IAmGooner Posted August 23, 2009 Share Posted August 23, 2009 http://www.pilotpentennis.com/ Last tournament before US Open. Try to win some money. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cramer Posted August 23, 2009 Share Posted August 23, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Sport Tennis Event Jarko Nieminen v Paul Capdeville Selection Paul Capdeville Strength 10/10 Date 23/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Expekt @ 2.05 (Back) Reasoning Nieminen form in the first part of the year was quite poor and this is his first match since end of April because of wrist injury. It's hard to know his condition coming back and with the timing he could just be looking to try it out before US Open. He plays Capdeville, and this looks like a tough match. Capdeville is a capable player, and has just won challenger tournament on hard courts. Capdeville clear favourite for me. Tip DetailSport Tennis Event Janko Tipsarevic v Fabio Fognini Selection Fabio Fognini Strength 10/10 Date 23/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Sportingbet @ 2.75 (Back) Reasoning Tipsarevic as pretty big favourite in first round of small tournament is definately not to my liking. These guys are close in the rankings, and surely betting should be closer together. Both haven't played for a few weeks, again I think making it more even. Fognini made quarter final of this event last year, and he has good win of win here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinningTipster Posted August 23, 2009 Share Posted August 23, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August 1 bet for the WTA Pilot Pen tournament: CHAKVETADZE TO D PETROVA @ 2 on Centrebet Petrova is struggling with injuries and form. The H2H is 4:0 to Chakvetadze and Chakvetadze had some better results lately. Should be a slight favorite at the odds of 2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IAmGooner Posted August 23, 2009 Author Share Posted August 23, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Really liking that Chakvetadze bet.Has a good h2h record over Petrova and has played well in this tournament before.Good price. Mayer over Istomin also looks pretty good though slightly short at 4/7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cramer Posted August 24, 2009 Share Posted August 24, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Sport Tennis Event Simone Bolelli v Christophe Rochus Selection Christophe Rochus Strength 10/10 Date 24/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 3.85 (Back) Reasoning This just looks like a pretty close match to me. They are close in the rankings, and form isn't great for either of them. Both also prefer clay, so for me it is strange to see Bolelli so short. Bolelli was looking good last year but he doesn't seem to have that form this year and is worth betting against at this price. Sport Tennis Event Mischa Zverev v Potito Starace Selection Lay Potito Starace (Lay) Strength 10/10 Date 24/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 3.15 (Lay) Reasoning Zverev lost 4 matches in a row, but he was very close last time against Mathieu and this is a great chance of a win. He reached the quarter final here last year. Starace is coming off a challenger final on clay, but he really is just a clay court player that is poor on hard. I can't see many problems for Zverev. Sport Tennis Event Andrey Golubev v Pablo Cuevas Selection Pablo Cuevas Strength 10/10 Date 24/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Expekt @ 2.05 (Back) Reasoning Cuevas did well in qualifying beating Stakhovsky and O Rochus so should come in ehre playing well. He's a clay court player but I've seen him play on hard before and he was quite effective. Golubev is a reasonable player but coming in here I think I'd make Cuevas a small favourite. Sport Tennis Event Jose Acasuso v Maximo Gonzalez Selection Maximo Gonzalez Strength 10/10 Date 24/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 3.00 (Back) Reasoning This really looks like a short prce on Acasuso to me. He's been struggling with injuries a lot and not getting many wins. This price really seems to be affected by his close match against Federer last week, but for a guy like Acasuso it is really easy to get up for a match like that (just remember the match at French Open!). I still don't believe he's in very good shape, and this match will be tough. Gonzalez doesn't have much experience on hard courts, but this bet is more about going against Acasuso. Sport Tennis Event Marcos baghdatis v Frederico Gil Selection Frederico Gil Strength 10/10 Date 24/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 2.76 (Back) Reasoning Very hard to bet on Baghdatis because you just don't know what shape he will turn up in. Especially the week before US Open he is not to be trusted I think. Gil has come through qualifying so should be motivated for this match. Baghdatis of course the better player but it doesn't always work out like that! