All Big Dogs Strategy

[allthethings]

I'm sure that now that I post this, it will lose, but I will try to make the case as best I can. I started noticing that dogs win more often than you might think...and that they don't have to win very often to make money on them collectively. After some trial and error, I decided that the best strategy -- in terms of limiting the number of plays and getting the best payoff -- is to take all dogs in the major leagues at between 4.00 and 8.00. To win a week you must hit 20% (if you play 10 games, 2 winners at exactly 4.00 lets you break even). Last week Sandefjord, Mainz, ADO den Haag and GAIS were winners at between 4.70 and 6.20 out of 13 games....risked 13 units and ended the weekend with 24 (+11). If you played even the dogs above 8.00, you went 4 and about 20 last week and still broke even...I think that's too many games to play, personally, and you'll lose a whole lot of weeks before you hit an 11.00 monster. This week there are 15 plays: Falkirk - moneyline (+435)

Bochum - moneyline (+665)

Bolton - moneyline (+515)

Freiburg - moneyline (+720)

Birmingham - moneyline (+750)

Sparta Rotterdam - moneyline (+485)

Nurnberg - moneyline (+600)

Grenoble - moneyline (+425)

Nancy - moneyline (+700)

Hibernian - moneyline (+440)

Livorno - moneyline (+515)

Portsmouth - moneyline (+505)

FC Koln - moneyline (+635)

Valenciennes - moneyline (+480)

SC Heracles - moneyline (+505) These games average about 5.6. If two of them win, you're looking at a loss of a bit less than 2 units. If three of them win, you win -- I mean, I win -- about 5 units. Four wins out of 15 (close to last week's haul) would mean around +11.5 units. All I can say is :hope

[allthethings]

Re: All Big Dogs Strategy Three more for this week. Trelleborg FF - moneyline (+445)

Hammarby - moneyline (+495)

Sandefjord - moneyline (+460)

[cavenecadas]

Re: All Big Dogs Strategy Interesting ! You got already the two bets to limit the losses (Valenciennes and Freiburg) but there were a few draws with high moneyline as well. Maybe worth considering double chance in your strategy ?