muppet77 Posted March 8, 2008 Author Share Posted March 8, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:78 yield:+17% h a sup bet odds blackburn fulham 1.71 H 1.59 liverpool newcastle 1.74 H 1.42 reading man city -0.13 A 3.25 wigan arsenal -0.90 A 1.6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted March 11, 2008 Author Share Posted March 11, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:78 yield:+17% h a sup bet odds result profit blackburn fulham 1.71 H 1.59 D -1.00 liverpool newcastle 1.74 H 1.42 H 0.40 reading man city -0.13 A 3.25 H -1.00 wigan arsenal -0.90 A 1.6 D -1.00 REGRESSION PREMIERSHIP HOMEAWAY BOTH wins 28 22 50 losses 12 20 32 bets 40 42 82 strike 70% 52% 61% profit 4.00 6.77 10.77 yield 10.0% 16.1% 13.1% av odds 1.63 2.12 1.85 exp wins 24.5 19.8 44.2 exp losses 15.5 22.2 37.8 chi test 75% 51% 80% wins ahead 3.5 2.2 5.8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted March 11, 2008 Author Share Posted March 11, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:82 yield:+13% h a sup bet odds aston villa middlesbrough 1.04 H 1.64 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted March 13, 2008 Author Share Posted March 13, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:82 yield:+13% h a sup bet odds result profit aston villa middlesbrough 1.04 H 1.64 D -1.00 REGRESSION PREMIERSHIP HOMEAWAY BOTH wins 28 22 50 losses 13 20 33 bets 41 42 83 strike 68% 52% 60% profit 3.00 6.77 9.77 yield 7% 16% 12% av odds 1.63 2.12 1.85 exp wins 25.1 19.8 44.9 exp losses 15.9 22.2 38.1 chi test 65% 51% 74% wins ahead 2.9 2.2 5.1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted March 13, 2008 Author Share Posted March 13, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:82 yield:+13% h a sup bet odds arsenal middlesbrough 1.55 H 1.31 liverpool reading 1.94 H 1.29 west ham blackburn -0.47 A 3.15 fulham everton -0.89 A 2.24 wigan bolton 1.06 H 2.34 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted March 16, 2008 Author Share Posted March 16, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:83 yield:+12% h a sup bet odds result profit arsenal middlesbrough 1.55 H 1.31 D -1.00 liverpool reading 1.94 H 1.29 H 0.28 west ham blackburn -0.47 A 3.15 H -1.00 fulham everton -0.89 A 2.24 H -1.00 wigan bolton 1.06 H 2.34 H 1.27 REGRESSION PREMIERSHIP HOMEAWAY BOTH wins 30 22 52 losses 14 22 36 bets 44 44 88 strike 68% 50% 59% profit 3.55 4.77 8.32 yield 8% 11% 9% av odds 1.63 2.14 1.85 exp wins 27.1 20.5 47.6 exp losses 16.9 23.5 40.4 chi test 64% 34% 65% wins ahead 2.9 1.5 4.4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted March 18, 2008 Author Share Posted March 18, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:88 yield:+9% h a sup bet odds man united bolton 2.12 H 1.18 tottenham chelsea -0.66 A 2.18 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted March 21, 2008 Author Share Posted March 21, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:88 yield:+9% h a sup bet odds result profit man united bolton 2.12 H 1.18 H 0.17 tottenham chelsea -0.66 A 2.18 D -1.00 REGRESSION PREMIERSHIP HOMEAWAY BOTH wins 31 22 53 losses 14 23 37 bets 45 45 90 strike 69% 49% 59% profit 3.72 3.77 7.49 yield 8% 8% 8% av odds 1.61 2.14 1.84 exp wins 27.9 21.0 48.9 exp losses 17.1 24.0 41.1 chi test 66% 24% 62% wins ahead 3.1 1.0 4.1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted March 21, 2008 Author Share Posted March 21, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:90 yield:+8% ha sup bet odds Blackburn Wigan 1.22 H 1.85 Everton west ham 0.96 H 1.77 Bolton Man City -0.06 A 3.3 Chelsea arsenal -0.06 A 3.75 newcastle Fulham 0.83 H 1.86 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted March 27, 2008 Author Share Posted March 27, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:90 yield:+8% h a sup bet odds result profit Blackburn Wigan 1.22 H 1.85 H 0.81 Everton west ham 0.96 H 1.77 D -1.00 Bolton Man City -0.06 A 3.3 D -1.00 Chelsea arsenal -0.06 A 3.75 H -1.00 newcastle Fulham 0.83 H 1.86 H 0.82 REGRESSION PREMIERSHIP HOMEAWAY BOTH wins 33 22 55 losses 15 25 40 bets 48 47 95 strike 69% 47% 58% profit 4.34 1.77 6.11 yield 9% 4% 6% av odds 1.62 2.18 1.86 exp wins 