merlin Posted May 21, 2007 Share Posted May 21, 2007 .... following last weekend's sucessful run with ratings, here are this weekend's top 8 rated homes, aways and draws:- TOP 8 HOMES. 1 Comets 2794 2 Noarlunga 2371 3 Perth 2181 4 Salisbury 1896 5 Dianella 1502 6 Canning 1309 7 Hume 1070 8 Ad Hills 1002 TOP 8 AWAYS. 1 Diamond V 1706 2 Campbelltown 1618 3 North Sunshine 1174 4 Nunawading 954 5 Monbulk 954 6 Knox C 871 7 Galaxy 846 8 St.Albans 797 TOP 8 DRAWS. (Always hard to come by :lol ) 1 Sunbury 008 2 Brunswick C 068 3 Chelsea 071 4 Croydon 118 (S A Prem) 5 Morwell 158 6 Banyule 161 7 Ashfield 161 8 Endeavour 175 Happy Punting to you all!;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scotty Posted May 22, 2007 Share Posted May 22, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. And here is the odds from Bet365 25 May 06:00Frankston P v Dandenong1.723.603.75 25 May 06:00Altona East v Lalor Utd1.803.503.50 25 May 06:00Maribyrnong v Altona City2.373.502.37 25 May 06:00Pascoe Vale v Moreland1.573.754.50 25 May 06:00Sunbury v Williamstown2.373.502.37 25 May 06:00Thomastown v Keilor3.403.501.83 25 May 06:00Werribee C v Yarraville1.833.503.50 25 May 06:00Chelsea v S Springvale2.103.502.75 25 May 06:00Clifton Hill v Northcote C2.003.602.87 25 May 06:00Heatherton v Doncaster2.503.502.25 25 May 06:00Stonnington v Knox City2.503.502.25 25 May 06:00Templestowe v Diamond V4.334.331.50 25 May 06:00Avondale v Ballarat1.903.503.20 25 May 06:00Corio v La Trobe Uni2.203.502.60 25 May 06:00Geelong v Sydenham1.833.503.40 25 May 06:00Eastern L v Mooroolbark1.903.503.20 25 May 06:00Endeavour v Doveton2.373.502.37 25 May 06:00Fitzroy v Nunawading2.373.502.37 25 May 06:00Frankston S v Southern Suburbs1.903.503.20 25 May 06:00Sandringham v Berwick1.903.503.20 25 May 06:00Springvale C v Morwell2.103.502.75 25 May 06:00Adelaide R v Adelaide Galaxy2.373.502.37 25 May 06:00Blue Eagles v Modbury1.613.604.33 25 May 06:00Ad Cobras v Olympic2.373.502.37 25 May 06:00Ad Hills v Panthers1.723.603.75 25 May 06:00Croydon v Pirates2.103.502.75 25 May 06:00Playford v Northern D2.103.502.75 25 May 06:00Western S v Enfield2.203.502.60 25 May 06:00Comets v NAB1.364.336.00 25 May 06:00Noarlunga v Gawler1.285.007.00 25 May 06:00Salisbury v Seaford1.334.506.50 25 May 06:00Toros v Port Pirie2.603.502.20 25 May 06:00Armadale v Swan IC2.373.502.37 25 May 06:00Fremantle C v Cockburn C2.253.502.50 25 May 06:00Joondalup v W Knights2.253.502.50 25 May 06:00Perth v Inglewood1.364.336.00 25 May 06:00Stirling Lions v Floreat Athena2.103.502.75 25 May 06:00Wanneroo City v Sorrento2.103.502.75 25 May 06:00Ashfield v Mandurah C2.103.502.75 25 May 06:00Canning v Queens Park1.404.335.50 25 May 06:00Dianella v Bayswater C1.404.335.50 25 May 06:00Gosnells City v Rockingham1.723.603.75 25 May 06:00Morley v Balcatta1.573.754.50 25 May 06:00SW Phoenix v Forrestfield Utd1.833.503.40 25 May 06:00Westvale v Plenty Valley Lions1.663.753.75 25 May 06:00Brunswick C v Southern Stars1.903.503.20 25 May 06:00Langwarrin v Coburg Utd2.253.502.50 25 May 06:00Banyule v Geelong R2.103.502.75 25 May 06:00Lalor v Cairnlea2.373.502.37 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted May 22, 2007 Share Posted May 22, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. Best of luck Merlin. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted May 22, 2007 Share Posted May 22, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. Will keep an eye on my home town Ballarat, we play away to Avondale and are at odds of $3.20. Theres usually a preview in Fridays local paper so will keep you guys up to date if i can :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted May 22, 2007 Author Share Posted May 22, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. ... Thanks again David, been reasonable up to now, first week unproofed 5 correct aways from 5.Last week 7 correct homes from 8 so a bit of a mixed bag really. Bad news for you Ads as your home town Ballarat away to Avondale are showing at 553 in favour of the home side, so maybe I can be proved wrong with this selection.Cheers guys.;) I can give the whole list if anyone is interested. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted May 22, 2007 Share Posted May 22, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. Merlin, Not sure if you have it explained it yet, and if you have i must of missed it, but how do you come up with your Power Rankings? This thread has alot of potential :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punto Banco Posted May 22, 2007 Share Posted May 22, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. ... I am not skooled on how to use this... is it as simple as backing the highest ranked or is there are form of selection that must be applied... nice for the effort this interests me greatly...:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted May 22, 2007 Author Share Posted May 22, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. ..... thanks for the interest Ads. The Power Ratings used are the measure between matches previously played by way of the victory/defeat margins. All teams start off equal and by way of mathematical calculations rise and fall above/below the set bench mark.As matches are played each week the ratings rise and fall according to the goal margins.Therefore the rating you see above are the differences between the the two sides prior to playing and to three decimal places, but with the decimal left out. Hope this helps. Cheers.