manckevin Posted July 27, 2008 Share Posted July 27, 2008 OK, so here we go again... This is the souped up version after a few weeks of the original. The basics are as follows: On the At The Races website, they have a Speed Ratings section. From these, there is a Speed Six, and within these, there is a NAP and NB selection. That is ALL I am interested in here. The other 4 selections occasionally win, but they are running at a pretty decent loss rate during monitoring. There are plenty of stats to get your teeth into on the original thread (http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/f75/atr-speed-ratings-62-17pts-profit-68462/) so I won't repeat them here. The only change here now is instead of it being 5pts staked on the nap and 3pts on the nb, it's now a straight 5pts on both. More often than not I will post the selections the night before racing (they usually only come online around 9.30pm). If not, I will *try* to do them the following morning. Sometimes life events mean I simply can't post, in which case, as they are publically available, you can check them yourself and I will still result them on here (provided I actually manage to get the details myself). I will keep thread totals up to date, with 5 and 10 day rolling stats in Message 2. Anyway, seems simple enough, because it is... so here we go :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted July 27, 2008 Author Share Posted July 27, 2008 RESULTS UP TO AND INCLUDING 26 OCTOBER 2008 SELECTIONS 164 WON 34 PLACED 37 STRIKE RATE 20.73% +/- -95.66pts MONTHLY STATS JUNE - 54 selections, 18 winners, 17 placed (33.33% SR), -2.56pts* JULY - 58 selections, 22 winners, 17 placed (37.93% SR), +88.36pts* AUGUST - 50 selections, 12 winners, 9 placed (24.00% SR), +15.97pts* SEPTEMBER - 56 selections, 11 winners, 16 placed (19.65% SR), -82.00pts* * to advised stakes LAST 5 DAYSLAST 10 DAYSSELECTIONS 10 20 WON 0 3 PLACED 6 7 STRIKE RATE 0.00% 15.00% +/- -50.00pts -18.75pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted July 27, 2008 Author Share Posted July 27, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 MONDAY 28 JULY 3.15 SOUTHWELL - VARADOURO (nb) 5pts 4.15 SOUTHWELL - PUNCHING* (nap) 5pts 7.40 WINDSOR - BONNE** (nb) 5pts * Previous NAP selection (lost) * Previous NAP selection (WON at 4/1 on 18 July) A strange day to start this, as they go with TWO nb selections. Never come across that before. They may realise it's an error and change it, so keep a close eye on that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted July 28, 2008 Author Share Posted July 28, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 MONDAY 28 JULY 7.40 WINDSOR - BONNE** (nb) 5pts BONNE is no longer listed as a nb selection and does therefore not qualify. It is one to watch out for today I reckon! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted July 28, 2008 Author Share Posted July 28, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 MONDAY 28 JULY 3.15 SOUTHWELL - VARADOURO (nb) 5pts WON 6/5 :ok 4.15 SOUTHWELL - PUNCHING* (nap) 5pts LOST 7.40 WINDSOR - BONNE** (nb) 5pts NON QUALIFIER 1pt profit on the day. TUESDAY 29 JULY 4.05 GOODWOOD - RIEVUALX WORLD* (nb) - 5pts 7.00 GALWAY - ALHABEEB (nap) - 5pts * Former Speed Six (nap) winner at 8/13 on 3 July. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted July 29, 2008 Author Share Posted July 29, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 TUESDAY 29 JULY 4.05 GOODWOOD - RIEVUALX WORLD (nb) - 5pts LOST 7.00 GALWAY - ALHABEEB (nap) - 5pts LOST WEDNESDAY 30 JULY 4.40 GOODWOOD - SPELL CASTER (nap) - 5pts 8.45 LEICESTER - LADY CAROLLINA (nb) - 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted July 30, 2008 Author Share Posted July 30, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 I'll update in full later, but time for a :nana:ok moment... 