dannkez2407 Posted January 19, 2010 Author Share Posted January 19, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 32 selections, 38.13% yield Yeh, multiples are when there is more than one selection on the same day. i back singles on all games and multiples as below for example - 2 selections - 1 double 3 selections - 4 doubles, 1 treble 4 selections - 6 doubles, 4 trebles and so on Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 19, 2010 Author Share Posted January 19, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 32 selections, 38.13% yield results from tonight Nimes - win @ 1.94 - :lol +9.4 Blackpool - win @ 1.94 - :@ -10 Bury - win @ 2.02 - :lol +10.2 total stake = 350 total profit = +131.6 total yield = 37.6% strike rate = 25/35 = 71.43% double and treble odds are 1.83, 1.9, 1.95 respectively MULTIPLES Doubles total stake = 60 total profit = +5.79 total yield = 9.65% strike rate = 2/6 = 33.33% Trebles total stake = 20 total profit = -20 total yield = -100% strike rate = 0/2 = 0% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 20, 2010 Author Share Posted January 20, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 32 selections, 38.13% yield salamanca - win @ 2.0 - :@ -10 total stake = 360 total profit = +121.6 total yield = 33.78% strike rate = 25/36 = 69.44% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 20, 2010 Author Share Posted January 20, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 32 selections, 38.13% yield odd one that one, 4 sendings off, 3 in 2 minutes.......:eyes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 21, 2010 Author Share Posted January 21, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 36 selections, 33.78% yield saturdays selections Morecambe - win @ 1.98 Grosseto - win @ 2.08 sassuolo - win @ 2.01 heracles - win @ 1.89 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HampshireIan Posted January 21, 2010 Share Posted January 21, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 36 selections, 33.78% yield saturdays selections Morecambe - win @ 1.98 Grosseto - win @ 2.08 sassuolo - win @ 2.01 heracles - win @ 1.89 :hope This will be fun... just chucked them all in a Lucky 15 :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 21, 2010 Author Share Posted January 21, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 36 selections, 33.78% yield lol mine will be a lucky 14, i wont do the four fold. Got to add the odds for the multiples yet. Will do this later Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 21, 2010 Author Share Posted January 21, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 36 selections, 33.78% yield saturdays selections Morecambe - win @ 1.98 Grosseto - win @ 2.08 sassuolo - win @ 2.01 heracles - win @ 1.89 :hope multiple odds respectively 1.90, 1.95. 2.00, 1.80 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 22, 2010 Author Share Posted January 22, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 36 selections, 33.78% yield selections for sunday gramenet kayserispor apollon limass cordoba just these for now, i still have more matches to go through and ascertain best odds Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 22, 2010 Author Share Posted January 22, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 36 selections, 33.78% yield sundays selections updated with odds gramenet - win @ 1.8 unmatched kayserispor - win @ 1.87 apollon limass - win @ 1.96 cordoba - win @ 1.88 jaen - win @ 1.8 multiple odds will follow tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Razaldo9 Posted January 23, 2010 Share Posted January 23, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 36 selections, 33.78% yield I put them in a four fold. :hope for Heracles. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MedimeX Posted January 23, 2010 Share Posted January 23, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 36 selections, 33.78% yield Well done mate:clap Heracles to come:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HampshireIan Posted January 23, 2010 Share Posted January 23, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 36 selections, 33.78% yield This will be fun... just chucked them all in a Lucky 15 :unsure Oh get the f**k in there... Dan YOU ARE THE MAN :clap Nice indeed... £57.00 pure profit for me there for a £15 bet :dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 23, 2010 Author Share Posted January 23, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 36 selections, 33.78% yield Morecambe - win @ 1.98 - :lol +9.8 Grosseto - win @ 2.08 - :lol +10.8 sassuolo - win @ 2.01 - :lol +10.1 heracles - win @ 1.89 - :@ -10 total stake = 400 total profit = +142.3 total yield = 35.58% strike rate = 28/40 = 70% MULTIPLES Doubles total stake = 120 total profit = +29.84 total yield = 24.87% strike rate = 5/12 = 41.67% Trebles total stake = 50 total profit = +14.1 total yield = 28.2% strike rate = 1/5 = 20% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 23, 2010 Author Share Posted January 23, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 36 selections, 33.78% yield Oh get the f**k in there... Dan YOU ARE THE MAN :clap Nice indeed... £57.00 pure profit for me there for a £15 bet :dude nice one matey, good day all round, including the horses, how dya manage that much profit? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 23, 2010 Author Share Posted January 23, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 40 selections, 35.58% yield for tomorrow - Gramenet matched at 1.8 and below are the multiple odds for doubles and trebles 1 Cordoba @ 1.80 2 Gramanet @ 1.72 3 Jaen @ 1.80 4 Apollon Limassol @ 1.90 5 Kayserispor @ 1.75 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Razaldo9 Posted January 23, 2010 Share Posted January 23, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 40 selections, 35.58% yield Do you calculate the percentages for this? I noticed that Betdevil picks the same games. I'm just wondering as I don't know what they use so I just made an excel sheet to calculate percentages then value. Off stats from this season, the selections seem to come up. However when I input H2H results the percentage chance decreases, hence the value changing. So basically, do you use H2H's and what weighting would you give it? e.g. this seasons stats suggest 55% HW the H2H's show 35% would you simply add them together then divide by 2 to get 40%? Or maybe weight the stats and do 55+55+35 divide by 3 to get 48.33. Thanks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HampshireIan Posted January 23, 2010 Share Posted January 23, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 36 selections, 33.78% yield nice one matey' date=' good day all round, including the horses, how dya manage that much profit?[/quote'] Dan - have I got lucky somehow and backed a different Hercules then? I have it as the Spanish side that beat Real Union 1-0 to complete wins for all four of your picks? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MedimeX Posted January 23, 2010 Share Posted January 23, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 36 selections, 33.78% yield Dan - have I got lucky somehow and backed a different Hercules then? I have it as the Spanish side that beat Real Union 1-0 to complete wins for all four of your picks? lol I almost did the same thing:lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HampshireIan Posted January 23, 2010 Share Posted January 23, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 36 selections, 33.78% yield Dan - have I got lucky somehow and backed a different Hercules then? I have it as the Spanish side that beat Real Union 1-0 to complete wins for all four of your picks? I only bloody well did that :loon Must have a touch of dyslexia in me as I read Heracles as Hercules ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 24, 2010 Author Share Posted January 24, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 40 selections, 35.58% yield lol i thought you had mate. Well done though. I actually made the same mistake when checkin the results thinkin i had all 4 until i realised Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 24, 2010 Author Share Posted January 24, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 40 selections, 35.58% yield Do you calculate the percentages for this? I noticed that Betdevil picks the same games. I'm just wondering as I don't know what they use so I just made an excel sheet to calculate percentages then value. Off stats from this season, the selections seem to come up. However when I input H2H results the percentage chance decreases, hence the value changing. So basically, do you use H2H's and what weighting would you give it? e.g. this seasons stats suggest 55% HW the H2H's show 35% would you simply add them together then divide by 2 to get 40%? Or maybe weight the stats and do 55+55+35 divide by 3 to get 48.33. Thanks. my scoring system which is pretty complex to explain is double checked against bet devil hence only generating as many selections as it does Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HampshireIan Posted January 24, 2010 Share Posted January 24, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 40 selections, 35.58% yield Hmmm... not so good today Dan. I need a Cordoba goal to get me one measly double :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 24, 2010 Author Share Posted January 24, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 40 selections, 35.58% yield yeh we were due a bad day mate, had an awful one on the horses aswell....onwards and upwards though!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 24, 2010 Author Share Posted January 24, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 40 selections, 35.58% yield gramenet - win @ 1.8 :@ -10 kayserispor - win @ 1.87:@ -10 apollon limass - win @ 1.96 :@ -10 cordoba - win @ 1.88 :@ -10 jaen - win @ 1.8 :@ -10 total stake = 450 total profit = +92.3 total yield = 20.51% strike rate = 28/45 = 62.22% and a big thump down to earth :@:wall:wall:wall:wall:wall:wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Razaldo9 Posted January 24, 2010 Share Posted January 24, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 45 selections, 20.51% yield Yeah was bad today. Hopefully a full house next time to make up for it :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 25, 2010 Author Share Posted January 25, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 45 selections, 20.51% yield monday selection maccabi haifa - win @ 2.00 tuesday selection sheff utd - win @ 1.81 :hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ofcourseitwas Posted January 25, 2010 Share Posted January 25, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 45 selections, 20.51% yield however, if you're only aiming for a 15% edge, a +20% yield is still performing above expectations right? ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 25, 2010 Author Share Posted January 25, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 45 selections, 20.51% yield most definitely mate, its been good so far, but a day like yesterday always puts a damper on things. i need to learn to shut my emotions out of a system, systems will have good and bad days, ultimately if it generates a 15-20 % yield over a year, it has achieved its goal, and with a decent staking plan, within a few years you can make your fortune :dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted January 25, 2010 Author Share Posted January 25, 2010 Re: Value in 1x2; 45 selections, 20.51% yield maccabi haifa - win @ 2.00 - :@-10 total stake = 460 total profit = +82.3 total yield = 17.89% strike rate = 28/46 = 60.87% and so the bad run continues Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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