allthethings Posted September 24, 2008 Share Posted September 24, 2008 I've been watching as time and time again, plus-money dogs have their day against the spread. I'm going to try something today...It's today's lines of +125 or better, though I've subtracted out some situations that I haven't had good results on, such as under or over 3, or +1.5 or +2 handicaps...that has brought the number of plays from a dozen to a manageable seven. Sweden Allvenskan Soccer - Gefle/GAIS - total Under 2 (+125) for the regulation time held on Sep 24 at 12:00pm [pending] Austria Bundesliga Soccer - Kapfenberg - spread pk (+127) for the regulation time held on Sep 24 at 12:30pm [pending] Spain Primera Liga Soccer - Osasuna - spread -½ (+128) for the regulation time held on Sep 24 at 1:00pm [pending] Italy Serie A Soccer - AS Roma - spread -½ (+134) for the regulation time held on Sep 24 at 1:30pm [pending] Italy Serie A Soccer - Chievo - spread -½ (+134) for the regulation time held on Sep 24 at 1:30pm [pending] Italy Serie A Soccer - Siena/Sampdoria - total Under 2 (+127) for the regulation time held on Sep 24 at 1:30pm [pending] France Cup Soccer - Lens - spread pk (+134) for the regulation time held on Sep 24 at 2:00pm [pending] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted September 24, 2008 Author Share Posted September 24, 2008 Re: Fading the Public Four more... Finland Veikkausliga Soccer - Tampere United - spread -½ (+134) for the regulation time held on Sep 24 at 10:30am [pending] France Cup Soccer - Rennes - spread -½ (+127) for the regulation time held on Sep 24 at 2:00pm [pending] Slovenia Cup Soccer - NK Rudar Velenje - spread -½ (+134) for the regulation time held on Sep 24 at 11:00am [pending] Slovenia Cup Soccer - NK Domzale - spread -½ (+127) for the regulation time held on Sep 24 at 9:00am [pending] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted September 24, 2008 Author Share Posted September 24, 2008 Re: Fading the Public I didn't feel great about the Tampere pick, and now that the line has dropped I'm covering it: Soccer - KUPs - spread pk (+125) for the regulation time held on Sep 24 at 10:30am [pending] A win by either team gives me the +25 or +34, and a draw means I lose the original Tampere bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted September 24, 2008 Author Share Posted September 24, 2008 Re: Fading the Public Portugal Cup Soccer - Amadora - spread -1 (+146) for the regulation time held on Sep 24 at 10:00am [pending] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted September 24, 2008 Author Share Posted September 24, 2008 Re: Fading the Public France Cup Soccer - St Etienne - spread -½ (+125) for the regulation time held on Sep 24 at 2:00pm [pending] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted September 24, 2008 Author Share Posted September 24, 2008 Re: Fading the Public This one has been sitting there urging me not to take it...Jena are just awful, fired their manager last week after losing a game 0-6...oh well. Fits the system. Germany Gup Soccer - CZ Jena - spread pk (+138) for the regulation time held on Sep 24 at 1:30pm [pending] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted September 24, 2008 Share Posted September 24, 2008 Re: Fading the Public good luck att! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted September 24, 2008 Author Share Posted September 24, 2008 Re: Fading the Public 1-3 so far with three draws in -0.5 games. :@ Italy Serie A Soccer - Udinese - spread pk (+130) for the regulation time held on Sep 24 at 1:30pm [pending] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted September 24, 2008 Author Share Posted September 24, 2008 Re: Fading the Public Well, it was exciting anyway. Finished the day 6-9, losing about 1 unit, but was oh so close to having a plus day taking only the most generous odds. Domzale 3-3 loss Rudar 2-2 loss Amadora 4-1 win +146 Tampere 1-1 loss Gefle 0-0 win +125 Kapfenberg 0-2 loss Osasuna 0-0 loss (they played with a man advantage for 40 minutes and hit the bar once) Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 win +138 Chievo 1-1 loss Roma 1-3 loss Siena 0-0 win +127 Udinese 3-0 win +130 Lens 3-0 win +134 Rennes 1-1 loss (gave up a 86th minute goal) St Etienne 1-4 loss Also worth mentioning that I had some other opportunities...and would have gone 7-5 or 8-5 in those matches. There were four games in which a team was given a +1 handicap for +120 or better, and these finished 3-1. Three favorites getting plus money went 2-1. Unders went 1-2, overs 1-1. The last was a game in which first the home team was +130 for -1, then half an hour before the game the line swung to the dog, +0.5 for +125. I decided not to take it, and the home team won 1-0...so either a push or a win depending on when you pulled the trigger. Note also that six of the nine losses were games in which I needed a ML win and the game ended in a draw. Whereas only one of the six wins was close (Jena)...the other five wins were easy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted September 25, 2008 Author Share Posted September 25, 2008 Re: Fading the Public I see no reason to stop doing this... Sweden Superettan Soccer - Hacken - spread pk (+134) for the regulation time held on Sep 25 at 12:00pm [pending] Spain Primera Soccer - Valladolid - spread -½ (+127) for the regulation time held on Sep 25 at 1:00pm [pending] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted September 26, 2008 Author Share Posted September 26, 2008 Re: Fading the Public Updated: 7-9, +0.27 I didn't take Honka-VPS O 2.5 at +125, and it was 2-1 HT and 4-1 FT. I'm sticking with the strategy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted September 26, 2008 Author Share Posted September 26, 2008 Re: Fading the Public Australia A-League Soccer - Perth Glory - spread +½ (+127) for the regulation time held on Sep 26 at 5:00am [pending] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted September 26, 2008 Author Share Posted September 26, 2008 Re: Fading the Public Germany 2 Bundesliga Soccer - Osnabruck - spread -½ (+121) for the regulation time held on Sep 26 at 11:00am [pending] France Ligue 2 Soccer - Boulogne - spread pk (+130) for the regulation time held on Sep 26 at 1:00pm [pending] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted September 27, 2008 Author Share Posted September 27, 2008 Re: Fading the Public Sticking with this strategy, taking every +125 line or better except Cittadella in Italy Serie B...so that one will probably win. England Premier Soccer - Fulham - spread -½ (+130) for the regulation time held on Sep 27 at 9:00am [pending] England Championship Soccer - Barnsley/Norwich - total Under 2 (+132) for the regulation time held on Sep 27 at 9:00am [pending] England Championship Soccer - Burnley/Preston - total Under 2 (+125) for the regulation time held on Sep 27 at 9:00am [pending] Scotland Premier Soccer - Inverness/Kilmarnock - total Under 2 (+127) for the regulation time held on Sep 27 at 9:00am [pending] Scotland Premier Soccer - Hearts - spread pk (+130) for the regulation time held on Sep 27 at 9:00am [pending] Italy Serie B Soccer - Rimini - spread -½ (+120) for the regulation time held on Sep 27 at 9:00am [pending] Spain Segunda Soccer - Girona - spread pk (+132) for the regulation time held on Sep 27 at 11:30am [pending] Belgium 1st Soccer - Charleroi - spread -1 (+125) for the regulation time held on Sep 27 at 1:00pm [pending] Netherlands Eredivisie Soccer - Willem II - spread pk (+127) for the regulation time held on Sep 27 at 1:45pm [pending] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted September 27, 2008 Author Share Posted September 27, 2008 Re: Fading the Public After-posting here for a second: Australia A-League Soccer - Adelaide United - spread -½ (+120) for the regulation time held on Sep 27 at 4:00am [winner] Took this before bed and didn't post as it didn't quite make the +125 threshold. Of course, neither did the Osnabruck win yesterday...but the situation is similar to the one in the "Best-Priced Overs" strategy...the game seen as the banker inexplicably loses as often as it wins as expected, and we collect the plus money. As in: Updated: 10-10, +2.98 I have no idea if this will keep up, and I've just looked at the lines upon waking, and there are a ton of other games that I could now play...still deciding how much I want to commit to this. There are, for example, three more U 2 games in England Championship that are now on offer for +130 or higher... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted September 27, 2008 Author Share Posted September 27, 2008 Re: Fading the Public Adding: Italy Serie A Soccer - Juventus - spread -½ (+128) for the regulation time held on Sep 27 at 11:00am [pending] Italy Serie B Soccer - Bari - spread pk (+162) for the regulation time held on Sep 27 at 9:00am [pending] Soccer - Cittadella - spread pk (+149) for the regulation time held on Sep 27 at 9:00am [pending] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted September 27, 2008 Author Share Posted September 27, 2008 Re: Fading the Public One for Sunday already...we'll see if I have any money left to play more... Italy Serie C1A Soccer - Reggina - spread pk (+140) for the regulation time held on Sep 28 at 8:00am [pending] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted September 27, 2008 Author Share Posted September 27, 2008 Re: Fading the Public Here are the ones I'm not taking for Saturday, just so I have them all in one place: Eng Championship Swansea +0.5 +128 Derby +0.5 +127 Cardiff-Birmingham U 2 +132 Blackpool-Coventry U 2 +128 Doncaster-Southampton has now gone from U 2 +128 to 2.5 -147 Man Utd-Bolton was U 2.5 +130, but has gone to U 3 -130. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted September 27, 2008 Author Share Posted September 27, 2008 Re: Fading the Public Switzerland Challenge Soccer - Wil - spread -1 (+132) for the regulation time held on Sep 27 at 10:30am [pending] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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