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted May 22, 2007 Share Posted May 22, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. Thanks for explaining that Merlin, it seems a good concept. :ok One more quick question though mate, do team positions have anything to do with anything? Say the bottom placed team beat the top team, would they get more ranking points than say if they beat the second bottom team? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted May 22, 2007 Author Share Posted May 22, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. .... League position has nothing to do with these calculations Ads. It's strictly down to the worth of the win ie margin of victory.There is a small home advantage decimal built in and the use of an adjuster after the team ratings have been subtracted from one another.So although league position does not play a part, if a lowly team with a lowly rating wins hansomely against one of the big guns,particularly away from home, this would indeed attract a bigger adjustment to its next rating simply by virtue of the scale of the win.Also teams obtaining really large wins, say 10-0 etc, that too would attract a good weighting and would be worth more if the win was say against a team of near equal rating rather than a team languishing near the bottom with poor rating figures.Hope this explains a little more, but please shout if you need further explanations.Cheers.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted May 22, 2007 Share Posted May 22, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. Na makes sense now mate, thats actually quite a good little system you got going there. Best of luck :ok Im still trying to get over the fact they have odds for a market like this, especially European based bookies :loon. Its great news Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted May 23, 2007 Author Share Posted May 23, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. .... the Aussie matches have been covered a number of years now over here, more than I care to even try to remember, but I don't think we have had the luxury of Internet Bookies taking match bets on these matches for all that long. I was wondering just where you are situated in Aussie land as my Geography is not that good when it comes to remembering places such as Ballarat.Is it N, S, E or W Australia?:loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scotty Posted May 24, 2007 Share Posted May 24, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. A quick look around the various sites and Perth, Canning & Dianella are all heavily fancied to records wins. Diamond Valley, Nunawading & Cairnlea(last season they were called Albion Rovers) also catch my eye. Will have a closer look the morrow before deciding am not too keen on the short priced teams from these leagues and the first 3 teams all fall into that list but Merlin showed last week with 7 out of 8 homes correct at short prices what can be achieved. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted May 24, 2007 Author Share Posted May 24, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. .... thanks for the kind words Scotty good to get a bird's eye view of Aussie selections by someone on the home front.I like all your selections and Cairnlea too are well starred at 718 to win away from home,so they all look good.Good to know we have yourself and Ads on the spot to help reinforce our selections.I may be later than usual next week due to going away for a few days, will be back around Wednesday so not desserting.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beejayville Posted May 25, 2007 Share Posted May 25, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. Great work Merlin :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jackierubberleg Posted May 25, 2007 Share Posted May 25, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. Good stuff Merlin. I have advised away from the lounge the first five you have named in you top 10 homes.At around 4-5/1 I think it is a sound bet. The one I can't get away from at the momment, judged on their last two games and the opposition, is Playford (11/10 with 365) I will take them on a equal stake with all bets as a cover. worth a look. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scotty Posted May 25, 2007 Share Posted May 25, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. I have went for Diamond V @ 1.50 Nunawading @ 2.37 Sorrento @ 2.75 Canning @ 1.40 Cairnlea @ 2.37 10 x 0.6pts trebles 5 x 0.6pts four-folds 1 pt five-fold Total Stake: 10 points Templestowe v Diamond V Templestowe have lost the last 4 in a row while Diamond V sit top of the league having won 4 and drew 2. Diamond V won 5-0 last week against the other promoted side Heatherton and should win here again. Fitzroy v Nunawading Fitzroy are rock bottom of the league having lost 5 out of 5. Nunawading have been inconsistent and have actually lost the last 2 games but they are heavily fancied on the forums. Wanneroo v Sorrento Last years champs Sorrento are struggling badly having lost the majority of their squad and having had a few injuries this season. They are bottom of the league having lost all 6 games but face Wanneroo who are struggling also with only 1 point. Sorrento played better last week only losing 1-0 to the league leaders and will have some injured players back for this game. They are being tipped again on the forums to win this game. Canning v Queens Park Promoted side Queens Park are struggling with 1 point from 6 games while Canning sit 3rd in the league with 4 wins and 2 draws. Again they are been heavily tipped to be too much for Queens Park and based on these factors should hopefully win. Larlor v Cairnlea Cairnlea top the league having brought in a few new faces this year while Larlor have drawn 4 of their 5 games mainly against teams in the lower half of the league. Cairnlea ran out 7-0 winners last week and should hopefully keep up their good form. Good Luck All :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odoon Posted May 25, 2007 Share Posted May 25, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. hi all ive been keeping an eye on the odds for aussie games those being backed are vic div 2 pascoe vale vic div 3 clifton hill knox city vic div 5 sandringham w aus prem perth s aus super galaxy s aus prem ad hills pirates s aus state port pirie could be figaros selection,but worth keeping in mind. i will be covering them in 6 folds and a acc. bol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mufc_coco_number9 Posted May 25, 2007 Share Posted May 25, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. see after u put these teams on lads were is you can find the results is it like a website were it gives you minute by minute updates or do you have to wait for the games to finish then they get updated on a website .also can anyone tell me any good sites to check out the league tables of these games. cheers if any1 can answers these questions for me. good luck (Y) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted May 25, 2007 Author Share Posted May 25, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. .... there is comprehensive cover of all Aussie results and League Tables in The Racing and Football Outlook out every Tuesday at good Newsagents price £1-60.There is also good coverage at Soccerlotto.com but it's a subscription site.Cheers.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAO Posted May 25, 2007 Share Posted May 25, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. any site where to check results? thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punto Banco Posted May 26, 2007 Share Posted May 26, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. .... there is comprehensive cover of all Aussie results and League Tables in The Racing and Football Outlook out every Tuesday at good Newsagents price £1-60.There is also good coverage at Soccerlotto.com but it's a subscription site.Cheers.;) Are you a member of soccerlotto? I was thinking about joining but it would really only be for results... hardly worth it... so if you are up 2 it could you please post results here... 4give me if that was already your plan.....:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mufc_coco_number9 Posted May 26, 2007 Share Posted May 26, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. Anyone With Msn Type Your Adresses Out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 26, 2007 Share Posted May 26, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. I have went for Diamond V @ 1.50 Nunawading @ 2.37 Sorrento @ 2.75 Canning @ 1.40 Cairnlea @ 2.37 10 x 0.6pts trebles 5 x 0.6pts four-folds 1 pt five-fold Total Stake: 10 points Templestowe v Diamond V Templestowe have lost the last 4 in a row while Diamond V sit top of the league having won 4 and drew 2. Diamond V won 5-0 last week against the other promoted side Heatherton and should win here again. Fitzroy v Nunawading Fitzroy are rock bottom of the league having lost 5 out of 5. Nunawading have been inconsistent and have actually lost the last 2 games but they