bigs Posted January 5, 2009 Share Posted January 5, 2009 Hello people, it's been a long time since I've tried some sort of glory hunt, I had a pleasant dinner, and I feel like it! this is basically a staking plan, no more than that, hence becomes elegible for glory hunt only =) Here's how it goes: - A run is made of 4 phases, the goal is to do 2 full runs -It's a 4 (not sure if it should be 3 but is a glory hunt, let's go baby) phased stake plan, when I complete 1st run, I'll update my initial stake, and withdraw the rest to myself (this might change :p) -I'll chose 3 bets, at odds around even (between 1.9 and 2.1) -each phase will have 4 bets, 3 singles, 1 trebble =) -Important fact: Trebble will have odds between 7.9 and 8.1, no more no less -Facts: -If I hit the 3 bets, my return will be (+-) 3.5 of what I invested (e.g. 1 unit per bet, returns 2 units for each single, and 8 units for the treblle, 14 units total, dividing by 4 units invested = 3.5 or 5/2 in fraction :p) -If I hit 2 bets, I'll break even (+-) -If I hit 1 bet, I'll lose half my total stake (not a total disgrace :P) -If I hit 0 bets... you know... The staking plan goes like this (In the event that I always hit 2 or 3 bets): -Phase 1.1 will return 14 (1 unit stake) (12 will be used in Ph.2, keep 2) -Phase 1.2 will return 42 (3 units stake) + 2 saved (40 will be used in Ph.3, keep 4) -Phase 1.3 will return 140 (10 units stake) + 4 saved (100 will be used in Ph.4 keep 44) - This leaves me in a position where if I miss all 3 I can repeat Ph1.3 -Phase 1.4 will return 350 (25 units stake) + 44 saved (withdraw 250, start with 100 initial stake + 44 reserve). 2 consecutive runs will earn me about 8500 units :beer lets take a look at run 2 -Phase 2.1 will return 350 (25 unit stake)+44 saved (300 will be used in Ph.2, keep 94) -Phase 2.2 will return 1050 (75 units stake) + 94 saved (800 will be used in Ph.3, keep 344) -Phase 2.3 will return 2800 (200 units stake) + 344 saved (2200 will be used in Ph.4 keep 944) - This leaves me in a position where if I miss all 3, I can repeat Ph.3 -Phase 2.4 will return 7700 (550 units stake) + 944 saved (dont be stupid and withdraw 8000 and start with whatever the remaining allows lol). - If I hit 2 bets in one phase, I'll repeat that phase (break even is cool) - If I hit 1 bet in one phase, I'll adjust my stake accordingly to whatever bank is left taking into account the reserve amount. - If I happen to miss all bets, hopefully my reserve bank will allow me to only go back one phase, or even repeat the current phase. :hope:hope:hope PS1: Selections will have no reason at all! =) either because I go by feeling on this, or I just dont have time/dont feel like it! I'll keep stats on an excell spreasheet =) Once you see it, you'll understand it! PS2: My odds are slim, but my staking plan is designed to be able to deal with some losses, and might improve my chances no? It's late evening here, and I work tomorrow, so betting will start.. tomorrow! =) PS3: Any comments will be appreciated :) (check the math, may be wrong... It's late already...) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bagzi Posted January 5, 2009 Share Posted January 5, 2009 Re: I do love glory hunts =) Best of luck bigs:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigs Posted January 5, 2009 Author Share Posted January 5, 2009 Re: I do love glory hunts =) Tks bagzi =) Had only one fancy today, so not enough! :) didn't have time to go through betting in general today! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted January 5, 2009 Share Posted January 5, 2009 Re: I do love glory hunts =) good luck bigs :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigs Posted January 5, 2009 Author Share Posted January 5, 2009 Re: I do love glory hunts =) tks aliando, I'll need it ;) But I think if I take it easy, I can go somewhere with this ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigs Posted January 10, 2009 Author Share Posted January 10, 2009 Re: I do love glory hunts =) Ok, I've been waiting whole week for evs bets to start this, so I am going to start this by violating the odds rule! =) Run 1 Phase 1 bet 1: Sporting - Maritimo -> Maritimo AH +1 @ 2.7 (0.6 units) bet 2: Guimares - Amadora -> Guimaraes AH -1 @ 2.95 (0.56 units) bet 3: Burnley - Swansea -> Home win @ 2.05 (1 unit) Treeble: odd 16.33 (0.5 units) Stake 2.72 units Possible return (3 singles, 1 trebble) 14.47 PS: Bets were made to have 1 unit profit in each single and 6 units profit in the trebble. Due to mininum bet in sportingbet (56 cents) , that might not be possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misky Posted January 11, 2009 Share Posted January 11, 2009 Re: I do love glory hunts =) Its uncanny, 56 cents is also the maximum bet at sportingbet. Good Luck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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