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cramer Posted August 24, 2009 Share Posted August 24, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Sport Tennis Event Nicolas Lapentti v Rajeev Ram Selection Nicolas Lapentti Strength 10/10 Date 24/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 1.83 (Back) Reasoning Lapentti struggles to pick up results these days but seemed confident after qualifying so has good chance of a win here. Ram hasn't shown much apart from on the grass at Newport and I think he'll struggle with the match up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cramer Posted August 24, 2009 Share Posted August 24, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Sport Tennis Event Sam Querrey v Marc Gicquel Selection Marc Gicquel Strength 10/10 Date 24/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 4.30 (Back) Reasoning At this price it worthwhile getting involved in Gicquel. Querrey was in excellent form earlier in summer, but lately results are dipping, yes against good opponent but maybe confidence will be dipping. Gicquel is a tricky opponent and when confidence is up he is so tough to beat. Not winning many matches recently but he won first round and could make a surprise here. Sport Tennis Event Svetlana Kuznetsova v Zheng Jie Selection Zheng Jie Strength 10/10 Date 24/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 3.25 (Back) Reasoning Zheng I always like as an underdog opportunity as she does beat the big names. Consistency is a big problem with her play but when price is right can be excellent. Kuznetsova excellent fight in French Open, but since then form has really gone away. Tough to like her at this price against dangerous opposition. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IAmGooner Posted August 25, 2009 Author Share Posted August 25, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Dent over Kunitsyn @ 5/6 Dent trying to re-gain some form after many poor losses this year.A good straight sets win over Ljubicic in last round was good for him...served pretty well and didn't give Ljubicic a whole lot of chances.Kunitsyn coming from Cincinnatti where he lost to Davydenko.It'a a 50:50 match but happy to side with Dent here. GL! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cramer Posted August 25, 2009 Share Posted August 25, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Sport Tennis Event Nicolas Almagro v Bjorn Phau Selection Bjorn Phau Strength 10/10 Date 25/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 3.40 (Back) Reasoning I really don't like trusting Almagro at this sort of price, especially in first match of hard court tournament. He looked OK against Murray last week but could easily play bad here. Phau has been on a bad run, but got a good win over Becker and can upset the odds again! Tip DetailSport Tennis Event Jurgen Melzer v Pablo Cuevas Selection Pablo Cuevas Strength 10/10 Date 25/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 2.28 (Back) Reasoning Cuevas done well in qualifying and in first round against Golubev. This looks like another good chance to get a win. Melzer coming in first match and hasn't won too many matches on hard this summer, is worth going against. Sport Tennis Event Victor Hanescu v Janko Tipsarevic Selection Victor Hanescu Strength 10/10 Date 25/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Canbet @ 1.70 (Back) Reasoning Tipsarevic benefit from a retirement in first match and now has much tougher task in Hanescu. Hanescu very solid player and despite loss in last match against Youzhny I like his chances in this tournament. Sport Tennis Event Fernando Verdasco v Paul Capdeville Selection Paul Capdeville +5.5 games Strength 10/10 Date 25/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price William Hill @ 1.83 (Back) Reasoning Verdasco was very poor last week against Garcia-Lopez, and has accepted a late wildcard for this tournament. Clearly not a priority for player like Verdasco chance to oppose. Capdeville in good form and is a tricky player, he can keep this close. Sport Tennis Event Phillip Petzschner v Frederico Gil Selection Frederico Gil Strength 10/10 Date 25/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Ladbrokes @ 2.50 (Back) Reasoning I like backing Gil here, he's on a roll and good chance of win. At top level I think he's pretty close to Petzschner and after a poor few months he needs good tournament at this level. Petzschner has been playing some close matches and is a reasonable player, but think this means more to Gil so looks a good price. Sport Tennis Event Fabrice Santoro v Potito Starace Selection Potito Starace Strength 10/10 Date 25/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 2.28 (Back) Reasoning Tough to understand the shape Santoro will turn up in, sometimes he seems really up for a tournament and other times not. Maybe looking to one more run at a grand slam after not playing much this summer I can't back him here. Starace is really not a hard court player, but he was pretty solid against Zverev yesterday and is worth a go. Sport Tennis Event Jeremy Chardy