29.5 21.6 51.1 exp losses 18.5 25.4 43.9 chi test 69% 10% 58% wins ahead 3.5 0.4 3.9 h a sup bet odds Bolton Arsenal -1.07 A 1.79 Man United Aston Villa 1.06 H 1.34 Portsmouth Wigan 1.34 H 1.9 Reading Blackburn -0.08 A 3.2 Chelsea Middlesbrough 1.23 H 1.34 Tottenham Newcastle 1.29 H 1.68 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smokin Joe Posted March 27, 2008 Share Posted March 27, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Muppet - where do you get your historical odds data from for all the European leagues? Muppet, just reading this thread now. Nice work. Can you give me a clue as to where the historical euro odds came from (as I don't have the PM facility)? Cheers SJ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted March 28, 2008 Author Share Posted March 28, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:95 yield:+6% i'm sure i can mention www.football-data.co.uk Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smokin Joe Posted March 28, 2008 Share Posted March 28, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:95 yield:+6% i'm sure i can mention www.football-data.co.uk Muppet, I thought that you had got historic odds for loads of foreign leagues,ie Norway, Denmark, Mexico, Slovenia etc (ie post 9 on this thread). These leagues aren't covered by football-data. It is the source of those historic odds that I am interested in. Cheers SJ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smokin Joe Posted March 28, 2008 Share Posted March 28, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:95 yield:+6% i'm sure i can mention www.football-data.co.uk Muppet, Post 9 on this thread indicates that you were able to get historical odds data for the foreign leagues, ie Mexico, Belgium, Slovenia etc - leagues which football data don't cover. It is the source of that price info that I am interested in, and would be grateful if you let me know where it came from. Cheers SJ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smokin Joe Posted March 28, 2008 Share Posted March 28, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:95 yield:+6% Apologies for the double post. Browser playing up, didn't think first post was submitted. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smokin Joe Posted March 28, 2008 Share Posted March 28, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:95 yield:+6% Muppet, if the source is something that you can't put up on this forum could you get my email address from the "download v card" in my profile and send me the source via email. Cheers SJ (Oh, and sorry for taking over your thread.....) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted March 29, 2008 Author Share Posted March 29, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:95 yield:+6% joe, i took the stats from http://www.studysoccer.com/start.php Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smokin Joe Posted March 30, 2008 Share Posted March 30, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:95 yield:+6% joe, i took the stats from http://www.studysoccer.com/start.php Thanks Muppet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smokin Joe Posted March 30, 2008 Share Posted March 30, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:95 yield:+6% Muppet, one more question, please. I notice on the other thread that you started off with over 100 variables. Looking at the blurb of the studysoccer site I presume that all 100 variables didn't come from that site. Is that correct? If so, I'd be grateful to know which other sites you have used (except football-data) just in case I have missed any out. For example I had never heard of the studysoccer site. Cheers SJ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted March 31, 2008 Author Share Posted March 31, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:95 yield:+6% joe, they were constructed using data from the site. eg. using 'position' for each team i constructed 'difference in position' eg 10-3=+7 or 8-10=-2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted March 31, 2008 Author Share Posted March 31, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:95 yield:+6% h a sup bet odds result profit Bolton Arsenal -1.07 A 1.79 A 0.75 Man United Aston Villa 1.06 H 1.34 H 0.32 Portsmouth Wigan 1.34 H 1.9 H 0.86 Reading Blackburn -0.08 A 3.2 D -1.00 Chelsea Middlesbrough 1.23 H 1.34 H 0.32 Tottenham Newcastle 1.29 H 1.68 A -1.00 REGRESSION PREMIERSHIP HOMEAWAY BOTH wins 36 23 59 losses 16 26 42 bets 52 49 101 strike 69% 47% 58% profit 4.84 1.52 6.36 yield 9% 3% 6% av odds 1.62 2.18 1.85 exp wins 32.2 22.4 54.6 exp losses 19.8 26.6 46.4 chi test 73% 13% 62% wins ahead 3.8 0.6 4.4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 2, 2008 Author Share Posted April 2, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:101 yield:+6% h a sup bet odds Aston Villa Bolton 1.23 H 1.74 Man City Chelsea -0.55 A 1.8 Newcastle Reading 0.87 H 1.83 Middlesbrough Man United -1.09 A 1.47 West Ham Portsmouth -0.23 A 3.1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 8, 2008 Author Share Posted April 8, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:101 yield:+6% h a sup bet odds result profit Aston Villa Bolton 1.23 H 1.74 H 0.70 Man City Chelsea -0.55 A 1.8 A 0.76 Newcastle Reading 0.87 H 1.83 H 0.79 Middlesbrough Man United -1.09 A 1.47 D -1.00 REGRESSION PREMIERSHIP HOMEAWAY BOTH wins 38 24 62 losses 16 27 43 bets 54 51 105 strike 70% 47% 59% profit 6.33 1.28 7.62 yield 12% 3% 7% av odds 1.62 2.16 1.84 exp wins 33.3 23.7 56.9 exp losses 20.7 27.3 48.1 chi test 81% 7% 68% wins ahead 4.7 0.3 5.1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wumpking Posted April 8, 2008 Share Posted April 8, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:105 yield:+7% Nice result tonight Muppet for the system with Pompey winning away :clap. Shame Man Utd (which seemed on paper to be the system's weekend banker bet) let you down for a nap hand of wins. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 9, 2008 Author Share Posted April 9, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:105 yield:+7% ha sup bet odds result profit West Ham Portsmouth -0.23 A 3.1 A 2.00 REGRESSION PREMIERSHIP HOMEAWAY BOTH wins 38 25 63 losses 16 27 43 bets 54 52 106 strike 70% 48% 59% profit 6.33 3.28 9.61 yield 12% 6% 9% av odds 1.62 2.17 1.85 exp wins 33.3 24.0 57.3 exp losses 20.7 28.0 48.7 chi test 81% 22% 74% wins ahead 4.7 1.0 5.7 cheers wump, i'm chuffed at the progress so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 9, 2008 Author Share Posted April 9, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:105 yield:+7% season's stats (preproofed) season BOTH HOME AWAY wins 89 55 34 losses 58 21 37 bets 147 76 71 strike 61% 72% 48% profit 19.95 14.18 5.77 yield 14% 19% 8% av odds 1.88 1.65 2.22 exp wins 78.1 46.2 31.9 exp losses 68.9 29.8 39.1 chi test 93% 96% 38% wins ahead 10.9 8.8 2.1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapshot Posted April 9, 2008 Share Posted April 9, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:106 yield:+9% Interresting thread muppet77, keep up the good work :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 11, 2008 Author Share Posted April 11, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:106 yield:+9% h a sup bet odds Bolton West Ham -0.00 A 3.9 Portsmouth Newcastle 1.06 H 2.28 Reading Fulham 1.10 H 1.96 Tottenham Middlesbrough 0.88 H 1.75 Chelsea Wigan 1.66 H 1.25 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 15, 2008 Author Share Posted April 15, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:106 yield:+9% h a sup bet odds result profit Bolton West Ham -0.00 A 3.9 H -1.00 Portsmouth Newcastle 1.06 H 2.28 D -1.00 Reading Fulham 1.10 H 1.96 A -1.00 Tottenham Middlesbrough 0.88 H 1.75 D -1.00 Chelsea Wigan 1.66 H 1.25 D -1.00 shocker! REGRESSION PREMIERSHIP HOMEAWAY BOTH wins 38 25 63 losses 20 28 48 bets 58 53 111 strike 66% 47% 57% profit 2.33 2.28 4.61 yield 4% 4% 4% av odds 1.63 2.19 1.85 exp wins 35.6 24.2 59.8 exp losses 22.4 28.8 51.2 chi test 48% 17% 45% wins ahead 2.4 0.8 3.2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 15, 2008 Author Share Posted April 15, 2008 Re: Regression Digression Premiership. bets:106 yield:+9% h a sup bet odds Everton Chelsea -0.27 A 2.18 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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