 - Cork City - Wexford Youths 1 - 0 Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 1279 Total bets: 14 Winning bets: 10 Strike rate: 71.4% R.o.i.: 19.6% - Reading - Scunthorpe United stake 127 @ 1.45 - Greenock Morton - Stirling Albion stake 127 @ 1.65 - Peterborough United - Bristol Rovers stake 127 @ 1.63 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted August 7, 2010 Author Share Posted August 7, 2010 Re: Dropping odds - N.E.C. Nijmegen - VVV Venlo stake 127 @ 1.85 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted August 7, 2010 Author Share Posted August 7, 2010 Re: Dropping odds - De Graafschap - SBV Excelsior stake 127 @ 1.66 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted August 8, 2010 Author Share Posted August 8, 2010 Re: Dropping odds - Reading - Scunthorpe United 1 - 2 - Greenock Morton - Stirling Albion 0 - 0 - Peterborough United - Bristol Rovers 3 - 0 - N.E.C. Nijmegen - VVV Venlo 1 - 0 - De Graafschap - SBV Excelsior 3 - 0 Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 1297 Total bets: 19 Winning bets: 13 Strike rate: 68.4% R.o.i.: 14.4% - Honka - Jaro stake 129 @ 1.72 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted August 8, 2010 Author Share Posted August 8, 2010 Re: Dropping odds - Strommen - Fredrikstad stake 129 @ 1.65 - Follo - Bodo Glimt stake 129 @ 1.80 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted August 8, 2010 Author Share Posted August 8, 2010 Re: Dropping odds - Vasco da Gama(RJ) - Vitoria Salvador stake 129 @ 1.61 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
twinny Posted August 10, 2010 Share Posted August 10, 2010 Re: Dropping odds on betexplorer now PERFECT,cant find were it has the moving prices help please:) as have just come accross this thread and the idea looks good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted August 13, 2010 Author Share Posted August 13, 2010 Re: Dropping odds on betexplorer now PERFECT' date='cant find were it has the moving prices help please:) as have just come accross this thread and the idea looks good[/quote'] On Betexplorer you have to click on the odd to see the movements, you can give a look at the other site http://www.oddsportal.com/matches/ click on the game and move the cursor on the odd for the archive odds. - Honka - Jaro 3 - 1 - Strommen - Fredrikstad 3 - 2 - Follo - Bodo Glimt 1 - 1 - Vasco da Gama(RJ) - Vitoria Salvador 1 - 0 Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 1211 Total bets: 23 Winning bets: 15 Strike rate: 65.2% R.o.i.: 8.2% Sao Caetano (SP) - Icasa(CE) stake 121 @ 1.47 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted August 14, 2010 Author Share Posted August 14, 2010 Re: Dropping odds - Sao Caetano (SP) - Icasa(CE) 2 - 1 Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 1268 Total bets: 24 Winning bets: 16 Strike rate: 66.6% R.o.i.: 9.9% - Zenit St.Petersburg - Dinamo Moscow stake 126 @ 1.55 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted August 14, 2010 Author Share Posted August 14, 2010 Re: Dropping odds - Oxford United - Bury stake 126 @ 1.87 - Histon - Barrow stake 126 @ 1.90 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted August 14, 2010 Author Share Posted August 14, 2010 Re: Dropping odds - Winterthur - Servette stake 126 @ 2.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted August 15, 2010 Author Share Posted August 15, 2010 Re: Dropping odds - Zenit St.Petersburg - Dinamo Moscow 1 -1 - Oxford United - Bury 1 - 2 - Histon - Barrow 3 - 1 - Winterthur - Servette 3 - 1 Starting bank: 1000 Current bank: 764 Total bets: 28 Winning bets: 16 Strike rate: 57.1% R.o.i.: -7.3% Unexpected results, it’s time to change something in the strategy. - Gremio Prudente - Vasco da Gama(RJ) hand. 0/+0.5 stake 76 @ 1.637 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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