are heavily fancied on the forums. Wanneroo v Sorrento Last years champs Sorrento are struggling badly having lost the majority of their squad and having had a few injuries this season. They are bottom of the league having lost all 6 games but face Wanneroo who are struggling also with only 1 point. Sorrento played better last week only losing 1-0 to the league leaders and will have some injured players back for this game. They are being tipped again on the forums to win this game. Canning v Queens Park Promoted side Queens Park are struggling with 1 point from 6 games while Canning sit 3rd in the league with 4 wins and 2 draws. Again they are been heavily tipped to be too much for Queens Park and based on these factors should hopefully win. Larlor v Cairnlea Cairnlea top the league having brought in a few new faces this year while Larlor have drawn 4 of their 5 games mainly against teams in the lower half of the league. Cairnlea ran out 7-0 winners last week and should hopefully keep up their good form. Good Luck All :ok Well done 5 from 5:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punto Banco Posted May 26, 2007 Share Posted May 26, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. Arrrrrg figures.... Comets... 1.36 favs draw 2-2: Had this: Diamond Valley Nunawading Comets Canning Cairnlea 5x 4 fold bets.... total stake 30.00.... to win 256.52 .... and the comets 2-2 draw was the only fault in it... killed me really... I saw all results but comets and canning they were both heavy favs @ home and thought I had it in the bag... however this seems to be the way my betting is goin ATM down the shit when I least expect it... might take a break.... congrats on all winners 2nite... does any1 know when they pay these out usually? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scotty Posted May 26, 2007 Share Posted May 26, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. 1Brunswick CityvSouthern Stars4-23-12Frankston PinesvDandenong Thunder5-02-03LangwarrinvCoburg United0-50-34Altona East PhoenixvLalor United0-10-05Maribyrnong GreensvAltona City3-22-16Pascoe ValevMoreland City0-00-07Sunbury UnitedvWilliamstown0-10-18Thomastown DevilsvKeilor Park1-10-09Werribee CityvYarraville Glory1-10-010ChelseavSouth Springvale1-11-111Clifton Hill UnitedvNorthcote City--12Heatherton UnitedvDoncaster Rovers0-10-013Stonnington CityvKnox City0-20-014Templestowe EaglesvDiamond Valley United0-30-215Avondale HeightsvBallarat0-10-016Banyule CityvGeelong Rangers5-31-117CoriovLa Trobe University1-41-218GeelongvSydenham Park0-10-119LalorvCairnlea0-60-420WestvalevPlenty Valley Lions2-02-021Eastern LionsvMooroolbark1-01-022Endeavour UnitedvDoveton1-20-123Fitzroy CityvNunawading City1-21-024Frankston StrikersvSouthern Suburbs7-11-125Sandringham CityvBerwick City2-12-026Springvale City ValesvMorwell Pegasus0-20-027RaidersvAdelaide Galaxy1-11-128Adelaide Blue EaglesvModbury Jets0-10-029Adelaide CobrasvAdelaide Olympic0-40-130Adelaide HillsvPanthers 1-20-131Croydon KingsvPort Lion Pirates1-10-032Playford CityvNorthern Demons0-00-033Western StrikersvEnfield City4-02-034CometsvNAB2-20-035Noarlunga UnitedvGawler4-04-036Salisbury UnitedvSeaford Rangers4-00-037TorosvPort Pirie City3-10-138ArmadalevSwan IC3-22-239Fremantle SpiritvCockburn City1-1-40ECU JoondalupvWestern Knights1-0-41PerthvInglewood United3-2-42Stirling LionsvFloreat Athena--43Wanneroo CityvSorrento2-7-44AshfeldvMandurah City1-5-45Canning CityvQueens Park2-0-46Dianella White EaglesvBayswater City3-2-47Gosnells CityvRockingham City3-3-48Morley-WindmillsvBalcatta2-0-49South West PhoenixvForrestfield United3-0- Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scotty Posted May 26, 2007 Share Posted May 26, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. Here is the links www.aussiesoccerstats.com - Up to date league tables & form guides. www.footballwa.net - For the West Leagues http://www.socceraust.co.uk/ - First place to get the results on a Saturday http://forum.bayswatercity.com/ - Excellent for news & predictions of next round of games. http://www.soccer-forum.net/ - forum for the Victorian leagues Hope this helps :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scotty Posted May 26, 2007 Share Posted May 26, 2007 Re: Top 8 Aussie Power Ratings Sat 26th May. I have went for Diamond V @ 1.50 won 3-0 :) Nunawading @ 2.37 won 2-1 :) Sorrento @ 2.75 won 7-2 :) Canning @ 1.40 won 2-0 :) Cairnlea @ 2.37 won 6-0 :) 10 x 0.6pts trebles 5 x 0.6pts four-folds 1 pt five-fold Total Stake: 10 points Total Return: 124.43 points Profit: 114.43 points Great start to the Aussie season. Well done Cavelloman glad to see you have continued with your winning ways in the Aussie leagues and unlucky MakDaddy always a sickner when it just the one team that lets you down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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