4.40 GOODWOOD - SPELL CASTER (nap) - 5pts WON 13/2 :nana:ok:nana:ok:nana Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted July 30, 2008 Author Share Posted July 30, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 WEDNESDAY 30 JULY 4.40 GOODWOOD - SPELL CASTER (nap) - 5pts WON 13/2 :ok 8.45 LEICESTER - LADY CAROLLINA (nb) - 5pts LOST 27.50pts profit on the day :) THURSDAY 31 JULY 2.50 GOODWOOD - FAT BOY (nap) - 5pts 4.40 GOODWOOD - HOUSE (nb) - 5pts :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted July 31, 2008 Author Share Posted July 31, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 THURSDAY 31 JULY 2.50 GOODWOOD - FAT BOY (nap) - 5pts LOST 4.40 GOODWOOD - HOUSE (nb) - 5pts PLACED 13/2 10pts loss on the day FRIDAY 1 AUGUST 5.50 GOODWOOD - BOSUN BREEZE* (nap) - 5pts 7.50 HAYDOCK - ARABIAN ART** (nb) - 5pts * Previous Speed Six (non nap/nb) Winner on 24 July at 11/4 ** Previous Speed Six (non nap/nb) loser on 7 July Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 2, 2008 Author Share Posted August 2, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 FRIDAY 1 AUGUST 5.50 GOODWOOD - BOSUN BREEZE* (nap) - 5pts LOST 7.50 HAYDOCK - ARABIAN ART** (nb) - 5pts LOST 10pts loss on the day SATURDAY 2 AUGUST 3.50 GOODWOOD - PRIME DEFENDER* (nap) 4.35 GALWAY - MAX ALMIGHTY (nb) * advised each-way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 3, 2008 Author Share Posted August 3, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 SATURDAY 2 AUGUST 3.50 GOODWOOD - PRIME DEFENDER* (nap) LOST 4.35 GALWAY - MAX ALMIGHTY (nb) NON RUNNER * advised each-way. 5pts loss on the day SUNDAY 3 AUGUST One of those days where I couldn't post sooner, so refer to Post 1, where I say that I will still count them in here as the information is publically available. 3.15 NEWBURY (already run) - GULL WING (nb) - 5pts LOST 4.30 CHESTER - PENANG CINTA (nap) - 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 4, 2008 Author Share Posted August 4, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 SUNDAY 3 AUGUST 3.15 NEWBURY (already run) - GULL WING (nb) - 5pts LOST 4.30 CHESTER - PENANG CINTA (nap) - 5pts LOST 10pts loss on the day. Not good again this! MONDAY 4 AUGUST 4.45 RIPON - FOSSGATE (nb) - 5pts 6.45 CARLISLE - DESTINY'S DREAM (nap) - 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 4, 2008 Author Share Posted August 4, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 MONDAY 4 AUGUST 4.45 RIPON - FOSSGATE (nb) - 5pts WON 4/1 :ok 6.45 CARLISLE - DESTINY'S DREAM (nap) - 5pts LOST 15pts profit on the day :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 4, 2008 Author Share Posted August 4, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 TUESDAY 5 AUGUST 3.15 CHEPSTOW - POLLY'S CHOICE (nb) - 5pts 8.05 GOWRAN PARK - DRUNKEN SAILOR (nap) - 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted August 4, 2008 Share Posted August 4, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 Nice going on Monday kev Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 5, 2008 Author Share Posted August 5, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 TUESDAY 5 AUGUST 3.15 CHEPSTOW - POLLY'S CHOICE (nb) - 5pts NON RUNNER 8.05 GOWRAN PARK - DRUNKEN SAILOR (nap) - 5pts NON RUNNER Two non-runners, so the maths are pretty simple! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 5, 2008 Author Share Posted August 5, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 WEDNESDAY 6 AUGUST 3.30 BRIGHTON - SIR LIAM (nb) - 5pts 8.50 KEMPTON - EBN MALK (nap) - 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 6, 2008 Author Share Posted August 6, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 WEDNESDAY 6 AUGUST 3.30 BRIGHTON - SIR LIAM (nb) - 5pts LOST 8.50 KEMPTON - EBN MALK (nap) - 5pts LOST Not a good day at the office! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 6, 2008 Author Share Posted August 6, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 THURSDAY 7 AUGUST 4.00 BRIGHTON - KING SUPREME *(nb) - 5pts 4.10 HAYDOCK - WOODCUTTER (nap) - 5pts * Previous Speed Six (nb) qualifier, placed at 7/2 on 21 July at Windsor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 7, 2008 Author Share Posted August 7, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 4.00 BRIGHTON - KING SUPREME (nb) - 5pts WON 7/1 :ok:nana 4.10 HAYDOCK - WOODCUTTER (nap) - 5pts LOST Profit on the day of 30pts :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 7, 2008 Author Share Posted August 7, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 FRIDAY 8 AUGUST Well, it's a lucky day for the Chinese, and just think, I'll be getting out of bed (and probably back in it at 8:08:08 on 08:08:08). Who needs binary, apart from the seven dwarves .... IO IO ..... Anyway, enough of this funny talk, down to business... 