v Florent Serra Selection Florent Serra Strength 10/10 Date 25/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Skybet @ 3.75 (Back) Reasoning No love for Serra? He looks a very big price to me. He's a good player when he gets some confidence, and after a bad run he was solid enough against Darcis. Chardy is a good player, but he is not consistant enough in my opinion to be this sort of price against Serra. Sport Tennis Event Tommy Robredo v Jose Acasuso Selection Jose Acasuso Strength 10/10 Date 25/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Coral @ 2.50 (Back) Reasoning This looks like a big price on Acasuso. In the head 2 head he does OK, especially on hard courts. He dropped a set to Gonzalez yesterday but otherwise was comfortable. Robredo is in very poor form this summer and is worth going against. Sport Tennis Event Andreas Seppi v Yen-Hsun Lu Selection Andreas Seppi Strength 10/10 Date 25/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 1.68 (Back) Reasoning Seppi has been playing well lately, and looks a reasonable price here. Lu has been on a poor run, was easy against Garcia-Lopez but that looks like a poor effort from the Spaniard. I think this price is OK on Seppi. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cramer Posted August 25, 2009 Share Posted August 25, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Sport Tennis Event Amelie Mauresmo v Alona Bondarenko Selection Alona Bondarenko Strength 10/10 Date 25/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 2.44 (Back) Reasoning This just seems like a very close match. Mauresmo has played very little over the summer and is difficult to judge. Also big question on her motivation in small event against tough opponent. Bondarenko has been playing OK and has good defense that can work well against Mauresmo. Head to head is 2-0 to Bondarenko. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cramer Posted August 25, 2009 Share Posted August 25, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August One more for luck.... Sport Tennis Event Leonardo Mayer v Oliver Rochus Selection Olivier Rochus Strength 10/10 Date 25/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Expekt @ 2.40 (Back) Reasoning Thi seems like a reasonable opportunity. I've said before how I like Mayer, but now I'm not so sure. I think he's got over rated quite quickly and now the value is going against. Rochus when serving OK is a very solid player and is the type that can cause Mayer a lot of problems. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cramer Posted August 25, 2009 Share Posted August 25, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Tip DetailSport Tennis Event Taylor Dent v Igor Kunitsyn Selection Under 23.5 games Strength 10/10 Date 25/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price William Hill @ 1.83 (Back) Reasoning Very tough match to call. Kunitsyn good last week, but Dent good against Ljubicic first match here. But I like this angle, as both players are capable of putting in bad performance. Especially if losing first set, good chance of fading away. 23.5 is too high, I thought for this match would go 21.5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IAmGooner Posted August 25, 2009 Author Share Posted August 25, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Dent over Kunitsyn @ 5/6 Dent trying to re-gain some form after many poor losses this year.A good straight sets win over Ljubicic in last round was good for him...served pretty well and didn't give Ljubicic a whole lot of chances.Kunitsyn coming from Cincinnatti where he lost to Davydenko.It'a a 50:50 match but happy to side with Dent here. GL! LOSS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cramer Posted August 26, 2009 Share Posted August 26, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Sport Tennis Event Igor Andreev v Frederico Gil Selection Lay Frederico Gil (Lay) Strength 10/10 Date 26/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 3.60 (Lay) Reasoning Cannot see any problems for Andreev in this match. He was good in first match and has solid record in this tournament making quarter final 3 times. Gil has had some hard times through qualifying and tough match yesterday. I just see Andreev having too much game and should take this comfortably.Sport Tennis Event Victor Hanescu v Jurgen Melzer Selection Jurgen Melzer Strength 10/10 Date 26/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 2.02 (Back) Reasoning Melzer was favourite in this match up a few weeks ago on slow courts and now outsider after loss. But I think great chance here where conditions more likely to suit. Hanescu had tough match yesterday where he really struggled so oppose him today. Sport Tennis Event Micolay Davydenko v Fabrice Santoro Selection Under 20.5 games Strength 10/10 Date 26/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price William Hill @ 1.83 (Back) Reasoning Under 20.5 seems like a good opportunity. Davydenko dominate this match up and head to head very convincing. Cannot see Santoro having success in this match up, but in case Davydenko tanks then under still ahs a chance! Handicap is 4.5 games, so this under also includes 6-4 6-4 so seems like excellent opportunity. Sport Tennis Event Svetlana Kuznetsova v Yanina Wickmayer Selection Yanina Wickmayer +4.5 games Strength 10/10 Date 26/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price William Hill @ 1.83 (Back) Reasoning Kuznetsova hasn't been playing well this summer, had a match already so surely now focus on the slam. Wickmayer is a good player and she can at least keep this match close. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cramer Posted August 26, 2009 Share Posted August 26, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Should have gone for Davydenko -4.5:sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ReasonableGuy Posted August 26, 2009 Share Posted August 26, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Event Querrey - Phau Selection Phau Strength 10/10 Date 26/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 4.84 (Back) Reasoning Bjorn Phau defeated Sam Querrey in their only meeting. Interesting is that it was last year and on hard court. In fact Hard Courts are Benjamin Phau's specialties. Querrey have done some surprises before this too. He lost to Petzschner and he was defeated in that final by Ginepri (very poor player at the moment). So I can say that he has got a serious problem with consistency. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinningTipster Posted August 27, 2009 Share Posted August 27, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Hi guys, 1 pick for New Haven WTA tournament: WOZNIACKI TO D RAZZANO @ 1.42 on pinnaclesports Wozniacki had some poor results over the past month but she looked much better in both of her matches this week. Wozniacki is a much more consistent player from the baseline than Razzano and that's why she has 3:0 H2H lead with all three matches from 2009 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cramer Posted August 27, 2009 Share Posted August 27, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Sport Tennis Event Igor Andreev v Leonardo Mayer Selection Leonardo Mayer Strength 10/10 Date 27/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 2.56 (Back) Reasoning This looks like a good price on Mayer. He's on a roll this week with 3 wins and all sets comfortable. Andreev, good player, but think he wins have problems today. He lost in quarter final of New Haven 3 times, I think make it 4! Sport Tennis Event Nicolay Davydenko v Sam Querrey Selection Sam Querrey Strength 10/10 Date 27/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.74 (Back) Reasoning Querrey bringing good form in US tournaments and good price here. He's secured the US Open Series bonus so now play without pressure and in front of home crowds should be good. Davydenko OK but not sure about form in US tournaments, good chance to go against. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cramer Posted August 27, 2009 Share Posted August 27, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Sport Tennis Event Caroline Wozniacki v Virgine Razzano Selection Lay Virgine Razzano (Lay) Strength 10/10 Date 27/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 3.45 (Lay) Reasoning Looks like clear win for Wozniacki. She has shown good form this week with 2 easy matches. Razzano has struggled and benefit from retirement of Radwanska. Head 2 head is 3-0 to Wozniacki all in straight sets this year. Hard to see this match being any different. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cramer Posted August 27, 2009 Share Posted August 27, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Sport Tennis Event Fernando Verdasco v Jurgen Melzer Selection Lay Jurgen Melzer (Lay) Strength 10/10 Date 27/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 3.95 (Lay) Reasoning Cannot see many chances for Melzer here. Verdasco seems to be finding form in time for US but read interviews he seems motivated for this event. Melzer got win for me yesterday against Hanescu but I think Verdasco too strong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cramer Posted August 27, 2009 Share Posted August 27, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Tip DetailSport Tennis Event Svetlana Kuznetsova v Amelie Mauresmo Selection Amelie Mauresmo Strength 10/10 Date 27/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Stan James @ 2.37 (Back) Reasoning This looks like an excellent price. Not sure about Kuznetsova form, she is really struggling with form especially against Wickmayer. Contrast Mauresmo coming through nicely maybe building confidence. Head 2 head is 4-4 with Kuznetsova winning last 4 matches but I think this great chance for Mauresmo to change the direction. Tip Detail Sport Tennis Event Jose Acasuso v Florent Serra Selection Under 23.5 games Strength 10/10 Date 27/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price William Hill @ 1.83 (Back) Reasoning Very hard match to predict, I cannot suggest a winner. But I am looking and both guys have had tough run to get this far with fairly long matches. Also both in poor form so not used to going long time in tournaments past few months. So I am thinking first set critical and the winner should run away with the match. So under 23.5 a good idea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IAmGooner Posted August 28, 2009 Author Share Posted August 28, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Querrey 2-0 over Acasuso @ 5/6 Gave my thoughts on match in the other thread.Might be two tight sets but think Querrey is playing well enough to take this in 2.Serving well and much depends on how Acasuso deals with this.Willing to take this but will only bet small on it with the US Open coming up. GL! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cramer Posted August 28, 2009 Share Posted August 28, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Sport Tennis Event Fernando Verdasco v Igor Andreev Selection Lay Igor Andreev (Lay) Strength 10/10 Date 28/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 4.00 (Lay) Reasoning Cannot see any success for Andreev in this match. He struggles against Mayer and now later stage of tournament have to take the class player. Verdasco seems motivated this week, playing really hard tennis. In Australia he played excellent when he was rumoured to be with Ivanovic, now maybe he's trying to impress Wozniacki! Sport Tennis Event Sam Querrey v Jose Acasuso Selection Lay Jose Acasuso (Lay) Strength 10/10 Date 28/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 4.00 (Lay) Reasoning Surely this is the end of the road for Acasuso. He's done very well this week, but now opponent Querrey is a class above. Querrey has been strong this week, just taken out Davydenko and now surely is motivated for another final. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cramer Posted August 28, 2009 Share Posted August 28, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Sport Tennis Event Caroline Wozniacki v Flavia Pennetta Selection Over 22.5 games Strength 10/10 Date 28/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price William Hill @ 1.83 (Back) Reasoning Very tough match to predict. Wozniacki is defending champion and Pennetta is trying to win US Open Series. Both shows great form in this tournament, Pennetta has better form past few months. Too hard to pick a winner, likely 3 sets I think so over 22.5 seems a good option. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kiwi_punter Posted August 29, 2009 Share Posted August 29, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Elena Vesnina v Caroline Wozniacki. Vesnina is a very hot and cold player. I watched her play Wozniacki here in Auckland in the semifinal this year and it went to 3 sets. I noticed watching them live that Vesnina hits the ball much cleaner then Wozniacki and when both were at their best Vesnina was the better player. Overall Wozniacki is much higher ranked and consistant but it seems like Elena is on one of her hot streaks. I think it will go to 3 sets again and the odds for a 2-1 set victory look very nice. $6.85 at Centrebet for Vesnina in 3. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IAmGooner Posted August 29, 2009 Author Share Posted August 29, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Querrey 2-0 over Acasuso @ 5/6 Gave my thoughts on match in the other thread.Might be two tight sets but think Querrey is playing well enough to take this in 2.Serving well and much depends on how Acasuso deals with this.Willing to take this but will only bet small on it with the US Open coming up. GL! WIN:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cramer Posted August 29, 2009 Share Posted August 29, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Sport Tennis Event Caroline wozniacki v Elena Vesnina Selection Elena Vesnina +4.5 games Strength 10/10 Date 29/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.21 (Back) Reasoning No idea when this will be played due to rain or it may be indoors. Anyway, getting so much over odds against on 4.5 games is too much. Head to head indicates close matches and Vesnina has been playing very well. Wozniacki clearly better player but can wobble in big match and whatever conditions I think this will be close. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cramer Posted August 29, 2009 Share Posted August 29, 2009 Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Sport Tennis Event Sam Querrey v Fernando Verdasco Selection Fernando Verdasco -1.5 sets Strength 10/10 Date 29/08/2009 Bookmaker/Price Paddy Power @ 4.50 (Back) Reasoning Tough match to price up after playing semi earlier today and bookmakers have range of opinions so some value around. I decide to take a risk and go with Verdasco -1.5 sets at generous price. Querrey still I think has issues in finals and Verdasco is superior player. Don't know indoors/outdoors tonight/tomorrow so just take a chance! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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