Value bet the river?

[Nade]

I probably mostly 3bet with AQ but in this situation i had 3bet this guy a couple of times recently and i felt he had a strong hand so definitely wouldn't fold and may have 4bet his entire range so elected to call. Villain is airing on the side of loose aggressive playing about 30/23 but after only about 50hands; he has folded to a couple of my 3bets already. No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com Button ($97) SB ($102.15) BB ($100) UTG ($112.10) MP ($119.60) Hero (CO) ($95) Preflop: Hero is CO with A, Q 1 fold, MP bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50, 3 folds Flop: ($8.50) 7, 10, Q (2 players) MP checks, Hero checks Turn: ($8.50) 3 (2 players) MP bets $5, Hero raises $17, MP calls $12 River: ($42.50) 4 (2 players) MP checks, On the flop i check behind as i'm suspicious of his check as i was expecting on this flop he would cbet every time plus i have great showdown value if needed. The turn his bet adds to the oddness of checking the flop but even in the worst case scenario i have a solid amount of equity with the Ace diamond. Then he checks again on the river so it's an odd line to take. The question is how much value is there in betting the river? We've kind of represented a flush so he may only call down with v strong hands that beat us or he may think we were bluffing or semi-bluffing the turn so call us down lighter.

[ubermonkey1]

Re: Value bet the river? think top pair top kicker would warrant a value bet on the river in most circumstances, however there's a few things that make me think the checks a better idea. admittedly his line does seem a little strange tho,doesnt look very lag does it looks more tight or trappy:unsure how aggressive have you been? do you think he thinks your gonna bet the river,if you see what i mean.by the sounds of it you've been fairly aggressive till now,maybe he sees that as an opportunity:unsure if so he may have a monster and is waiting for that value sized bet (say around $30)on the river.that's about half your stack in then and puts you in a bad position if he does come back over the top:loon you have top pair top kicker and may well be ahead vs a laggy player,so its not an easy fold to make if you do get checkraised. i also dont think the value bet is much use here because there are a lot of possible hands that could call and beat you but not many that can call and lose ,maybe kq qj a10 k10 .even then i think i'd be folding 2nd pair here to your raise on the turn ,with straight/flush possibilitys and an overcard it isnt the sort of hand i'd wanna be getting into a big pot with. so i think your gonna either win a little or lose a lot with the value bet here,so i think you played it correctly:ok