ads25 Posted April 12, 2007 Share Posted April 12, 2007 AFL Computer Generated Predictions - Season 2007 For those familiar with the concept used in my NBL Computer Generated Predictions in the NBL Basketball throughout last season, I have setup a similar program for the AFL this year. The results of the NBL thread (click here) was a 79% win rate (85 wins from 107) and i hope to have a similar sort of success rate with the AFL. To generate the predictions i take into account many different sorts of data which include the following: - Average Score - Avg Winning/Losing Margins - Percentage on Ladder - Total Quarters Won - Total Halves Won - Recent Form (Last 5 Games) - High/Low Scores - Home/Away Results - Last 5 Matches Against Opposition (Head to Head) Once all this data is taken into account, I weight the categories and convert all the data into percentages. By weight I mean, for example, Recent Form would be worth more points than what High/Low scores are worth, or Average Scores are worth more than Total Quarters Won. This way teams the better teams are rewarded. As we are only a couple of rounds in, it may take some time for the scores to sort themselves out, but overtime it should become more and more accurate as we go. I will continue posting the results of each round every Monday at the completion of the Round inside this thread the same way i did for the NBL one. So heres to the future! :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crouch Potato Posted April 12, 2007 Share Posted April 12, 2007 Re: AFL Football 2007 - Computer Generated Predictions Very much looking forward to this Ads. After the amazing accuracy your NBL thread had, combined with the fact that the AFL offers a market for both teams scores, I'm quite looking forward to seeing your predictions and enjoying some great successes. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pete Posted April 13, 2007 Share Posted April 13, 2007 Re: AFL Football 2007 - Computer Generated Predictions Good stuff ads if it is anywhere near your basketball predicitions we are in for a very good year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted April 16, 2007 Author Share Posted April 16, 2007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crouch Potato Posted April 19, 2007 Share Posted April 19, 2007 Re: AFL Football 2007 - Computer Generated Predictions Looking at your predictions Ads, you got half of the margins right (1-39 etc.) and almost came very close to picking an exact margin. If you don't mind, I'd like to run a system based on your predictions in the S&S thread. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted April 19, 2007 Author Share Posted April 19, 2007 Re: AFL Football 2007 - Computer Generated Predictions Looking at your predictions Ads' date=' you got half of the margins right (1-39 etc.) and almost came very close to picking an exact margin. If you don't mind, I'd like to run a system based on your predictions in the S&S thread.[/quote'] No problems mate, fine with me :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crouch Potato Posted April 19, 2007 Share Posted April 19, 2007 Re: AFL Football 2007 - Computer Generated Predictions Cheers mate. I'll open it up when you publish tonight's prediction. I just hope I wake up in time, I spend most of the night playing in the PL poker freeroll :loon Time for some zzz Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crouch Potato Posted April 20, 2007 Share Posted April 20, 2007 Re: AFL Football 2007 - Computer Generated Predictions Cheers again Ads. Running it in here: http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/showthread.php?t=47218 I hope I haven't just jinxed your entire season :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted April 23, 2007 Author Share Posted April 23, 2007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted May 1, 2007 Author Share Posted May 1, 2007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted May 7, 2007 Author Share Posted May 7, 2007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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ads25 Posted May 27, 2007 Author Share Posted May 27, 2007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted May 27, 2007 Author Share Posted May 27, 2007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
koi_saisei Posted May 27, 2007 Share Posted May 27, 2007 Re: AFL Football 2007 - Computer Generated Predictions Losses should be at 24 :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted May 27, 2007 Author Share Posted May 27, 2007 Re: AFL Football 2007 - Computer Generated Predictions Losses should be at 24 :) Cheers buddy :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted June 21, 2007 Author Share Posted June 21, 2007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted June 21, 2007 Author Share Posted June 21, 2007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeMMa Posted July 29, 2007 Share Posted July 29, 2007 Re: AFL Football 2007 - Computer Generated Predictions Is this still going ahead or??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ads25 Posted July 30, 2007 Author Share Posted July 30, 2007 Re: AFL Football 2007 - Computer Generated Predictions Is this still going ahead or??? I will go through and update it all when i get some time. Spent a week and a half in the UK and a few days up in Queensland this month so havnt had any time to adjust. Will get on to it shortly :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeMMa Posted July 30, 2007 Share Posted July 30, 2007 Re: AFL Football 2007 - Computer Generated Predictions No Probz dude, hoping for it done for this w/e :) Cheers!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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