3.40 LINGFIELD - EVELYN MAY (nb) - 5pts 6.20 NEWMARKET - ALL ANGEL (nap) - 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 9, 2008 Author Share Posted August 9, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 3.40 LINGFIELD - EVELYN MAY (nb) - 5pts LOST 6.20 NEWMARKET - ALL ANGEL (nap) - 5pts LOST So much for bloody luck! 9 AUGUST 3.10 HAYDOCK - DRILL SERGEANT (nap) - 5pts3.50 NEWMARKET - KALAHARI GOLD (nb) - 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 10, 2008 Author Share Posted August 10, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 3.10 HAYDOCK - DRILL SERGEANT (nap) - 5pts PLACED 13/2 3.50 NEWMARKET - KALAHARI GOLD (nb) - 5pts WON 7/2 :ok So close to a bumper payout, but Drill Sergeant was still six lengths behind the winner in 2nd but still a tasty 12.50pts profit on the day. 10 AUGUST 3.30 WINDSOR - BOWDER STONE (nap) - 5pts The second (nb) selection was down to run at the Curragh, which has been abandoned due to waterlogging. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 10, 2008 Author Share Posted August 10, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 3.30 WINDSOR - BOWDER STONE (nap) - 5pts LOST 5pts lost on the day. 11 AUGUST 4.00 WOLVERHAMPTON - A BIG SKY BREWING (nb) - 5pts 6.50 WINDSOR - LORDSHIP (nap) - 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 11, 2008 Author Share Posted August 11, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 4.00 WOLVERHAMPTON - A BIG SKY BREWING (nb) - 5pts PLACED 5/1 6.50 WINDSOR - LORDSHIP (nap) - 5pts LOST 12 AUGUST 7.25 NOTTINGHAM - SHADOW BAY* (nb) - 5pts 7.55 NOTTINGHAM - INVINCIBLE FORCE* (nap) - 5pts * Speed Six (non nap/nb) selection - lost on 4 July ** Speed Six (non nap/nb) selection - lost on 27 July :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 12, 2008 Author Share Posted August 12, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 7.25 NOTTINGHAM - SHADOW BAY* (nb) - 5pts WON 9/4 :ok 7.55 NOTTINGHAM - INVINCIBLE FORCE* (nap) - 5pts LOST 6.25pts profit on the day making it 12.25pts profit so far from 28 selections. 13 AUGUST 3.25 YARMOUTH - HURRICANE HARRIET (nap) - 5pts 7.10 SANDOWN - DIVINE POWER (nb) - 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 13, 2008 Author Share Posted August 13, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 3.25 YARMOUTH - HURRICANE HARRIET (nap) - 5pts WON 15/8 :ok 7.10 SANDOWN - DIVINE POWER (nb) - 5pts LOST 4.38pts profit on the day, bringing the total now to +16.63pts from 30 selections. 14 AUGUST 4.50 SALISBURY - NAMU (nb) - 5pts 6.30 GREAT LEIGHS - VILNA (nap) - 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 13, 2008 Author Share Posted August 13, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 Some updated stats: THIS THREAD NAP SELECTIONS 17 selections, 2 winners, 1 placed. LOSS of 28.13pts NB SELECTIONS 15 selections, 5 winners, 2 placed. PROFIT of 44.75pts SINCE RECORDS WERE KEPT (31 MAY 2008) NAP SELECTIONS 71 selections, 19 winners, 19 placed. LOSS of 18.70pts NB SELECTIONS 67 selections, 27 winners, 17 placed. PROFIT of 110.35pts COMBINED 138 selections, 46 winners, 36 placed. PROFIT of 91.65pts Certainly seems to me that following the nb selections, even blindly, would produce a profit... MAY : 1 selection, 1 winner, PROFIT of 2.73pts JUNE : 26 selections, 9 winners, 8 placed, PROFIT of 12.51pts JULY : 29 selections, 13 winners, 8 placed, PROFIT of 41.36pts (based on 3pts per selection up to 27 July and 5pts thereafter) AUGUST : 10 selections, 4 winners, 1 placed, PROFIT of 53.75pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 15, 2008 Author Share Posted August 15, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 4.50 SALISBURY - NAMU (nb) - 5pts NON RUNNER 6.30 GREAT LEIGHS - VILNA (nap) - 5pts LOST 5pts loss on the day 15 AUGUST 2.35 NOTTINGHAM - QUAROMA (nb) - 5pts 6.00 NEWMARKET - EARLSMEDIC (nap) - 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manckevin Posted August 15, 2008 Author Share Posted August 15, 2008 Re: ATR Speed Ratings System - Version 2 2.35 NOTTINGHAM - QUAROMA (nb) - 5pts WON 5/2 :ok 6.00 NEWMARKET - EARLSMEDIC (nap) - 5pts WON 5/1 :ok 37.50pts profit on the day :nana:ok:nana:ok:nana bringing the total now to +49.13pts from 33 selections. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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